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Mladost vs Dubrovnik Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 17 May 2025
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 84-94
20-26 21-25 27-20 16-23
Position#13
Record0-1
FormLWLLL
Points / game95.0
Allowed / game105.0
vs
Position#11
Record10-24
FormLLWLW
Points / game78.5
Allowed / game83.7
CroatiaPremijer ligaPremijer liga - Final· Basketball Dome Cedevita
Other2024-25
Meetings · Mladost v Dubrovnik
17 May 2025
MLAD84
DUBR94
26 Nov 2022
MLAD71
DUBR101
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Mladost winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Dubrovnik winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

MladostCroatiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMladost
Date
Competition
Dakovo
#12
W
75-74
75
74
+1
68avg 74
A29/03
Prva Liga
Hermes
#14
W
90-64
90
64
+26
86avg 74
A06/04
Prva Liga
KK Zagreb
#8
W
76-62
76
62
+14
65avg 74
H13/04
Prva Liga
Kastela
#3
L
66-87
66
87
-21
54avg 74
A16/04
Prva Liga
Kastela
#3
W
72-64
72
64
+8
61avg 74
H24/04
Prva Liga
Kastela
#3
L
62-89
62
89
-27
51avg 74
A27/04
Prva Liga
Kastela
#3
W
71-67
71
67
+4
68avg 74
H30/04
Prva Liga
Samobor
#1
L
86-96
86
96
-10
75avg 74
A07/05
Prva Liga
Samobor
#1
L
74-86
74
86
-12
55avg 74
H10/05
Prva Liga
Dubrovnik
#11
L
95-105
95
105
-10
79avg 74
A14/05
Premijer liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-18
21-21
15-20
22-15
24-20
23-12
22-17
21-15
13-16
14-23
20-12
29-11
19-27
16-24
20-22
11-14
18-18
12-9
26-24
16-13
27-24
12-23
12-22
11-20
14-18
27-14
10-16
20-19
20-31
29-25
22-16
15-24
18-32
19-20
17-14
20-20
28-34
15-23
27-23
25-25
156.1Avg total
76.7Scored
79.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)95.0105.0200.0-10.00%
Season at homeno games
Season away (1)95.0105.0200.0-10.00%
Last 10 (10)76.779.4156.1-2.750%
Last 5 (5)77.688.6166.2-11.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)79.186.4165.5-7.342%
vs Similar (6)80.272.7152.8+7.567%
vs Weaker (12)83.372.3155.7+11.083%
This opponent (Dubrovnik) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
DubrovnikCroatiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormDubrovnik
Date
Competition
Dinamo Zagreb
#6
L
74-86
74
86
-12
70avg 71
A22/03
Premijer liga
GKK Sibenka
#10
W
92-66
92
66
+26
87avg 71
H28/03
Premijer liga
Cibona
#5
L
89-103
89
103
-14
80avg 71
A04/04
Premijer liga
Alkar
#7
W
95-78
95
78
+17
95avg 71
H08/04
Premijer liga
Cedevita Junior
#3
W
90-70
90
70
+20
85avg 71
A12/04
Premijer liga
Zabok
#8
L
75-91
75
91
-16
72avg 71
H19/04
Premijer liga
Split
#2
L
89-93
89
93
-4
82avg 71
A26/04
Premijer liga
Dubrava
#9
W
96-86
96
86
+10
94avg 71
H04/05
Premijer liga
Zadar
#1
L
61-91
61
91
-30
50avg 71
A09/05
Premijer liga
Mladost
#13
W
105-95
105
95
+10
105avg 71
H14/05
Premijer liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-19
23-28
21-17
11-22
19-20
23-15
28-15
22-16
21-36
23-19
21-25
24-23
21-21
32-21
20-11
22-25
22-21
21-22
29-13
18-14
18-18
20-30
22-22
15-21
23-24
15-19
29-22
22-28
31-21
19-16
20-27
26-22
15-28
11-21
13-17
22-25
34-28
23-15
23-27
25-25
172.5Avg total
86.6Scored
85.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (34)78.583.7162.3-5.229%
Season at home (17)80.980.5161.4+0.547%
Season away (17)76.187.0163.1-10.912%
Last 10 (10)86.685.9172.5+0.750%
Last 5 (5)85.291.2176.4-6.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)78.187.9166.1-9.814%
vs Similar (11)79.780.4160.1-0.636%
vs Weaker ◀ (4)87.082.8169.8+4.275%
This opponent (Mladost) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -4.0-4.0Q1: -1.3-1.3Q2Q2: -0.6-0.6Q2: +0.4+0.4Q3Q3: +0.5+0.5Q3: +3.0+3.0Q4Q4: +1.4+1.4Q4: -1.4-1.4
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -4.0-4.0Q1: -1.3-1.3Q2Q2: -0.6-0.6Q2: +0.4+0.4Q3Q3: +0.5+0.5Q3: +3.0+3.0Q4Q4: +1.4+1.4Q4: -1.4-1.4
MladostDubrovnik
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
MladostLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Dakovo
#12
L
38-39
38
39
-1
A29/03
Prva Liga
Hermes
#14
W
47-32
47
32
+15
A06/04
Prva Liga
KK Zagreb
#8
L
27-39
27
39
-12
H13/04
Prva Liga
Kastela
#3
L
35-51
35
51
-16
A16/04
Prva Liga
Kastela
#3
W
30-27
30
27
+3
H24/04
Prva Liga
Kastela
#3
L
39-47
39
47
-8
A27/04
Prva Liga
Kastela
#3
W
41-32
41
32
+9
H30/04
Prva Liga
Samobor
#1
L
49-56
49
56
-7
A07/05
Prva Liga
Samobor
#1
L
37-52
37
52
-15
H10/05
Prva Liga
Dubrovnik
#11
L
43-57
43
57
-14
A14/05
Premijer liga
81.8Avg total
38.6Scored
43.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.041.781.8-1.737%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.340.280.5+0.147%-
Last 30 away (15)39.843.383.1-3.527%-
Last 10 (10)38.643.281.8-4.630%-
Last 5 (5)41.848.890.6-7.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)41.147.288.3-6.225%-
vs Similar (6)36.539.876.3-3.333%-
vs Weaker (12)40.837.277.9+3.650%-
This opponent (Dubrovnik) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
DubrovnikLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Dinamo Zagreb
#6
L
42-47
42
47
-5
A22/03
Premijer liga
GKK Sibenka
#10
W
42-35
42
35
+7
H28/03
Premijer liga
Cibona
#5
L
44-55
44
55
-11
A04/04
Premijer liga
Alkar
#7
W
53-42
53
42
+11
H08/04
Premijer liga
Cedevita Junior
#3
D
43-43
43
43
+0
A12/04
Premijer liga
Zabok
#8
L
38-48
38
48
-10
H19/04
Premijer liga
Split
#2
L
38-43
38
43
-5
A26/04
Premijer liga
Dubrava
#9
W
50-37
50
37
+13
H04/05
Premijer liga
Zadar
#1
L
26-49
26
49
-23
A09/05
Premijer liga
Mladost
#13
W
57-43
57
43
+14
H14/05
Premijer liga
87.5Avg total
43.3Scored
44.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.042.982.9-2.843%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.941.384.1+1.667%-
Last 30 away (15)37.244.581.7-7.320%-
Last 10 (10)43.344.287.5-0.940%-
Last 5 (5)41.844.085.8-2.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)37.445.983.3-8.67%-
vs Similar (11)41.239.080.2+2.273%-
vs Weaker ◀ (4)48.240.588.8+7.8100%-
This opponent (Mladost) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Mladosttheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Mladost: 75.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀57%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.4 pts a game · 57% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.9 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.6 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.6 points a game
50%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.921.7
49.4%
53.5%43.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.87.3
30.7%
34.6%21.9
🏀 Free throws15.910.6
66.7%
73.3%10.6
They take 67.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Dubrovniktheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Dubrovnik: 85.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.6 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.5 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.7 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.6 points a game
50%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.422.8
56.4%
53.5%45.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.18.5
33.9%
34.6%25.5
🏀 Free throws19.714.7
74.6%
73.3%14.7
They take 65.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 17 May 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Mladost
LLLWLWLWWW
Dubrovnik
WLWLLWWLWL
#13
League position
#11
-3.8
Net rating
+0.9
100.5
Offensive rating
113.1
104.3
Defensive rating
112.2
48.2%
Effective FG%
54.3%
54.8%
Opp. effective FG%
56.1%
17.7%
Turnover %
18.6%
30.5%
Off. rebound %
34.9%
0.23
Free-throw rate
0.30
30.7%
3-point %
33.9%
53.4%
Assist %
62.0%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence100.5 · 113.1Defence104.3 · 112.2Shooting48.2% · 54.3%3-point %30.7% · 33.9%Ball care17.7% · 18.6%Off. rebounds30.5% · 34.9%Free throws0.23 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)50% · 50%
■ Mladost   ■ Dubrovnik
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Mladost wins
3
Dubrovnik wins
DateGameScore
14/05/25Dubrovnik v Mladost105-95
25/02/23Dubrovnik v Mladost80-63
26/11/22Mladost v Dubrovnik71-101
Mladostlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/05/25ADubrovnik95-105
10/05/25HSamobor74-86
07/05/25ASamobor86-96
30/04/25HKastela71-67
27/04/25AKastela62-89
24/04/25HKastela72-64
16/04/25AKastela66-87
13/04/25HKK Zagreb76-62
06/04/25AHermes90-64
29/03/25ADakovo75-74
Dubrovniklast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/05/25HMladost105-95
09/05/25AZadar61-91
04/05/25HDubrava96-86
26/04/25ASplit89-93
19/04/25HZabok75-91
12/04/25ACedevita Junior90-70
08/04/25HAlkar95-78
04/04/25ACibona89-103
28/03/25HGKK Sibenka92-66
22/03/25ADinamo Zagreb74-86

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Mladost
Premijer liga 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallL0%
Home--
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1-1
Win %0%-0%
Points / game95.0-95.0
Allowed / game105.0-105.0
Point differential-10.0--10.0
Avg total200.0-200.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%-0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%-0%
Dubrovnik
Premijer liga 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLW29%
HomeWWLWW47%
AwayLLWLL12%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games341717
Win %29%47%12%
Points / game78.580.976.1
Allowed / game83.780.587.0
Point differential-5.2+0.5-10.9
Avg total162.3161.4163.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+21%29%12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won12% (8)20% (5)0% (3)
Overtime %3%6%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Zadar3431391%81.265.1+16.1
2 Split3427779%88.273.3+14.9
3 Cedevita Junior34221265%87.178.5+8.6
4 Cibona34191556%86.280.1+6.1
5 Kvarner34181653%81.881.5+0.4
6 Dinamo Zagreb34171750%85.184.1+1.0
7 Zabok34151944%81.286.0-4.8
8 Alkar34151944%71.676.9-5.2
9 Dubrava33112233%79.586.8-7.3
10 GKK Sibenka33112233%74.982.9-8.0
11 Dubrovnik34102429%78.583.7-5.2
12 Osijek3372621%72.890.0-17.2
13 Mladost1010%95.0105.0-10.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Mladost2021271684
Dubrovnik2625202394
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