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Knox vs Melbourne Tigers Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 14 Jun 2025
Tip-off: 10:00
Final 78-85
16-22 19-17 22-24 21-22
Position#1
Record12-1
FormWWWWW
Points / game92.8
Allowed / game77.9
vs
Position#4
Record7-5
FormLWWLW
Points / game87.2
Allowed / game79.2
AustraliaNBL1 South
Other2025
Meetings · Knox v Melbourne Tigers
09 Aug 2025
KNOX86
MELB89
14 Jun 2025
KNOX78
MELB85
30 Jul 2022
KNOX77
MELB75
31 Jul 2021
KNOX124
MELB75
14 Apr 2019
KNOX72
MELB83
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Knox winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Melbourne Tigers winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

KnoxAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sandringham Sabres
#3
W
94-77
94
77
+17
A17/04
NBL1 South
Casey Cavaliers
#10
L
73-85
73
85
-12
H25/04
NBL1 South
Bendigo Braves
#16
W
94-85
94
85
+9
A26/04
NBL1 South
Hobart Chargers
#8
W
88-65
88
65
+23
H03/05
NBL1 South
Keilor Thunder
#15
W
75-69
75
69
+6
H10/05
NBL1 South
Geelong
#17
W
97-76
97
76
+21
H16/05
NBL1 South
Dandenong
#14
W
89-72
89
72
+17
A17/05
NBL1 South
Frankston
#12
W
97-90
97
90
+7
H23/05
NBL1 South
Waverley
#13
W
103-76
103
76
+27
A25/05
NBL1 South
Kilsyth
#7
W
95-82
95
82
+13
A31/05
NBL1 South
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-20
25-22
28-16
24-19
17-25
25-20
12-19
19-21
20-26
23-22
25-16
26-21
21-17
28-15
17-16
22-17
19-19
25-16
9-21
22-13
27-12
21-16
24-28
25-20
15-18
21-20
23-24
30-10
19-24
26-30
33-18
19-18
23-19
36-28
26-13
18-16
15-22
28-16
26-23
26-21
168.2Avg total
90.5Scored
77.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)92.877.9170.8+14.992%
Season at home (7)89.778.3168.0+11.486%
Season away (6)96.577.5174.0+19.0100%
Last 10 (10)90.577.7168.2+12.890%
Last 5 (5)96.279.2175.4+17.0100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (4)86.092.0178.0-6.025%
vs Weaker (26)93.877.7171.4+16.185%
This opponent (Melbourne Tigers) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Melbourne TigersAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Diamond Valley
#19
W
78-62
78
62
+16
A08/04
NBL1 South
Dandenong
#14
W
89-81
89
81
+8
H13/04
NBL1 South
Nunawading
#11
L
76-77
76
77
-1
H24/04
NBL1 South
Eltham
#6
L
85-87
85
87
-2
A04/05
NBL1 South
Ballarat
#5
W
103-78
103
78
+25
A10/05
NBL1 South
Frankston
#12
L
69-89
69
89
-20
H11/05
NBL1 South
Bendigo Braves
#16
W
100-78
100
78
+22
A17/05
NBL1 South
Casey Cavaliers
#10
W
83-81 OT
83
81
+2
A24/05
NBL1 South
Geelong
#17
L
86-89
86
89
-3
A31/05
NBL1 South
Keilor Thunder
#15
W
101-74
101
74
+27
H06/06
NBL1 South
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-26
19-15
18-11
23-10
16-15
20-24
19-21
34-21
11-23
29-27
14-7
22-20
17-22
25-19
18-21
25-25
24-24
22-16
29-12
28-26
19-30
11-21
16-24
23-14
35-18
23-23
24-23
18-14
15-18
25-14
13-15
16-22
30-26
16-24
20-24
20-15
24-22
29-17
21-16
27-19
166.6Avg total
87.0Scored
79.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)87.279.2166.4+8.158%
Season at home (6)85.379.2164.5+6.250%
Season away (6)89.279.2168.3+10.067%
Last 10 (10)87.079.6166.6+7.460%
Last 5 (5)87.882.2170.0+5.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)81.882.6164.4-0.860%
vs Similar ◀ (12)76.280.2156.5-4.033%
vs Weaker (8)89.276.5165.8+12.888%
This opponent (Knox) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: -0.9-0.9Q1: -1.5-1.5Q2Q2: +5.3+5.3Q2: +1.9+1.9Q3Q3: +2.9+2.9Q3: +1.8+1.8Q4Q4: +5.5+5.5Q4: +5.0+5.0
-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: -0.9-0.9Q1: -1.5-1.5Q2Q2: +5.3+5.3Q2: +1.9+1.9Q3Q3: +2.9+2.9Q3: +1.8+1.8Q4Q4: +5.5+5.5Q4: +5.0+5.0
KnoxMelbourne Tigers
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
KnoxLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sandringham Sabres
#3
D
42-42
42
42
+0
A17/04
NBL1 South
Casey Cavaliers
#10
L
42-45
42
45
-3
H25/04
NBL1 South
Bendigo Braves
#16
L
43-48
43
48
-5
A26/04
NBL1 South
Hobart Chargers
#8
W
49-32
49
32
+17
H03/05
NBL1 South
Keilor Thunder
#15
W
44-35
44
35
+9
H10/05
NBL1 South
Geelong
#17
W
48-28
48
28
+20
H16/05
NBL1 South
Dandenong
#14
L
36-38
36
38
-2
A17/05
NBL1 South
Frankston
#12
L
45-54
45
54
-9
H23/05
NBL1 South
Waverley
#13
W
59-47
59
47
+12
A25/05
NBL1 South
Kilsyth
#7
W
43-38
43
38
+5
A31/05
NBL1 South
85.8Avg total
45.1Scored
40.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)46.439.886.2+6.663%-
Last 30 at home (18)46.139.986.0+6.167%-
Last 30 away (12)46.839.686.4+7.258%-
Last 10 (10)45.140.785.8+4.450%-
Last 5 (5)46.241.087.2+5.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (4)38.545.584.0-7.00%-
vs Weaker (26)47.638.986.5+8.773%-
This opponent (Melbourne Tigers) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Melbourne TigersLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Diamond Valley
#19
L
37-41
37
41
-4
A08/04
NBL1 South
Dandenong
#14
L
36-39
36
39
-3
H13/04
NBL1 South
Nunawading
#11
L
40-50
40
50
-10
H24/04
NBL1 South
Eltham
#6
W
42-41
42
41
+1
A04/05
NBL1 South
Ballarat
#5
W
46-40
46
40
+6
A10/05
NBL1 South
Frankston
#12
L
30-51
30
51
-21
H11/05
NBL1 South
Bendigo Braves
#16
W
58-41
58
41
+17
A17/05
NBL1 South
Casey Cavaliers
#10
W
40-32
40
32
+8
A24/05
NBL1 South
Geelong
#17
L
46-50
46
50
-4
A31/05
NBL1 South
Keilor Thunder
#15
W
53-39
53
39
+14
H06/06
NBL1 South
85.2Avg total
42.8Scored
42.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.841.183.8+1.750%-
Last 30 at home (13)42.842.485.2+0.531%-
Last 30 away (17)42.740.182.8+2.665%-
Last 10 (10)42.842.485.2+0.450%-
Last 5 (5)45.442.688.0+2.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)42.141.383.4+0.850%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)41.740.281.8+1.550%-
vs Weaker (8)45.242.187.4+3.150%-
This opponent (Knox) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Knox wins
2
Melbourne Tigers wins
DateGameScore
14/04/24Melbourne Tigers v Knox55-87
14/05/23Melbourne Tigers v Knox80-93
30/07/22Knox v Melbourne Tigers77-75
31/07/21Knox v Melbourne Tigers124-75
26/05/19Melbourne Tigers v Knox98-85
14/04/19Knox v Melbourne Tigers72-83
Knoxlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
31/05/25AKilsyth95-82
25/05/25AWaverley103-76
23/05/25HFrankston97-90
17/05/25ADandenong89-72
16/05/25HGeelong97-76
10/05/25HKeilor Thunder75-69
03/05/25HHobart Chargers88-65
26/04/25ABendigo Braves94-85
25/04/25HCasey Cavaliers73-85
17/04/25ASandringham Sabres94-77
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/06/25HKeilor Thunder101-74
31/05/25AGeelong86-89
24/05/25ACasey Cavaliers83-81 OT
17/05/25ABendigo Braves100-78
11/05/25HFrankston69-89
10/05/25ABallarat103-78
04/05/25AEltham85-87
24/04/25HNunawading76-77
13/04/25HDandenong89-81
08/04/25ADiamond Valley78-62

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Knox
NBL1 South 2025
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW92%
HomeLWWWW86%
AwayWWWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1376
Win %92%86%100%
Points / game92.889.796.5
Allowed / game77.978.377.5
Point differential+14.9+11.4+19.0
Avg total170.8168.0174.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+62%43%83%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Melbourne Tigers
NBL1 South 2025
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLW58%
HomeLWLLW50%
AwayLWWWL67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1266
Win %58%50%67%
Points / game87.285.389.2
Allowed / game79.279.279.2
Point differential+8.1+6.2+10.0
Avg total166.4164.5168.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+42%33%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (4)0% (1)33% (3)
Overtime %8%0%17%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Knox1312192%92.877.9+14.9
2 Mt Gambier1410471%97.084.3+12.7
3 Casey Cavaliers149564%89.283.3+5.9
4 Frankston138562%91.885.5+6.3
5 Hobart Chargers138562%86.582.5+3.9
6 Melbourne Tigers127558%87.279.2+8.1
7 Eltham127558%86.085.4+0.6
8 Ballarat127558%88.295.0-6.8
9 Nunawading137654%86.187.8-1.7
10 Kilsyth158753%86.685.9+0.7
11 Bendigo Braves157847%87.394.7-7.5
12 Waverley146843%91.195.2-4.1
13 Geelong125742%81.686.1-4.5
14 Sandringham Sabres125742%87.491.9-4.5
15 Ringwood135838%94.290.5+3.7
16 Diamond Valley134931%85.793.1-7.4
17 Keilor Thunder134931%81.091.3-10.3
18 NW Tasmania1331023%85.688.7-3.1
19 Dandenong1431121%87.894.9-7.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Knox1619222178
Melbourne Tigers2217242285
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