NW Tasmania vs Mt Gambier Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 08 Jul 2023

Tip-off: 10:00

Final 80-81

28-27 18-20 18-18 16-16

Position#17

Record7-13

FormLWLLL

Points / game81.5

Allowed / game89.5

NW Tasmania

Mt Gambier 🏆

Position#4

Record13-6

FormWWWWL

Points / game94.4

Allowed / game86.4

NBL1 South

Other2023

Meetings · NW Tasmania v Mt Gambier

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

NW Tasmania winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Mt Gambier winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

NW Tasmania Australia

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Sandringham Sabres

68-100

100

-32

A21/05

NBL1 South

Eltham

94-86 OT

H27/05

NBL1 South

Ringwood

#15

83-78

H02/06

NBL1 South

Frankston

69-76

-7

H03/06

NBL1 South

Ballarat

#11

81-102

102

-21

A17/06

NBL1 South

Kilsyth

#14

68-93

-25

A18/06

NBL1 South

Nunawading

92-79

+13

H24/06

NBL1 South

Knox

80-85

-5

A01/07

NBL1 South

Diamond Valley

85-97

-12

A02/07

NBL1 South

Keilor Thunder

#16

77-92

-15

H07/07

NBL1 South

23-25

20-29

14-29

11-17

22-20

25-13

12-30

17-13

13-14

26-28

20-24

24-12

22-23

12-17

15-13

20-23

28-27

26-29

20-19

7-27

9-28

15-27

16-19

28-19

23-19

19-21

25-18

25-21

8-13

15-30

29-20

28-22

16-32

24-33

27-11

18-21

26-29

14-28

22-22

15-13

168.5Avg total

79.7Scored

88.8Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (20)	81.5	89.5	170.9	-8.0	35%
Season at home (10)	78.2	85.7	163.9	-7.5	40%
Season away (10)	84.8	93.2	178.0	-8.4	30%
Last 10 (10)	79.7	88.8	168.5	-9.1	30%
Last 5 (5)	80.4	89.2	169.6	-8.8	20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)	77.0	87.0	164.0	-10.0	29%
vs Similar (8)	92.4	86.1	178.5	+6.2	62%
vs Weaker (1)	92.0	67.0	159.0	+25.0	100%

This opponent (Mt Gambier) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Mt Gambier Australia

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Sandringham Sabres

84-95

-11

H19/05

NBL1 South

Knox

63-77

-14

H27/05

NBL1 South

Kilsyth

#14

102-80

102

+22

H02/06

NBL1 South

Diamond Valley

91-77

+14

H09/06

NBL1 South

Ringwood

#15

105-98

105

A17/06

NBL1 South

Ballarat

#11

105-85

105

+20

A18/06

NBL1 South

Geelong

#10

100-90

100

+10

H23/06

NBL1 South

Bendigo Braves

#13

94-65

+29

H30/06

NBL1 South

Dandenong

#18

90-71

+19

H02/07

NBL1 South

Hobart Chargers

87-102

102

-15

A07/07

NBL1 South

20-36

25-27

20-18

19-14

17-18

13-20

14-14

19-25

24-23

28-18

23-22

27-17

22-22

30-13

22-21

17-21

18-23

32-27

30-20

25-28

24-26

30-19

28-16

23-24

28-19

23-30

20-23

29-18

29-19

22-9

17-24

26-13

25-13

24-22

25-12

16-24

26-37

19-23

18-22

24-20

176.1Avg total

92.1Scored

84.0Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (19)	94.4	86.4	180.8	+8.1	68%
Season at home (11)	90.0	79.4	169.4	+10.6	73%
Season away (8)	100.5	96.0	196.5	+4.5	62%
Last 10 (10)	92.1	84.0	176.1	+8.1	70%
Last 5 (5)	95.2	82.6	177.8	+12.6	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	63.0	77.0	140.0	-14.0	0%
vs Similar (7)	96.7	92.3	189.0	+4.4	57%
vs Weaker ◀ (22)	90.7	82.1	172.8	+8.5	73%

This opponent (NW Tasmania) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

NW TasmaniaMt Gambier

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.5	22.9	43.4	-2.3	40%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	19.4	21.5	40.9	-2.1	33%	-
Last 30 away (15)	21.7	24.2	45.9	-2.5	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.0	23.0	42.0	-4.0	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.4	24.2	40.6	-7.8	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)	18.6	22.5	41.1	-3.9	29%	-
vs Similar (8)	25.6	24.6	50.2	+1.0	62%	-
vs Weaker (1)	20.0	16.0	36.0	+4.0	100%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.9	22.1	45.0	+0.8	53%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	23.9	20.0	43.9	+3.9	71%	-
Last 30 away (13)	21.6	24.9	46.5	-3.3	31%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.3	23.6	46.9	-0.3	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	26.4	22.8	49.2	+3.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	17.0	18.0	35.0	-1.0	0%	-
vs Similar (7)	24.7	24.9	49.6	-0.1	57%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (22)	22.6	21.5	44.0	+1.1	55%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.4	21.4	41.7	-1.0	40%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	18.5	18.9	37.3	-0.4	33%	-
Last 30 away (15)	22.3	23.9	46.1	-1.6	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.6	25.5	45.1	-5.9	10%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.4	27.8	45.2	-10.4	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)	19.1	21.3	40.4	-2.2	29%	-
vs Similar (8)	23.2	22.4	45.6	+0.9	62%	-
vs Weaker (1)	24.0	15.0	39.0	+9.0	100%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	23.5	21.8	45.3	+1.7	53%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	22.9	20.6	43.5	+2.3	59%	-
Last 30 away (13)	24.2	23.4	47.6	+0.8	46%	-
Last 10 (10)	24.6	20.8	45.4	+3.8	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.6	20.6	44.2	+3.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	13.0	20.0	33.0	-7.0	0%	-
vs Similar (7)	24.0	25.0	49.0	-1.0	29%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (22)	23.8	20.9	44.6	+2.9	64%	-

NW TasmaniaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Sandringham Sabres

43-54

-11

A21/05

NBL1 South

Eltham

47-33

+14

H27/05

NBL1 South

Ringwood

#15

39-42

-3

H02/06

NBL1 South

Frankston

34-40

-6

H03/06

NBL1 South

Ballarat

#11

54-56

-2

A17/06

NBL1 South

Kilsyth

#14

24-55

-31

A18/06

NBL1 South

Nunawading

42-40

H24/06

NBL1 South

Knox

23-43

-20

A01/07

NBL1 South

Diamond Valley

40-65

-25

A02/07

NBL1 South

Keilor Thunder

#16

40-57

-17

H07/07

NBL1 South

87.1Avg total

38.6Scored

48.5Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	40.9	44.2	85.1	-3.3	47%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	37.9	40.4	78.3	-2.5	40%	-
Last 30 away (15)	43.9	48.1	92.0	-4.1	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	38.6	48.5	87.1	-9.9	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	33.8	52.0	85.8	-18.2	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)	37.7	43.8	81.5	-6.1	33%	-
vs Similar (8)	48.9	47.0	95.9	+1.9	75%	-
vs Weaker (1)	44.0	31.0	75.0	+13.0	100%	-

This opponent (Mt Gambier) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Mt GambierLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Sandringham Sabres

45-63

-18

H19/05

NBL1 South

Knox

30-38

-8

H27/05

NBL1 South

Kilsyth

#14

52-41

+11

H02/06

NBL1 South

Diamond Valley

52-35

+17

H09/06

NBL1 South

Ringwood

#15

50-50

A17/06

NBL1 South

Ballarat

#11

54-45

A18/06

NBL1 South

Geelong

#10

51-49

H23/06

NBL1 South

Bendigo Braves

#13

51-28

+23

H30/06

NBL1 South

Dandenong

#18

49-35

+14

H02/07

NBL1 South

Hobart Chargers

45-60

-15

A07/07

NBL1 South

92.3Avg total

47.9Scored

44.4Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	46.4	43.9	90.3	+2.4	57%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	46.8	40.6	87.4	+6.2	76%	-
Last 30 away (13)	45.8	48.3	94.2	-2.5	31%	-
Last 10 (10)	47.9	44.4	92.3	+3.5	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	50.0	43.4	93.4	+6.6	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	30.0	38.0	68.0	-8.0	0%	-
vs Similar (7)	48.7	49.9	98.6	-1.1	43%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (22)	46.4	42.3	88.7	+4.0	64%	-

This opponent (NW Tasmania) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.5	20.6	40.1	-1.0	47%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	19.0	20.4	39.4	-1.4	40%	-
Last 30 away (15)	20.1	20.7	40.8	-0.7	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.0	20.5	40.5	-0.5	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.8	18.0	41.8	+5.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)	19.1	21.8	40.9	-2.7	33%	-
vs Similar (8)	20.0	17.1	37.1	+2.9	75%	-
vs Weaker (1)	25.0	22.0	47.0	+3.0	100%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.6	20.4	43.0	+2.2	60%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	21.1	18.7	39.8	+2.4	65%	-
Last 30 away (13)	24.5	22.6	47.2	+1.9	54%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.7	19.2	40.9	+2.5	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.6	19.4	41.0	+2.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	14.0	14.0	28.0	+0.0	0%	-
vs Similar (7)	25.1	21.9	47.0	+3.3	57%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (22)	22.1	20.2	42.4	+1.9	64%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.5	20.7	41.2	-0.3	57%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	19.3	19.1	38.4	+0.3	67%	-
Last 30 away (15)	21.6	22.4	44.0	-0.8	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.3	18.8	38.1	+0.5	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.8	19.2	42.0	+3.6	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)	19.3	20.9	40.2	-1.6	57%	-
vs Similar (8)	23.1	21.1	44.2	+2.0	50%	-
vs Weaker (1)	23.0	14.0	37.0	+9.0	100%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.2	20.0	42.2	+2.2	57%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	21.6	18.8	40.4	+2.9	53%	-
Last 30 away (13)	23.0	21.6	44.6	+1.4	62%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.5	20.4	42.9	+2.1	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.6	19.8	43.4	+3.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	19.0	25.0	44.0	-6.0	0%	-
vs Similar (7)	22.9	20.6	43.4	+2.3	71%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (22)	22.2	19.6	41.8	+2.6	55%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	40.0	41.3	81.3	-1.3	40%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	38.3	39.5	77.8	-1.1	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	41.7	43.1	84.8	-1.5	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	39.3	39.3	78.6	+0.0	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	46.6	37.2	83.8	+9.4	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)	38.4	42.7	81.1	-4.3	33%	-
vs Similar (8)	43.1	38.2	81.4	+4.9	50%	-
vs Weaker (1)	48.0	36.0	84.0	+12.0	100%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	44.8	40.4	85.2	+4.4	67%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	42.7	37.5	80.2	+5.2	71%	-
Last 30 away (13)	47.5	44.2	91.8	+3.3	62%	-
Last 10 (10)	44.2	39.6	83.8	+4.6	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	45.2	39.2	84.4	+6.0	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	33.0	39.0	72.0	-6.0	0%	-
vs Similar (7)	48.0	42.4	90.4	+5.6	71%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (22)	44.3	39.8	84.1	+4.5	68%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

NW Tasmania wins

Mt Gambier wins

Date	Game	Score
23/07/22	Mt Gambier v NW Tasmania	86-89
29/05/21	NW Tasmania v Mt Gambier	94-104
28/04/17	Mt Gambier v NW Tasmania	111-87
18/06/16	NW Tasmania v Mt Gambier	68-98
03/06/16	Mt Gambier v NW Tasmania	106-80
31/07/15	Mt Gambier v NW Tasmania	83-80
25/07/15	NW Tasmania v Mt Gambier	83-86 OT

NW Tasmanialast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
07/07/23	H	Keilor Thunder	77-92
02/07/23	A	Diamond Valley	85-97
01/07/23	A	Knox	80-85
24/06/23	H	Nunawading	92-79
18/06/23	A	Kilsyth	68-93
17/06/23	A	Ballarat	81-102
03/06/23	H	Frankston	69-76
02/06/23	H	Ringwood	83-78
27/05/23	H	Eltham	94-86 OT
21/05/23	A	Sandringham Sabres	68-100

Mt Gambierlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
07/07/23	A	Hobart Chargers	87-102
02/07/23	H	Dandenong	90-71
30/06/23	H	Bendigo Braves	94-65
23/06/23	H	Geelong	100-90
18/06/23	A	Ballarat	105-85
17/06/23	A	Ringwood	105-98
09/06/23	H	Diamond Valley	91-77
02/06/23	H	Kilsyth	102-80
27/05/23	H	Knox	63-77
19/05/23	H	Sandringham Sabres	84-95

📊 11. Overall Statistics

NW Tasmania

NBL1 South 2023

Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWLLL	35%
Home	WWLWL	40%
Away	LLLLL	30%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	20	10	10
Win %	35%	40%	30%
Points / game	81.5	78.2	84.8
Allowed / game	89.5	85.7	93.2
Point differential	-8.0	-7.5	-8.4
Avg total	170.9	163.9	178.0
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	15%	20%	10%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	60% (5)	100% (1)	50% (4)
Overtime %	5%	10%	0%

Mt Gambier

NBL1 South 2023

Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWWWL	68%
Home	WWWWW	73%
Away	LLWWL	62%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	19	11	8
Win %	68%	73%	62%
Points / game	94.4	90.0	100.5
Allowed / game	86.4	79.4	96.0
Point differential	+8.1	+10.6	+4.5
Avg total	180.8	169.4	196.5
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	58%	73%	38%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	0% (1)	-	0% (1)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Knox	19	15	4	79%	88.6	75.5	+13.2
2	Mt Gambier	19	13	6	68%	94.4	86.4	+8.1
3	Frankston	19	13	6	68%	93.1	85.3	+7.8
4	Sandringham Sabres	19	13	6	68%	92.4	86.1	+6.3
5	Nunawading	20	12	8	60%	91.8	86.0	+5.8
6	Diamond Valley	20	12	8	60%	87.5	87.5	+0.0
7	Eltham	19	11	8	58%	88.7	84.1	+4.6
8	Waverley	19	11	8	58%	86.2	85.0	+1.2
9	Hobart Chargers	21	11	10	52%	86.6	86.8	-0.2
10	Ballarat	20	10	10	50%	93.2	94.2	-1.1
11	Bendigo Braves	19	9	10	47%	88.1	93.4	-5.3
12	Geelong	20	9	11	45%	88.5	88.5	+0.1
13	Kilsyth	20	9	11	45%	88.2	89.5	-1.2
14	Melbourne Tigers	20	9	11	45%	83.2	86.2	-3.0
15	Keilor Thunder	20	8	12	40%	87.4	93.2	-5.8
16	Ringwood	21	8	13	38%	89.6	93.1	-3.5
17	NW Tasmania	20	7	13	35%	81.5	89.5	-8.0
18	Casey Cavaliers	18	3	15	17%	74.6	87.3	-12.7
19	Dandenong	19	3	16	16%	85.6	91.4	-5.8

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
NW Tasmania	28	18	18	16	80
Mt Gambier	27	20	18	16	81

← all games of the day

NW Tasmania vs Mt Gambier Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

Get it on Telegram

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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