PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Eskilstuna vs Alvik Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 30 Apr 2026
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 87-83
18-20 22-18 28-21 19-24
Position#8
Record14-14
FormWWWWL
Points / game86.8
Allowed / game86.7
vs
Position#7
Record16-12
FormWWLLW
Points / game80.2
Allowed / game79.2
SwedenSuperettanSuperettan - Semi-finals· STIGA Sports Arena B
Other2025-26
Meetings · Eskilstuna v Alvik
20 Feb 2027
ESKI v ALVI
upcoming
30 Apr 2026
ESKI87
ALVI83
09 Nov 2025
ESKI70
ALVI75
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Eskilstuna winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Alvik winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

EskilstunaSwedenLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Djurgarden
#3
L
61-95
61
95
-34
H21/02
Superettan
Djurgarden
#3
L
93-104 OT
93
104
-11
A01/03
Superettan
Alvik
#7
L
88-99
88
99
-11
A04/03
Superettan
IK Eos
#6
L
90-103
90
103
-13
H08/03
Superettan
Ockelbo
#12
W
97-75
97
75
+22
H14/03
Superettan
Aros Basket
#13
W
85-80
85
80
+5
A21/03
Superettan
Blackeberg
#14
W
96-87
96
87
+9
H28/03
Superettan
Sollentuna
#11
W
97-79
97
79
+18
A11/04
Superettan
Fryshuset Basket
#1
W
109-79
109
79
+30
H21/04
Superettan
Fryshuset Basket
#1
L
64-91
64
91
-27
A23/04
Superettan
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-18
10-24
20-32
12-21
26-23
23-14
19-25
21-27
24-31
16-21
18-28
30-19
22-22
24-33
20-31
24-17
26-19
22-17
26-23
23-16
24-19
19-21
17-15
25-25
23-20
20-17
30-23
23-27
28-22
27-10
25-9
17-38
21-14
25-25
31-17
32-23
18-27
16-32
15-16
15-16
177.2Avg total
88.0Scored
89.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (28)86.886.7173.4+0.150%
Season at home (14)86.685.4171.9+1.257%
Season away (14)86.988.0174.9-1.143%
Last 10 (10)88.089.2177.2-1.250%
Last 5 (5)90.283.2173.4+7.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)85.489.7175.1-4.340%
vs Similar ◀ (14)87.486.4173.7+1.050%
vs Weaker (6)89.580.7170.2+8.883%
This opponent (Alvik) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AlvikSwedenLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Malbas
#2
L
73-86
73
86
-13
H15/02
Superettan
Huddinge
#4
L
90-92
90
92
-2
H18/02
Superettan
Eskilstuna
#8
W
99-88
99
88
+11
H04/03
Superettan
Djurgarden
#3
W
84-80
84
80
+4
A15/03
Superettan
Aros Basket
#13
W
96-75
96
75
+21
H18/03
Superettan
Wetterbygden Stars
#5
W
98-62
98
62
+36
H28/03
Superettan
Malbas
#2
W
86-78
86
78
+8
A11/04
Superettan
IK Eos
#6
L
63-74
63
74
-11
A12/04
Superettan
Wetterbygden Stars
#5
L
69-71
69
71
-2
A24/04
Superettan
Wetterbygden Stars
#5
W
81-60
81
60
+21
H26/04
Superettan
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-25
22-31
21-17
15-13
25-17
15-27
28-24
22-24
31-24
21-16
28-18
19-30
12-14
28-22
29-18
15-26
25-13
30-25
25-16
16-21
25-16
27-15
26-16
20-15
21-18
21-21
20-18
24-21
19-21
17-20
12-12
15-21
16-24
13-9
22-23
18-15
28-15
18-21
16-11
19-13
160.5Avg total
83.9Scored
76.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (28)80.279.2159.4+0.957%
Season at home (14)84.078.7162.7+5.364%
Season away (14)76.479.8156.1-3.450%
Last 10 (10)83.976.6160.5+7.360%
Last 5 (5)79.469.0148.4+10.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)77.582.2159.7-4.733%
vs Similar ◀ (18)79.682.0161.6-2.444%
vs Weaker (6)88.072.3160.3+15.7100%
This opponent (Eskilstuna) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +1.6+1.6Q1: +3.0+3.0Q2Q2: -1.2-1.2Q2: +0.5+0.5Q3Q3: +0.2+0.2Q3: +5.4+5.4Q4Q4: -0.7-0.7Q4: -1.6-1.6
EskilstunaAlvik
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
EskilstunaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Djurgarden
#3
L
29-42
29
42
-13
H21/02
Superettan
Djurgarden
#3
W
49-37
49
37
+12
A01/03
Superettan
Alvik
#7
L
40-52
40
52
-12
A04/03
Superettan
IK Eos
#6
L
46-55
46
55
-9
H08/03
Superettan
Ockelbo
#12
W
48-36
48
36
+12
H14/03
Superettan
Aros Basket
#13
W
43-40
43
40
+3
A21/03
Superettan
Blackeberg
#14
W
43-37
43
37
+6
H28/03
Superettan
Sollentuna
#11
W
55-32
55
32
+23
A11/04
Superettan
Fryshuset Basket
#1
W
46-39
46
39
+7
H21/04
Superettan
Fryshuset Basket
#1
L
34-59
34
59
-25
A23/04
Superettan
86.2Avg total
43.3Scored
42.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.642.685.2-0.150%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.840.182.9+2.760%-
Last 30 away (15)42.345.287.5-2.940%-
Last 10 (10)43.342.986.2+0.460%-
Last 5 (5)44.241.485.6+2.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)40.045.485.4-5.440%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)43.441.885.1+1.643%-
vs Weaker (6)45.040.085.0+5.083%-
This opponent (Alvik) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AlvikLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Malbas
#2
L
37-56
37
56
-19
H15/02
Superettan
Huddinge
#4
L
40-44
40
44
-4
H18/02
Superettan
Eskilstuna
#8
W
52-40
52
40
+12
H04/03
Superettan
Djurgarden
#3
W
40-36
40
36
+4
A15/03
Superettan
Aros Basket
#13
W
55-38
55
38
+17
H18/03
Superettan
Wetterbygden Stars
#5
W
52-31
52
31
+21
H28/03
Superettan
Malbas
#2
W
42-39
42
39
+3
A11/04
Superettan
IK Eos
#6
L
36-41
36
41
-5
A12/04
Superettan
Wetterbygden Stars
#5
L
29-33
29
33
-4
A24/04
Superettan
Wetterbygden Stars
#5
W
46-36
46
36
+10
H26/04
Superettan
82.3Avg total
42.9Scored
39.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.241.182.3+0.147%-
Last 30 at home (15)43.942.186.0+1.960%-
Last 30 away (15)38.540.178.6-1.733%-
Last 10 (10)42.939.482.3+3.560%-
Last 5 (5)41.036.077.0+5.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)37.046.283.2-9.233%-
vs Similar ◀ (18)41.241.082.2+0.239%-
vs Weaker (6)45.536.381.8+9.283%-
This opponent (Eskilstuna) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Eskilstunatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Eskilstuna: 87.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.4 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.4 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.1 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.7 points a game
50%
31%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.719.7
49.6%
50.7%39.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.510.8
32.2%
30.9%32.4
🏀 Free throws22.516.1
71.6%
67.0%16.1
They take 73.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 33.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Alviktheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Alvik: 83.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.8 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.7 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.4 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.7 points a game
50%
31%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.720.9
52.6%
50.7%41.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.58.9
29.2%
30.9%26.7
🏀 Free throws22.515.4
68.4%
67.0%15.4
They take 70.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 30 Apr 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Eskilstuna
LWWWWWLLLL
Alvik
WLLWWWWWLL
#8
League position
#7
-0.6
Net rating
+7.8
88.4
Offensive rating
89.8
89.0
Defensive rating
82.0
49.0%
Effective FG%
48.8%
49.9%
Opp. effective FG%
45.4%
15.4%
Turnover %
15.1%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.32
32.2%
3-point %
29.2%
64.6%
Assist %
57.0%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence88.4 · 89.8Defence89.0 · 82.0Shooting49.0% · 48.8%3-point %32.2% · 29.2%Ball care15.4% · 15.1%Free throws0.31 · 0.32Form (last 10/10)50% · 60%
■ Eskilstuna   ■ Alvik
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Eskilstuna wins
2
Alvik wins
DateGameScore
04/03/26Alvik v Eskilstuna99-88
09/11/25Eskilstuna v Alvik70-75
Eskilstunalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/04/26AFryshuset Basket64-91
21/04/26HFryshuset Basket109-79
11/04/26ASollentuna97-79
28/03/26HBlackeberg96-87
21/03/26AAros Basket85-80
14/03/26HOckelbo97-75
08/03/26HIK Eos90-103
04/03/26AAlvik88-99
01/03/26ADjurgarden93-104 OT
21/02/26HDjurgarden61-95
Alviklast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/04/26HWetterbygden Stars81-60
24/04/26AWetterbygden Stars69-71
12/04/26AIK Eos63-74
11/04/26AMalbas86-78
28/03/26HWetterbygden Stars98-62
18/03/26HAros Basket96-75
15/03/26ADjurgarden84-80
04/03/26HEskilstuna99-88
18/02/26HHuddinge90-92
15/02/26HMalbas73-86

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Eskilstuna
Superettan 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL50%
HomeLLWWW57%
AwayLLWWL43%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games281414
Win %50%57%43%
Points / game86.886.686.9
Allowed / game86.785.488.0
Point differential+0.1+1.2-1.1
Avg total173.4171.9174.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%36%21%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)0% (1)50% (2)
Overtime %4%0%7%
Alvik
Superettan 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLW57%
HomeLWWWW64%
AwayLWWLL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games281414
Win %57%64%50%
Points / game80.284.076.4
Allowed / game79.278.779.8
Point differential+0.9+5.3-3.4
Avg total159.4162.7156.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+32%57%7%
Close games (≤5 pts) won62% (8)50% (2)67% (6)
Overtime %4%0%7%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Fryshuset Basket2820871%90.385.0+5.3
2 Malbas2819968%86.677.7+8.9
3 Djurgarden29181162%85.278.9+6.3
4 Huddinge29171259%87.485.3+2.1
5 Alvik28161257%80.279.2+0.9
6 Wetterbygden Stars28161257%77.880.7-2.9
7 IK Eos28151354%83.881.9+1.9
8 AIK Basket26131350%81.579.4+2.1
9 Eskilstuna28141450%86.886.7+0.1
10 Trelleborg26121446%84.985.4-0.5
11 Sollentuna26111542%80.981.3-0.4
12 Ockelbo2691735%75.079.4-4.3
13 Aros Basket2671927%79.885.9-6.0
14 Blackeberg2642215%76.191.6-15.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Eskilstuna1822281987
Alvik2018212483
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.