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Michigan State vs Ohio State Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 10 Mar 2023
Tip-off: 19:30
Final 58-68
24-33 34-35
Position#108
Record19-11
FormLWLWW
Points / game70.6
Allowed / game67.4
vs
Position#235
Record15-18
FormWWLWW
Points / game72.8
Allowed / game69.0
USANCAA
Other2022-23
Meetings · Michigan State v Ohio State
22 Feb 2026
MICH66
OHIO60
25 Feb 2024
MICH57
OHIO60
10 Mar 2023
MICH58
OHIO68
04 Mar 2023
MICH84
OHIO78
25 Feb 2021
MICH71
OHIO67
08 Mar 2020
MICH80
OHIO69
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Michigan State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Ohio State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Michigan StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Iowa
#134
W
63-61
63
61
+2
H27/01
NCAA
Purdue
#14
L
61-77
61
77
-16
A29/01
NCAA
Rutgers
#132
L
55-61
55
61
-6
A04/02
NCAA
Maryland
#97
W
63-58
63
58
+5
H08/02
NCAA
Ohio State
#235
W
62-41
62
41
+21
A12/02
NCAA
Michigan
#174
L
72-84
72
84
-12
A19/02
NCAA
Indiana
#76
W
80-65
80
65
+15
H22/02
NCAA
Iowa
#134
L
106-112 OT
106
112
-6
A25/02
NCAA
Nebraska
#213
W
80-67
80
67
+13
A01/03
NCAA
Ohio State
#235
W
84-78
84
78
+6
H04/03
NCAA
1H
2H
30-29
33-32
22-40
39-37
25-19
30-42
31-22
32-36
27-14
35-27
36-33
36-51
35-29
45-36
42-42
59-59
26-38
54-29
43-34
41-44
143.0Avg total
72.6Scored
70.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (30)70.667.4138.0+3.363%
Season at home (18)72.164.7136.8+7.383%
Season away (12)68.571.3139.8-2.833%
Last 10 (10)72.670.4143.0+2.260%
Last 5 (5)84.481.2165.6+3.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)64.068.4132.4-4.414%
vs Similar ◀ (19)73.668.2141.7+5.479%
vs Weaker (4)68.261.8130.0+6.575%
This opponent (Ohio State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Ohio StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Northwestern
#87
L
63-69
63
69
-6
H10/02
NCAA
Michigan State
#108
L
41-62
41
62
-21
H12/02
NCAA
Iowa
#134
L
75-92
75
92
-17
A17/02
NCAA
Purdue
#14
L
55-82
55
82
-27
A19/02
NCAA
Penn State
#105
L
71-75
71
75
-4
H23/02
NCAA
Illinois
#114
W
72-60
72
60
+12
H26/02
NCAA
Maryland
#97
W
73-62
73
62
+11
H02/03
NCAA
Michigan State
#108
L
78-84
78
84
-6
A04/03
NCAA
Wisconsin
#158
W
65-57
65
57
+8
A08/03
NCAA
Iowa
#134
W
73-69
73
69
+4
A09/03
NCAA
1H
2H
27-28
36-41
14-27
27-35
36-47
39-45
29-38
26-44
37-37
34-38
41-29
31-31
35-29
38-33
34-43
44-41
36-18
29-39
29-28
44-41
137.8Avg total
66.6Scored
71.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (33)72.869.0141.8+3.945%
Season at home (18)75.565.0140.5+10.561%
Season away (15)69.773.7143.4-4.127%
Last 10 (10)66.671.2137.8-4.640%
Last 5 (5)72.266.4138.6+5.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)69.372.7142.0-3.429%
vs Similar ◀ (18)70.772.4143.1-1.739%
vs Weaker (5)81.662.4144.0+19.260%
This opponent (Michigan State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-5-2+0+2+51st half1st half: +1.7+1.71st half: -0.6-0.62nd half2nd half: +1.1+1.12nd half: -4.0-4.0
-5-2+0+2+51st half1st half: +1.7+1.71st half: -0.6-0.62nd half2nd half: +1.1+1.12nd half: -4.0-4.0
Michigan StateOhio State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Michigan StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Iowa
#134
W
30-29
30
29
+1
H27/01
NCAA
Purdue
#14
L
22-40
22
40
-18
A29/01
NCAA
Rutgers
#132
W
25-19
25
19
+6
A04/02
NCAA
Maryland
#97
W
31-22
31
22
+9
H08/02
NCAA
Ohio State
#235
W
27-14
27
14
+13
A12/02
NCAA
Michigan
#174
W
36-33
36
33
+3
A19/02
NCAA
Indiana
#76
W
35-29
35
29
+6
H22/02
NCAA
Iowa
#134
D
42-42
42
42
+0
A25/02
NCAA
Nebraska
#213
L
26-38
26
38
-12
A01/03
NCAA
Ohio State
#235
W
43-34
43
34
+9
H04/03
NCAA
61.7Avg total
31.7Scored
30.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.030.163.1+2.967%-
Last 30 at home (18)34.128.262.3+5.878%-
Last 30 away (12)31.432.964.3-1.550%-
Last 10 (10)31.730.061.7+1.770%-
Last 5 (5)36.435.271.6+1.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)31.431.763.1-0.357%-
vs Similar ◀ (19)34.329.563.8+4.874%-
vs Weaker (4)29.530.259.8-0.850%-
This opponent (Ohio State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Ohio StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Northwestern
#87
L
27-28
27
28
-1
H10/02
NCAA
Michigan State
#108
L
14-27
14
27
-13
H12/02
NCAA
Iowa
#134
L
36-47
36
47
-11
A17/02
NCAA
Purdue
#14
L
29-38
29
38
-9
A19/02
NCAA
Penn State
#105
D
37-37
37
37
+0
H23/02
NCAA
Illinois
#114
W
41-29
41
29
+12
H26/02
NCAA
Maryland
#97
W
35-29
35
29
+6
H02/03
NCAA
Michigan State
#108
L
34-43
34
43
-9
A04/03
NCAA
Wisconsin
#158
W
36-18
36
18
+18
A08/03
NCAA
Iowa
#134
W
29-28
29
28
+1
A09/03
NCAA
64.2Avg total
31.8Scored
32.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.332.866.1+0.557%-
Last 30 at home (15)35.532.968.4+2.567%-
Last 30 away (15)31.232.763.9-1.547%-
Last 10 (10)31.832.464.2-0.640%-
Last 5 (5)35.029.464.4+5.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)30.331.962.1-1.657%-
vs Similar ◀ (18)33.633.867.3-0.250%-
vs Weaker (5)36.830.667.4+6.280%-
This opponent (Michigan State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Michigan State wins
2
Ohio State wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/03/23HOhio State84-78
01/03/23ANebraska80-67
25/02/23AIowa106-112 OT
22/02/23HIndiana80-65
19/02/23AMichigan72-84
12/02/23AOhio State62-41
08/02/23HMaryland63-58
04/02/23ARutgers55-61
29/01/23APurdue61-77
27/01/23HIowa63-61
Ohio Statelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/03/23AIowa73-69
08/03/23AWisconsin65-57
04/03/23AMichigan State78-84
02/03/23HMaryland73-62
26/02/23HIllinois72-60
23/02/23HPenn State71-75
19/02/23APurdue55-82
17/02/23AIowa75-92
12/02/23HMichigan State41-62
10/02/23HNorthwestern63-69

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Michigan State
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWW63%
HomeWWWWW83%
AwayLWLLW33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games301812
Win %63%83%33%
Points / game70.672.168.5
Allowed / game67.464.771.3
Point differential+3.3+7.3-2.8
Avg total138.0136.8139.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+30%39%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (8)83% (6)50% (2)
Overtime %7%6%8%
Ohio State
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW45%
HomeLLLWW61%
AwayLLLWW27%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games331815
Win %45%61%27%
Points / game72.875.569.7
Allowed / game69.065.073.7
Point differential+3.9+10.5-4.1
Avg total141.8140.5143.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%50%13%
Close games (≤5 pts) won22% (9)17% (6)33% (3)
Overtime %6%6%7%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Big Ten conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 UCLA3228488%74.360.4+13.9
2 Purdue3227584%73.162.6+10.5
3 USC32221069%72.867.2+5.5
4 Indiana31211068%75.368.5+6.8
5 Northwestern31211068%67.762.3+5.4
6 Maryland32211166%70.762.9+7.8
7 Michigan State30191163%70.667.4+3.3
8 Illinois32201262%74.767.0+7.7
9 Penn State32201262%72.668.4+4.2
10 Iowa32191359%80.274.4+5.8
11 Oregon32191359%71.166.8+4.3
12 Rutgers33191458%67.960.3+7.5
13 Wisconsin31171455%64.963.8+1.1
14 Michigan32171553%73.169.4+3.7
15 Washington32161650%69.270.3-1.2
16 Nebraska32161650%68.069.9-1.9
17 Ohio State33151845%72.869.0+3.9
18 Minnesota3192229%62.971.0-8.2
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Michigan State243458
Ohio State333568
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