PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Keilor Thunder vs NW Tasmania Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 21 Apr 2024
Tip-off: 05:00
Final 105-96
32-30 24-22 28-23 21-21
Position#10
Record2-3
FormLWLWL
Points / game92.2
Allowed / game102.6
vs
Position#14
Record1-3
FormLWLLL
Points / game79.2
Allowed / game87.5
AustraliaNBL1 South
Other2024
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Keilor Thunder winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
NW Tasmania winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Keilor ThunderAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Nunawading
#6
L
90-105
90
105
-15
H01/07
NBL1 South
NW Tasmania
#17
W
92-77
92
77
+15
A07/07
NBL1 South
Hobart Chargers
#8
L
89-97
89
97
-8
A08/07
NBL1 South
Geelong
#10
L
85-116
85
116
-31
A15/07
NBL1 South
Casey Cavaliers
#19
L
63-98
63
98
-35
A16/07
NBL1 South
Frankston
#4
L
98-115
98
115
-17
A05/04
NBL1 South
Diamond Valley
#18
W
110-106
110
106
+4
A09/04
NBL1 South
Kilsyth
#16
L
81-108
81
108
-27
A11/04
NBL1 South
Geelong
#11
W
103-97
103
97
+6
H14/04
NBL1 South
Casey Cavaliers
#19
L
69-87
69
87
-18
H20/04
NBL1 South
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-24
27-23
19-32
17-26
29-26
28-14
22-22
13-15
21-20
24-31
16-29
28-17
27-28
17-40
19-25
22-23
18-24
21-29
11-22
13-23
21-38
34-23
18-32
25-22
26-20
23-25
36-28
25-33
28-28
19-22
16-27
18-31
28-25
16-25
33-19
26-28
20-17
18-24
15-27
16-19
188.6Avg total
88.0Scored
100.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)92.2102.6194.8-10.440%
Season at home (2)86.092.0178.0-6.050%
Season away (3)96.3109.7206.0-13.333%
Last 10 (10)88.0100.6188.6-12.630%
Last 5 (5)92.2102.6194.8-10.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (20)86.996.7183.6-9.830%
vs Similar ◀ (7)86.183.3169.4+2.971%
vs Weaker (3)86.7100.3187.0-13.733%
This opponent (NW Tasmania) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NW TasmaniaAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Nunawading
#6
W
92-79
92
79
+13
H24/06
NBL1 South
Knox
#1
L
80-85
80
85
-5
A01/07
NBL1 South
Diamond Valley
#7
L
85-97
85
97
-12
A02/07
NBL1 South
Keilor Thunder
#16
L
77-92
77
92
-15
H07/07
NBL1 South
Mt Gambier
#4
L
80-81
80
81
-1
H08/07
NBL1 South
Hobart Chargers
#8
L
68-76
68
76
-8
A14/07
NBL1 South
Hobart Chargers
#9
W
85-61
85
61
+24
H06/04
NBL1 South
Waverley
#12
L
77-97
77
97
-20
H12/04
NBL1 South
Dandenong
#6
L
71-101
71
101
-30
H13/04
NBL1 South
Mt Gambier
#1
L
84-91
84
91
-7
A19/04
NBL1 South
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-19
19-21
25-18
25-21
8-13
15-30
29-20
28-22
16-32
24-33
27-11
18-21
26-29
14-28
22-22
15-13
28-27
18-20
18-18
16-16
19-23
12-18
29-13
8-22
23-17
16-18
26-15
20-11
18-29
23-25
21-24
15-19
15-24
27-27
16-32
13-18
28-19
16-26
25-27
15-19
165.9Avg total
79.9Scored
86.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)79.287.5166.8-8.225%
Season at home (3)77.786.3164.0-8.733%
Season away (1)84.091.0175.0-7.00%
Last 10 (10)79.986.0165.9-6.120%
Last 5 (5)77.085.2162.2-8.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (25)77.787.2164.9-9.424%
vs Similar ◀ (5)94.291.0185.2+3.260%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Keilor Thunder) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -0.5-0.5Q1: -2.8-2.8Q2Q2: -2.9-2.9Q2: -6.2-6.2Q3Q3: -5.8-5.8Q3: +3.8+3.8Q4Q4: -3.4-3.4Q4: -0.9-0.9
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -0.5-0.5Q1: -2.8-2.8Q2Q2: -2.9-2.9Q2: -6.2-6.2Q3Q3: -5.8-5.8Q3: +3.8+3.8Q4Q4: -3.4-3.4Q4: -0.9-0.9
Keilor ThunderNW Tasmania
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Keilor ThunderLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Nunawading
#6
W
54-47
54
47
+7
H01/07
NBL1 South
NW Tasmania
#17
W
57-40
57
40
+17
A07/07
NBL1 South
Hobart Chargers
#8
L
45-51
45
51
-6
A08/07
NBL1 South
Geelong
#10
L
44-68
44
68
-24
A15/07
NBL1 South
Casey Cavaliers
#19
L
39-53
39
53
-14
A16/07
NBL1 South
Frankston
#4
L
55-61
55
61
-6
A05/04
NBL1 South
Diamond Valley
#18
W
49-45
49
45
+4
A09/04
NBL1 South
Kilsyth
#16
L
47-50
47
50
-3
A11/04
NBL1 South
Geelong
#11
L
44-50
44
50
-6
H14/04
NBL1 South
Casey Cavaliers
#19
L
38-41
38
41
-3
H20/04
NBL1 South
97.8Avg total
47.2Scored
50.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.148.393.4-3.137%-
Last 30 at home (15)44.944.389.2+0.540%-
Last 30 away (15)45.452.297.6-6.833%-
Last 10 (10)47.250.697.8-3.430%-
Last 5 (5)46.649.496.0-2.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (20)45.950.196.0-4.235%-
vs Similar ◀ (7)43.144.187.3-1.043%-
vs Weaker (3)44.745.390.0-0.733%-
This opponent (NW Tasmania) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NW TasmaniaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Nunawading
#6
W
42-40
42
40
+2
H24/06
NBL1 South
Knox
#1
L
23-43
23
43
-20
A01/07
NBL1 South
Diamond Valley
#7
L
40-65
40
65
-25
A02/07
NBL1 South
Keilor Thunder
#16
L
40-57
40
57
-17
H07/07
NBL1 South
Mt Gambier
#4
L
46-47
46
47
-1
H08/07
NBL1 South
Hobart Chargers
#8
L
31-41
31
41
-10
A14/07
NBL1 South
Hobart Chargers
#9
W
39-35
39
35
+4
H06/04
NBL1 South
Waverley
#12
L
41-54
41
54
-13
H12/04
NBL1 South
Dandenong
#6
L
42-51
42
51
-9
H13/04
NBL1 South
Mt Gambier
#1
L
44-45
44
45
-1
A19/04
NBL1 South
86.6Avg total
38.8Scored
47.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.945.585.4-5.733%-
Last 30 at home (16)38.243.181.3-4.831%-
Last 30 away (14)41.748.490.1-6.636%-
Last 10 (10)38.847.886.6-9.020%-
Last 5 (5)39.445.284.6-5.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (25)38.044.682.6-6.628%-
vs Similar ◀ (5)49.450.299.6-0.860%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Keilor Thunder) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Keilor Thunder wins
1
NW Tasmania wins
DateGameScore
07/07/23NW Tasmania v Keilor Thunder77-92
30/04/22NW Tasmania v Keilor Thunder77-62
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/04/24HCasey Cavaliers69-87
14/04/24HGeelong103-97
11/04/24AKilsyth81-108
09/04/24ADiamond Valley110-106
05/04/24AFrankston98-115
16/07/23ACasey Cavaliers63-98
15/07/23AGeelong85-116
08/07/23AHobart Chargers89-97
07/07/23ANW Tasmania92-77
01/07/23HNunawading90-105
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/04/24AMt Gambier84-91
13/04/24HDandenong71-101
12/04/24HWaverley77-97
06/04/24HHobart Chargers85-61
14/07/23AHobart Chargers68-76
08/07/23HMt Gambier80-81
07/07/23HKeilor Thunder77-92
02/07/23ADiamond Valley85-97
01/07/23AKnox80-85
24/06/23HNunawading92-79

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Keilor Thunder
NBL1 South 2024
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWL40%
HomeWL50%
AwayLWL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games523
Win %40%50%33%
Points / game92.286.096.3
Allowed / game102.692.0109.7
Point differential-10.4-6.0-13.3
Avg total194.8178.0206.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
NW Tasmania
NBL1 South 2024
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLL25%
HomeWLL33%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games431
Win %25%33%0%
Points / game79.277.784.0
Allowed / game87.586.391.0
Point differential-8.2-8.7-7.0
Avg total166.8164.0175.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%33%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Eltham54180%96.077.2+18.8
2 Mt Gambier54180%88.483.6+4.8
3 Ballarat43175%98.285.5+12.8
4 Dandenong64267%85.077.0+8.0
5 Knox53260%95.682.6+13.0
6 Frankston53260%92.484.6+7.8
7 Bendigo Braves53260%84.682.2+2.4
8 Nunawading53260%83.883.4+0.4
9 Hobart Chargers53260%79.279.4-0.2
10 Ringwood74357%87.789.6-1.9
11 Geelong42250%81.583.5-2.0
12 Sandringham Sabres52340%93.889.2+4.6
13 Waverley52340%83.882.6+1.2
14 Casey Cavaliers52340%81.883.8-2.0
15 Keilor Thunder52340%92.2102.6-10.4
16 Melbourne Tigers62433%78.086.0-8.0
17 NW Tasmania41325%79.287.5-8.2
18 Kilsyth51420%77.699.0-21.4
19 Diamond Valley5050%82.4100.8-18.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Keilor Thunder32242821105
NW Tasmania3022232196
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.