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Tofas vs Bursaspor Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 07 Feb 2021
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 84-77
15-20 28-17 21-16 20-24
Position#4
Record10-9
FormWWLWL
Points / game85.1
Allowed / game82.2
Tofas 🏆
Turkey
vs
Position#10
Record7-12
FormWWLLW
Points / game79.7
Allowed / game85.8
TurkeyBasketbol Süper LigiRound 20
Domestic2020-21
Meetings · Tofas v Bursaspor
01 Jan 2027
TOF v BUR
upcoming
08 Nov 2025
TOF84
BUR70
03 Nov 2024
TOF94
BUR71
03 Dec 2023
TOF91
BUR85
07 Jan 2023
TOF82
BUR83
06 Mar 2022
TOF83
BUR90
07 Feb 2021
TOF84
BUR77
12 Jan 2020
TOF109
BUR59
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Tofas winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Bursaspor winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

TofasTurkeyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTofas
Date
Competition
Darussafaka
#7
W
85-72
85
72
+13
85avg 81
A27/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Turk Telekom
#6
W
78-64
78
64
+14
76avg 81
H02/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Keravnos
#32
W
78-67
78
67
+11
74avg 81
H06/01
Champions League
Bahcesehir Kol.
#12
W
87-80
87
80
+7
91avg 81
H09/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Dijon
#6
W
90-61
90
61
+29
100avg 81
A12/01
Champions League
Buyukcekmece
#13
W
88-75
88
75
+13
84avg 81
A16/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Nymburk
#4
W
103-97
103
97
+6
89avg 81
A19/01
Champions League
Afyon Belediye
#9
L
83-85
83
85
-2
77avg 81
H24/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Petkim Spor
#14
W
88-80
88
80
+8
no box
H27/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Karsiyaka
#3
L
71-90
71
90
-19
57avg 81
A31/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-22
27-13
21-21
20-16
23-14
15-20
26-12
14-18
19-13
17-19
27-17
15-18
19-25
20-19
23-18
25-18
29-10
24-21
14-11
23-19
31-25
23-18
21-19
13-13
26-30
26-27
27-21
24-19
27-21
20-24
18-15
18-25
20-22
24-18
18-24
26-16
17-22
14-31
22-17
18-20
162.2Avg total
85.1Scored
77.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (19)85.182.2167.3+2.953%
Season at home (10)89.884.1173.9+5.760%
Season away (9)79.980.0159.9-0.144%
Last 10 (10)85.177.1162.2+8.080%
Last 5 (5)86.685.4172.0+1.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)94.297.2191.5-3.025%
vs Similar (8)80.480.0160.4+0.438%
vs Weaker ◀ (17)84.277.9162.2+6.371%
This opponent (Bursaspor) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BursasporTurkeyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBursaspor
Date
Competition
Nanterre
#15
W
102-92
102
92
+10
101avg 74
H23/12
Eurocup
Galatasaray
#11
L
73-92
73
92
-19
66avg 74
H27/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Promitheas
#22
W
100-75
100
75
+25
98avg 74
A29/12
Eurocup
OGM Ormanspor
#16
L
80-84
80
84
-4
71avg 74
A03/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Buyukcekmece
#13
W
89-81
89
81
+8
87avg 74
H07/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Besiktas
#5
W
84-69
84
69
+15
61avg 74
A09/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Fethiye Bld.
#15
W
89-84
89
84
+5
89avg 74
H15/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Anadolu Efes
#1
L
58-91
58
91
-33
49avg 74
A19/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Gaziantep
#8
L
70-77
70
77
-7
55avg 74
A24/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Petkim Spor
#14
W
95-89
95
89
+6
90avg 74
H30/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-35
25-19
27-18
30-20
16-25
23-18
11-26
23-23
25-21
23-14
29-22
23-18
24-18
24-18
10-18
22-30
22-21
20-21
22-16
25-23
14-10
24-26
26-18
20-15
27-23
22-19
18-23
22-19
12-19
14-21
20-22
12-29
11-17
19-19
22-18
18-23
26-20
27-22
25-28
17-19
167.4Avg total
84.0Scored
83.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (19)79.785.8165.5-6.137%
Season at home (9)87.186.8173.9+0.356%
Season away (10)73.184.9158.0-11.820%
Last 10 (10)84.083.4167.4+0.660%
Last 5 (5)79.282.0161.2-2.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)77.687.8165.4-10.118%
vs Similar (8)83.991.1175.0-7.250%
vs Weaker (5)88.482.2170.6+6.260%
This opponent (Tofas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +2.4+2.4Q1: -1.2-1.2Q2Q2: +0.0+0.0Q2: +2.4+2.4Q3Q3: +4.2+4.2Q3: +0.1+0.1Q4Q4: +1.4+1.4Q4: -0.7-0.7
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +2.4+2.4Q1: -1.2-1.2Q2Q2: +0.0+0.0Q2: +2.4+2.4Q3Q3: +4.2+4.2Q3: +0.1+0.1Q4Q4: +1.4+1.4Q4: -0.7-0.7
TofasBursaspor
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
TofasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Darussafaka
#7
W
44-35
44
35
+9
A27/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Turk Telekom
#6
W
38-34
38
34
+4
H02/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Keravnos
#32
W
36-32
36
32
+4
H06/01
Champions League
Bahcesehir Kol.
#12
L
39-44
39
44
-5
H09/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Dijon
#6
W
53-31
53
31
+22
A12/01
Champions League
Buyukcekmece
#13
W
54-43
54
43
+11
A16/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Nymburk
#4
L
52-57
52
57
-5
A19/01
Champions League
Afyon Belediye
#9
W
47-45
47
45
+2
H24/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Petkim Spor
#14
W
44-40
44
40
+4
H27/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Karsiyaka
#3
L
31-53
31
53
-22
A31/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
85.2Avg total
43.8Scored
41.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.241.884.1+0.453%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.541.083.5+1.567%-
Last 30 away (15)42.042.784.7-0.740%-
Last 10 (10)43.841.485.2+2.470%-
Last 5 (5)45.647.693.2-2.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)45.051.296.2-6.225%-
vs Similar (8)39.240.880.0-1.538%-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)42.739.482.1+3.471%-
This opponent (Bursaspor) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BursasporLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Nanterre
#15
L
45-54
45
54
-9
H23/12
Eurocup
Galatasaray
#11
L
39-43
39
43
-4
H27/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Promitheas
#22
W
48-35
48
35
+13
A29/12
Eurocup
OGM Ormanspor
#16
W
48-36
48
36
+12
A03/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Buyukcekmece
#13
D
42-42
42
42
+0
H07/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Besiktas
#5
W
38-36
38
36
+2
A09/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Fethiye Bld.
#15
W
49-42
49
42
+7
H15/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Anadolu Efes
#1
L
26-40
26
40
-14
A19/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Gaziantep
#8
L
30-36
30
36
-6
A24/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Petkim Spor
#14
W
53-42
53
42
+11
H30/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
82.4Avg total
41.8Scored
40.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.844.485.2-3.637%-
Last 30 at home (14)43.945.689.6-1.736%-
Last 30 away (16)38.043.381.3-5.338%-
Last 10 (10)41.840.682.4+1.250%-
Last 5 (5)39.239.278.4+0.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)39.645.585.1-5.829%-
vs Similar (8)40.644.985.5-4.238%-
vs Weaker (5)44.840.084.8+4.860%-
This opponent (Tofas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Tofastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Tofas: 84.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀57%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers48.2 pts a game · 57% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.6 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.5 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.9 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.624.1
54.0%
53.2%48.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.98.2
39.2%
36.1%24.6
🏀 Free throws15.411.5
74.7%
74.6%11.5
They take 65.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 20.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 32% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Bursasportheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Bursaspor: 83.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.4 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.1 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.9 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.9 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.619.7
56.9%
53.2%39.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.910.7
38.4%
36.1%32.1
🏀 Free throws15.811.9
75.3%
74.6%11.9
They take 62.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 07 Feb 2021 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Tofas
LWLWWWWWWW
Bursaspor
WLLWWWLWLW
#4
League position
#10
+10.8
Net rating
+1.4
116.7
Offensive rating
115.7
105.9
Defensive rating
114.3
55.6%
Effective FG%
57.2%
54.2%
Opp. effective FG%
55.2%
16.1%
Turnover %
15.3%
33.1%
Off. rebound %
26.6%
0.24
Free-throw rate
0.25
39.2%
3-point %
38.4%
65.6%
Assist %
65.1%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence116.7 · 115.7Defence105.9 · 114.3Shooting55.6% · 57.2%3-point %39.2% · 38.4%Ball care16.1% · 15.3%Off. rebounds33.1% · 26.6%Free throws0.24 · 0.25Form (last 10/10)80% · 60%
■ Tofas   ■ Bursaspor
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Tofas wins
2
Bursaspor wins
DateGameScore
24/10/20Bursaspor v Tofas83-70
12/01/20Tofas v Bursaspor109-59
29/09/19Bursaspor v Tofas80-76
Tofaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
31/01/21AKarsiyaka71-90
27/01/21HPetkim Spor88-80
24/01/21HAfyon Belediye83-85
19/01/21ANymburk103-97
16/01/21ABuyukcekmece88-75
12/01/21ADijon90-61
09/01/21HBahcesehir Kol.87-80
06/01/21HKeravnos78-67
02/01/21HTurk Telekom78-64
27/12/20ADarussafaka85-72
Bursasporlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/01/21HPetkim Spor95-89
24/01/21AGaziantep70-77
19/01/21AAnadolu Efes58-91
15/01/21HFethiye Bld.89-84
09/01/21ABesiktas84-69
07/01/21HBuyukcekmece89-81
03/01/21AOGM Ormanspor80-84
29/12/20APromitheas100-75
27/12/20HGalatasaray73-92
23/12/20HNanterre102-92

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Tofas
Basketbol Süper Ligi 2020-21
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWL53%
HomeLWWLW60%
AwayLLWWL44%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games19109
Win %53%60%44%
Points / game85.189.879.9
Allowed / game82.284.180.0
Point differential+2.9+5.7-0.1
Avg total167.3173.9159.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+37%30%44%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (3)0% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Bursaspor
Basketbol Süper Ligi 2020-21
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLW37%
HomeLLWWW56%
AwayLLWLL20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games19910
Win %37%56%20%
Points / game79.787.173.1
Allowed / game85.886.884.9
Point differential-6.1+0.3-11.8
Avg total165.5173.9158.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+21%22%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (4)50% (2)0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Anadolu Efes20200100%87.272.2+14.9
2 Karsiyaka2016480%82.774.0+8.7
3 Fenerbahce2015575%87.277.0+10.2
4 Turk Telekom2012860%83.981.4+2.5
5 Afyon Belediye2011955%82.184.5-2.4
6 Tofas1910953%85.182.2+2.9
7 Besiktas20101050%83.080.5+2.5
8 Darussafaka20101050%81.379.2+2.0
9 Gaziantep20101050%74.673.8+0.8
10 Bursaspor1971237%79.785.8-6.1
11 Petkim Spor2071335%80.481.7-1.3
12 Bahcesehir Kol.2071335%80.782.7-2.0
13 Galatasaray2071335%79.884.7-4.8
14 Buyukcekmece2071335%79.585.7-6.2
15 Fethiye Bld.2051525%76.587.3-10.8
16 OGM Ormanspor2051525%77.888.8-11.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Tofas1528212084
Bursaspor2017162477
← all games of the day
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