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OGM Ormanspor vs Tofas Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 06 Mar 2021
Tip-off: 12:15
Final 77-76
22-24 28-24 12-18 15-10
Position#16
Record5-17
FormLLLLL
Points / game77.8
Allowed / game88.2
vs
Position#4
Record13-9
FormLWWWL
Points / game85.6
Allowed / game82.2
TurkeyBasketbol Süper LigiRound 23
Domestic2020-21
Meetings · OGM Ormanspor v Tofas
06 Mar 2021
OOR77
TOF76
14 Dec 2019
OOR76
TOF94
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

OGM Ormanspor winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Tofas winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

OGM OrmansporTurkeyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormOrmanspor
Date
Competition
Afyon Belediye
#9
L
85-101
85
101
-16
84avg 71
H20/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Karsiyaka
#3
L
57-86
57
86
-29
42avg 71
A27/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Bursaspor
#10
W
84-80
84
80
+4
80avg 71
H03/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Fenerbahce
#2
L
63-72
63
72
-9
55avg 71
H09/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Galatasaray
#11
L
87-89
87
89
-2
82avg 71
A16/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Anadolu Efes
#1
L
75-95
75
95
-20
63avg 71
A23/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Besiktas
#5
L
68-92
68
92
-24
61avg 71
H01/02
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Fethiye Bld.
#15
L
89-98
89
98
-9
79avg 71
A07/02
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Gaziantep
#8
L
81-82
81
82
-1
73avg 71
H11/02
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Petkim Spor
#14
L
76-83
76
83
-7
71avg 71
A27/02
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-24
29-17
13-45
22-15
21-23
9-24
14-21
13-18
18-24
18-24
18-10
30-22
21-21
13-17
15-16
14-18
28-20
27-19
18-25
14-25
18-30
16-25
10-25
31-15
23-25
16-19
16-18
13-30
27-29
15-28
22-19
25-22
10-23
23-20
25-26
23-13
19-20
10-20
22-21
25-22
164.3Avg total
76.5Scored
87.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (22)77.888.2166.0-10.423%
Season at home (11)77.386.5163.8-9.327%
Season away (11)78.489.8168.2-11.518%
Last 10 (10)76.587.8164.3-11.310%
Last 5 (5)77.890.0167.8-12.20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)77.287.3164.5-10.123%
vs Similar (6)84.390.5174.8-6.233%
vs Weaker (2)78.572.5151.0+6.0100%
This opponent (Tofas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TofasTurkeyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTofas
Date
Competition
Dijon
#6
W
90-61
90
61
+29
100avg 81
A12/01
Champions League
Buyukcekmece
#13
W
88-75
88
75
+13
84avg 81
A16/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Nymburk
#4
W
103-97
103
97
+6
89avg 81
A19/01
Champions League
Afyon Belediye
#9
L
83-85
83
85
-2
77avg 81
H24/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Petkim Spor
#14
W
88-80
88
80
+8
no box
H27/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Karsiyaka
#3
L
71-90
71
90
-19
57avg 81
A31/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Bursaspor
#10
W
84-77
84
77
+7
81avg 81
H07/02
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Fenerbahce
#2
W
84-81
84
81
+3
82avg 81
A10/02
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Galatasaray
#11
W
98-89
98
89
+9
94avg 81
H27/02
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Karsiyaka
#10
L
70-78
70
78
-8
66avg 81
A03/03
Champions League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
29-10
24-21
14-11
23-19
31-25
23-18
21-19
13-13
26-30
26-27
27-21
24-19
27-21
20-24
18-15
18-25
20-22
24-18
18-24
26-16
17-22
14-31
22-17
18-20
15-20
28-17
21-16
20-24
20-19
19-22
15-22
30-18
26-28
25-22
24-20
23-19
24-19
12-19
20-18
14-22
167.2Avg total
85.9Scored
81.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (22)85.682.2167.8+3.459%
Season at home (12)90.083.9173.9+6.167%
Season away (10)80.380.1160.4+0.250%
Last 10 (10)85.981.3167.2+4.670%
Last 5 (5)81.483.0164.4-1.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)92.294.0186.2-1.840%
vs Similar (9)79.279.8159.0-0.633%
vs Weaker ◀ (16)86.479.0165.4+7.475%
This opponent (OGM Ormanspor) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: -3.3-3.3Q1: +1.9+1.9Q2Q2: -3.7-3.7Q2: -0.4-0.4Q3Q3: -5.3-5.3Q3: +1.7+1.7Q4Q4: +1.0+1.0Q4: +1.4+1.4
-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: -3.3-3.3Q1: +1.9+1.9Q2Q2: -3.7-3.7Q2: -0.4-0.4Q3Q3: -5.3-5.3Q3: +1.7+1.7Q4Q4: +1.0+1.0Q4: +1.4+1.4
OGM OrmansporTofas
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
OGM OrmansporLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Afyon Belediye
#9
W
50-41
50
41
+9
H20/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Karsiyaka
#3
L
30-47
30
47
-17
A27/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Bursaspor
#10
L
36-48
36
48
-12
H03/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Fenerbahce
#2
L
34-38
34
38
-4
H09/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Galatasaray
#11
W
55-39
55
39
+16
A16/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Anadolu Efes
#1
L
34-55
34
55
-21
A23/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Besiktas
#5
L
39-44
39
44
-5
H01/02
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Fethiye Bld.
#15
L
42-57
42
57
-15
A07/02
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Gaziantep
#8
L
33-43
33
43
-10
H11/02
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Petkim Spor
#14
L
29-40
29
40
-11
A27/02
Basketbol Süper Ligi
83.4Avg total
38.2Scored
45.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.045.385.3-5.230%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.343.483.7-3.133%-
Last 30 away (15)39.847.186.9-7.327%-
Last 10 (10)38.245.283.4-7.020%-
Last 5 (5)35.447.883.2-12.40%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)39.545.685.0-6.127%-
vs Similar (6)40.546.286.7-5.717%-
vs Weaker (2)45.039.084.0+6.0100%-
This opponent (Tofas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TofasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Dijon
#6
W
53-31
53
31
+22
A12/01
Champions League
Buyukcekmece
#13
W
54-43
54
43
+11
A16/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Nymburk
#4
L
52-57
52
57
-5
A19/01
Champions League
Afyon Belediye
#9
W
47-45
47
45
+2
H24/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Petkim Spor
#14
W
44-40
44
40
+4
H27/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Karsiyaka
#3
L
31-53
31
53
-22
A31/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Bursaspor
#10
W
43-37
43
37
+6
H07/02
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Fenerbahce
#2
L
39-41
39
41
-2
A10/02
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Galatasaray
#11
W
51-50
51
50
+1
H27/02
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Karsiyaka
#10
L
36-38
36
38
-2
A03/03
Champions League
88.5Avg total
45.0Scored
43.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.442.084.4+0.453%-
Last 30 at home (15)43.342.385.6+0.967%-
Last 30 away (15)41.541.783.3-0.240%-
Last 10 (10)45.043.588.5+1.560%-
Last 5 (5)40.043.883.8-3.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)43.849.293.0-5.420%-
vs Similar (9)38.940.479.3-1.633%-
vs Weaker ◀ (16)43.940.784.6+3.275%-
This opponent (OGM Ormanspor) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
OGM Ormansportheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

OGM Ormanspor: 75.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.8 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.7 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.2 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.9 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.920.4
52.4%
53.2%40.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.96.9
28.9%
36.1%20.7
🏀 Free throws18.714.2
75.9%
74.6%14.2
They take 62.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Tofastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Tofas: 84.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers47.2 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.5 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.2 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.9 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.923.6
53.8%
53.2%47.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.37.5
38.9%
36.1%22.5
🏀 Free throws20.115.2
75.6%
74.6%15.2
They take 63.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 19.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 31% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 06 Mar 2021 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
OGM Ormanspor
LLLLLLLWLL
Tofas
LWWWLWLWWW
#16
League position
#4
-15.3
Net rating
+5.4
104.1
Offensive rating
114.9
119.4
Defensive rating
109.5
49.0%
Effective FG%
55.1%
58.1%
Opp. effective FG%
54.2%
15.9%
Turnover %
16.5%
26.2%
Off. rebound %
31.2%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.32
28.9%
3-point %
38.9%
68.9%
Assist %
67.8%
10%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence104.1 · 114.9Defence119.4 · 109.5Shooting49.0% · 55.1%3-point %28.9% · 38.9%Ball care15.9% · 16.5%Off. rebounds26.2% · 31.2%Free throws0.30 · 0.32Form (last 10/10)10% · 70%
■ OGM Ormanspor   ■ Tofas
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
OGM Ormanspor wins
2
Tofas wins
DateGameScore
14/11/20Tofas v OGM Ormanspor99-82
14/12/19OGM Ormanspor v Tofas76-94
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/02/21APetkim Spor76-83
11/02/21HGaziantep81-82
07/02/21AFethiye Bld.89-98
01/02/21HBesiktas68-92
23/01/21AAnadolu Efes75-95
16/01/21AGalatasaray87-89
09/01/21HFenerbahce63-72
03/01/21HBursaspor84-80
27/12/20AKarsiyaka57-86
20/12/20HAfyon Belediye85-101
Tofaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/03/21AKarsiyaka70-78
27/02/21HGalatasaray98-89
10/02/21AFenerbahce84-81
07/02/21HBursaspor84-77
31/01/21AKarsiyaka71-90
27/01/21HPetkim Spor88-80
24/01/21HAfyon Belediye83-85
19/01/21ANymburk103-97
16/01/21ABuyukcekmece88-75
12/01/21ADijon90-61

📊 11. Overall Statistics

OGM Ormanspor
Basketbol Süper Ligi 2020-21
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL23%
HomeLWLLL27%
AwayLLLLL18%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games221111
Win %23%27%18%
Points / game77.877.378.4
Allowed / game88.286.589.8
Point differential-10.4-9.3-11.5
Avg total166.0163.8168.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%18%9%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)50% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %5%0%9%
Tofas
Basketbol Süper Ligi 2020-21
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW59%
HomeWLWWW67%
AwayLWWLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games221210
Win %59%67%50%
Points / game85.690.080.3
Allowed / game82.283.980.1
Point differential+3.4+6.1+0.2
Avg total167.8173.9160.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+32%25%40%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (4)0% (2)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Anadolu Efes22220100%88.173.3+14.8
2 Karsiyaka2218482%83.274.2+9.0
3 Fenerbahce2216673%85.976.7+9.2
4 Tofas2213959%85.682.2+3.4
5 Turk Telekom2213959%83.281.4+1.8
6 Besiktas23131057%83.380.3+3.0
7 Darussafaka22111150%80.078.1+1.9
8 Gaziantep22111150%75.074.6+0.4
9 Afyon Belediye22111150%81.985.2-3.3
10 Petkim Spor2391439%81.581.3+0.1
11 Bahcesehir Kol.2281436%81.283.0-1.9
12 Buyukcekmece2281436%80.485.9-5.5
13 Bursaspor2271532%79.284.9-5.7
14 Galatasaray2271532%79.585.5-5.9
15 OGM Ormanspor2251723%77.888.2-10.4
16 Fethiye Bld.2251723%76.487.5-11.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
OGM Ormanspor2228121577
Tofas2424181076
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