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Purdue vs Ohio State Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 11 Mar 2023
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 80-66
42-34 38-32
Position#14
Record27-5
FormWLWWW
Points / game73.1
Allowed / game62.6
Purdue 🏆
USA
vs
Ohio State
USA
Position#235
Record16-18
FormWLWWW
Points / game72.7
Allowed / game68.6
USANCAA
Other2022-23
Meetings · Purdue v Ohio State
12 Jan 2027
PURD v OHIO
upcoming
21 Jan 2025
PURD70
OHIO73
11 Mar 2023
PURD80
OHIO66
19 Feb 2023
PURD82
OHIO55
30 Jan 2022
PURD81
OHIO78
12 Mar 2021
PURD78
OHIO87
16 Dec 2020
PURD67
OHIO60
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Purdue winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Ohio State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PurdueUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Penn State
#105
W
80-60
80
60
+20
H01/02
NCAA
Indiana
#76
L
74-79
74
79
-5
A04/02
NCAA
Iowa
#134
W
87-73
87
73
+14
H10/02
NCAA
Northwestern
#87
L
58-64
58
64
-6
A12/02
NCAA
Maryland
#97
L
54-68
54
68
-14
A16/02
NCAA
Ohio State
#235
W
82-55
82
55
+27
H19/02
NCAA
Indiana
#76
L
71-79
71
79
-8
H26/02
NCAA
Wisconsin
#158
W
63-61
63
61
+2
A03/03
NCAA
Illinois
#114
W
76-71
76
71
+5
H05/03
NCAA
Rutgers
#132
W
70-65
70
65
+5
H10/03
NCAA
1H
2H
35-29
45-31
35-50
39-29
38-21
49-52
37-30
21-34
28-25
26-43
38-29
44-26
38-34
33-45
31-27
32-34
47-26
29-45
29-28
41-37
139.0Avg total
71.5Scored
67.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (32)73.162.6135.6+10.584%
Season at home (19)75.561.1136.6+14.489%
Season away (13)69.564.7134.2+4.877%
Last 10 (10)71.567.5139.0+4.060%
Last 5 (5)72.466.2138.6+6.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (11)71.567.3138.7+4.264%
vs Weaker ◀ (19)73.961.3135.3+12.695%
This opponent (Ohio State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Ohio StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Michigan State
#108
L
41-62
41
62
-21
H12/02
NCAA
Iowa
#134
L
75-92
75
92
-17
A17/02
NCAA
Purdue
#14
L
55-82
55
82
-27
A19/02
NCAA
Penn State
#105
L
71-75
71
75
-4
H23/02
NCAA
Illinois
#114
W
72-60
72
60
+12
H26/02
NCAA
Maryland
#97
W
73-62
73
62
+11
H02/03
NCAA
Michigan State
#108
L
78-84
78
84
-6
A04/03
NCAA
Wisconsin
#158
W
65-57
65
57
+8
A08/03
NCAA
Iowa
#134
W
73-69
73
69
+4
A09/03
NCAA
Michigan State
#108
W
68-58
68
58
+10
A10/03
NCAA
1H
2H
14-27
27-35
36-47
39-45
29-38
26-44
37-37
34-38
41-29
31-31
35-29
38-33
34-43
44-41
36-18
29-39
29-28
44-41
33-24
35-34
137.2Avg total
67.1Scored
70.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (34)72.768.6141.4+4.147%
Season at home (18)75.565.0140.5+10.561%
Season away (16)69.672.8142.3-3.231%
Last 10 (10)67.170.1137.2-3.050%
Last 5 (5)71.466.0137.4+5.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)68.070.2138.2-2.233%
vs Similar (19)70.671.6142.2-1.142%
vs Weaker (5)81.662.4144.0+19.260%
This opponent (Purdue) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-7-4+0+4+71st half1st half: +5.7+5.71st half: +0.4+0.42nd half2nd half: -1.7-1.72nd half: -3.4-3.4
-7-4+0+4+71st half1st half: +5.7+5.71st half: +0.4+0.42nd half2nd half: -1.7-1.72nd half: -3.4-3.4
PurdueOhio State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
PurdueLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Penn State
#105
W
35-29
35
29
+6
H01/02
NCAA
Indiana
#76
L
35-50
35
50
-15
A04/02
NCAA
Iowa
#134
W
38-21
38
21
+17
H10/02
NCAA
Northwestern
#87
W
37-30
37
30
+7
A12/02
NCAA
Maryland
#97
W
28-25
28
25
+3
A16/02
NCAA
Ohio State
#235
W
38-29
38
29
+9
H19/02
NCAA
Indiana
#76
W
38-34
38
34
+4
H26/02
NCAA
Wisconsin
#158
W
31-27
31
27
+4
A03/03
NCAA
Illinois
#114
W
47-26
47
26
+21
H05/03
NCAA
Rutgers
#132
W
29-28
29
28
+1
H10/03
NCAA
65.5Avg total
35.6Scored
29.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.128.965.0+7.183%-
Last 30 at home (17)37.927.965.8+9.988%-
Last 30 away (13)33.730.263.9+3.577%-
Last 10 (10)35.629.965.5+5.790%-
Last 5 (5)36.628.865.4+7.8100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (11)36.531.768.2+4.773%-
vs Weaker ◀ (19)35.827.363.2+8.589%-
This opponent (Ohio State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Ohio StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Michigan State
#108
L
14-27
14
27
-13
H12/02
NCAA
Iowa
#134
L
36-47
36
47
-11
A17/02
NCAA
Purdue
#14
L
29-38
29
38
-9
A19/02
NCAA
Penn State
#105
D
37-37
37
37
+0
H23/02
NCAA
Illinois
#114
W
41-29
41
29
+12
H26/02
NCAA
Maryland
#97
W
35-29
35
29
+6
H02/03
NCAA
Michigan State
#108
L
34-43
34
43
-9
A04/03
NCAA
Wisconsin
#158
W
36-18
36
18
+18
A08/03
NCAA
Iowa
#134
W
29-28
29
28
+1
A09/03
NCAA
Michigan State
#108
W
33-24
33
24
+9
A10/03
NCAA
64.4Avg total
32.4Scored
32.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.632.465.9+1.260%-
Last 30 at home (15)35.532.968.4+2.567%-
Last 30 away (15)31.731.863.5-0.153%-
Last 10 (10)32.432.064.4+0.450%-
Last 5 (5)33.428.461.8+5.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)31.031.062.0+0.067%-
vs Similar (19)33.533.366.8+0.353%-
vs Weaker (5)36.830.667.4+6.280%-
This opponent (Purdue) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Purdue wins
2
Ohio State wins
DateGameScore
19/02/23Purdue v Ohio State82-55
06/01/23Ohio State v Purdue69-71
30/01/22Purdue v Ohio State81-78
12/03/21Purdue v Ohio State78-87 OT
19/01/21Ohio State v Purdue65-67
17/12/20Purdue v Ohio State67-60
15/02/20Ohio State v Purdue68-52
Purduelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/03/23HRutgers70-65
05/03/23HIllinois76-71
03/03/23AWisconsin63-61
26/02/23HIndiana71-79
19/02/23HOhio State82-55
16/02/23AMaryland54-68
12/02/23ANorthwestern58-64
10/02/23HIowa87-73
04/02/23AIndiana74-79
01/02/23HPenn State80-60
Ohio Statelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/03/23AMichigan State68-58
09/03/23AIowa73-69
08/03/23AWisconsin65-57
04/03/23AMichigan State78-84
02/03/23HMaryland73-62
26/02/23HIllinois72-60
23/02/23HPenn State71-75
19/02/23APurdue55-82
17/02/23AIowa75-92
12/02/23HMichigan State41-62

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Purdue
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW84%
HomeWWLWW89%
AwayWLLLW77%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321913
Win %84%89%77%
Points / game73.175.569.5
Allowed / game62.661.164.7
Point differential+10.5+14.4+4.8
Avg total135.6136.6134.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+53%63%38%
Close games (≤5 pts) won82% (11)80% (5)83% (6)
Overtime %3%0%8%
Ohio State
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW47%
HomeLLLWW61%
AwayLLWWW31%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games341816
Win %47%61%31%
Points / game72.775.569.6
Allowed / game68.665.072.8
Point differential+4.1+10.5-3.2
Avg total141.4140.5142.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+35%50%19%
Close games (≤5 pts) won22% (9)17% (6)33% (3)
Overtime %6%6%6%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Big Ten conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 UCLA3329488%74.460.3+14.1
2 Purdue3227584%73.162.6+10.5
3 Indiana32221069%75.168.2+6.9
4 USC32221069%72.867.2+5.5
5 Northwestern32211166%67.762.5+5.2
6 Maryland33211264%70.463.2+7.2
7 Penn State33211264%72.468.3+4.1
8 Illinois32201262%74.767.0+7.7
9 Michigan State31191261%70.267.4+2.8
10 Iowa32191359%80.274.4+5.8
11 Rutgers33191458%67.960.3+7.5
12 Oregon33191458%70.767.1+3.6
13 Wisconsin31171455%64.963.8+1.1
14 Michigan32171553%73.169.4+3.7
15 Washington32161650%69.270.3-1.2
16 Nebraska32161650%68.069.9-1.9
17 Ohio State34161847%72.768.6+4.1
18 Minnesota3192229%62.971.0-8.2
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Purdue423880
Ohio State343266
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