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TX A&M Commerce vs Nicholls State Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 06 Jan 2023
Tip-off: 02:00
Final 63-66
40-31 23-35
Position#277
Record5-10
FormLLLLW
Points / game69.7
Allowed / game72.6
vs
Position#189
Record6-7
FormWWLWL
Points / game77.8
Allowed / game73.3
USANCAA
Other2022-23
Meetings · TX A&M Commerce v Nicholls State
06 Jan 2025
TX A61
NICH83
27 Jan 2024
TX A84
NICH87
05 Jan 2023
TX A63
NICH66
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

TX A&M Commerce winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Nicholls State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

TX A&M CommerceUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Eastern Kentucky
#118
W
75-61
75
61
+14
H20/11
NCAA
Arlington Baptist Patriots
#666
W
101-46
101
46
+55
H29/11
NCAA
Hawaii
#80
W
53-51
53
51
+2
A01/12
NCAA
Denver
#233
L
75-84
75
84
-9
A04/12
NCAA
Wyoming
#334
L
76-91
76
91
-15
A07/12
NCAA
Abilene Christian
#227
L
64-83
64
83
-19
A10/12
NCAA
IPFW
#173
L
68-85
68
85
-17
A20/12
NCAA
IUPUI
#364
L
52-62
52
62
-10
A20/12
NCAA
Texas
#34
L
72-97
72
97
-25
A28/12
NCAA
Incarnate Word
#284
W
82-74 OT
82
74
+8
H31/12
NCAA
1H
2H
36-33
39-28
56-24
45-22
23-15
30-36
39-35
36-49
42-43
34-48
26-39
38-44
33-44
35-41
28-32
24-30
29-47
43-50
43-38
27-32
145.2Avg total
71.8Scored
73.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)69.772.6142.3-2.933%
Season at home (3)86.060.3146.3+25.7100%
Season away (12)65.675.7141.2-10.117%
Last 10 (10)71.873.4145.2-1.640%
Last 5 (5)67.680.2147.8-12.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)66.074.8140.8-8.833%
vs Similar (7)70.976.0146.9-5.129%
vs Weaker (2)76.554.0130.5+22.550%
This opponent (Nicholls State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Nicholls StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Jarvis Christian
#612
W
97-52
97
52
+45
H23/11
NCAA
UC Irvine
#65
L
56-83
56
83
-27
H26/11
NCAA
San Diego Toreros
#298
W
72-70
72
70
+2
A27/11
NCAA
Champion Christian Tigers
#618
W
115-50
115
50
+65
H30/11
NCAA
Texas Tech
#204
L
71-78
71
78
-7
A08/12
NCAA
Rust College
#417
W
85-65
85
65
+20
H11/12
NCAA
SE Louisiana
#152
W
88-73
88
73
+15
H16/12
NCAA
Mississippi St.
#125
L
66-68
66
68
-2
A17/12
NCAA
Trinity Baptist
#528
W
90-46
90
46
+44
H20/12
NCAA
Baylor
#67
L
56-85
56
85
-29
A29/12
NCAA
1H
2H
45-30
52-22
29-29
27-54
42-37
30-33
46-25
69-25
35-28
36-50
43-26
42-39
45-26
43-47
30-27
36-41
53-12
37-34
31-45
25-40
146.6Avg total
79.6Scored
67.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)77.873.3151.2+4.546%
Season at home (6)88.561.5150.0+27.083%
Season away (7)68.783.4152.1-14.714%
Last 10 (10)79.667.0146.6+12.660%
Last 5 (5)77.067.4144.4+9.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)65.5100.0165.5-34.50%
vs Similar (8)73.477.1150.5-3.838%
vs Weaker ◀ (18)80.468.6148.9+11.872%
This opponent (TX A&M Commerce) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-14-7+0+7+141st half1st half: +0.5+0.51st half: +11.4+11.42nd half2nd half: -2.9-2.92nd half: +1.2+1.2
-14-7+0+7+141st half1st half: +0.5+0.51st half: +11.4+11.42nd half2nd half: -2.9-2.92nd half: +1.2+1.2
TX A&M CommerceNicholls State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
TX A&M CommerceLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Eastern Kentucky
#118
W
36-33
36
33
+3
H20/11
NCAA
Arlington Baptist Patriots
#666
W
56-24
56
24
+32
H29/11
NCAA
Hawaii
#80
W
23-15
23
15
+8
A01/12
NCAA
Denver
#233
W
39-35
39
35
+4
A04/12
NCAA
Wyoming
#334
L
42-43
42
43
-1
A07/12
NCAA
Abilene Christian
#227
L
26-39
26
39
-13
A10/12
NCAA
IPFW
#173
L
33-44
33
44
-11
A20/12
NCAA
IUPUI
#364
L
28-32
28
32
-4
A20/12
NCAA
Texas
#34
L
29-47
29
47
-18
A28/12
NCAA
Incarnate Word
#284
W
43-38
43
38
+5
H31/12
NCAA
70.5Avg total
35.5Scored
35.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (16)32.134.466.5-2.238%-
Last 30 at home (3)45.031.776.7+13.3100%-
Last 30 away (13)29.235.064.2-5.823%-
Last 10 (10)35.535.070.5+0.550%-
Last 5 (5)31.840.071.8-8.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)28.035.363.3-7.333%-
vs Similar (7)33.335.969.1-2.643%-
vs Weaker (2)42.028.070.0+14.050%-
This opponent (Nicholls State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Nicholls StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Jarvis Christian
#612
W
45-30
45
30
+15
H23/11
NCAA
UC Irvine
#65
D
29-29
29
29
+0
H26/11
NCAA
San Diego Toreros
#298
W
42-37
42
37
+5
A27/11
NCAA
Champion Christian Tigers
#618
W
46-25
46
25
+21
H30/11
NCAA
Texas Tech
#204
W
35-28
35
28
+7
A08/12
NCAA
Rust College
#417
W
43-26
43
26
+17
H11/12
NCAA
SE Louisiana
#152
W
45-26
45
26
+19
H16/12
NCAA
Mississippi St.
#125
W
30-27
30
27
+3
A17/12
NCAA
Trinity Baptist
#528
W
53-12
53
12
+41
H20/12
NCAA
Baylor
#67
L
31-45
31
45
-14
A29/12
NCAA
68.4Avg total
39.9Scored
28.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.933.271.1+4.760%-
Last 30 at home (15)39.930.670.5+9.367%-
Last 30 away (15)35.935.771.7+0.253%-
Last 10 (10)39.928.568.4+11.480%-
Last 5 (5)40.427.267.6+13.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)33.044.077.0-11.00%-
vs Similar (8)35.635.270.9+0.450%-
vs Weaker ◀ (18)39.831.371.2+8.572%-
This opponent (TX A&M Commerce) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
TX A&M Commerce wins
0
Nicholls State wins
No previous meetings.
DateH/AOpponentScore
31/12/22HIncarnate Word82-74 OT
28/12/22ATexas72-97
20/12/22AIUPUI52-62
20/12/22AIPFW68-85
10/12/22AAbilene Christian64-83
07/12/22AWyoming76-91
04/12/22ADenver75-84
01/12/22AHawaii53-51
29/11/22HArlington Baptist Patriots101-46
20/11/22HEastern Kentucky75-61
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/12/22ABaylor56-85
20/12/22HTrinity Baptist90-46
17/12/22AMississippi St.66-68
16/12/22HSE Louisiana88-73
11/12/22HRust College85-65
08/12/22ATexas Tech71-78
30/11/22HChampion Christian Tigers115-50
27/11/22ASan Diego Toreros72-70
26/11/22HUC Irvine56-83
23/11/22HJarvis Christian97-52

📊 11. Overall Statistics

TX A&M Commerce
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW33%
HomeWWW100%
AwayLLLLL17%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games15312
Win %33%100%17%
Points / game69.786.065.6
Allowed / game72.660.375.7
Point differential-2.9+25.7-10.1
Avg total142.3146.3141.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+13%67%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)-50% (4)
Overtime %13%33%8%
Nicholls State
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWL46%
HomeLWWWW83%
AwayLWLLL14%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1367
Win %46%83%14%
Points / game77.888.568.7
Allowed / game73.361.583.4
Point differential+4.5+27.0-14.7
Avg total151.2150.0152.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+38%83%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)-50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Southland conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Stephen F. Austin1612475%78.165.1+13.0
2 Texas A&M-CC159660%78.971.5+7.4
3 UTRGV158753%81.979.1+2.9
4 Northwestern St.158753%70.574.1-3.6
5 SE Louisiana157847%75.875.7+0.1
6 Nicholls State136746%77.873.3+4.5
7 Incarnate Word156940%68.972.5-3.6
8 TX A&M Commerce1551033%69.772.6-2.9
9 McNeese State1551033%66.174.3-8.2
10 New Orleans134931%69.680.5-10.8
11 Houston Christian1541127%79.384.8-5.5
12 Lamar1541127%67.376.2-8.9
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
TX A&M Commerce402363
Nicholls State313566
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