NW Tasmania vs Dandenong Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 07 May 2016

Tip-off: 09:30

Final 85-77

31-15 22-14 11-22 21-26

Position#13

Record4-2

FormLWLWW

Points / game86.2

Allowed / game86.5

NW Tasmania 🏆

Dandenong

Position#7

Record3-4

FormWLWWL

Points / game82.1

Allowed / game84.0

SEABL

Other2016

Meetings · NW Tasmania v Dandenong

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

NW Tasmania winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Dandenong winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

NW Tasmania Australia

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Kilsyth

#11

78-89

-11

H08/08

SEABL

Frankston

#15

92-68

+24

H15/08

SEABL

Kilsyth

#11

86-69

+17

H22/08

SEABL

Bendigo

73-83

-10

A29/08

SEABL

Southern Sabres

#11

83-73

+10

H02/04

SEABL

Hobart Chargers

73-89

-16

A08/04

SEABL

Albury

101-100

101

100

A16/04

SEABL

Bendigo

80-94

-14

A17/04

SEABL

Ballarat

#10

95-92

H23/04

SEABL

Frankston

#14

85-71

+14

H30/04

SEABL

17-21

19-24

24-25

18-19

19-21

30-14

31-19

12-14

12-19

23-13

23-17

28-20

20-18

20-19

18-22

15-24

20-25

22-13

21-21

20-14

29-21

10-20

19-25

15-23

29-19

13-31

31-30

28-20

22-26

20-20

19-29

19-19

17-21

27-25

25-17

26-29

21-15

33-25

22-14

9-17

167.4Avg total

84.6Scored

82.8Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (6)	86.2	86.5	172.7	-0.3	67%
Season at home (3)	87.7	78.7	166.3	+9.0	100%
Season away (3)	84.7	94.3	179.0	-9.7	33%
Last 10 (10)	84.6	82.8	167.4	+1.8	60%
Last 5 (5)	86.8	89.2	176.0	-2.4	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)	85.3	90.7	176.0	-5.3	33%
vs Similar (11)	86.4	80.5	166.8	+5.9	64%
vs Weaker (13)	82.1	79.6	161.7	+2.5	62%

This opponent (Dandenong) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Dandenong

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Southern Sabres

#12

77-74

A16/08

SEABL

Ballarat

91-85

H22/08

SEABL

Geelong

80-97

-17

A29/08

SEABL

Albury

75-86

-11

H02/04

SEABL

Brisbane Spartans

76-77

-1

H09/04

SEABL

Kilsyth

#12

93-79

+14

H16/04

SEABL

Mt Gambier

80-93

-13

H23/04

SEABL

Frankston

#14

92-78

+14

A24/04

SEABL

Geelong

87-85

H30/04

SEABL

Hobart Chargers

72-90

-18

A06/05

SEABL

23-21

12-23

16-19

26-11

21-24

28-12

20-23

22-26

16-32

20-14

24-23

20-28

21-23

17-26

25-9

12-28

23-20

21-20

17-25

15-12

20-17

22-29

28-19

23-14

16-19

15-25

19-29

30-20

23-30

20-23

26-13

23-12

14-19

33-31

23-19

17-16

15-31

19-24

15-17

23-18

166.7Avg total

82.3Scored

84.4Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (7)	82.1	84.0	166.1	-1.9	43%
Season at home (5)	82.2	84.0	166.2	-1.8	40%
Season away (2)	82.0	84.0	166.0	-2.0	50%
Last 10 (10)	82.3	84.4	166.7	-2.1	50%
Last 5 (5)	84.8	85.0	169.8	-0.2	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	84.9	89.6	174.4	-4.7	43%
vs Similar (18)	83.4	84.6	168.0	-1.1	56%
vs Weaker ◀ (5)	85.4	76.8	162.2	+8.6	80%

This opponent (NW Tasmania) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

NW TasmaniaDandenong

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.3	20.6	41.9	+0.8	47%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	20.9	20.8	41.7	+0.1	43%	-
Last 30 away (16)	21.7	20.4	42.1	+1.3	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.6	20.6	41.2	+0.0	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.6	20.4	44.0	+3.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)	23.8	22.7	46.5	+1.2	33%	-
vs Similar (11)	23.0	21.0	44.0	+2.0	64%	-
vs Weaker (13)	18.8	19.2	38.0	-0.5	38%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.5	23.0	44.6	-1.5	40%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	20.9	22.3	43.2	-1.4	38%	-
Last 30 away (14)	22.2	23.9	46.1	-1.6	43%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.2	23.6	42.8	-4.4	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.6	23.2	40.8	-5.6	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	20.0	22.6	42.6	-2.6	43%	-
vs Similar (18)	21.7	24.0	45.7	-2.3	28%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (5)	23.0	20.2	43.2	+2.8	80%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.0	20.1	41.1	+0.9	53%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	24.0	18.1	42.1	+5.9	79%	-
Last 30 away (16)	18.4	21.8	40.2	-3.4	31%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.7	20.4	42.1	+1.3	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.6	24.2	44.8	-3.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)	17.2	21.3	38.5	-4.2	33%	-
vs Similar (11)	24.3	20.2	44.5	+4.1	73%	-
vs Weaker (13)	20.0	19.5	39.5	+0.5	46%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.5	21.4	41.9	-0.9	33%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	20.5	21.5	42.0	-1.0	38%	-
Last 30 away (14)	20.5	21.2	41.7	-0.7	29%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.7	22.7	43.4	-2.0	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.8	26.4	48.2	-4.6	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	20.7	24.3	45.0	-3.6	29%	-
vs Similar (18)	20.8	20.0	40.8	+0.8	44%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (5)	19.2	22.2	41.4	-3.0	0%	-

NW TasmaniaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Kilsyth

#11

36-45

-9

H08/08

SEABL

Frankston

#15

49-35

+14

H15/08

SEABL

Kilsyth

#11

35-32

H22/08

SEABL

Bendigo

40-37

A29/08

SEABL

Southern Sabres

#11

42-38

H02/04

SEABL

Hobart Chargers

39-41

-2

A08/04

SEABL

Albury

42-50

-8

A16/04

SEABL

Bendigo

42-46

-4

A17/04

SEABL

Ballarat

#10

44-46

-2

H23/04

SEABL

Frankston

#14

54-40

+14

H30/04

SEABL

83.3Avg total

42.3Scored

41.0Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	42.3	40.7	83.0	+1.7	53%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	44.9	38.9	83.9	+6.0	79%	-
Last 30 away (16)	40.1	42.2	82.2	-2.1	31%	-
Last 10 (10)	42.3	41.0	83.3	+1.3	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	44.2	44.6	88.8	-0.4	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)	41.0	44.0	85.0	-3.0	17%	-
vs Similar (11)	47.3	41.2	88.5	+6.1	73%	-
vs Weaker (13)	38.8	38.7	77.5	+0.1	54%	-

This opponent (Dandenong) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

DandenongLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Southern Sabres

#12

35-44

-9

A16/08

SEABL

Ballarat

49-36

+13

H22/08

SEABL

Geelong

36-46

-10

A29/08

SEABL

Albury

38-49

-11

H02/04

SEABL

Brisbane Spartans

44-40

H09/04

SEABL

Kilsyth

#12

42-46

-4

H16/04

SEABL

Mt Gambier

31-44

-13

H23/04

SEABL

Frankston

#14

43-53

-10

A24/04

SEABL

Geelong

47-50

-3

H30/04

SEABL

Hobart Chargers

34-55

-21

A06/05

SEABL

86.2Avg total

39.9Scored

46.3Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	42.0	44.4	86.4	-2.4	40%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	41.4	43.8	85.2	-2.4	38%	-
Last 30 away (14)	42.7	45.1	87.8	-2.4	43%	-
Last 10 (10)	39.9	46.3	86.2	-6.4	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	39.4	49.6	89.0	-10.2	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	40.7	46.9	87.6	-6.1	29%	-
vs Similar (18)	42.5	44.0	86.5	-1.5	39%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (5)	42.2	42.4	84.6	-0.2	60%	-

This opponent (NW Tasmania) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.0	20.8	40.8	-0.8	43%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	21.1	18.1	39.2	+2.9	57%	-
Last 30 away (16)	19.1	23.1	42.1	-4.0	31%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.3	21.9	45.2	+1.4	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.2	23.0	46.2	+0.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)	23.2	25.3	48.5	-2.2	50%	-
vs Similar (11)	18.2	19.4	37.5	-1.2	27%	-
vs Weaker (13)	20.1	19.8	39.9	+0.2	54%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.2	19.3	40.5	+1.9	53%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	21.4	20.2	41.6	+1.1	50%	-
Last 30 away (14)	21.1	18.2	39.3	+2.9	57%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.3	19.6	40.9	+1.7	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.2	19.4	41.6	+2.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	22.4	20.1	42.6	+2.3	57%	-
vs Similar (18)	21.4	19.9	41.3	+1.4	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (5)	19.0	15.8	34.8	+3.2	60%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.3	20.0	41.3	+1.3	47%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	20.9	19.4	40.4	+1.5	50%	-
Last 30 away (16)	21.7	20.5	42.2	+1.2	44%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.0	19.9	38.9	-0.9	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.4	21.6	41.0	-2.2	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)	20.5	20.2	40.7	+0.3	33%	-
vs Similar (11)	20.9	19.9	40.8	+1.0	45%	-
vs Weaker (13)	22.1	20.0	42.1	+2.1	54%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.3	19.9	40.1	+0.4	57%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	19.9	19.8	39.7	+0.2	62%	-
Last 30 away (14)	20.6	20.0	40.6	+0.6	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.1	18.5	39.6	+2.6	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.2	16.0	39.2	+7.2	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	20.9	20.6	41.4	+0.3	43%	-
vs Similar (18)	19.6	20.6	40.2	-1.1	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (5)	22.0	16.2	38.2	+5.8	100%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	41.3	40.8	82.1	+0.6	47%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	42.0	37.6	79.6	+4.4	64%	-
Last 30 away (16)	40.8	43.6	84.3	-2.8	31%	-
Last 10 (10)	42.3	41.8	84.1	+0.5	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	42.6	44.6	87.2	-2.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)	43.7	45.5	89.2	-1.8	50%	-
vs Similar (11)	39.1	39.3	78.4	-0.2	45%	-
vs Weaker (13)	42.2	39.8	82.0	+2.3	46%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	41.5	39.2	80.7	+2.3	57%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	41.3	40.0	81.3	+1.3	50%	-
Last 30 away (14)	41.7	38.2	79.9	+3.5	64%	-
Last 10 (10)	42.4	38.1	80.5	+4.3	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	45.4	35.4	80.8	+10.0	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	43.3	40.7	84.0	+2.6	71%	-
vs Similar (18)	40.9	40.6	81.5	+0.4	44%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (5)	41.0	32.0	73.0	+9.0	80%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

NW Tasmania wins

Dandenong wins

Date	Game	Score
11/07/15	Dandenong v NW Tasmania	94-83
16/05/15	NW Tasmania v Dandenong	87-71

NW Tasmanialast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
30/04/16	H	Frankston	85-71
23/04/16	H	Ballarat	95-92
17/04/16	A	Bendigo	80-94
16/04/16	A	Albury	101-100
08/04/16	A	Hobart Chargers	73-89
02/04/16	H	Southern Sabres	83-73
29/08/15	A	Bendigo	73-83
22/08/15	H	Kilsyth	86-69
15/08/15	H	Frankston	92-68
08/08/15	H	Kilsyth	78-89

Dandenonglast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
06/05/16	A	Hobart Chargers	72-90
30/04/16	H	Geelong	87-85
24/04/16	A	Frankston	92-78
23/04/16	H	Mt Gambier	80-93
16/04/16	H	Kilsyth	93-79
09/04/16	H	Brisbane Spartans	76-77
02/04/16	H	Albury	75-86
29/08/15	A	Geelong	80-97
22/08/15	H	Ballarat	91-85
16/08/15	A	Southern Sabres	77-74

📊 11. Overall Statistics

NW Tasmania

SEABL 2016

Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWLWW	67%
Home	WWW	100%
Away	LWL	33%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	6	3	3
Win %	67%	100%	33%
Points / game	86.2	87.7	84.7
Allowed / game	86.5	78.7	94.3
Point differential	-0.3	+9.0	-9.7
Avg total	172.7	166.3	179.0
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	33%	67%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	100% (2)	100% (1)	100% (1)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

Dandenong

SEABL 2016

Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLWWL	43%
Home	LLWLW	40%
Away	WL	50%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	7	5	2
Win %	43%	40%	50%
Points / game	82.1	82.2	82.0
Allowed / game	84.0	84.0	84.0
Point differential	-1.9	-1.8	-2.0
Avg total	166.1	166.2	166.0
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	29%	20%	50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	50% (2)	50% (2)	-
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Bendigo	7	6	1	86%	86.6	69.4	+17.1
2	Hobart Chargers	7	6	1	86%	86.9	71.3	+15.6
3	Mt Gambier	7	5	2	71%	88.3	78.7	+9.6
4	Brisbane Spartans	9	6	3	67%	84.0	81.8	+2.2
5	NW Tasmania	6	4	2	67%	86.2	86.5	-0.3
6	Kilsyth	8	5	3	62%	75.6	75.9	-0.2
7	Geelong	7	4	3	57%	82.7	76.9	+5.9
8	Nunawading	8	4	4	50%	87.1	81.5	+5.6
9	Albury	7	3	4	43%	84.4	83.4	+1.0
10	Dandenong	7	3	4	43%	82.1	84.0	-1.9
11	Canberra	7	3	4	43%	76.6	80.7	-4.1
12	Southern Sabres	7	3	4	43%	77.4	85.9	-8.4
13	Ballarat	6	2	4	33%	88.2	91.8	-3.7
14	Melbourne Tigers	7	1	6	14%	68.0	82.6	-14.6
15	Frankston	8	1	7	12%	71.1	84.6	-13.5
16	BA CoE	4	0	4	0%	70.0	88.0	-18.0

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
NW Tasmania	31	22	11	21	85
Dandenong	15	14	22	26	77

← all games of the day

NW Tasmania vs Dandenong Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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