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Incarnate Word vs Northwestern St. Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 18 Feb 2022
Tip-off: 01:30
Final 64-88
40-42 24-46
Position#344
Record5-21
FormLLWLL
Points / game66.2
Allowed / game75.9
vs
Position#334
Record6-19
FormWWLLL
Points / game72.0
Allowed / game82.2
USANCAA
Other2021-22
Meetings · Incarnate Word v Northwestern St.
17 Jan 2026
INCA76
NORT74
05 Dec 2024
INCA70
NORT72
17 Feb 2024
INCA61
NORT81
23 Feb 2023
INCA66
NORT71
17 Feb 2022
INCA64
NORT88
10 Feb 2021
INCA67
NORT68
08 Jan 2020
INCA66
NORT72
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Incarnate Word winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Northwestern St. winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Incarnate WordUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Houston Christian
#271
W
60-50
60
50
+10
H08/01
NCAA
Texas A&M-CC
#103
L
64-80
64
80
-16
A15/01
NCAA
Houston Christian
#271
L
65-68
65
68
-3
H21/01
NCAA
McNeese State
#303
L
72-82
72
82
-10
H22/01
NCAA
Northwestern St.
#334
L
70-79
70
79
-9
A28/01
NCAA
SE Louisiana
#149
L
68-78
68
78
-10
A29/01
NCAA
Nicholls State
#83
L
60-63
60
63
-3
H04/02
NCAA
New Orleans
#139
W
78-70
78
70
+8
H05/02
NCAA
Nicholls State
#83
L
58-69
58
69
-11
A11/02
NCAA
New Orleans
#139
L
57-84
57
84
-27
A12/02
NCAA
1H
2H
30-27
30-23
24-32
40-48
24-31
41-37
28-49
44-33
26-30
44-49
39-38
29-40
21-36
39-27
38-27
40-43
29-40
29-29
24-42
33-42
137.5Avg total
65.2Scored
72.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (26)66.275.9142.0-9.719%
Season at home (15)70.171.5141.6-1.533%
Season away (11)60.881.8142.6-21.00%
Last 10 (10)65.272.3137.5-7.120%
Last 5 (5)64.272.8137.0-8.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (21)61.878.1139.9-16.410%
vs Similar ◀ (4)73.578.0151.5-4.525%
vs Weaker (4)79.565.8145.2+13.850%
This opponent (Northwestern St.) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Northwestern St.USALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
New Orleans
#139
L
79-80
79
80
-1
H08/01
NCAA
SE Louisiana
#149
L
74-79
74
79
-5
A15/01
NCAA
Nicholls State
#83
L
58-69
58
69
-11
A21/01
NCAA
New Orleans
#139
L
77-85
77
85
-8
A22/01
NCAA
Incarnate Word
#344
W
79-70
79
70
+9
H28/01
NCAA
Texas A&M-CC
#103
W
90-76
90
76
+14
H29/01
NCAA
Houston Christian
#271
W
97-87
97
87
+10
A04/02
NCAA
McNeese State
#303
L
84-93
84
93
-9
A05/02
NCAA
Houston Christian
#271
L
69-76
69
76
-7
H11/02
NCAA
McNeese State
#303
L
75-80
75
80
-5
H12/02
NCAA
1H
2H
37-33
42-47
40-40
34-39
24-28
34-41
31-44
46-41
30-26
49-44
41-31
49-45
48-43
49-44
39-44
45-49
40-33
29-43
35-42
40-38
157.7Avg total
78.2Scored
79.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (25)72.082.2154.1-10.224%
Season at home (10)78.774.6153.3+4.150%
Season away (15)67.587.2154.7-19.77%
Last 10 (10)78.279.5157.7-1.330%
Last 5 (5)83.082.4165.4+0.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (24)70.884.8155.5-14.012%
vs Similar ◀ (3)80.370.3150.7+10.0100%
vs Weaker (3)86.366.3152.7+20.0100%
This opponent (Incarnate Word) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-9-4+0+4+91st half1st half: -6.9-6.91st half: +0.1+0.12nd half2nd half: -0.2-0.22nd half: -1.4-1.4
-9-4+0+4+91st half1st half: -6.9-6.91st half: +0.1+0.12nd half2nd half: -0.2-0.22nd half: -1.4-1.4
Incarnate WordNorthwestern St.
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Incarnate WordLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Houston Christian
#271
W
30-27
30
27
+3
H08/01
NCAA
Texas A&M-CC
#103
L
24-32
24
32
-8
A15/01
NCAA
Houston Christian
#271
L
24-31
24
31
-7
H21/01
NCAA
McNeese State
#303
L
28-49
28
49
-21
H22/01
NCAA
Northwestern St.
#334
L
26-30
26
30
-4
A28/01
NCAA
SE Louisiana
#149
W
39-38
39
38
+1
A29/01
NCAA
Nicholls State
#83
L
21-36
21
36
-15
H04/02
NCAA
New Orleans
#139
W
38-27
38
27
+11
H05/02
NCAA
Nicholls State
#83
L
29-40
29
40
-11
A11/02
NCAA
New Orleans
#139
L
24-42
24
42
-18
A12/02
NCAA
63.5Avg total
28.3Scored
35.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)30.438.068.5-7.630%-
Last 30 at home (17)32.036.268.2-4.241%-
Last 30 away (13)28.440.568.8-12.115%-
Last 10 (10)28.335.263.5-6.930%-
Last 5 (5)30.236.666.8-6.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (21)27.139.166.3-12.019%-
vs Similar ◀ (4)35.535.070.5+0.525%-
vs Weaker (4)40.034.874.8+5.275%-
This opponent (Northwestern St.) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Northwestern St.Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
New Orleans
#139
W
37-33
37
33
+4
H08/01
NCAA
SE Louisiana
#149
D
40-40
40
40
+0
A15/01
NCAA
Nicholls State
#83
L
24-28
24
28
-4
A21/01
NCAA
New Orleans
#139
L
31-44
31
44
-13
A22/01
NCAA
Incarnate Word
#344
W
30-26
30
26
+4
H28/01
NCAA
Texas A&M-CC
#103
W
41-31
41
31
+10
H29/01
NCAA
Houston Christian
#271
W
48-43
48
43
+5
A04/02
NCAA
McNeese State
#303
L
39-44
39
44
-5
A05/02
NCAA
Houston Christian
#271
W
40-33
40
33
+7
H11/02
NCAA
McNeese State
#303
L
35-42
35
42
-7
H12/02
NCAA
72.9Avg total
36.5Scored
36.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.938.773.6-3.740%-
Last 30 at home (13)39.233.572.7+5.877%-
Last 30 away (17)31.642.674.3-11.012%-
Last 10 (10)36.536.472.9+0.150%-
Last 5 (5)40.638.679.2+2.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (24)32.840.873.6-8.025%-
vs Similar ◀ (3)39.728.768.3+11.0100%-
vs Weaker (3)47.331.378.7+16.0100%-
This opponent (Incarnate Word) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Incarnate Word wins
5
Northwestern St. wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/02/22ANew Orleans57-84
11/02/22ANicholls State58-69
05/02/22HNew Orleans78-70
04/02/22HNicholls State60-63
29/01/22ASE Louisiana68-78
28/01/22ANorthwestern St.70-79
22/01/22HMcNeese State72-82
21/01/22HHouston Christian65-68
15/01/22ATexas A&M-CC64-80
08/01/22HHouston Christian60-50
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/02/22HMcNeese State75-80
11/02/22HHouston Christian69-76
05/02/22AMcNeese State84-93
04/02/22AHouston Christian97-87
29/01/22HTexas A&M-CC90-76
28/01/22HIncarnate Word79-70
22/01/22ANew Orleans77-85
21/01/22ANicholls State58-69
15/01/22ASE Louisiana74-79
08/01/22HNew Orleans79-80

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Incarnate Word
NCAA 2021-22
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL19%
HomeWLLLW33%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games261511
Win %19%33%0%
Points / game66.270.160.8
Allowed / game75.971.581.8
Point differential-9.7-1.5-21.0
Avg total142.0141.6142.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+15%27%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (5)0% (4)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Northwestern St.
NCAA 2021-22
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLL24%
HomeLWWLL50%
AwayLLLWL7%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games251015
Win %24%50%7%
Points / game72.078.767.5
Allowed / game82.274.687.2
Point differential-10.2+4.1-19.7
Avg total154.1153.3154.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+16%30%7%
Close games (≤5 pts) won20% (5)25% (4)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Southland conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 TX A&M Commerce110100%65.062.0+3.0
2 Stephen F. Austin2517868%75.168.2+6.8
3 Nicholls State2617965%78.770.7+8.0
4 New Orleans2415962%76.972.0+4.9
5 Texas A&M-CC26161062%77.470.1+7.3
6 SE Louisiana26141254%79.078.0+0.9
7 McNeese State27101737%77.175.4+1.7
8 Houston Christian2281436%73.274.3-1.1
9 UTRGV2671927%72.379.2-6.9
10 Northwestern St.2561924%72.082.2-10.2
11 Incarnate Word2652119%66.275.9-9.7
12 Lamar242228%62.673.6-11.0
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Incarnate Word402464
Northwestern St.424688
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