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Ohio State vs Merrimack Warriors Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 16 Nov 2023
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 76-52
35-29 41-23
Position#123
Record1-1
FormWWLWL
Points / game72.5
Allowed / game73.0
vs
Position#91
Record2-1
FormWWLWW
Points / game73.0
Allowed / game68.0
USANCAA
Other2023-24
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Ohio State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Merrimack Warriors winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Ohio StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Penn State
#105
L
71-75
71
75
-4
H23/02
NCAA
Illinois
#114
W
72-60
72
60
+12
H26/02
NCAA
Maryland
#97
W
73-62
73
62
+11
H02/03
NCAA
Michigan State
#108
L
78-84
78
84
-6
A04/03
NCAA
Wisconsin
#158
W
65-57
65
57
+8
A08/03
NCAA
Iowa
#134
W
73-69
73
69
+4
A09/03
NCAA
Michigan State
#108
W
68-58
68
58
+10
A10/03
NCAA
Purdue
#14
L
66-80
66
80
-14
A11/03
NCAA
Oakland
#76
W
79-73
79
73
+6
H07/11
NCAA
Texas A&M
#139
L
66-73
66
73
-7
H11/11
NCAA
1H
2H
37-37
34-38
41-29
31-31
35-29
38-33
34-43
44-41
36-18
29-39
29-28
44-41
33-24
35-34
34-42
32-38
34-35
45-38
33-34
33-39
140.2Avg total
71.1Scored
69.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)72.573.0145.5-0.550%
Season at home (2)72.573.0145.5-0.550%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)71.169.1140.2+2.060%
Last 5 (5)70.470.6141.0-0.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)64.273.4137.6-9.220%
vs Similar ◀ (20)70.371.7142.0-1.440%
vs Weaker (5)81.662.4144.0+19.260%
This opponent (Merrimack Warriors) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Merrimack WarriorsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Hartford
#360
W
67-59
67
59
+8
A17/02
NCAA
Sacred Heart
#219
W
67-55
67
55
+12
A18/02
NCAA
Central Connecticut State
#326
W
70-54
70
54
+16
H24/02
NCAA
LIU Sharks
#368
W
80-59
80
59
+21
A25/02
NCAA
LIU Sharks
#368
W
91-76
91
76
+15
H02/03
NCAA
Sacred Heart
#219
W
71-60
71
60
+11
H04/03
NCAA
Fairleigh Dickinson
#144
W
67-66
67
66
+1
H08/03
NCAA
Vermont
#16
L
55-67
55
67
-12
A07/11
NCAA
Worcester State
#428
W
93-72
93
72
+21
H10/11
NCAA
Maine Black Bears
#261
W
71-65
71
65
+6
A12/11
NCAA
1H
2H
39-24
28-35
34-27
33-28
38-19
32-35
35-21
45-38
54-33
37-43
33-28
38-32
26-28
41-38
20-36
35-31
40-30
53-42
28-29
43-36
136.5Avg total
73.2Scored
63.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)73.068.0141.0+5.067%
Season at home (1)93.072.0165.0+21.0100%
Season away (2)63.066.0129.0-3.050%
Last 10 (10)73.263.3136.5+9.990%
Last 5 (5)71.466.0137.4+5.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)49.770.0119.7-20.30%
vs Similar ◀ (18)61.359.9121.3+1.456%
vs Weaker (7)74.161.9136.0+12.3100%
This opponent (Ohio State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-9-4+0+4+91st half1st half: +2.7+2.71st half: +7.2+7.22nd half2nd half: -0.7-0.72nd half: +2.7+2.7
-9-4+0+4+91st half1st half: +2.7+2.71st half: +7.2+7.22nd half2nd half: -0.7-0.72nd half: +2.7+2.7
Ohio StateMerrimack Warriors
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Ohio StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Penn State
#105
D
37-37
37
37
+0
H23/02
NCAA
Illinois
#114
W
41-29
41
29
+12
H26/02
NCAA
Maryland
#97
W
35-29
35
29
+6
H02/03
NCAA
Michigan State
#108
L
34-43
34
43
-9
A04/03
NCAA
Wisconsin
#158
W
36-18
36
18
+18
A08/03
NCAA
Iowa
#134
W
29-28
29
28
+1
A09/03
NCAA
Michigan State
#108
W
33-24
33
24
+9
A10/03
NCAA
Purdue
#14
L
34-42
34
42
-8
A11/03
NCAA
Oakland
#76
L
34-35
34
35
-1
H07/11
NCAA
Texas A&M
#139
L
33-34
33
34
-1
H11/11
NCAA
66.5Avg total
34.6Scored
31.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.332.666.0+0.753%-
Last 30 at home (16)34.932.967.8+2.056%-
Last 30 away (14)31.632.463.9-0.850%-
Last 10 (10)34.631.966.5+2.750%-
Last 5 (5)32.632.665.2+0.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)30.632.463.0-1.860%-
vs Similar ◀ (20)33.133.266.3-0.145%-
vs Weaker (5)36.830.667.4+6.280%-
This opponent (Merrimack Warriors) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Merrimack WarriorsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Hartford
#360
W
39-24
39
24
+15
A17/02
NCAA
Sacred Heart
#219
W
34-27
34
27
+7
A18/02
NCAA
Central Connecticut State
#326
W
38-19
38
19
+19
H24/02
NCAA
LIU Sharks
#368
W
35-21
35
21
+14
A25/02
NCAA
LIU Sharks
#368
W
54-33
54
33
+21
H02/03
NCAA
Sacred Heart
#219
W
33-28
33
28
+5
H04/03
NCAA
Fairleigh Dickinson
#144
L
26-28
26
28
-2
H08/03
NCAA
Vermont
#16
L
20-36
20
36
-16
A07/11
NCAA
Worcester State
#428
W
40-30
40
30
+10
H10/11
NCAA
Maine Black Bears
#261
L
28-29
28
29
-1
A12/11
NCAA
62.2Avg total
34.7Scored
27.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)32.128.660.7+3.563%-
Last 30 at home (16)33.928.162.1+5.875%-
Last 30 away (14)29.929.159.1+0.850%-
Last 10 (10)34.727.562.2+7.270%-
Last 5 (5)29.430.259.6-0.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)18.037.355.3-19.30%-
vs Similar ◀ (18)30.828.859.6+2.167%-
vs Weaker (7)37.927.465.3+10.471%-
This opponent (Ohio State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Ohio State wins
0
Merrimack Warriors wins
No previous meetings.
Ohio Statelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/11/23HTexas A&M66-73
07/11/23HOakland79-73
11/03/23APurdue66-80
10/03/23AMichigan State68-58
09/03/23AIowa73-69
08/03/23AWisconsin65-57
04/03/23AMichigan State78-84
02/03/23HMaryland73-62
26/02/23HIllinois72-60
23/02/23HPenn State71-75
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/11/23AMaine Black Bears71-65
10/11/23HWorcester State93-72
07/11/23AVermont55-67
08/03/23HFairleigh Dickinson67-66
04/03/23HSacred Heart71-60
02/03/23HLIU Sharks91-76
25/02/23ALIU Sharks80-59
24/02/23HCentral Connecticut State70-54
18/02/23ASacred Heart67-55
17/02/23AHartford67-59

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Ohio State
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWL50%
HomeWL50%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games22-
Win %50%50%-
Points / game72.572.5-
Allowed / game73.073.0-
Point differential-0.5-0.5-
Avg total145.5145.5-
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%-
Merrimack Warriors
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWW67%
HomeW100%
AwayLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games312
Win %67%100%50%
Points / game73.093.063.0
Allowed / game68.072.066.0
Point differential+5.0+21.0-3.0
Avg total141.0165.0129.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Big Ten conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Purdue330100%89.357.7+31.7
2 UCLA220100%71.547.0+24.5
3 Nebraska330100%76.352.0+24.3
4 Penn State330100%78.754.3+24.3
5 Michigan330100%93.369.7+23.7
6 Minnesota220100%91.068.0+23.0
7 Oregon220100%78.566.0+12.5
8 Indiana220100%70.563.5+7.0
9 Northwestern330100%68.762.0+6.7
10 Iowa32167%97.375.7+21.7
11 Washington32167%80.769.0+11.7
12 Illinois32167%69.358.7+10.7
13 USC32167%75.766.0+9.7
14 Rutgers32167%65.356.7+8.7
15 Ohio State21150%72.573.0-0.5
16 Michigan State31233%71.768.0+3.7
17 Maryland31233%64.061.0+3.0
18 Wisconsin31233%78.076.0+2.0
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Metro Atlantic Athletic conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Marist220100%68.057.0+11.0
2 Quinnipiac32167%90.373.3+17.0
3 Sacred Heart32167%86.772.0+14.7
4 Merrimack Warriors32167%73.068.0+5.0
5 St. Peters21150%67.059.0+8.0
6 Iona21150%78.576.0+2.5
7 Mount St. Mary's21150%63.564.0-0.5
8 Canisius21150%73.578.0-4.5
9 Manhattan21150%61.079.0-18.0
10 Fairfield31233%80.775.7+5.0
11 Rider31233%76.075.3+0.7
12 Siena31233%59.779.7-20.0
13 Niagara2020%63.571.5-8.0
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Ohio State354176
Merrimack Warriors292352
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