PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Notre Dame vs Kentucky Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 11 Dec 2021
Tip-off: 22:15
Final 66-62
28-30 38-32
Position#72
Record3-4
FormLWLLL
Points / game69.0
Allowed / game66.7
vs
Position#34
Record7-1
FormWWWWW
Points / game82.6
Allowed / game60.9
USANCAA
Other2021-22
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Notre Dame winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Kentucky winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Notre DameUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Florida State
#42
W
83-73
83
73
+10
H06/03
NCAA
Wake Forest
#312
W
80-77
80
77
+3
H10/03
NCAA
North Carolina
#105
L
59-101
59
101
-42
A11/03
NCAA
CS Northridge
#340
W
68-52
68
52
+16
H13/11
NCAA
High Point
#243
W
70-61
70
61
+9
H17/11
NCAA
St. Marys (CA)
#35
L
59-62
59
62
-3
A23/11
NCAA
Chaminade Silverswords
#455
W
90-64
90
64
+26
A24/11
NCAA
Texas A&M
#81
L
67-73
67
73
-6
H25/11
NCAA
Illinois
#66
L
72-82
72
82
-10
A30/11
NCAA
Boston College
#270
L
57-73
57
73
-16
A03/12
NCAA
1H
2H
47-31
36-42
37-44
43-33
36-50
23-51
32-26
36-26
32-33
38-28
31-31
28-31
41-38
49-26
32-22
35-51
34-41
38-41
27-37
30-36
142.3Avg total
70.5Scored
71.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)69.066.7135.7+2.343%
Season at home (3)68.362.0130.3+6.367%
Season away (4)69.570.2139.8-0.825%
Last 10 (10)70.571.8142.3-1.350%
Last 5 (5)69.070.8139.8-1.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)69.977.4147.4-7.521%
vs Similar (8)68.465.9134.2+2.550%
vs Weaker (8)76.868.6145.4+8.175%
This opponent (Kentucky) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
KentuckyUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
South Carolina
#308
W
92-64
92
64
+28
H06/03
NCAA
Mississippi St.
#179
L
73-74
73
74
-1
H11/03
NCAA
Duke
#12
L
71-79
71
79
-8
A10/11
NCAA
Robert Morris
#336
W
100-60
100
60
+40
H13/11
NCAA
Mount St. Mary's
#214
W
80-55
80
55
+25
H17/11
NCAA
Ohio
#47
W
77-59
77
59
+18
H20/11
NCAA
Albany
#260
W
86-61
86
61
+25
H23/11
NCAA
North Florida
#293
W
86-52
86
52
+34
H27/11
NCAA
Central Michigan
#341
W
85-57
85
57
+28
H30/11
NCAA
Southern Univ.
#165
W
76-64
76
64
+12
H08/12
NCAA
1H
2H
36-28
56-36
30-44
43-30
35-39
36-40
46-30
54-30
38-27
42-28
40-38
37-21
37-28
49-33
37-23
49-29
51-25
34-32
38-34
38-30
145.1Avg total
82.6Scored
62.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)82.660.9143.5+21.888%
Season at home (7)84.358.3142.6+26.0100%
Season away (1)71.079.0150.0-8.00%
Last 10 (10)82.662.5145.1+20.180%
Last 5 (5)82.058.6140.6+23.4100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)68.274.0142.2-5.822%
vs Similar (13)70.770.5141.2+0.238%
vs Weaker ◀ (8)85.259.0144.2+26.2100%
This opponent (Notre Dame) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-16-8+0+8+161st half1st half: -0.4-0.41st half: +7.2+7.22nd half2nd half: -0.9-0.92nd half: +12.9+12.9
-16-8+0+8+161st half1st half: -0.4-0.41st half: +7.2+7.22nd half2nd half: -0.9-0.92nd half: +12.9+12.9
Notre DameKentucky
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Notre DameLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Florida State
#42
W
47-31
47
31
+16
H06/03
NCAA
Wake Forest
#312
L
37-44
37
44
-7
H10/03
NCAA
North Carolina
#105
L
36-50
36
50
-14
A11/03
NCAA
CS Northridge
#340
W
32-26
32
26
+6
H13/11
NCAA
High Point
#243
L
32-33
32
33
-1
H17/11
NCAA
St. Marys (CA)
#35
D
31-31
31
31
+0
A23/11
NCAA
Chaminade Silverswords
#455
W
41-38
41
38
+3
A24/11
NCAA
Texas A&M
#81
W
32-22
32
22
+10
H25/11
NCAA
Illinois
#66
L
34-41
34
41
-7
A30/11
NCAA
Boston College
#270
L
27-37
27
37
-10
A03/12
NCAA
70.2Avg total
34.9Scored
35.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.734.870.5+1.047%-
Last 30 at home (14)34.834.068.8+0.843%-
Last 30 away (16)36.635.472.0+1.150%-
Last 10 (10)34.935.370.2-0.440%-
Last 5 (5)33.033.866.8-0.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)37.137.474.6-0.343%-
vs Similar (8)33.929.463.2+4.550%-
vs Weaker (8)35.135.570.6-0.450%-
This opponent (Kentucky) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
KentuckyLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
South Carolina
#308
W
36-28
36
28
+8
H06/03
NCAA
Mississippi St.
#179
L
30-44
30
44
-14
H11/03
NCAA
Duke
#12
L
35-39
35
39
-4
A10/11
NCAA
Robert Morris
#336
W
46-30
46
30
+16
H13/11
NCAA
Mount St. Mary's
#214
W
38-27
38
27
+11
H17/11
NCAA
Ohio
#47
W
40-38
40
38
+2
H20/11
NCAA
Albany
#260
W
37-28
37
28
+9
H23/11
NCAA
North Florida
#293
W
37-23
37
23
+14
H27/11
NCAA
Central Michigan
#341
W
51-25
51
25
+26
H30/11
NCAA
Southern Univ.
#165
W
38-34
38
34
+4
H08/12
NCAA
70.4Avg total
38.8Scored
31.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.233.568.7+1.753%-
Last 30 at home (18)37.534.572.0+3.067%-
Last 30 away (12)31.831.963.7-0.233%-
Last 10 (10)38.831.670.4+7.280%-
Last 5 (5)40.629.670.2+11.0100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)36.334.871.1+1.644%-
vs Similar (13)31.235.266.5-4.031%-
vs Weaker ◀ (8)40.429.169.5+11.2100%-
This opponent (Notre Dame) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Notre Dame wins
0
Kentucky wins
DateGameScore
12/12/20Kentucky v Notre Dame63-64
Notre Damelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/12/21ABoston College57-73
30/11/21AIllinois72-82
25/11/21HTexas A&M67-73
24/11/21AChaminade Silverswords90-64
23/11/21ASt. Marys (CA)59-62
17/11/21HHigh Point70-61
13/11/21HCS Northridge68-52
11/03/21ANorth Carolina59-101
10/03/21HWake Forest80-77
06/03/21HFlorida State83-73
Kentuckylast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/12/21HSouthern Univ.76-64
30/11/21HCentral Michigan85-57
27/11/21HNorth Florida86-52
23/11/21HAlbany86-61
20/11/21HOhio77-59
17/11/21HMount St. Mary's80-55
13/11/21HRobert Morris100-60
10/11/21ADuke71-79
11/03/21HMississippi St.73-74
06/03/21HSouth Carolina92-64

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Notre Dame
NCAA 2021-22
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL43%
HomeWWL67%
AwayLWLL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games734
Win %43%67%25%
Points / game69.068.369.5
Allowed / game66.762.070.2
Point differential+2.3+6.3-0.8
Avg total135.7130.3139.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%33%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Kentucky
NCAA 2021-22
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW88%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games871
Win %88%100%0%
Points / game82.684.371.0
Allowed / game60.958.379.0
Point differential+21.8+26.0-8.0
Avg total143.5142.6150.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+88%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Atlantic Coast conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Wake Forest98189%81.867.0+14.8
2 Duke87188%83.165.4+17.8
3 NC State97278%78.271.3+6.9
4 North Carolina86275%81.273.1+8.1
5 SMU Mustangs118373%78.268.3+9.9
6 Virginia Tech107370%71.656.7+14.9
7 Miami (FL)107370%73.271.4+1.8
8 Louisville96367%69.064.8+4.2
9 Florida State85362%72.466.8+5.6
10 Georgia Tech85362%72.968.2+4.6
11 Clemson106460%75.266.6+8.6
12 Boston College106460%68.361.7+6.6
13 Virginia106460%61.055.8+5.2
14 Stanford74357%69.670.1-0.6
15 California105550%65.664.5+1.1
16 Syracuse105550%77.577.9-0.4
17 Notre Dame73443%69.066.7+2.3
18 Pittsburgh93633%61.466.2-4.8
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Southeastern conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 LSU880100%79.553.8+25.8
2 Arkansas109190%81.669.3+12.3
3 Auburn98189%84.267.4+16.8
4 Kentucky87188%82.660.9+21.8
5 Alabama87188%86.471.0+15.4
6 Texas A&M87188%72.160.1+12.0
7 Oklahoma108280%75.561.4+14.1
8 Tennessee97278%76.658.6+18.0
9 Florida97278%74.159.1+15.0
10 Texas86275%74.556.4+18.1
11 Ole Miss86275%73.261.9+11.4
12 South Carolina86275%70.966.5+4.4
13 Mississippi St.96367%73.162.0+11.1
14 Vanderbilt95456%69.461.8+7.7
15 Missouri105550%66.467.3-0.9
16 Georgia94544%68.168.9-0.8
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Notre Dame283866
Kentucky303262
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.