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Kentucky vs Mississippi St. Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 11 Mar 2021
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 73-74
30-44 43-30
Position#273
Record9-15
FormWWLLW
Points / game70.3
Allowed / game70.0
Kentucky
USA
vs
Mississippi St. 🏆
USA
Position#179
Record14-13
FormWWLWL
Points / game69.4
Allowed / game65.7
USANCAA
Other2020-21
Meetings · Kentucky v Mississippi St.
10 Jan 2026
KENT92
MISS68
17 Jan 2024
KENT90
MISS77
25 Jan 2022
KENT82
MISS74
11 Mar 2021
KENT73
MISS74
04 Feb 2020
KENT80
MISS72
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Kentucky winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Mississippi St. winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

KentuckyUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Alabama
#19
L
59-70
59
70
-11
A27/01
NCAA
Missouri
#111
L
70-75
70
75
-5
A04/02
NCAA
Tennessee
#75
L
71-82
71
82
-11
H07/02
NCAA
Arkansas
#20
L
80-81
80
81
-1
H10/02
NCAA
Auburn
#194
W
82-80
82
80
+2
H13/02
NCAA
Vanderbilt
#274
W
82-78
82
78
+4
A18/02
NCAA
Tennessee
#75
W
70-55
70
55
+15
A20/02
NCAA
Florida
#117
L
67-71
67
71
-4
H27/02
NCAA
Ole Miss
#124
L
62-70
62
70
-8
A03/03
NCAA
South Carolina
#308
W
92-64
92
64
+28
H06/03
NCAA
1H
2H
32-35
27-35
27-40
43-35
42-34
29-48
35-36
45-45
30-36
52-44
42-30
40-48
45-30
25-25
39-38
28-33
29-32
33-38
36-28
56-36
146.1Avg total
73.5Scored
72.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (24)70.370.0140.3+0.338%
Season at home (13)73.071.6144.6+1.438%
Season away (11)67.268.1135.3-0.936%
Last 10 (10)73.572.6146.1+0.940%
Last 5 (5)74.667.6142.2+7.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)68.471.0139.4-2.625%
vs Similar ◀ (15)70.969.0139.9+1.960%
vs Weaker (3)78.068.3146.3+9.767%
This opponent (Mississippi St.) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Mississippi St.USALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Iowa State
#352
W
95-56
95
56
+39
H30/01
NCAA
Arkansas
#20
L
45-61
45
61
-16
A03/02
NCAA
South Carolina
#308
W
75-59
75
59
+16
A06/02
NCAA
LSU
#80
L
80-94
80
94
-14
H11/02
NCAA
Vanderbilt
#274
L
51-72
51
72
-21
H13/02
NCAA
Ole Miss
#124
W
66-56
66
56
+10
A20/02
NCAA
South Carolina
#308
W
69-48
69
48
+21
H25/02
NCAA
Alabama
#19
L
59-64
59
64
-5
H27/02
NCAA
Texas A&M
#222
W
63-57
63
57
+6
A04/03
NCAA
Auburn
#194
L
71-78
71
78
-7
A06/03
NCAA
1H
2H
44-28
51-28
22-28
23-33
36-30
39-29
39-41
41-53
30-45
21-27
31-25
35-31
38-23
31-25
21-34
38-30
29-33
34-24
34-32
37-46
131.9Avg total
67.4Scored
64.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (27)69.465.7135.1+3.752%
Season at home (17)69.463.9133.4+5.553%
Season away (10)69.568.7138.2+0.850%
Last 10 (10)67.464.5131.9+2.950%
Last 5 (5)65.660.6126.2+5.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)64.671.9136.4-7.314%
vs Similar ◀ (14)69.268.9138.1+0.350%
vs Weaker (9)73.455.1128.6+18.389%
This opponent (Kentucky) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-3-2+0+2+31st half1st half: +1.8+1.81st half: +0.5+0.52nd half2nd half: -0.9-0.92nd half: +2.4+2.4
-3-2+0+2+31st half1st half: +1.8+1.81st half: +0.5+0.52nd half2nd half: -0.9-0.92nd half: +2.4+2.4
KentuckyMississippi St.
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
KentuckyLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Alabama
#19
L
32-35
32
35
-3
A27/01
NCAA
Missouri
#111
L
27-40
27
40
-13
A04/02
NCAA
Tennessee
#75
W
42-34
42
34
+8
H07/02
NCAA
Arkansas
#20
L
35-36
35
36
-1
H10/02
NCAA
Auburn
#194
L
30-36
30
36
-6
H13/02
NCAA
Vanderbilt
#274
W
42-30
42
30
+12
A18/02
NCAA
Tennessee
#75
W
45-30
45
30
+15
A20/02
NCAA
Florida
#117
W
39-38
39
38
+1
H27/02
NCAA
Ole Miss
#124
L
29-32
29
32
-3
A03/03
NCAA
South Carolina
#308
W
36-28
36
28
+8
H06/03
NCAA
69.6Avg total
35.7Scored
33.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.133.167.2+1.053%-
Last 30 at home (16)36.434.671.1+1.862%-
Last 30 away (14)31.531.462.9+0.143%-
Last 10 (10)35.733.969.6+1.850%-
Last 5 (5)38.231.669.8+6.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)36.633.069.6+3.658%-
vs Similar ◀ (15)31.434.165.5-2.740%-
vs Weaker (3)38.028.766.7+9.3100%-
This opponent (Mississippi St.) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Mississippi St.Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Iowa State
#352
W
44-28
44
28
+16
H30/01
NCAA
Arkansas
#20
L
22-28
22
28
-6
A03/02
NCAA
South Carolina
#308
W
36-30
36
30
+6
A06/02
NCAA
LSU
#80
L
39-41
39
41
-2
H11/02
NCAA
Vanderbilt
#274
L
30-45
30
45
-15
H13/02
NCAA
Ole Miss
#124
W
31-25
31
25
+6
A20/02
NCAA
South Carolina
#308
W
38-23
38
23
+15
H25/02
NCAA
Alabama
#19
L
21-34
21
34
-13
H27/02
NCAA
Texas A&M
#222
L
29-33
29
33
-4
A04/03
NCAA
Auburn
#194
W
34-32
34
32
+2
A06/03
NCAA
64.3Avg total
32.4Scored
31.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)32.930.763.6+2.263%-
Last 30 at home (18)32.730.363.1+2.467%-
Last 30 away (12)33.231.264.5+2.058%-
Last 10 (10)32.431.964.3+0.550%-
Last 5 (5)30.629.460.0+1.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)30.032.762.7-2.729%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)31.231.162.4+0.164%-
vs Weaker (9)37.928.466.3+9.489%-
This opponent (Kentucky) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Kentucky wins
0
Mississippi St. wins
DateGameScore
02/01/21Mississippi St. v Kentucky73-78 OT
05/02/20Kentucky v Mississippi St.80-72
Kentuckylast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/03/21HSouth Carolina92-64
03/03/21AOle Miss62-70
27/02/21HFlorida67-71
20/02/21ATennessee70-55
18/02/21AVanderbilt82-78
13/02/21HAuburn82-80
10/02/21HArkansas80-81
07/02/21HTennessee71-82
04/02/21AMissouri70-75
27/01/21AAlabama59-70
Mississippi St.last 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/03/21AAuburn71-78
04/03/21ATexas A&M63-57
27/02/21HAlabama59-64
25/02/21HSouth Carolina69-48
20/02/21AOle Miss66-56
13/02/21HVanderbilt51-72
11/02/21HLSU80-94
06/02/21ASouth Carolina75-59
03/02/21AArkansas45-61
30/01/21HIowa State95-56

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Kentucky
NCAA 2020-21
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLW38%
HomeLLWLW38%
AwayLLWWL36%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games241311
Win %38%38%36%
Points / game70.373.067.2
Allowed / game70.071.668.1
Point differential+0.3+1.4-0.9
Avg total140.3144.6135.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+21%23%18%
Close games (≤5 pts) won36% (11)33% (6)40% (5)
Overtime %4%0%9%
Mississippi St.
NCAA 2020-21
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWL52%
HomeWLLWL53%
AwayLWWWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games271710
Win %52%53%50%
Points / game69.469.469.5
Allowed / game65.763.968.7
Point differential+3.7+5.5+0.8
Avg total135.1133.4138.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+37%41%30%
Close games (≤5 pts) won29% (7)25% (4)33% (3)
Overtime %7%6%10%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Southeastern conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Arkansas2621581%83.370.7+12.7
2 Alabama2721678%79.670.3+9.3
3 Tennessee2417771%72.562.7+9.8
4 Texas2417771%74.968.2+6.7
5 LSU2416867%82.775.4+7.2
6 Missouri2315865%74.172.1+2.0
7 Oklahoma2415962%75.369.2+6.0
8 Florida2113862%74.669.8+4.8
9 Ole Miss25151060%68.763.1+5.6
10 Georgia25141156%77.878.2-0.4
11 Mississippi St.27141352%69.465.7+3.7
12 Auburn27131448%77.276.4+0.7
13 Texas A&M1881044%64.366.9-2.7
14 Kentucky2491538%70.370.0+0.3
15 Vanderbilt2491538%72.172.5-0.4
16 South Carolina2061430%73.279.3-6.1
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Kentucky304373
Mississippi St.443074
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