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Duke vs Kentucky Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 10 Nov 2021
Tip-off: 02:30
Final 79-71
39-35 40-36
Position#12
Record-
FormLLLWW
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
Duke 🏆
USA
vs
Kentucky
USA
Position#34
Record-
FormWLLWL
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
USANCAA
Other2021-22
Meetings · Duke v Kentucky
12 Nov 2024
DUKE72
KENT77
09 Nov 2021
DUKE79
KENT71
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Duke winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Kentucky winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

DukeUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Notre Dame
#236
L
89-93
89
93
-4
H09/02
NCAA
NC State
#137
W
69-53
69
53
+16
A13/02
NCAA
Wake Forest
#312
W
84-60
84
60
+24
A18/02
NCAA
Virginia
#43
W
66-65
66
65
+1
H21/02
NCAA
Syracuse
#96
W
85-71
85
71
+14
H23/02
NCAA
Louisville
#94
L
73-80 OT
73
80
-7
H27/02
NCAA
Georgia Tech
#84
L
77-81 OT
77
81
-4
A03/03
NCAA
North Carolina
#105
L
73-91
73
91
-18
A06/03
NCAA
Boston College
#332
W
86-51
86
51
+35
H09/03
NCAA
Louisville
#94
W
70-56
70
56
+14
A10/03
NCAA
1H
2H
50-45
39-48
39-21
30-32
45-26
39-34
39-36
27-29
52-34
33-37
26-36
39-29
34-31
30-33
26-42
47-49
41-27
45-24
30-29
40-27
147.3Avg total
77.2Scored
70.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)77.270.1147.3+7.160%
Last 5 (5)75.871.8147.6+4.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)72.068.5140.5+3.550%
vs Similar ◀ (13)73.871.7145.5+2.146%
vs Weaker (15)80.273.6153.8+6.660%
This opponent (Kentucky) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
KentuckyUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Missouri
#111
L
70-75
70
75
-5
A04/02
NCAA
Tennessee
#75
L
71-82
71
82
-11
H07/02
NCAA
Arkansas
#20
L
80-81
80
81
-1
H10/02
NCAA
Auburn
#194
W
82-80
82
80
+2
H13/02
NCAA
Vanderbilt
#274
W
82-78
82
78
+4
A18/02
NCAA
Tennessee
#75
W
70-55
70
55
+15
A20/02
NCAA
Florida
#117
L
67-71
67
71
-4
H27/02
NCAA
Ole Miss
#124
L
62-70
62
70
-8
A03/03
NCAA
South Carolina
#308
W
92-64
92
64
+28
H06/03
NCAA
Mississippi St.
#179
L
73-74
73
74
-1
H11/03
NCAA
1H
2H
27-40
43-35
42-34
29-48
35-36
45-45
30-36
52-44
42-30
40-48
45-30
25-25
39-38
28-33
29-32
33-38
36-28
56-36
30-44
43-30
147.9Avg total
74.9Scored
73.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)74.973.0147.9+1.940%
Last 5 (5)72.866.8139.6+6.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)68.471.0139.4-2.625%
vs Similar ◀ (15)70.568.9139.3+1.653%
vs Weaker (3)78.068.3146.3+9.767%
This opponent (Duke) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-7-3+0+3+71st half1st half: +5.5+5.51st half: +0.7+0.72nd half2nd half: +2.7+2.72nd half: +1.2+1.2
-7-3+0+3+71st half1st half: +5.5+5.51st half: +0.7+0.72nd half2nd half: +2.7+2.72nd half: +1.2+1.2
DukeKentucky
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
DukeLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Notre Dame
#236
W
50-45
50
45
+5
H09/02
NCAA
NC State
#137
W
39-21
39
21
+18
A13/02
NCAA
Wake Forest
#312
W
45-26
45
26
+19
A18/02
NCAA
Virginia
#43
W
39-36
39
36
+3
H21/02
NCAA
Syracuse
#96
W
52-34
52
34
+18
H23/02
NCAA
Louisville
#94
L
26-36
26
36
-10
H27/02
NCAA
Georgia Tech
#84
W
34-31
34
31
+3
A03/03
NCAA
North Carolina
#105
L
26-42
26
42
-16
A06/03
NCAA
Boston College
#332
W
41-27
41
27
+14
H09/03
NCAA
Louisville
#94
W
30-29
30
29
+1
A10/03
NCAA
70.9Avg total
38.2Scored
32.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.034.071.0+3.060%-
Last 30 at home (17)39.233.572.7+5.671%-
Last 30 away (13)34.234.568.7-0.446%-
Last 10 (10)38.232.770.9+5.580%-
Last 5 (5)31.433.064.4-1.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)32.034.066.0-2.050%-
vs Similar ◀ (13)35.434.069.4+1.454%-
vs Weaker (15)39.133.973.0+5.167%-
This opponent (Kentucky) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
KentuckyLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Missouri
#111
L
27-40
27
40
-13
A04/02
NCAA
Tennessee
#75
W
42-34
42
34
+8
H07/02
NCAA
Arkansas
#20
L
35-36
35
36
-1
H10/02
NCAA
Auburn
#194
L
30-36
30
36
-6
H13/02
NCAA
Vanderbilt
#274
W
42-30
42
30
+12
A18/02
NCAA
Tennessee
#75
W
45-30
45
30
+15
A20/02
NCAA
Florida
#117
W
39-38
39
38
+1
H27/02
NCAA
Ole Miss
#124
L
29-32
29
32
-3
A03/03
NCAA
South Carolina
#308
W
36-28
36
28
+8
H06/03
NCAA
Mississippi St.
#179
L
30-44
30
44
-14
H11/03
NCAA
70.3Avg total
35.5Scored
34.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.233.667.8+0.550%-
Last 30 at home (17)36.135.271.2+0.959%-
Last 30 away (13)31.731.663.3+0.138%-
Last 10 (10)35.534.870.3+0.750%-
Last 5 (5)35.834.470.2+1.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)36.633.069.6+3.658%-
vs Similar ◀ (15)31.535.166.6-3.733%-
vs Weaker (3)38.028.766.7+9.3100%-
This opponent (Duke) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Duke wins
0
Kentucky wins
No previous meetings.
Dukelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/03/21ALouisville70-56
09/03/21HBoston College86-51
06/03/21ANorth Carolina73-91
03/03/21AGeorgia Tech77-81 OT
27/02/21HLouisville73-80 OT
23/02/21HSyracuse85-71
21/02/21HVirginia66-65
18/02/21AWake Forest84-60
13/02/21ANC State69-53
09/02/21HNotre Dame89-93
Kentuckylast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/03/21HMississippi St.73-74
06/03/21HSouth Carolina92-64
03/03/21AOle Miss62-70
27/02/21HFlorida67-71
20/02/21ATennessee70-55
18/02/21AVanderbilt82-78
13/02/21HAuburn82-80
10/02/21HArkansas80-81
07/02/21HTennessee71-82
04/02/21AMissouri70-75

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Duke
NCAA 2021-22
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
Kentucky
NCAA 2021-22
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Atlantic Coast conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Virginia Tech110100%82.047.0+35.0
2 Syracuse110100%97.063.0+34.0
3 SMU Mustangs110100%86.062.0+24.0
4 NC State110100%88.070.0+18.0
5 Boston College110100%73.057.0+16.0
6 North Carolina110100%83.067.0+16.0
7 Louisville110100%72.060.0+12.0
8 Clemson110100%64.053.0+11.0
9 Miami (FL)110100%77.067.0+10.0
10 Georgia Tech1010%69.072.0-3.0
11 Virginia1010%58.066.0-8.0
12 California1010%67.080.0-13.0
13 Pittsburgh1010%63.078.0-15.0
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Southeastern conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 LSU110100%101.039.0+62.0
2 Texas110100%92.048.0+44.0
3 Alabama110100%93.064.0+29.0
4 Tennessee110100%90.062.0+28.0
5 Auburn110100%77.054.0+23.0
6 Ole Miss110100%82.061.0+21.0
7 Oklahoma110100%77.059.0+18.0
8 South Carolina110100%78.060.0+18.0
9 Arkansas110100%74.061.0+13.0
10 Florida110100%74.061.0+13.0
11 Missouri110100%78.068.0+10.0
12 Georgia110100%58.051.0+7.0
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Duke394079
Kentucky353671
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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