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NW Tasmania vs Knox Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 21 Jun 2025
Tip-off: 10:00
Final 97-86
20-20 28-12 23-24 26-30
Position#18
Record4-10
FormLLLLW
Points / game86.4
Allowed / game88.4
vs
Position#1
Record14-2
FormWWLWW
Points / game92.8
Allowed / game80.8
AustraliaNBL1 South
Other2025
Meetings · NW Tasmania v Knox
21 Jun 2025
NW T97
KNOX86
21 Apr 2023
NW T62
KNOX100
15 Jul 2022
NW T50
KNOX69
22 Jun 2019
NW T61
KNOX74
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

NW Tasmania winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Knox winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

NW TasmaniaAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Geelong
#17
L
82-86
82
86
-4
H25/04
NBL1 South
Keilor Thunder
#15
W
98-53
98
53
+45
H26/04
NBL1 South
Frankston
#12
L
90-91
90
91
-1
A03/05
NBL1 South
Ballarat
#5
L
78-81
78
81
-3
A04/05
NBL1 South
Nunawading
#11
L
71-84
71
84
-13
H10/05
NBL1 South
Eltham
#6
L
89-90
89
90
-1
H17/05
NBL1 South
Ringwood
#9
L
87-107
87
107
-20
H24/05
NBL1 South
Hobart Chargers
#8
L
85-96
85
96
-11
A30/05
NBL1 South
Casey Cavaliers
#10
L
82-102
82
102
-20
A14/06
NBL1 South
Geelong
#17
W
97-85
97
85
+12
A15/06
NBL1 South
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-17
23-22
23-20
20-27
22-13
24-19
22-8
30-13
29-26
19-15
21-24
21-26
18-25
12-22
21-14
27-20
13-29
20-19
17-11
21-25
29-26
19-21
21-24
20-19
13-31
23-21
23-28
28-27
25-27
27-23
10-23
23-23
16-26
24-27
18-26
24-23
30-16
19-21
22-22
26-26
173.4Avg total
85.9Scored
87.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)86.488.4174.9-2.029%
Season at home (7)85.785.4171.1+0.329%
Season away (7)87.191.4178.6-4.329%
Last 10 (10)85.987.5173.4-1.620%
Last 5 (5)88.096.0184.0-8.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)81.291.9173.1-10.717%
vs Similar (10)87.381.8169.1+5.560%
vs Weaker (2)87.082.0169.0+5.0100%
This opponent (Knox) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
KnoxAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Hobart Chargers
#8
W
88-65
88
65
+23
H03/05
NBL1 South
Keilor Thunder
#15
W
75-69
75
69
+6
H10/05
NBL1 South
Geelong
#17
W
97-76
97
76
+21
H16/05
NBL1 South
Dandenong
#14
W
89-72
89
72
+17
A17/05
NBL1 South
Frankston
#12
W
97-90
97
90
+7
H23/05
NBL1 South
Waverley
#13
W
103-76
103
76
+27
A25/05
NBL1 South
Kilsyth
#7
W
95-82
95
82
+13
A31/05
NBL1 South
Melbourne Tigers
#4
L
78-85
78
85
-7
H14/06
NBL1 South
Mt Gambier
#2
W
106-105 OT
106
105
+1
H15/06
NBL1 South
Hobart Chargers
#8
W
94-90
94
90
+4
A20/06
NBL1 South
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-17
28-15
17-16
22-17
19-19
25-16
9-21
22-13
27-12
21-16
24-28
25-20
15-18
21-20
23-24
30-10
19-24
26-30
33-18
19-18
23-19
36-28
26-13
18-16
15-22
28-16
26-23
26-21
16-22
19-17
22-24
21-22
20-20
26-20
30-27
13-22
21-20
19-30
22-22
32-18
173.2Avg total
92.2Scored
81.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)92.880.8173.6+12.088%
Season at home (9)90.282.0172.2+8.278%
Season away (7)96.179.3175.4+16.9100%
Last 10 (10)92.281.0173.2+11.290%
Last 5 (5)95.287.6182.8+7.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)106.0105.0211.0+1.0100%
vs Similar (4)86.288.8175.0-2.525%
vs Weaker ◀ (25)94.277.6171.8+16.688%
This opponent (NW Tasmania) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -2.5-2.5Q1: +0.3+0.3Q2Q2: +0.0+0.0Q2: +4.1+4.1Q3Q3: -0.2-0.2Q3: +1.6+1.6Q4Q4: +1.1+1.1Q4: +5.1+5.1
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -2.5-2.5Q1: +0.3+0.3Q2Q2: +0.0+0.0Q2: +4.1+4.1Q3Q3: -0.2-0.2Q3: +1.6+1.6Q4Q4: +1.1+1.1Q4: +5.1+5.1
NW TasmaniaKnox
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
NW TasmaniaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Geelong
#17
D
39-39
39
39
+0
H25/04
NBL1 South
Keilor Thunder
#15
W
46-32
46
32
+14
H26/04
NBL1 South
Frankston
#12
W
48-41
48
41
+7
A03/05
NBL1 South
Ballarat
#5
L
30-47
30
47
-17
A04/05
NBL1 South
Nunawading
#11
L
33-48
33
48
-15
H10/05
NBL1 South
Eltham
#6
W
48-47
48
47
+1
H17/05
NBL1 South
Ringwood
#9
L
36-52
36
52
-16
H24/05
NBL1 South
Hobart Chargers
#8
W
52-50
52
50
+2
A30/05
NBL1 South
Casey Cavaliers
#10
L
40-53
40
53
-13
A14/06
NBL1 South
Geelong
#17
W
49-37
49
37
+12
A15/06
NBL1 South
86.7Avg total
42.1Scored
44.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.945.587.4-3.637%-
Last 30 at home (14)43.744.488.1-0.657%-
Last 30 away (16)40.446.586.9-6.119%-
Last 10 (10)42.144.686.7-2.550%-
Last 5 (5)45.047.892.8-2.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)41.647.488.9-5.833%-
vs Similar (10)42.142.484.5-0.340%-
vs Weaker (2)44.544.088.5+0.550%-
This opponent (Knox) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
KnoxLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Hobart Chargers
#8
W
49-32
49
32
+17
H03/05
NBL1 South
Keilor Thunder
#15
W
44-35
44
35
+9
H10/05
NBL1 South
Geelong
#17
W
48-28
48
28
+20
H16/05
NBL1 South
Dandenong
#14
L
36-38
36
38
-2
A17/05
NBL1 South
Frankston
#12
L
45-54
45
54
-9
H23/05
NBL1 South
Waverley
#13
W
59-47
59
47
+12
A25/05
NBL1 South
Kilsyth
#7
W
43-38
43
38
+5
A31/05
NBL1 South
Melbourne Tigers
#4
L
35-39
35
39
-4
H14/06
NBL1 South
Mt Gambier
#2
W
46-40
46
40
+6
H15/06
NBL1 South
Hobart Chargers
#8
L
40-50
40
50
-10
A20/06
NBL1 South
84.6Avg total
44.5Scored
40.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)46.940.187.0+6.863%-
Last 30 at home (18)46.839.386.1+7.672%-
Last 30 away (12)47.141.388.4+5.850%-
Last 10 (10)44.540.184.6+4.460%-
Last 5 (5)44.642.887.4+1.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)46.040.086.0+6.0100%-
vs Similar (4)39.842.582.2-2.80%-
vs Weaker ◀ (25)48.139.787.8+8.472%-
This opponent (NW Tasmania) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
NW Tasmania wins
5
Knox wins
DateGameScore
23/06/24Knox v NW Tasmania95-70
01/07/23Knox v NW Tasmania85-80
21/04/23NW Tasmania v Knox62-100
15/07/22NW Tasmania v Knox50-69
22/06/19NW Tasmania v Knox61-74
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/06/25AGeelong97-85
14/06/25ACasey Cavaliers82-102
30/05/25AHobart Chargers85-96
24/05/25HRingwood87-107
17/05/25HEltham89-90
10/05/25HNunawading71-84
04/05/25ABallarat78-81
03/05/25AFrankston90-91
26/04/25HKeilor Thunder98-53
25/04/25HGeelong82-86
Knoxlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/06/25AHobart Chargers94-90
15/06/25HMt Gambier106-105 OT
14/06/25HMelbourne Tigers78-85
31/05/25AKilsyth95-82
25/05/25AWaverley103-76
23/05/25HFrankston97-90
17/05/25ADandenong89-72
16/05/25HGeelong97-76
10/05/25HKeilor Thunder75-69
03/05/25HHobart Chargers88-65

📊 11. Overall Statistics

NW Tasmania
NBL1 South 2025
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW29%
HomeLWLLL29%
AwayLLLLW29%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1477
Win %29%29%29%
Points / game86.485.787.1
Allowed / game88.485.491.4
Point differential-2.0+0.3-4.3
Avg total174.9171.1178.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%14%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won20% (5)33% (3)0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Knox
NBL1 South 2025
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW88%
HomeWWWLW78%
AwayWWWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1697
Win %88%78%100%
Points / game92.890.296.1
Allowed / game80.882.079.3
Point differential+12.0+8.2+16.9
Avg total173.6172.2175.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%33%71%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (3)100% (2)100% (1)
Overtime %6%11%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Knox1614288%92.880.8+12.0
2 Mt Gambier1610662%96.786.3+10.4
3 Melbourne Tigers159660%87.180.2+6.9
4 Casey Cavaliers159660%89.585.0+4.5
5 Hobart Chargers159660%87.083.1+3.9
6 Ballarat159660%87.192.3-5.2
7 Kilsyth158753%86.685.9+0.7
8 Sandringham Sabres158753%90.890.8+0.0
9 Nunawading158753%86.286.4-0.2
10 Ringwood168850%95.989.9+5.9
11 Frankston168850%91.687.6+4.1
12 Eltham147750%86.186.9-0.8
13 Bendigo Braves178947%85.994.0-8.1
14 Waverley157847%92.695.6-3.0
15 Geelong156940%83.788.9-5.2
16 Keilor Thunder145936%80.789.5-8.8
17 NW Tasmania1441029%86.488.4-2.0
18 Diamond Valley1541127%85.094.8-9.8
19 Dandenong1531220%88.996.1-7.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
NW Tasmania2028232697
Knox2012243086
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