NW Tasmania vs Canberra Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 21 May 2016

Tip-off: 09:30

Final 79-84

22-20 22-27 15-26 20-11

Position#13

Record6-3

FormWWWWL

Points / game87.4

Allowed / game85.6

NW Tasmania

Canberra 🏆

Position#8

Record4-7

FormLLWLL

Points / game77.5

Allowed / game83.3

SEABL

Other2016

Meetings · NW Tasmania v Canberra

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

NW Tasmania winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Canberra winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

NW Tasmania Australia

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Bendigo

73-83

-10

A29/08

SEABL

Southern Sabres

#11

83-73

+10

H02/04

SEABL

Hobart Chargers

73-89

-16

A08/04

SEABL

Albury

101-100

101

100

A16/04

SEABL

Bendigo

80-94

-14

A17/04

SEABL

Ballarat

#10

95-92

H23/04

SEABL

Frankston

#14

85-71

+14

H30/04

SEABL

Dandenong

85-77

H07/05

SEABL

BA CoE

#16

102-75

102

+27

A13/05

SEABL

Brisbane Spartans

83-99

-16

A14/05

SEABL

20-18

20-19

18-22

15-24

20-25

22-13

21-21

20-14

29-21

10-20

19-25

15-23

29-19

13-31

31-30

28-20

22-26

20-20

19-29

19-19

17-21

27-25

25-17

26-29

21-15

33-25

22-14

9-17

31-15

22-14

11-22

21-26

27-25

19-18

32-18

24-14

27-26

9-26

27-32

20-15

171.3Avg total

86.0Scored

85.3Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (9)	87.4	85.6	173.0	+1.9	67%
Season at home (4)	87.0	78.2	165.2	+8.8	100%
Season away (5)	87.8	91.4	179.2	-3.6	40%
Last 10 (10)	86.0	85.3	171.3	+0.7	60%
Last 5 (5)	90.0	82.8	172.8	+7.2	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	85.0	90.0	175.0	-5.0	38%
vs Similar ◀ (11)	86.4	80.5	166.8	+5.9	64%
vs Weaker (11)	81.4	79.5	160.8	+1.9	64%

This opponent (Canberra) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Canberra

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Melbourne Tigers

#15

68-70

-2

A02/04

SEABL

Ballarat

#10

100-105

100

105

-5

H09/04

SEABL

Brisbane Spartans

93-80

+13

A16/04

SEABL

Geelong

78-74

H24/04

SEABL

BA CoE

#16

67-58

A29/04

SEABL

Bendigo

59-97

-38

H30/04

SEABL

Nunawading

76-88

-12

H07/05

SEABL

Bendigo

81-76

A14/05

SEABL

Dandenong

84-96

-12

A15/05

SEABL

Hobart Chargers

75-91

-16

A20/05

SEABL

20-21

16-17

12-11

20-21

18-27

27-29

29-28

26-21

27-24

27-16

21-15

18-25

22-25

14-21

27-13

15-15

16-13

15-14

26-19

10-12

14-23

13-28

21-23

11-23

25-21

17-23

16-20

18-24

21-17

15-16

20-25

25-18

26-18

18-23

19-29

21-26

24-22

21-20

10-28

20-21

161.6Avg total

78.1Scored

83.5Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (11)	77.5	83.3	160.7	-5.8	36%
Season at home (4)	78.2	91.0	169.2	-12.8	25%
Season away (7)	77.0	78.9	155.9	-1.9	43%
Last 10 (10)	78.1	83.5	161.6	-5.4	40%
Last 5 (5)	75.0	89.6	164.6	-14.6	20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (27)	79.3	86.6	165.9	-7.3	30%
vs Similar ◀ (1)	71.0	63.0	134.0	+8.0	100%
vs Weaker (2)	67.5	64.0	131.5	+3.5	50%

This opponent (NW Tasmania) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

NW TasmaniaCanberra

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.0	21.1	43.2	+0.9	47%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	21.7	20.7	42.4	+1.0	43%	-
Last 30 away (16)	22.3	21.5	43.8	+0.8	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	24.3	21.1	45.4	+3.2	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	24.6	20.4	45.0	+4.2	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	25.1	22.1	47.2	+3.0	50%	-
vs Similar ◀ (11)	23.0	21.0	44.0	+2.0	64%	-
vs Weaker (11)	18.8	20.5	39.4	-1.7	27%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.6	22.4	42.0	-2.8	27%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	19.8	23.2	43.0	-3.4	14%	-
Last 30 away (16)	19.4	21.6	41.1	-2.2	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.3	21.1	42.4	+0.2	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.0	20.2	42.2	+1.8	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (27)	20.1	23.0	43.1	-2.9	26%	-
vs Similar ◀ (1)	9.0	15.0	24.0	-6.0	0%	-
vs Weaker (2)	18.0	17.0	35.0	+1.0	50%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.4	20.1	40.5	+0.3	53%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	23.8	17.7	41.5	+6.1	79%	-
Last 30 away (16)	17.4	22.2	39.6	-4.8	31%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.5	21.1	40.6	-1.6	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.0	21.6	43.6	+0.4	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	16.8	21.0	37.8	-4.2	38%	-
vs Similar ◀ (11)	24.3	20.2	44.5	+4.1	73%	-
vs Weaker (11)	19.2	19.4	38.5	-0.2	45%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.2	20.6	38.8	-2.4	40%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	17.6	20.8	38.4	-3.2	43%	-
Last 30 away (16)	18.8	20.4	39.2	-1.6	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.3	20.7	39.0	-2.4	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.8	22.0	38.8	-5.2	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (27)	18.2	21.0	39.3	-2.8	37%	-
vs Similar ◀ (1)	24.0	19.0	43.0	+5.0	100%	-
vs Weaker (2)	15.5	15.5	31.0	+0.0	50%	-

NW TasmaniaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Bendigo

40-37

A29/08

SEABL

Southern Sabres

#11

42-38

H02/04

SEABL

Hobart Chargers

39-41

-2

A08/04

SEABL

Albury

42-50

-8

A16/04

SEABL

Bendigo

42-46

-4

A17/04

SEABL

Ballarat

#10

44-46

-2

H23/04

SEABL

Frankston

#14

54-40

+14

H30/04

SEABL

Dandenong

53-29

+24

H07/05

SEABL

BA CoE

#16

46-43

A13/05

SEABL

Brisbane Spartans

36-52

-16

A14/05

SEABL

86.0Avg total

43.8Scored

42.2Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	42.4	41.2	83.7	+1.2	53%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	45.5	38.4	83.9	+7.1	79%	-
Last 30 away (16)	39.8	43.7	83.4	-3.9	31%	-
Last 10 (10)	43.8	42.2	86.0	+1.6	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	46.6	42.0	88.6	+4.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	41.9	43.1	85.0	-1.2	25%	-
vs Similar ◀ (11)	47.3	41.2	88.5	+6.1	73%	-
vs Weaker (11)	38.0	39.9	77.9	-1.9	55%	-

This opponent (Canberra) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

CanberraLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Melbourne Tigers

#15

36-38

-2

A02/04

SEABL

Ballarat

#10

45-56

-11

H09/04

SEABL

Brisbane Spartans

54-40

+14

A16/04

SEABL

Geelong

36-46

-10

H24/04

SEABL

BA CoE

#16

31-27

A29/04

SEABL

Bendigo

27-51

-24

H30/04

SEABL

Nunawading

42-44

-2

H07/05

SEABL

Bendigo

36-33

A14/05

SEABL

Dandenong

44-41

A15/05

SEABL

Hobart Chargers

45-42

A20/05

SEABL

81.4Avg total

39.6Scored

41.8Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	37.8	43.0	80.8	-5.1	23%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	37.4	44.0	81.4	-6.6	14%	-
Last 30 away (16)	38.2	42.1	80.3	-3.8	31%	-
Last 10 (10)	39.6	41.8	81.4	-2.2	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	38.8	42.2	81.0	-3.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (27)	38.3	44.1	82.4	-5.7	22%	-
vs Similar ◀ (1)	33.0	34.0	67.0	-1.0	0%	-
vs Weaker (2)	33.5	32.5	66.0	+1.0	50%	-

This opponent (NW Tasmania) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.3	21.2	41.5	-0.9	40%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	20.5	18.9	39.4	+1.6	50%	-
Last 30 away (16)	20.2	23.2	43.4	-3.0	31%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.5	23.0	45.5	-0.5	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.4	20.6	44.0	+2.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	22.1	25.8	47.9	-3.6	38%	-
vs Similar ◀ (11)	18.2	19.4	37.5	-1.2	27%	-
vs Weaker (11)	21.2	19.7	40.9	+1.5	55%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.3	19.8	39.1	-0.5	40%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	21.5	19.4	40.9	+2.1	43%	-
Last 30 away (16)	17.4	20.2	37.6	-2.8	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.1	21.1	41.2	-1.0	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.2	25.0	42.2	-7.8	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (27)	19.4	20.5	39.9	-1.0	33%	-
vs Similar ◀ (1)	16.0	12.0	28.0	+4.0	100%	-
vs Weaker (2)	19.0	15.0	34.0	+4.0	100%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.8	19.5	40.3	+1.3	47%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	20.7	19.7	40.4	+1.0	43%	-
Last 30 away (16)	20.8	19.3	40.1	+1.5	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.7	20.1	39.8	-0.4	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.0	20.2	40.2	-0.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	20.5	20.2	40.8	+0.2	38%	-
vs Similar ◀ (11)	20.9	19.9	40.8	+1.0	45%	-
vs Weaker (11)	20.8	18.5	39.4	+2.3	55%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.3	20.8	41.1	-0.6	43%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	20.1	20.6	40.8	-0.5	50%	-
Last 30 away (16)	20.4	21.0	41.4	-0.6	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.4	20.6	39.0	-2.2	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.0	22.4	41.4	-3.4	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (27)	20.6	21.3	41.9	-0.7	44%	-
vs Similar ◀ (1)	22.0	17.0	39.0	+5.0	100%	-
vs Weaker (2)	15.0	16.5	31.5	-1.5	0%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	41.1	40.7	81.8	+0.4	43%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	41.2	38.6	79.9	+2.6	57%	-
Last 30 away (16)	41.0	42.5	83.5	-1.5	31%	-
Last 10 (10)	42.2	43.1	85.3	-0.9	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	43.4	40.8	84.2	+2.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	42.6	46.0	88.6	-3.4	38%	-
vs Similar ◀ (11)	39.1	39.3	78.4	-0.2	45%	-
vs Weaker (11)	42.0	38.3	80.3	+3.7	45%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	39.6	40.7	80.2	-1.1	53%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	41.6	40.1	81.7	+1.6	57%	-
Last 30 away (16)	37.8	41.2	78.9	-3.4	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	38.5	41.7	80.2	-3.2	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	36.2	47.4	83.6	-11.2	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (27)	40.0	41.8	81.8	-1.7	52%	-
vs Similar ◀ (1)	38.0	29.0	67.0	+9.0	100%	-
vs Weaker (2)	34.0	31.5	65.5	+2.5	50%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

NW Tasmania wins

Canberra wins

Date	Game	Score
27/06/15	NW Tasmania v Canberra	96-79
25/04/15	Canberra v NW Tasmania	82-81

NW Tasmanialast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
14/05/16	A	Brisbane Spartans	83-99
13/05/16	A	BA CoE	102-75
07/05/16	H	Dandenong	85-77
30/04/16	H	Frankston	85-71
23/04/16	H	Ballarat	95-92
17/04/16	A	Bendigo	80-94
16/04/16	A	Albury	101-100
08/04/16	A	Hobart Chargers	73-89
02/04/16	H	Southern Sabres	83-73
29/08/15	A	Bendigo	73-83

Canberralast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
20/05/16	A	Hobart Chargers	75-91
15/05/16	A	Dandenong	84-96
14/05/16	A	Bendigo	81-76
07/05/16	H	Nunawading	76-88
30/04/16	H	Bendigo	59-97
29/04/16	A	BA CoE	67-58
24/04/16	H	Geelong	78-74
16/04/16	A	Brisbane Spartans	93-80
09/04/16	H	Ballarat	100-105
02/04/16	A	Melbourne Tigers	68-70

📊 11. Overall Statistics

NW Tasmania

SEABL 2016

Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWWWL	67%
Home	WWWW	100%
Away	LWLWL	40%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	9	4	5
Win %	67%	100%	40%
Points / game	87.4	87.0	87.8
Allowed / game	85.6	78.2	91.4
Point differential	+1.9	+8.8	-3.6
Avg total	173.0	165.2	179.2
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	33%	50%	20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	100% (2)	100% (1)	100% (1)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

Canberra

SEABL 2016

Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLWLL	36%
Home	LWLL	25%
Away	WWWLL	43%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	11	4	7
Win %	36%	25%	43%
Points / game	77.5	78.2	77.0
Allowed / game	83.3	91.0	78.9
Point differential	-5.8	-12.8	-1.9
Avg total	160.7	169.2	155.9
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	9%	0%	14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	50% (4)	50% (2)	50% (2)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Hobart Chargers	10	8	2	80%	87.8	74.1	+13.7
2	Bendigo	9	7	2	78%	84.8	68.7	+16.1
3	Brisbane Spartans	11	8	3	73%	86.5	80.2	+6.3
4	Mt Gambier	10	7	3	70%	90.3	79.3	+11.0
5	Geelong	10	7	3	70%	86.7	79.2	+7.5
6	NW Tasmania	9	6	3	67%	87.4	85.6	+1.9
7	Nunawading	10	6	4	60%	86.9	80.6	+6.3
8	Ballarat	8	4	4	50%	90.8	90.6	+0.1
9	Kilsyth	10	5	5	50%	73.8	79.5	-5.7
10	Southern Sabres	9	4	5	44%	78.9	87.4	-8.6
11	Albury	10	4	6	40%	86.6	84.7	+1.9
12	Dandenong	10	4	6	40%	84.0	85.1	-1.1
13	Canberra	11	4	7	36%	77.5	83.3	-5.8
14	Frankston	10	2	8	20%	72.6	83.6	-11.0
15	Melbourne Tigers	10	1	9	10%	67.0	83.8	-16.8
16	BA CoE	7	0	7	0%	72.0	93.3	-21.3

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
NW Tasmania	22	22	15	20	79
Canberra	20	27	26	11	84

← all games of the day

NW Tasmania vs Canberra Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

Manage Cookies

Strictly Necessary

Functionality Cookies

Performance Cookies

Third Party Marketing/Targeting

A Pro feature