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Tofas vs Afyon Belediye Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 24 Jan 2021
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 83-85
27-21 20-24 18-15 18-25
Position#4
Record9-7
FormWWWWW
Points / game85.9
Allowed / game81.6
vs
Position#9
Record9-8
FormWLLWW
Points / game81.8
Allowed / game84.6
TurkeyBasketbol Süper LigiRound 18
Domestic2020-21
Meetings · Tofas v Afyon Belediye
02 Jan 2022
TOF145
ABE55
24 Jan 2021
TOF83
ABE85
08 Mar 2020
TOF79
ABE71
10 Feb 2019
TOF95
ABE74
14 May 2016
TOF109
ABE67
12 May 2016
TOF105
ABE68
15 Nov 2015
TOF89
ABE65
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Tofas winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Afyon Belediye winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

TofasTurkeyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTofas
Date
Competition
Fethiye Bld.
#15
W
110-81
110
81
+29
no box
H02/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Gaziantep
#8
L
67-68
67
68
-1
60avg 82
A05/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Anadolu Efes
#1
L
78-92
78
92
-14
90avg 82
H19/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Darussafaka
#7
W
85-72
85
72
+13
85avg 82
A27/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Turk Telekom
#6
W
78-64
78
64
+14
76avg 82
H02/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Keravnos
#32
W
78-67
78
67
+11
74avg 82
H06/01
Champions League
Bahcesehir Kol.
#12
W
87-80
87
80
+7
91avg 82
H09/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Dijon
#6
W
90-61
90
61
+29
100avg 82
A12/01
Champions League
Buyukcekmece
#13
W
88-75
88
75
+13
84avg 82
A16/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Nymburk
#4
W
103-97
103
97
+6
89avg 82
A19/01
Champions League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-20
33-16
28-23
26-22
15-19
19-16
18-10
15-23
25-14
12-39
17-25
24-14
17-22
27-13
21-21
20-16
23-14
15-20
26-12
14-18
19-13
17-19
27-17
15-18
19-25
20-19
23-18
25-18
29-10
24-21
14-11
23-19
31-25
23-18
21-19
13-13
26-30
26-27
27-21
24-19
162.1Avg total
86.4Scored
75.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)85.981.6167.6+4.356%
Season at home (8)90.984.5175.4+6.462%
Season away (8)81.078.8159.8+2.250%
Last 10 (10)86.475.7162.1+10.780%
Last 5 (5)89.276.0165.2+13.2100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)94.297.2191.5-3.025%
vs Similar (7)81.778.6160.3+3.143%
vs Weaker ◀ (18)84.877.6162.4+7.372%
This opponent (Afyon Belediye) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Afyon BelediyeTurkeyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBelediye
Date
Competition
Anadolu Efes
#1
L
67-86
67
86
-19
69avg 77
A15/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Karsiyaka
#3
L
82-96
82
96
-14
86avg 77
A21/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Bursaspor
#10
W
76-70
76
70
+6
72avg 77
H02/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Fenerbahce
#2
L
74-94
74
94
-20
64avg 77
A06/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Galatasaray
#11
W
97-80
97
80
+17
98avg 77
H12/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
OGM Ormanspor
#16
W
101-85
101
85
+16
90avg 77
A20/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Besiktas
#5
L
73-96
73
96
-23
61avg 77
H27/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Fethiye Bld.
#15
L
89-100
89
100
-11
86avg 77
A03/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Gaziantep
#8
W
88-84 OT
88
84
+4
no box
A10/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Petkim Spor
#14
W
94-76
94
76
+18
98avg 77
H16/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-17
17-24
15-28
16-17
25-31
11-24
26-16
20-25
19-27
18-12
22-15
17-16
13-23
20-24
17-26
24-21
33-20
22-25
12-23
30-12
24-21
17-29
45-13
15-22
25-21
17-19
22-23
9-33
20-26
25-26
19-23
25-25
17-18
23-19
19-21
18-19
28-17
25-13
22-18
19-28
170.8Avg total
84.1Scored
86.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)81.884.6166.5-2.853%
Season at home (8)82.080.5162.5+1.562%
Season away (9)81.788.3170.0-6.744%
Last 10 (10)84.186.7170.8-2.650%
Last 5 (5)89.088.2177.2+0.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)76.686.2162.8-9.515%
vs Similar (12)84.181.7165.8+2.458%
vs Weaker (5)92.483.6176.0+8.880%
This opponent (Tofas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +3.5+3.5Q1: +0.2+0.2Q2Q2: +0.8+0.8Q2: -2.0-2.0Q3Q3: +4.5+4.5Q3: +1.3+1.3Q4Q4: +1.9+1.9Q4: -2.5-2.5
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +3.5+3.5Q1: +0.2+0.2Q2Q2: +0.8+0.8Q2: -2.0-2.0Q3Q3: +4.5+4.5Q3: +1.3+1.3Q4Q4: +1.9+1.9Q4: -2.5-2.5
TofasAfyon Belediye
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
TofasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Fethiye Bld.
#15
W
56-36
56
36
+20
H02/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Gaziantep
#8
L
34-35
34
35
-1
A05/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Anadolu Efes
#1
L
37-53
37
53
-16
H19/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Darussafaka
#7
W
44-35
44
35
+9
A27/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Turk Telekom
#6
W
38-34
38
34
+4
H02/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Keravnos
#32
W
36-32
36
32
+4
H06/01
Champions League
Bahcesehir Kol.
#12
L
39-44
39
44
-5
H09/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Dijon
#6
W
53-31
53
31
+22
A12/01
Champions League
Buyukcekmece
#13
W
54-43
54
43
+11
A16/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Nymburk
#4
L
52-57
52
57
-5
A19/01
Champions League
84.3Avg total
44.3Scored
40.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.540.983.5+1.657%-
Last 30 at home (14)43.140.983.9+2.264%-
Last 30 away (16)42.141.083.1+1.150%-
Last 10 (10)44.340.084.3+4.360%-
Last 5 (5)46.841.488.2+5.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)45.051.296.2-6.225%-
vs Similar (7)40.439.079.4+1.443%-
vs Weaker ◀ (18)42.638.681.2+3.972%-
This opponent (Afyon Belediye) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Afyon BelediyeLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Anadolu Efes
#1
L
36-41
36
41
-5
A15/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Karsiyaka
#3
L
36-55
36
55
-19
A21/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Bursaspor
#10
L
37-39
37
39
-2
H02/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Fenerbahce
#2
L
33-47
33
47
-14
A06/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Galatasaray
#11
W
55-45
55
45
+10
H12/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
OGM Ormanspor
#16
L
41-50
41
50
-9
A20/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Besiktas
#5
W
42-40
42
40
+2
H27/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Fethiye Bld.
#15
L
45-52
45
52
-7
A03/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Gaziantep
#8
W
40-37
40
37
+3
A10/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Petkim Spor
#14
W
53-30
53
30
+23
H16/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
85.4Avg total
41.8Scored
43.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.542.482.9-1.940%-
Last 30 at home (15)39.940.380.2-0.340%-
Last 30 away (15)41.044.585.5-3.540%-
Last 10 (10)41.843.685.4-1.840%-
Last 5 (5)44.241.886.0+2.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)36.143.579.5-7.423%-
vs Similar (12)45.241.887.0+3.558%-
vs Weaker (5)40.441.281.6-0.840%-
This opponent (Tofas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Tofastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Tofas: 85.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀58%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers50.0 pts a game · 58% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.3 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.5 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.9 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.625.0
54.8%
53.2%50.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.38.1
38.0%
36.1%24.3
🏀 Free throws15.711.5
73.2%
74.6%11.5
They take 66.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 32% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Afyon Belediyetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Afyon Belediye: 82.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.2 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.5 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.7 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.9 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.522.6
57.2%
53.2%45.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.38.5
36.5%
36.1%25.5
🏀 Free throws16.211.7
72.2%
74.6%11.7
They take 62.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 24 Jan 2021 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Tofas
WWWWWWWLLW
Afyon Belediye
WWLLWWLWLL
#4
League position
#9
+14.9
Net rating
-3.3
117.3
Offensive rating
108.5
102.4
Defensive rating
111.8
55.5%
Effective FG%
56.3%
51.3%
Opp. effective FG%
55.1%
15.3%
Turnover %
20.7%
32.2%
Off. rebound %
30.8%
0.23
Free-throw rate
0.26
38.0%
3-point %
36.5%
67.7%
Assist %
66.9%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence117.3 · 108.5Defence102.4 · 111.8Shooting55.5% · 56.3%3-point %38.0% · 36.5%Ball care15.3% · 20.7%Off. rebounds32.2% · 30.8%Free throws0.23 · 0.26Form (last 10/10)80% · 50%
■ Tofas   ■ Afyon Belediye
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
9
Tofas wins
1
Afyon Belediye wins
Tofaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/01/21ANymburk103-97
16/01/21ABuyukcekmece88-75
12/01/21ADijon90-61
09/01/21HBahcesehir Kol.87-80
06/01/21HKeravnos78-67
02/01/21HTurk Telekom78-64
27/12/20ADarussafaka85-72
19/12/20HAnadolu Efes78-92
05/12/20AGaziantep67-68
02/12/20HFethiye Bld.110-81
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/01/21HPetkim Spor94-76
10/01/21AGaziantep88-84 OT
03/01/21AFethiye Bld.89-100
27/12/20HBesiktas73-96
20/12/20AOGM Ormanspor101-85
12/12/20HGalatasaray97-80
06/12/20AFenerbahce74-94
02/12/20HBursaspor76-70
21/11/20AKarsiyaka82-96
15/11/20AAnadolu Efes67-86

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Tofas
Basketbol Süper Ligi 2020-21
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW56%
HomeWWLWW62%
AwayWLLWW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1688
Win %56%62%50%
Points / game85.990.981.0
Allowed / game81.684.578.8
Point differential+4.3+6.4+2.2
Avg total167.6175.4159.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+44%38%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Afyon Belediye
Basketbol Süper Ligi 2020-21
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWW53%
HomeWWWLW62%
AwayLLWLW44%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1789
Win %53%62%44%
Points / game81.882.081.7
Allowed / game84.680.588.3
Point differential-2.8+1.5-6.7
Avg total166.5162.5170.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+18%25%11%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)50% (2)100% (2)
Overtime %6%0%11%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Anadolu Efes18180100%86.671.6+15.0
2 Karsiyaka1815383%82.673.6+9.1
3 Fenerbahce1814478%87.076.2+10.8
4 Tofas169756%85.981.6+4.3
5 Turk Telekom1810856%83.581.5+2.0
6 Darussafaka179853%81.879.4+2.4
7 Afyon Belediye179853%81.884.6-2.8
8 Besiktas189950%82.781.1+1.7
9 Gaziantep1881044%73.473.3+0.2
10 Buyukcekmece1871139%80.185.8-5.7
11 Petkim Spor1661038%80.981.3-0.4
12 Bahcesehir Kol.1861233%80.882.2-1.4
13 Galatasaray1861233%81.386.5-5.2
14 Bursaspor1861233%78.985.6-6.7
15 OGM Ormanspor1851328%77.788.1-10.4
16 Fethiye Bld.1841422%75.888.2-12.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Tofas2720181883
Afyon Belediye2124152585
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