PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Notre Dame vs Stanford Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 05 Mar 2026
Tip-off: 02:00
Final 78-86
0-0 37-45 0-0 41-41
Position#269
Record13-16
FormLWLLW
Points / game74.5
Allowed / game74.9
Notre Dame
USA
vs
Stanford 🏆
USA
Position#103
Record18-11
FormWLLWW
Points / game75.8
Allowed / game72.4
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Meetings · Notre Dame v Stanford
30 Dec 2026
NOTR v STAN
upcoming
04 Mar 2026
NOTR78
STAN86
05 Mar 2025
NOTR56
STAN54
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Notre Dame winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Stanford winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Notre DameUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Boston College
#308
W
68-64
68
64
+4
H24/01
NCAA
Virginia
#19
L
97-100 OT
97
100
-3
H28/01
NCAA
Syracuse
#236
L
72-86
72
86
-14
A31/01
NCAA
Louisville
#53
L
65-76
65
76
-11
A05/02
NCAA
Florida State
#167
L
79-82
79
82
-3
H07/02
NCAA
SMU Mustangs
#129
L
81-89
81
89
-8
A11/02
NCAA
Georgia Tech
#309
W
89-74
89
74
+15
H14/02
NCAA
Pittsburgh
#282
L
68-73
68
73
-5
A21/02
NCAA
Duke
#8
L
56-100
56
100
-44
H25/02
NCAA
NC State
#128
W
96-90 OT
96
90
+6
H28/02
NCAA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
0-0
24-35
0-0
44-29
0-0
44-35
0-0
29-38
0-0
31-40
0-0
41-46
0-0
32-38
0-0
33-38
0-0
32-41
0-0
47-41
0-0
37-43
0-0
44-46
0-0
45-33
0-0
44-41
0-0
20-23
0-0
48-50
0-0
22-54
0-0
34-46
0-0
38-44
0-0
43-37
160.5Avg total
77.1Scored
83.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (29)74.574.9149.4-0.445%
Season at home (17)79.174.7153.8+4.465%
Season away (12)68.075.2143.2-7.217%
Last 10 (10)77.183.4160.5-6.330%
Last 5 (5)78.085.2163.2-7.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)70.477.9148.3-7.528%
vs Similar (11)78.971.6150.5+7.364%
vs Weaker (1)82.058.0140.0+24.0100%
This opponent (Stanford) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
StanfordUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
California
#79
L
66-78
66
78
-12
H25/01
NCAA
Miami (FL)
#38
L
70-79
70
79
-9
A29/01
NCAA
Florida State
#167
L
80-88
80
88
-8
A31/01
NCAA
Clemson
#56
L
64-66
64
66
-2
H05/02
NCAA
Georgia Tech
#309
W
95-72
95
72
+23
H08/02
NCAA
Boston College
#308
W
70-64
70
64
+6
A12/02
NCAA
Wake Forest
#190
L
63-68
63
68
-5
A14/02
NCAA
California
#79
L
66-72
66
72
-6
A21/02
NCAA
Pittsburgh
#282
W
75-67
75
67
+8
H26/02
NCAA
SMU Mustangs
#129
W
95-75
95
75
+20
H28/02
NCAA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
0-0
34-38
0-0
32-40
0-0
40-35
0-0
30-44
0-0
33-41
0-0
47-47
0-0
32-30
0-0
32-36
0-0
43-39
0-0
52-33
0-0
34-34
0-0
36-30
0-0
39-30
0-0
24-38
0-0
25-39
0-0
41-33
0-0
32-34
0-0
43-33
0-0
34-27
0-0
61-48
147.3Avg total
74.4Scored
72.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (29)75.872.4148.2+3.362%
Season at home (18)78.472.0150.4+6.467%
Season away (11)71.573.1144.5-1.655%
Last 10 (10)74.472.9147.3+1.540%
Last 5 (5)73.869.2143.0+4.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)71.378.7150.0-7.350%
vs Similar (17)75.972.6148.6+3.353%
vs Weaker ◀ (7)79.067.1146.1+11.986%
This opponent (Notre Dame) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +0.0+0.0Q1: +0.0+0.0Q2Q2: -6.1-6.1Q2: -0.1-0.1Q3Q3: +0.0+0.0Q3: +0.0+0.0Q4Q4: -0.5-0.5Q4: +1.6+1.6
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +0.0+0.0Q1: +0.0+0.0Q2Q2: -6.1-6.1Q2: -0.1-0.1Q3Q3: +0.0+0.0Q3: +0.0+0.0Q4Q4: -0.5-0.5Q4: +1.6+1.6
Notre DameStanford
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Notre DameLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Boston College
#308
L
24-35
24
35
-11
H24/01
NCAA
Virginia
#19
W
44-35
44
35
+9
H28/01
NCAA
Syracuse
#236
L
31-40
31
40
-9
A31/01
NCAA
Louisville
#53
L
32-38
32
38
-6
A05/02
NCAA
Florida State
#167
L
32-41
32
41
-9
H07/02
NCAA
SMU Mustangs
#129
L
37-43
37
43
-6
A11/02
NCAA
Georgia Tech
#309
W
45-33
45
33
+12
H14/02
NCAA
Pittsburgh
#282
L
20-23
20
23
-3
A21/02
NCAA
Duke
#8
L
22-54
22
54
-32
H25/02
NCAA
NC State
#128
L
38-44
38
44
-6
H28/02
NCAA
71.1Avg total
32.5Scored
38.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.135.368.4-2.237%-
Last 30 at home (17)35.134.569.6+0.647%-
Last 30 away (13)30.536.366.8-5.823%-
Last 10 (10)32.538.671.1-6.120%-
Last 5 (5)32.439.471.8-7.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)32.738.571.2-5.822%-
vs Similar (11)33.130.663.7+2.555%-
vs Weaker (1)41.029.070.0+12.0100%-
This opponent (Stanford) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
StanfordLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
California
#79
L
34-38
34
38
-4
H25/01
NCAA
Miami (FL)
#38
W
40-35
40
35
+5
A29/01
NCAA
Florida State
#167
L
33-41
33
41
-8
A31/01
NCAA
Clemson
#56
W
32-30
32
30
+2
H05/02
NCAA
Georgia Tech
#309
W
43-39
43
39
+4
H08/02
NCAA
Boston College
#308
D
34-34
34
34
+0
A12/02
NCAA
Wake Forest
#190
W
39-30
39
30
+9
A14/02
NCAA
California
#79
L
25-39
25
39
-14
A21/02
NCAA
Pittsburgh
#282
L
32-34
32
34
-2
H26/02
NCAA
SMU Mustangs
#129
W
34-27
34
27
+7
H28/02
NCAA
69.3Avg total
34.6Scored
34.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.034.469.4+0.650%-
Last 30 at home (19)35.633.168.7+2.563%-
Last 30 away (11)33.936.670.5-2.727%-
Last 10 (10)34.634.769.3-0.150%-
Last 5 (5)32.832.865.6+0.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)34.839.874.7-5.033%-
vs Similar (17)34.133.667.8+0.553%-
vs Weaker ◀ (7)37.331.668.9+5.757%-
This opponent (Notre Dame) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Notre Dame wins
0
Stanford wins
DateGameScore
31/12/25Stanford v Notre Dame40-47
06/03/25Notre Dame v Stanford56-54
Notre Damelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/02/26HNC State96-90 OT
25/02/26HDuke56-100
21/02/26APittsburgh68-73
14/02/26HGeorgia Tech89-74
11/02/26ASMU Mustangs81-89
07/02/26HFlorida State79-82
05/02/26ALouisville65-76
31/01/26ASyracuse72-86
28/01/26HVirginia97-100 OT
24/01/26HBoston College68-64
Stanfordlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/02/26HSMU Mustangs95-75
26/02/26HPittsburgh75-67
21/02/26ACalifornia66-72
14/02/26AWake Forest63-68
12/02/26ABoston College70-64
08/02/26HGeorgia Tech95-72
05/02/26HClemson64-66
31/01/26AFlorida State80-88
29/01/26AMiami (FL)70-79
25/01/26HCalifornia66-78

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Notre Dame
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLW45%
HomeLLWLW65%
AwayLLLLL17%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games291712
Win %45%65%17%
Points / game74.579.168.0
Allowed / game74.974.775.2
Point differential-0.4+4.4-7.2
Avg total149.4153.8143.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+21%35%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (10)50% (6)25% (4)
Overtime %10%12%8%
Stanford
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWW62%
HomeLLWWW67%
AwayLLWLL55%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games291811
Win %62%67%55%
Points / game75.878.471.5
Allowed / game72.472.073.1
Point differential+3.3+6.4-1.6
Avg total148.2150.4144.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+24%39%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (9)50% (4)80% (5)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Atlantic Coast conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Duke3028293%83.262.5+20.6
2 Virginia3126584%80.269.4+10.8
3 Miami (FL)3024680%82.570.0+12.5
4 North Carolina3024680%80.470.9+9.6
5 Louisville3021970%85.771.9+13.8
6 Clemson3021970%74.366.0+8.4
7 California3021970%77.772.3+5.4
8 NC State30191163%83.575.7+7.8
9 SMU Mustangs30191163%85.278.0+7.3
10 Virginia Tech30191163%78.774.2+4.5
11 Stanford29181162%75.872.4+3.3
12 Florida State29151452%79.777.6+2.1
13 Wake Forest30151550%78.877.0+1.8
14 Syracuse30151550%75.474.0+1.4
15 Notre Dame29131645%74.574.9-0.4
16 Pittsburgh29111838%70.071.2-1.2
17 Georgia Tech30111937%73.777.4-3.7
18 Boston College30102033%67.170.7-3.6
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Notre Dame03704178
Stanford04504186
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.