PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Novosibirsk vs Tambov Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 05 Nov 2026
Tip-off: 12:30
Projected 81-74
Projected total 155.1
Final 90-88
19-25 21-18 23-26 27-19
Position#8
Record2-5
FormLWLLW
Points / game80.9
Allowed / game89.1
Vs
71%
29%
■ NOVO 71%■ TAMB 29%
Pythia win probability
Position#10
Record2-4
FormLWLWL
Points / game71.3
Allowed / game73.8
RussiaSuper League· Arena Sever
Other2026-27
Meetings · Novosibirsk v Tambov
05 Nov 2026
NOVO90
TAMB88
19 Nov 2025
NOVO70
TAMB62
15 Dec 2024
NOVO53
TAMB66
15 Oct 2023
NOVO55
TAMB65
13 Mar 2023
NOVO98
TAMB66
04 Nov 2022
NOVO90
TAMB82
31 Oct 2014
NOVO90
TAMB43
Sections
Pythia's preview, written before tip-off

Novosibirsk faces Tambov in the Super League on 5 November 2026, with the model favouring Novosibirsk at 71% to win over Tambov's 29%. Novosibirsk has gone 2-5 in all seven games this season, scoring 80.9 points per game while allowing 89.1, and sits 11th in the league; at home they are 2-1, averaging 85.7 points and conceding 77.3, and have won two of their last five. Their recent outings include a 103-85 home win over Izhevsk, a 79-83 loss to Metallurg away, and a 94-103 defeat to Chelyabinsk away. Tambov is 2-4 across six games, with 71.3 points scored and 73.8 allowed, positioned 8th; on the road they are 0-3, averaging 62.3 points and 73.7 allowed, and have also won two of their last five, highlighted by a 67-78 loss to Barnaul away, an 83-76 home win over Izhevsk, and a 85-90 home loss to Chelyabinsk. In their last ten meetings Novosibirsk has won six to Tambov's four, most recently triumphing 101-97 on 21 February 2026. Pythia projects an 81-74 scoreline with a total of 155.1 points; the home line is -12.5 with a 29% chance of covering, and the over on a 157.0 line has a 45% probability, while the chance of overtime is 5%. The game will hinge on Novosibirsk's ability to keep the margin above twelve points.

Written by Pythia from this game's frozen forecast, the market's main lines and both teams' results.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Novosibirsk winWon
70.9%fair 1.41
Best odds1.15
Implied85.4%
Edge-14.5pp
Tambov winLost
29.1%fair 3.44
Best odds6.28
Implied14.6%
Edge+14.5pp
Pythia's frozen forecast of 03 Nov 14:17 UTC (Version 5). Implied = the consensus price with the bookmaker margin removed (Pinnacle first); edge = model probability minus implied.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

NovosibirskRussiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Dynamo Grozny
#5
L
57-83
57
83
-26
A21/05
Super League
Dynamo Grozny
#5
L
62-66
62
66
-4
H23/05
Super League
Dynamo Grozny
#5
L
57-60
57
60
-3
A25/05
Super League
Temp Sumz Revda
#3
L
77-105
77
105
-28
A01/10
Super League
Ufa
#2
L
59-101
59
101
-42
A04/10
Super League
Dynamo Grozny
#1
L
75-83
75
83
-8
H12/10
Super League
CSKA Moscow 2
#5
W
79-64
79
64
+15
H15/10
Super League
Chelyabinsk
#4
L
94-103 OT
94
103
-9
A22/10
Super League
Metallurg
#11
L
79-83
79
83
-4
A25/10
Super League
Izhevsk
#12
W
103-85
103
85
+18
H02/11
Super League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
11-27
18-14
16-15
12-27
15-12
11-18
17-21
19-15
15-15
16-24
12-14
14-7
23-23
21-29
15-26
18-27
14-27
25-25
8-23
12-26
17-12
16-27
17-26
25-18
28-16
17-14
21-20
13-14
27-27
19-15
22-24
21-23
21-26
27-17
10-21
21-19
25-21
27-21
26-16
25-27
157.5Avg total
74.2Scored
83.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)80.989.1170.0-8.329%
Season at home (3)85.777.3163.0+8.367%
Season away (4)77.298.0175.2-20.80%
Last 10 (10)74.283.3157.5-9.120%
Last 5 (5)86.083.6169.6+2.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)73.881.3155.1-7.538%
vs Similar (4)81.877.8159.5+4.075%
vs Weaker (2)82.575.0157.5+7.5100%
This opponent (Tambov) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TambovRussiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
CSKA Moscow 2
#7
W
80-74
80
74
+6
H28/03
Super League
Izhevsk
#12
L
73-107
73
107
-34
A14/04
Super League
Metallurg
#11
W
90-84
90
84
+6
H15/04
Super League
Barnaul
#14
L
75-94
75
94
-19
H16/04
Super League
CSKA Moscow 2
#5
L
56-60
56
60
-4
A01/10
Super League
Dynamo Grozny
#1
L
64-83
64
83
-19
A04/10
Super League
Metallurg
#11
W
73-56
73
56
+17
H12/10
Super League
Chelyabinsk
#4
L
85-90
85
90
-5
H15/10
Super League
Izhevsk
#12
W
83-76
83
76
+7
H25/10
Super League
Barnaul
#7
L
67-78
67
78
-11
A02/11
Super League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
13-19
20-18
20-14
27-23
13-24
20-31
19-26
21-26
23-13
26-19
24-25
17-27
12-16
16-22
24-23
23-33
14-10
23-12
9-17
10-21
19-24
13-19
22-20
10-20
16-20
17-20
18-12
22-4
22-19
16-29
22-26
25-16
20-21
24-14
21-19
18-22
12-30
12-14
16-15
27-19
154.8Avg total
74.6Scored
80.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)71.373.8145.2-2.533%
Season at home (3)80.374.0154.3+6.367%
Season away (3)62.373.7136.0-11.30%
Last 10 (10)74.680.2154.8-5.640%
Last 5 (5)74.476.6151.0-2.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (25)72.786.0158.8-13.320%
vs Similar (4)77.079.0156.0-2.050%
vs Weaker ◀ (1)83.076.0159.0+7.0100%
This opponent (Novosibirsk) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Over/Under 152Actual: Over 152
Over 152
56.9%
@ 1.51
Under 152
43.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathon Be
1.51
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 157 · main lineActual: Over 157
Over 157
44.6%
@ 1.88-5.0pp
Under 157
55.4%
@ 1.85+5.0pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.88
Marathon Be
1.83
1xBet
1.83
Under
Pinnacle
1.85
Marathon Be
1.79
1xBet
1.79
Over/Under 162Actual: Over 162
Over 162
32.8%
Under 162
67.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

📊 3. Team Totals

Novosibirsk total 80.5Actual: Novosibirsk over 80.5
Over 80.5
50.6%
Under 80.5
49.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Novosibirsk total 84.5 · main lineActual: Novosibirsk over 84.5
Over 84.5
35.1%
@ 1.83-14.9pp
Under 84.5
64.9%
@ 1.83+14.9pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathon Be
1.83
1xBet
1.83
Under
Marathon Be
1.83
1xBet
1.83
Novosibirsk total 88.5Actual: Novosibirsk over 88.5
Over 88.5
21.8%
Under 88.5
78.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Tambov total 68Actual: Tambov over 68
Over 68
73.8%
Under 68
26.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Tambov total 72 · main lineActual: Tambov over 72
Over 72
59.1%
@ 1.82+8.9pp
Under 72
40.9%
@ 1.84-8.9pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathon Be
1.82
1xBet
1.82
Under
Marathon Be
1.84
1xBet
1.84
Tambov total 76Actual: Tambov over 76
Over 76
43.2%
Under 76
56.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

Spread Novosibirsk -15.5Actual: Tambov +15.5
NOVO -15.5
20.6%
@ 2.26-19.6pp
TAMB +15.5
79.4%
@ 1.72+19.6pp
Best 5 market prices
NOVO
Pinnacle
2.26
Marathon Be
1.92
1xBet
1.92
TAMB
1xBet
1.72
Marathon Be
1.53
Pinnacle
1.52
Spread Novosibirsk -12.5 · main lineActual: Tambov +12.5
NOVO -12.5
28.8%
@ 1.90-20.3pp
TAMB +12.5
71.2%
@ 1.83+20.3pp
Best 5 market prices
NOVO
Pinnacle
1.90
Marathon Be
1.87
1xBet
1.87
TAMB
Pinnacle
1.83
Marathon Be
1.80
1xBet
1.80
Spread Novosibirsk -9.5Actual: Tambov +9.5
NOVO -9.5
38.6%
@ 1.58-21.7pp
TAMB +9.5
61.4%
@ 2.33+21.7pp
Best 5 market prices
NOVO
Marathon Be
1.58
Pinnacle
1.53
TAMB
Pinnacle
2.33

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -1.0-1.0Q1: -3.2-3.2Q2Q2: -0.7-0.7Q2: -1.1-1.1Q3Q3: -4.2-4.2Q3: -0.2-0.2Q4Q4: -2.3-2.3Q4: -1.1-1.1
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -1.0-1.0Q1: -3.2-3.2Q2Q2: -0.7-0.7Q2: -1.1-1.1Q3Q3: -4.2-4.2Q3: -0.2-0.2Q4Q4: -2.3-2.3Q4: -1.1-1.1
NovosibirskTambov
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
NovosibirskLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Dynamo Grozny
#5
L
29-41
29
41
-12
A21/05
Super League
Dynamo Grozny
#5
L
26-30
26
30
-4
H23/05
Super League
Dynamo Grozny
#5
L
31-39
31
39
-8
A25/05
Super League
Temp Sumz Revda
#3
L
44-52
44
52
-8
A01/10
Super League
Ufa
#2
L
39-52
39
52
-13
A04/10
Super League
Dynamo Grozny
#1
L
33-39
33
39
-6
H12/10
Super League
CSKA Moscow 2
#5
W
45-30
45
30
+15
H15/10
Super League
Chelyabinsk
#4
W
46-42
46
42
+4
A22/10
Super League
Metallurg
#11
W
48-43
48
43
+5
A25/10
Super League
Izhevsk
#12
W
52-42
52
42
+10
H02/11
Super League
80.3Avg total
39.3Scored
41.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver 77.5
Last 30 (30)38.739.578.1-0.847%43%
Last 30 at home (16)37.136.473.5+0.644%25%
Last 30 away (14)40.542.983.4-2.450%64%
Last 10 (10)39.341.080.3-1.740%50%
Last 5 (5)44.839.284.0+5.680%60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)38.441.079.4-2.542%46%
vs Similar (4)45.036.581.5+8.575%50%
vs Weaker (2)29.027.556.5+1.550%0%
This opponent (Tambov) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TambovLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
CSKA Moscow 2
#7
L
33-37
33
37
-4
H28/03
Super League
Izhevsk
#12
L
33-55
33
55
-22
A14/04
Super League
Metallurg
#11
W
49-32
49
32
+17
H15/04
Super League
Barnaul
#14
L
28-38
28
38
-10
H16/04
Super League
CSKA Moscow 2
#5
W
37-22
37
22
+15
A01/10
Super League
Dynamo Grozny
#1
L
32-43
32
43
-11
A04/10
Super League
Metallurg
#11
L
33-40
33
40
-7
H12/10
Super League
Chelyabinsk
#4
L
38-48
38
48
-10
H15/10
Super League
Izhevsk
#12
W
44-35
44
35
+9
H25/10
Super League
Barnaul
#7
L
24-44
24
44
-20
A02/11
Super League
74.5Avg total
35.1Scored
39.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver 77.5
Last 30 (30)35.642.077.6-6.427%50%
Last 30 at home (15)37.738.976.7-1.240%47%
Last 30 away (15)33.445.178.5-11.713%53%
Last 10 (10)35.139.474.5-4.330%40%
Last 5 (5)34.242.076.2-7.820%40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (25)35.842.478.2-6.624%52%
vs Similar (4)32.041.073.0-9.025%25%
vs Weaker ◀ (1)44.035.079.0+9.0100%100%
This opponent (Novosibirsk) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
1st half Spread Novosibirsk -6.5 · main lineActual: Tambov +6.5
NOVO -6.5
no forecast
@ 1.81
TAMB +6.5
no forecast
@ 1.85
1st half Over/Under 77.5 · main lineActual: Over 77.5
Over
no forecast
@ 1.83
Under
no forecast
@ 1.83
Novosibirsk 1st half total 42.5 · main lineActual: Novosibirsk under 42.5
Over
no forecast
@ 1.85
Under
no forecast
@ 1.81
Tambov 1st half total 35 · main lineActual: Tambov over 35
Over
no forecast
@ 1.83
Under
no forecast
@ 1.83
1st half Over/Under 79Actual: Over 79
Over
no forecast
@ 1.86
Under
no forecast
@ 1.80
1st half Spread Novosibirsk -7.5Actual: Tambov +7.5
NOVO -7.5
no forecast
@ 1.85
TAMB +7.5
no forecast
@ 1.81
1st half Spread Novosibirsk -8.5Actual: Tambov +8.5
NOVO -8.5
no forecast
@ 1.92
TAMB +8.5
no forecast
@ 1.75
1st half 3-way (draw possible)Actual: Novosibirsk (regulation)
NOVO
no forecast
@ 1.24
Draw
no forecast
@ 18.25
TAMB
no forecast
@ 4.14

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

Markets that span the whole game: how the halves and quarters compare, overtime, the exact winning margin. Pythia's probability comes from 20,000 simulations of this game quarter by quarter; the price, edge and books are the same as everywhere on the page.
Highest-scoring quarter: 1st half
🔒 Pro
Highest-scoring quarter: 2nd half
🔒 Pro
Highest-scoring half
🔒 Pro
Double chance (regulation)
🔒 Pro
🔒 4 special markets for this game with Pythia's probabilities and edges: Upgrade to Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ranked by edge (click any column to re-sort). Use Min odds to match the prices you want; Edge = Yes shows only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them. The five price columns are the best market prices (highest first); edge is vs the consensus price.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Tambov +1681.3%1.60
1xBet
1.67
Marathon Bet
1.53
---+26.0ppWon
Tambov +1270.3%1.86
Pinnacle
1.92
Marathon Bet
1.83
1xBet
1.83
--+21.5ppWon
Tambov +1578.9%1.57
1xBet
1.61
Pinnacle
1.56
Marathon Bet
1.55
--+20.6ppWon
Tambov +1373.4%1.75
Pinnacle
1.76
Marathon Bet
1.74
1xBet
1.74
--+20.4ppWon
Tambov +12.571.2%1.81
Pinnacle
1.83
Marathon Bet
1.80
1xBet
1.80
--+20.3ppWon
Tambov +1476.2%1.64
Marathon Bet
1.64
1xBet
1.64
Pinnacle
1.64
--+19.7ppWon
Tambov +15.579.4%1.59
1xBet
1.72
Marathon Bet
1.53
Pinnacle
1.52
--+19.6ppWon
Tambov +13.574.1%1.69
Marathon Bet
1.69
1xBet
1.69
Pinnacle
1.69
--+19.3ppWon
Tambov +14.576.9%1.62
1xBet
1.66
Marathon Bet
1.60
Pinnacle
1.60
--+18.9ppWon
Novosibirsk win70.9%1.12
Marathon Bet
1.15
1xBet
1.15
Pinnacle
1.07
---14.5ppWon
Tambov +17.583.9%1.55
Marathon Bet
1.55
-----Won
Tambov +1783.6%1.58
Marathon Bet
1.58
-----Won
Tambov +16.581.8%1.51
Marathon Bet
1.51
-----Won
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Novosibirsk wins
4
Tambov wins
DateGameScore
21/02/26Tambov v Novosibirsk97-101 OT
19/11/25Novosibirsk v Tambov70-62
20/03/25Tambov v Novosibirsk89-78
15/12/24Novosibirsk v Tambov53-66
20/12/23Tambov v Novosibirsk65-75
15/10/23Novosibirsk v Tambov55-65
13/03/23Novosibirsk v Tambov98-66
05/12/22Tambov v Novosibirsk81-72
04/11/22Novosibirsk v Tambov90-82
03/11/22Tambov v Novosibirsk63-93
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/11/26HIzhevsk103-85
25/10/26AMetallurg79-83
22/10/26AChelyabinsk94-103 OT
15/10/26HCSKA Moscow 279-64
12/10/26HDynamo Grozny75-83
04/10/26AUfa59-101
01/10/26ATemp Sumz Revda77-105
25/05/26ADynamo Grozny57-60
23/05/26HDynamo Grozny62-66
21/05/26ADynamo Grozny57-83
Tambovlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/11/26ABarnaul67-78
25/10/26HIzhevsk83-76
15/10/26HChelyabinsk85-90
12/10/26HMetallurg73-56
04/10/26ADynamo Grozny64-83
01/10/26ACSKA Moscow 256-60
16/04/26HBarnaul75-94
15/04/26HMetallurg90-84
14/04/26AIzhevsk73-107
28/03/26HCSKA Moscow 280-74

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Novosibirsk
Super League 2026-27
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLW29%
HomeLWW67%
AwayLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games734
Win %29%67%0%
Points / game80.985.777.2
Allowed / game89.177.398.0
Point differential-8.3+8.3-20.8
Avg total170.0163.0175.2
Over 15786%67%100%
Win by 10+29%67%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %14%0%25%
Tambov
Super League 2026-27
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWL33%
HomeWLW67%
AwayLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games633
Win %33%67%0%
Points / game71.380.362.3
Allowed / game73.874.073.7
Point differential-2.5+6.3-11.3
Avg total145.2154.3136.0
Over 15733%67%0%
Win by 10+17%33%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Ufa76186%89.171.4+17.7
2 Temp Sumz Revda76186%91.177.9+13.3
3 Dynamo Grozny76186%84.172.7+11.4
4 Chelyabinsk65183%91.791.2+0.5
5 CSKA Moscow 275271%73.166.7+6.4
6 Khimki M.74357%83.777.3+6.4
7 University-Ugra73443%72.680.1-7.6
8 Barnaul83538%80.082.6-2.6
9 Tambov62433%71.373.8-2.5
10 Metallurg62433%76.281.2-5.0
11 Novosibirsk72529%80.989.1-8.3
12 Desna Bryansk61517%68.879.2-10.3
13 Rusichi Kursk61517%71.386.7-15.3
14 Izhevsk71614%78.787.1-8.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Novosibirsk1921232790
Tambov2518261988
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.