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Northern Iowa vs Illinois State Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 04 Mar 2022
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 78-65
40-30 38-35
Position#110
Record18-10
FormLWWWW
Points / game75.4
Allowed / game70.9
Northern Iowa 🏆
USA
vs
Illinois State
USA
Position#269
Record13-19
FormLLLWW
Points / game74.4
Allowed / game74.6
USANCAA
Other2021-22
Meetings · Northern Iowa v Illinois State
12 Jan 2027
NORT v ILLI
upcoming
25 Feb 2026
NORT69
ILLI71
08 Feb 2025
NORT68
ILLI65
02 Mar 2023
NORT75
ILLI62
18 Jan 2023
NORT65
ILLI63
04 Mar 2022
NORT78
ILLI65
29 Jan 2022
NORT79
ILLI64
04 Mar 2021
NORT65
ILLI60
12 Feb 2020
NORT71
ILLI63
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Northern Iowa winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Illinois State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Northern IowaUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Evansville
#349
W
64-59
64
59
+5
A27/01
NCAA
Illinois State
#269
W
79-64
79
64
+15
H29/01
NCAA
Bradley
#164
W
78-65
78
65
+13
H03/02
NCAA
Drake
#64
W
74-69 OT
74
69
+5
A05/02
NCAA
Southern Illinois
#187
W
53-44
53
44
+9
H10/02
NCAA
Loyola Chicago
#37
L
58-85
58
85
-27
A13/02
NCAA
Illinois State
#269
W
72-70
72
70
+2
A16/02
NCAA
Missouri State
#49
W
95-75
95
75
+20
H20/02
NCAA
Indiana State
#291
W
88-82
88
82
+6
A24/02
NCAA
Loyola Chicago
#37
W
102-96 OT
102
96
+6
H26/02
NCAA
1H
2H
35-27
29-32
30-28
49-36
37-28
41-37
34-36
29-27
26-19
27-25
35-47
23-38
32-33
40-37
49-33
46-42
40-41
48-41
46-46
41-41
147.2Avg total
76.3Scored
70.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (28)75.470.9146.2+4.564%
Season at home (15)75.967.3143.1+8.667%
Season away (13)74.875.0149.8-0.262%
Last 10 (10)76.370.9147.2+5.490%
Last 5 (5)83.081.6164.6+1.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)78.581.2159.7-2.750%
vs Similar (15)73.170.7143.8+2.553%
vs Weaker ◀ (8)75.965.8141.6+10.1100%
This opponent (Illinois State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Illinois StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Loyola Chicago
#37
L
64-78
64
78
-14
A03/02
NCAA
Southern Illinois
#187
L
69-75
69
75
-6
H06/02
NCAA
Valparaiso
#242
W
78-75 OT
78
75
+3
H10/02
NCAA
Indiana State
#291
L
57-60
57
60
-3
A12/02
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#110
L
70-72
70
72
-2
H16/02
NCAA
Bradley
#164
L
64-72
64
72
-8
A19/02
NCAA
Loyola Chicago
#37
L
50-59
50
59
-9
H22/02
NCAA
Southern Illinois
#187
L
69-90
69
90
-21
A24/02
NCAA
Indiana State
#291
W
86-66
86
66
+20
H26/02
NCAA
Indiana State
#291
W
58-53
58
53
+5
H04/03
NCAA
1H
2H
22-42
42-36
38-41
31-34
33-37
37-33
36-24
21-36
33-32
37-40
32-31
32-41
23-33
27-26
24-49
45-41
44-36
42-30
23-28
35-25
136.5Avg total
66.5Scored
70.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (32)74.474.6149.1-0.241%
Season at home (19)76.771.2147.9+5.563%
Season away (13)71.279.6150.8-8.58%
Last 10 (10)66.570.0136.5-3.530%
Last 5 (5)65.468.0133.4-2.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)71.979.7151.6-7.814%
vs Similar (9)70.369.4139.8+0.944%
vs Weaker (5)82.869.4152.2+13.480%
This opponent (Northern Iowa) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: +2.6+2.61st half: -4.5-4.52nd half2nd half: +1.7+1.72nd half: +0.7+0.7
-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: +2.6+2.61st half: -4.5-4.52nd half2nd half: +1.7+1.72nd half: +0.7+0.7
Northern IowaIllinois State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Northern IowaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Evansville
#349
W
35-27
35
27
+8
A27/01
NCAA
Illinois State
#269
W
30-28
30
28
+2
H29/01
NCAA
Bradley
#164
W
37-28
37
28
+9
H03/02
NCAA
Drake
#64
L
34-36
34
36
-2
A05/02
NCAA
Southern Illinois
#187
W
26-19
26
19
+7
H10/02
NCAA
Loyola Chicago
#37
L
35-47
35
47
-12
A13/02
NCAA
Illinois State
#269
L
32-33
32
33
-1
A16/02
NCAA
Missouri State
#49
W
49-33
49
33
+16
H20/02
NCAA
Indiana State
#291
L
40-41
40
41
-1
A24/02
NCAA
Loyola Chicago
#37
D
46-46
46
46
+0
H26/02
NCAA
70.2Avg total
36.4Scored
33.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.032.967.9+2.143%-
Last 30 at home (16)35.131.066.1+4.156%-
Last 30 away (14)34.935.170.0-0.329%-
Last 10 (10)36.433.870.2+2.650%-
Last 5 (5)40.440.080.4+0.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)37.238.775.8-1.517%-
vs Similar (15)34.131.065.1+3.153%-
vs Weaker ◀ (8)33.233.566.8-0.238%-
This opponent (Illinois State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Illinois StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Loyola Chicago
#37
L
22-42
22
42
-20
A03/02
NCAA
Southern Illinois
#187
L
38-41
38
41
-3
H06/02
NCAA
Valparaiso
#242
L
33-37
33
37
-4
H10/02
NCAA
Indiana State
#291
W
36-24
36
24
+12
A12/02
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#110
W
33-32
33
32
+1
H16/02
NCAA
Bradley
#164
W
32-31
32
31
+1
A19/02
NCAA
Loyola Chicago
#37
L
23-33
23
33
-10
H22/02
NCAA
Southern Illinois
#187
L
24-49
24
49
-25
A24/02
NCAA
Indiana State
#291
W
44-36
44
36
+8
H26/02
NCAA
Indiana State
#291
L
23-28
23
28
-5
H04/03
NCAA
66.1Avg total
30.8Scored
35.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.435.468.8-2.040%-
Last 30 at home (18)34.634.869.4-0.244%-
Last 30 away (12)31.636.267.8-4.633%-
Last 10 (10)30.835.366.1-4.540%-
Last 5 (5)29.235.464.6-6.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)31.338.469.6-7.121%-
vs Similar (9)32.935.067.9-2.133%-
vs Weaker (5)36.631.067.6+5.680%-
This opponent (Northern Iowa) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Northern Iowa wins
1
Illinois State wins
DateGameScore
16/02/22Illinois State v Northern Iowa70-72
29/01/22Northern Iowa v Illinois State79-64
05/03/21Northern Iowa v Illinois State65-60
27/02/21Illinois State v Northern Iowa87-94 OT
27/02/21Illinois State v Northern Iowa56-70
13/02/20Northern Iowa v Illinois State71-63
31/12/19Illinois State v Northern Iowa76-70
Northern Iowalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/02/22HLoyola Chicago102-96 OT
24/02/22AIndiana State88-82
20/02/22HMissouri State95-75
16/02/22AIllinois State72-70
13/02/22ALoyola Chicago58-85
10/02/22HSouthern Illinois53-44
05/02/22ADrake74-69 OT
03/02/22HBradley78-65
29/01/22HIllinois State79-64
27/01/22AEvansville64-59
Illinois Statelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/03/22HIndiana State58-53
26/02/22HIndiana State86-66
24/02/22ASouthern Illinois69-90
22/02/22HLoyola Chicago50-59
19/02/22ABradley64-72
16/02/22HNorthern Iowa70-72
12/02/22AIndiana State57-60
10/02/22HValparaiso78-75 OT
06/02/22HSouthern Illinois69-75
03/02/22ALoyola Chicago64-78

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Northern Iowa
NCAA 2021-22
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW64%
HomeWWWWW67%
AwayWWLWW62%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games281513
Win %64%67%62%
Points / game75.475.974.8
Allowed / game70.967.375.0
Point differential+4.5+8.6-0.2
Avg total146.2143.1149.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+32%47%15%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (10)0% (2)62% (8)
Overtime %18%20%15%
Illinois State
NCAA 2021-22
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWW41%
HomeWLLWW63%
AwayLLLLL8%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321913
Win %41%63%8%
Points / game74.476.771.2
Allowed / game74.671.279.6
Point differential-0.2+5.5-8.5
Avg total149.1147.9150.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+22%32%8%
Close games (≤5 pts) won42% (12)71% (7)0% (5)
Overtime %19%21%15%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Missouri Valley conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Murray State3028293%79.361.7+17.6
2 Belmont3125681%79.468.7+10.7
3 Drake3122971%74.166.3+7.7
4 Northern Iowa28181064%75.470.9+4.5
5 Bradley30171357%71.165.2+6.0
6 Southern Illinois30161453%64.461.2+3.2
7 Illinois (Chi.)30141647%72.072.9-1.0
8 Valparaiso31141745%71.270.6+0.5
9 Illinois State32131941%74.474.6-0.2
10 Indiana State31112035%70.571.9-1.5
11 Evansville3062420%59.270.7-11.6
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Northern Iowa403878
Illinois State303565
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