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Northwestern St. vs TX A&M Commerce Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 11 Feb 2023
Tip-off: 21:30
Final 72-64
42-36 30-28
Position#75
Record17-8
FormWWWWW
Points / game74.9
Allowed / game72.5
vs
Position#277
Record11-14
FormLWWWL
Points / game69.9
Allowed / game71.4
USANCAA
Other2022-23
Meetings · Northwestern St. v TX A&M Commerce
11 Jan 2025
NORT75
TX A67
10 Mar 2024
NORT64
TX A69
03 Feb 2024
NORT70
TX A57
11 Feb 2023
NORT72
TX A64
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Northwestern St. winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
TX A&M Commerce winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Northwestern St.USALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Nicholls State
#189
W
68-48
68
48
+20
H07/01
NCAA
McNeese State
#318
W
89-75
89
75
+14
H13/01
NCAA
Nicholls State
#189
L
63-77
63
77
-14
A14/01
NCAA
SE Louisiana
#152
W
91-81 OT
91
81
+10
A20/01
NCAA
New Orleans
#290
W
88-65
88
65
+23
A21/01
NCAA
Houston Christian
#328
W
82-63
82
63
+19
H27/01
NCAA
Lamar
#339
W
80-65
80
65
+15
H28/01
NCAA
Houston Christian
#328
W
94-76
94
76
+18
A03/02
NCAA
Lamar
#339
W
72-68
72
68
+4
A05/02
NCAA
TX A&M Commerce
#277
W
88-82
88
82
+6
A10/02
NCAA
1H
2H
40-22
28-26
34-35
55-40
31-39
32-38
40-33
38-45
39-33
49-32
36-30
46-33
45-30
35-35
53-40
41-36
35-28
37-40
36-35
52-47
151.5Avg total
81.5Scored
70.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (25)74.972.5147.4+2.468%
Season at home (10)76.867.4144.2+9.480%
Season away (15)73.775.9149.5-2.260%
Last 10 (10)81.570.0151.5+11.590%
Last 5 (5)83.270.8154.0+12.4100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)72.976.9149.8-4.040%
vs Similar (6)66.075.5141.5-9.533%
vs Weaker ◀ (13)80.171.3151.4+8.885%
This opponent (TX A&M Commerce) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TX A&M CommerceUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Nicholls State
#189
L
63-66
63
66
-3
H06/01
NCAA
McNeese State
#318
W
82-80 OT
82
80
+2
A07/01
NCAA
Houston Christian
#328
L
59-68
59
68
-9
A13/01
NCAA
Lamar
#339
W
81-66
81
66
+15
H14/01
NCAA
New Orleans
#290
W
63-58
63
58
+5
A20/01
NCAA
SE Louisiana
#152
L
73-79
73
79
-6
A21/01
NCAA
Lamar
#339
W
62-57
62
57
+5
A27/01
NCAA
Houston Christian
#328
W
77-76
77
76
+1
H28/01
NCAA
McNeese State
#318
W
60-58
60
58
+2
H04/02
NCAA
Northwestern St.
#75
L
82-88
82
88
-6
H10/02
NCAA
1H
2H
40-31
23-35
34-37
38-35
21-27
38-41
39-28
42-38
27-37
36-21
30-27
43-52
33-31
29-26
26-39
51-37
27-29
33-29
35-36
47-52
139.8Avg total
70.2Scored
69.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (25)69.971.4141.3-1.544%
Season at home (8)77.666.9144.5+10.875%
Season away (17)66.273.5139.8-7.329%
Last 10 (10)70.269.6139.8+0.660%
Last 5 (5)70.871.6142.4-0.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)67.675.4143.0-7.825%
vs Similar (10)70.575.5146.0-5.030%
vs Weaker (7)71.661.0132.6+10.686%
This opponent (Northwestern St.) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: +6.4+6.41st half: -1.0-1.02nd half2nd half: +4.1+4.12nd half: +1.4+1.4
-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: +6.4+6.41st half: -1.0-1.02nd half2nd half: +4.1+4.12nd half: +1.4+1.4
Northwestern St.TX A&M Commerce
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Northwestern St.Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Nicholls State
#189
W
40-22
40
22
+18
H07/01
NCAA
McNeese State
#318
L
34-35
34
35
-1
H13/01
NCAA
Nicholls State
#189
L
31-39
31
39
-8
A14/01
NCAA
SE Louisiana
#152
W
40-33
40
33
+7
A20/01
NCAA
New Orleans
#290
W
39-33
39
33
+6
A21/01
NCAA
Houston Christian
#328
W
36-30
36
30
+6
H27/01
NCAA
Lamar
#339
W
45-30
45
30
+15
H28/01
NCAA
Houston Christian
#328
W
53-40
53
40
+13
A03/02
NCAA
Lamar
#339
W
35-28
35
28
+7
A05/02
NCAA
TX A&M Commerce
#277
W
36-35
36
35
+1
A10/02
NCAA
71.4Avg total
38.9Scored
32.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.334.769.0-0.553%-
Last 30 at home (13)35.334.269.5+1.154%-
Last 30 away (17)33.535.168.6-1.653%-
Last 10 (10)38.932.571.4+6.480%-
Last 5 (5)41.032.673.6+8.4100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)30.935.866.7-4.930%-
vs Similar (6)33.735.369.0-1.750%-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)37.533.470.8+4.177%-
This opponent (TX A&M Commerce) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TX A&M CommerceLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Nicholls State
#189
W
40-31
40
31
+9
H06/01
NCAA
McNeese State
#318
L
34-37
34
37
-3
A07/01
NCAA
Houston Christian
#328
L
21-27
21
27
-6
A13/01
NCAA
Lamar
#339
W
39-28
39
28
+11
H14/01
NCAA
New Orleans
#290
L
27-37
27
37
-10
A20/01
NCAA
SE Louisiana
#152
W
30-27
30
27
+3
A21/01
NCAA
Lamar
#339
W
33-31
33
31
+2
A27/01
NCAA
Houston Christian
#328
L
26-39
26
39
-13
H28/01
NCAA
McNeese State
#318
L
27-29
27
29
-2
H04/02
NCAA
Northwestern St.
#75
L
35-36
35
36
-1
H10/02
NCAA
63.4Avg total
31.2Scored
32.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (26)31.833.565.3-1.838%-
Last 30 at home (8)37.832.270.0+5.562%-
Last 30 away (18)29.134.163.2-5.028%-
Last 10 (10)31.232.263.4-1.040%-
Last 5 (5)30.232.462.6-2.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)30.434.965.2-4.538%-
vs Similar (10)31.034.465.4-3.440%-
vs Weaker (7)34.931.166.0+3.743%-
This opponent (Northwestern St.) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Northwestern St. wins
0
TX A&M Commerce wins
DateGameScore
10/02/23TX A&M Commerce v Northwestern St.82-88
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/02/23ATX A&M Commerce88-82
05/02/23ALamar72-68
03/02/23AHouston Christian94-76
28/01/23HLamar80-65
27/01/23HHouston Christian82-63
21/01/23ANew Orleans88-65
20/01/23ASE Louisiana91-81 OT
14/01/23ANicholls State63-77
13/01/23HMcNeese State89-75
07/01/23HNicholls State68-48
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/02/23HNorthwestern St.82-88
04/02/23HMcNeese State60-58
28/01/23HHouston Christian77-76
27/01/23ALamar62-57
21/01/23ASE Louisiana73-79
20/01/23ANew Orleans63-58
14/01/23HLamar81-66
13/01/23AHouston Christian59-68
07/01/23AMcNeese State82-80 OT
06/01/23HNicholls State63-66

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Northwestern St.
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW68%
HomeLWWWW80%
AwayWWWWW60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games251015
Win %68%80%60%
Points / game74.976.873.7
Allowed / game72.567.475.9
Point differential+2.4+9.4-2.2
Avg total147.4144.2149.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+36%60%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won83% (6)67% (3)100% (3)
Overtime %8%0%13%
TX A&M Commerce
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWL44%
HomeLWWWL75%
AwayWLWLW29%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games25817
Win %44%75%29%
Points / game69.977.666.2
Allowed / game71.466.973.5
Point differential-1.5+10.8-7.3
Avg total141.3144.5139.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+12%38%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won70% (10)67% (3)71% (7)
Overtime %12%12%12%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Southland conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Northwestern St.2517868%74.972.5+2.4
2 Stephen F. Austin2416867%77.067.3+9.8
3 Texas A&M-CC2516964%81.073.3+7.7
4 SE Louisiana25141156%77.376.2+1.1
5 Nicholls State23121152%75.772.3+3.4
6 UTRGV25121348%77.477.4+0.1
7 TX A&M Commerce25111444%69.971.4-1.5
8 Incarnate Word25111444%70.372.7-2.4
9 Lamar2581732%67.574.0-6.5
10 Houston Christian2571828%77.983.9-6.0
11 New Orleans2361726%70.680.5-10.0
12 McNeese State2561924%67.574.8-7.3
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Northwestern St.423072
TX A&M Commerce362864
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