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Nurnberger vs Dresden Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 05 Jan 2025
Tip-off: 14:00
Final 102-69
20-11 28-21 29-18 25-19
Position#14
Record3-13
FormWLLLL
Points / game72.1
Allowed / game81.3
vs
Position#11
Record7-9
FormWWLWL
Points / game83.3
Allowed / game84.9
GermanyPro ARound 17· Kia Metropol Arena
Other2024-25
Meetings · Nurnberger v Dresden
05 Jan 2025
NURN102
DRES69
01 Mar 2024
NURN78
DRES93
08 Feb 2023
NURN97
DRES105
04 Nov 2016
NURN93
DRES79
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Nurnberger winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Dresden winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

NurnbergerGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Munster
#10
L
85-94
85
94
-9
A02/11
Pro A
Trier
#2
L
59-100
59
100
-41
H08/11
Pro A
Phoenix Hagen
#8
W
80-71
80
71
+9
H16/11
Pro A
Koblenz
#17
W
80-78 OT
80
78
+2
A20/11
Pro A
Bayreuth
#13
L
72-86
72
86
-14
A01/12
Pro A
PS Karlsruhe
#12
W
70-63
70
63
+7
H07/12
Pro A
Vechta 2
#18
L
81-87
81
87
-6
A15/12
Pro A
Dusseldorf
#16
L
74-76
74
76
-2
A22/12
Pro A
Jena
#1
L
66-74
66
74
-8
H28/12
Pro A
Giessen
#4
L
62-93
62
93
-31
A03/01
Pro A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-29
21-21
21-24
29-20
12-25
22-18
11-28
14-29
22-11
18-20
19-20
21-20
20-15
14-23
18-17
19-16
18-23
25-29
13-15
16-19
14-14
21-15
20-14
15-20
21-14
28-21
18-26
14-26
15-20
24-20
24-14
11-22
13-20
27-19
11-14
15-21
17-24
24-27
11-21
10-21
155.1Avg total
72.9Scored
82.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)72.181.3153.4-9.219%
Season at home (7)70.977.9148.7-7.029%
Season away (9)73.184.0157.1-10.911%
Last 10 (10)72.982.2155.1-9.330%
Last 5 (5)70.678.6149.2-8.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)72.286.7158.9-14.46%
vs Similar ◀ (13)78.481.3159.7-2.938%
vs Weaker (1)81.087.0168.0-6.00%
This opponent (Dresden) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
DresdenGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bochum
#9
L
83-96
83
96
-13
H02/11
Pro A
Bayreuth
#13
W
72-71
72
71
+1
A08/11
Pro A
Trier
#2
W
89-82
89
82
+7
H10/11
Pro A
Giessen
#4
L
68-97
68
97
-29
A16/11
Pro A
Vechta 2
#18
W
100-97
100
97
+3
A30/11
Pro A
Munster
#10
W
102-74
102
74
+28
H07/12
Pro A
Phoenix Hagen
#8
W
92-75
92
75
+17
H15/12
Pro A
Crailsheim Merlins
#3
L
77-78
77
78
-1
A23/12
Pro A
PS Karlsruhe
#12
W
101-71
101
71
+30
H29/12
Pro A
Jena
#1
L
78-101
78
101
-23
A03/01
Pro A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-27
19-22
24-19
17-28
16-16
16-17
16-22
24-16
27-21
22-19
22-20
18-22
13-22
19-22
23-24
13-29
30-23
33-31
18-21
19-22
25-22
25-10
30-22
22-20
20-16
25-26
21-16
26-17
9-19
21-14
33-18
14-27
23-17
26-25
24-16
28-13
15-30
23-23
15-27
25-21
170.4Avg total
86.2Scored
84.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)83.384.9168.2-1.644%
Season at home (8)89.281.5170.8+7.862%
Season away (8)77.488.4165.8-11.025%
Last 10 (10)86.284.2170.4+2.060%
Last 5 (5)90.079.8169.8+10.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)79.388.5167.8-9.233%
vs Similar ◀ (11)83.980.6164.5+3.345%
vs Weaker (13)90.182.5172.6+7.562%
This opponent (Nurnberger) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -2.9-2.9Q1: -1.2-1.2Q2Q2: +1.1+1.1Q2: +2.0+2.0Q3Q3: -2.7-2.7Q3: +2.1+2.1Q4Q4: -5.0-5.0Q4: -0.9-0.9
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -2.9-2.9Q1: -1.2-1.2Q2Q2: +1.1+1.1Q2: +2.0+2.0Q3Q3: -2.7-2.7Q3: +2.1+2.1Q4Q4: -5.0-5.0Q4: -0.9-0.9
NurnbergerDresden
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
NurnbergerLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Munster
#10
L
35-50
35
50
-15
A02/11
Pro A
Trier
#2
L
34-43
34
43
-9
H08/11
Pro A
Phoenix Hagen
#8
W
40-31
40
31
+9
H16/11
Pro A
Koblenz
#17
L
34-38
34
38
-4
A20/11
Pro A
Bayreuth
#13
L
43-52
43
52
-9
A01/12
Pro A
PS Karlsruhe
#12
W
35-29
35
29
+6
H07/12
Pro A
Vechta 2
#18
W
49-35
49
35
+14
A15/12
Pro A
Dusseldorf
#16
L
39-40
39
40
-1
A22/12
Pro A
Jena
#1
W
40-39
40
39
+1
H28/12
Pro A
Giessen
#4
L
41-51
41
51
-10
A03/01
Pro A
79.8Avg total
39.0Scored
40.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.940.678.5-2.743%-
Last 30 at home (15)37.037.374.3-0.360%-
Last 30 away (15)38.943.982.7-5.027%-
Last 10 (10)39.040.879.8-1.840%-
Last 5 (5)40.838.879.6+2.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)37.542.179.6-4.644%-
vs Similar ◀ (13)37.639.276.8-1.638%-
vs Weaker (1)49.035.084.0+14.0100%-
This opponent (Dresden) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
DresdenLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bochum
#9
L
42-49
42
49
-7
H02/11
Pro A
Bayreuth
#13
L
32-33
32
33
-1
A08/11
Pro A
Trier
#2
W
49-40
49
40
+9
H10/11
Pro A
Giessen
#4
L
32-44
32
44
-12
A16/11
Pro A
Vechta 2
#18
W
63-54
63
54
+9
A30/11
Pro A
Munster
#10
W
50-32
50
32
+18
H07/12
Pro A
Phoenix Hagen
#8
W
45-42
45
42
+3
H15/12
Pro A
Crailsheim Merlins
#3
L
30-33
30
33
-3
A23/12
Pro A
PS Karlsruhe
#12
W
49-42
49
42
+7
H29/12
Pro A
Jena
#1
L
38-53
38
53
-15
A03/01
Pro A
85.2Avg total
43.0Scored
42.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.740.984.6+2.853%-
Last 30 at home (15)45.740.285.9+5.567%-
Last 30 away (15)41.741.583.3+0.240%-
Last 10 (10)43.042.285.2+0.850%-
Last 5 (5)42.440.482.8+2.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)38.044.382.3-6.333%-
vs Similar ◀ (11)42.741.283.9+1.536%-
vs Weaker (13)47.239.086.2+8.277%-
This opponent (Nurnberger) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Nurnbergertheir own shots, last 10 games
No box scores for this team yet.
Dresdentheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Dresden: 85.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀46%
🏀
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.0 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers39.0 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀 Free throws8.0 pts a game · 9% of the points

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.019.0
59.4%
-38.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers36.013.0
36.1%
-39.0
🏀 Free throws9.08.0
88.9%
-8.0
They take 68.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 36.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 53% of their shots are threes. Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Nurnberger wins
4
Dresden wins
DateGameScore
01/03/24Nurnberger v Dresden78-93
27/10/23Dresden v Nurnberger84-76
08/02/23Nurnberger v Dresden97-105 OT
27/11/22Dresden v Nurnberger72-69
17/01/17Dresden v Nurnberger67-97
04/11/16Nurnberger v Dresden93-79
Nurnbergerlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/01/25AGiessen62-93
28/12/24HJena66-74
22/12/24ADusseldorf74-76
15/12/24AVechta 281-87
07/12/24HPS Karlsruhe70-63
01/12/24ABayreuth72-86
20/11/24AKoblenz80-78 OT
16/11/24HPhoenix Hagen80-71
08/11/24HTrier59-100
02/11/24AMunster85-94
Dresdenlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/01/25AJena78-101
29/12/24HPS Karlsruhe101-71
23/12/24ACrailsheim Merlins77-78
15/12/24HPhoenix Hagen92-75
07/12/24HMunster102-74
30/11/24AVechta 2100-97
16/11/24AGiessen68-97
10/11/24HTrier89-82
08/11/24ABayreuth72-71
02/11/24HBochum83-96

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Nurnberger
Pro A 2024-25
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL19%
HomeLLWWL29%
AwayWLLLL11%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1679
Win %19%29%11%
Points / game72.170.973.1
Allowed / game81.377.984.0
Point differential-9.2-7.0-10.9
Avg total153.4148.7157.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (4)0% (2)50% (2)
Overtime %6%0%11%
Dresden
Pro A 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWL44%
HomeLWWWW62%
AwayWLWLL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1688
Win %44%62%25%
Points / game83.389.277.4
Allowed / game84.981.588.4
Point differential-1.6+7.8-11.0
Avg total168.2170.8165.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)0% (1)50% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Jena1614288%87.974.4+13.5
2 Trier1612475%90.879.8+11.0
3 Giessen1611569%86.876.0+10.8
4 Bremerhaven1611569%83.276.1+7.1
5 Phoenix Hagen1611569%84.479.4+5.0
6 Bochum1611569%82.978.8+4.2
7 Tubingen1611569%79.077.4+1.6
8 Crailsheim Merlins1610662%88.981.3+7.6
9 Munster1610662%87.182.3+4.8
10 Kirchheim1610662%81.679.8+1.8
11 Dresden167944%83.384.9-1.6
12 Koblenz1661038%74.183.1-8.9
13 Bayreuth1651131%84.189.2-5.1
14 Artland1641225%79.486.1-6.6
15 PS Karlsruhe1641225%73.981.4-7.4
16 Nurnberger1631319%72.181.3-9.2
17 Dusseldorf1631319%75.986.9-11.1
18 Vechta 2161156%77.695.0-17.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Nurnberger20282925102
Dresden1121181969
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