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Ohio State vs Minnesota Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 20 Jan 2026
Tip-off: 23:30
Final 82-74 (OT)
31-28 36-39 15-7
Position#104
Record12-5
FormWLWLW
Points / game83.3
Allowed / game72.1
Ohio State 🏆
USA
vs
Minnesota
USA
Position#235
Record10-8
FormWWLLL
Points / game72.8
Allowed / game67.3
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Meetings · Ohio State v Minnesota
20 Jan 2026
OHIO82
MINN74
03 Dec 2023
OHIO84
MINN74
12 Jan 2023
OHIO67
MINN70
15 Feb 2022
OHIO70
MINN45
11 Mar 2021
OHIO79
MINN75
23 Jan 2020
OHIO59
MINN62
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Ohio State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Minnesota winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Ohio StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Northwestern
#251
W
86-82
86
82
+4
A06/12
NCAA
Illinois
#35
L
80-88
80
88
-8
H10/12
NCAA
West Virginia
#147
W
89-88 OT
89
88
+1
H14/12
NCAA
North Carolina
#45
L
70-71
70
71
-1
H20/12
NCAA
Grambling St.
#260
W
89-63
89
63
+26
H23/12
NCAA
Rutgers
#267
W
80-73
80
73
+7
A03/01
NCAA
Nebraska
#21
L
69-72
69
72
-3
H05/01
NCAA
Oregon
#293
W
72-62
72
62
+10
A09/01
NCAA
Washington
#218
L
74-81
74
81
-7
A11/01
NCAA
UCLA
#73
W
86-74
86
74
+12
H17/01
NCAA
1H
2H
40-44
46-38
42-48
38-40
27-37
41-31
31-34
39-37
39-24
50-39
37-41
43-32
31-38
38-34
34-29
38-33
38-36
36-45
42-36
44-38
154.9Avg total
79.5Scored
75.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)83.372.1155.4+11.271%
Season at home (12)86.571.7158.2+14.875%
Season away (5)75.673.0148.6+2.660%
Last 10 (10)79.575.4154.9+4.160%
Last 5 (5)76.272.4148.6+3.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)74.076.7150.7-2.733%
vs Similar (16)77.276.6153.8+0.644%
vs Weaker ◀ (11)87.869.7157.5+18.191%
This opponent (Minnesota) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MinnesotaUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Indiana
#145
W
73-64
73
64
+9
H04/12
NCAA
Purdue
#31
L
57-85
57
85
-28
A11/12
NCAA
Texas Southern
#281
W
89-53
89
53
+36
H14/12
NCAA
Campbell
#222
W
78-50
78
50
+28
H21/12
NCAA
Fairleigh Dickinson
#315
W
60-43
60
43
+17
H30/12
NCAA
Northwestern
#251
W
84-78
84
78
+6
A03/01
NCAA
Iowa
#81
W
70-67
70
67
+3
H07/01
NCAA
USC
#153
L
69-70 OT
69
70
-1
H10/01
NCAA
Wisconsin
#57
L
75-78
75
78
-3
H14/01
NCAA
Illinois
#35
L
67-77
67
77
-10
A17/01
NCAA
1H
2H
33-33
40-31
32-35
25-50
45-25
44-28
41-22
37-28
32-29
28-14
34-34
50-44
31-24
39-43
30-35
33-28
35-28
40-50
34-34
33-43
138.7Avg total
72.2Scored
66.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)72.867.3140.1+5.456%
Season at home (14)74.463.5137.9+10.964%
Season away (4)67.080.8147.8-13.825%
Last 10 (10)72.266.5138.7+5.760%
Last 5 (5)73.074.0147.0-1.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)66.473.5139.9-7.133%
vs Similar (10)70.070.7140.7-0.740%
vs Weaker (5)79.452.0131.4+27.4100%
This opponent (Ohio State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: -0.6-0.61st half: +4.8+4.82nd half2nd half: +4.6+4.62nd half: +1.0+1.0
-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: -0.6-0.61st half: +4.8+4.82nd half2nd half: +4.6+4.62nd half: +1.0+1.0
Ohio StateMinnesota
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Ohio StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Northwestern
#251
L
40-44
40
44
-4
A06/12
NCAA
Illinois
#35
L
42-48
42
48
-6
H10/12
NCAA
West Virginia
#147
L
27-37
27
37
-10
H14/12
NCAA
North Carolina
#45
L
31-34
31
34
-3
H20/12
NCAA
Grambling St.
#260
W
39-24
39
24
+15
H23/12
NCAA
Rutgers
#267
L
37-41
37
41
-4
A03/01
NCAA
Nebraska
#21
L
31-38
31
38
-7
H05/01
NCAA
Oregon
#293
W
34-29
34
29
+5
A09/01
NCAA
Washington
#218
W
38-36
38
36
+2
A11/01
NCAA
UCLA
#73
W
42-36
42
36
+6
H17/01
NCAA
72.8Avg total
36.1Scored
36.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.234.672.8+3.657%-
Last 30 at home (19)39.134.773.8+4.453%-
Last 30 away (11)36.534.470.9+2.264%-
Last 10 (10)36.136.772.8-0.640%-
Last 5 (5)36.436.072.4+0.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)35.042.377.3-7.30%-
vs Similar (16)35.833.769.4+2.162%-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)42.533.876.4+8.764%-
This opponent (Minnesota) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MinnesotaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Indiana
#145
D
33-33
33
33
+0
H04/12
NCAA
Purdue
#31
L
32-35
32
35
-3
A11/12
NCAA
Texas Southern
#281
W
45-25
45
25
+20
H14/12
NCAA
Campbell
#222
W
41-22
41
22
+19
H21/12
NCAA
Fairleigh Dickinson
#315
W
32-29
32
29
+3
H30/12
NCAA
Northwestern
#251
D
34-34
34
34
+0
A03/01
NCAA
Iowa
#81
W
31-24
31
24
+7
H07/01
NCAA
USC
#153
L
30-35
30
35
-5
H10/01
NCAA
Wisconsin
#57
W
35-28
35
28
+7
H14/01
NCAA
Illinois
#35
D
34-34
34
34
+0
A17/01
NCAA
64.6Avg total
34.7Scored
29.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)31.731.663.3+0.133%-
Last 30 at home (20)33.430.864.2+2.645%-
Last 30 away (10)28.333.261.5-4.910%-
Last 10 (10)34.729.964.6+4.850%-
Last 5 (5)32.831.063.8+1.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)29.033.462.4-4.420%-
vs Similar (10)30.733.163.8-2.420%-
vs Weaker (5)41.823.064.8+18.8100%-
This opponent (Ohio State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Ohio State wins
5
Minnesota wins
DateGameScore
07/01/25Minnesota v Ohio State88-89 OT
23/02/24Minnesota v Ohio State88-79
03/12/23Ohio State v Minnesota84-74
12/01/23Ohio State v Minnesota67-70
16/02/22Ohio State v Minnesota70-45
28/01/22Minnesota v Ohio State64-75
11/03/21Ohio State v Minnesota79-75
03/01/21Minnesota v Ohio State77-60
23/01/20Ohio State v Minnesota59-62
15/12/19Minnesota v Ohio State84-71
Ohio Statelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/01/26HUCLA86-74
11/01/26AWashington74-81
09/01/26AOregon72-62
05/01/26HNebraska69-72
03/01/26ARutgers80-73
23/12/25HGrambling St.89-63
20/12/25HNorth Carolina70-71
14/12/25HWest Virginia89-88 OT
10/12/25HIllinois80-88
06/12/25ANorthwestern86-82
Minnesotalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/01/26AIllinois67-77
14/01/26HWisconsin75-78
10/01/26HUSC69-70 OT
07/01/26HIowa70-67
03/01/26ANorthwestern84-78
30/12/25HFairleigh Dickinson60-43
21/12/25HCampbell78-50
14/12/25HTexas Southern89-53
11/12/25APurdue57-85
04/12/25HIndiana73-64

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Ohio State
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLW71%
HomeWLWLW75%
AwayLWWWL60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games17125
Win %71%75%60%
Points / game83.386.575.6
Allowed / game72.171.773.0
Point differential+11.2+14.8+2.6
Avg total155.4158.2148.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+47%58%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (6)50% (4)50% (2)
Overtime %6%8%0%
Minnesota
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLL56%
HomeWWWLL64%
AwayLLWL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games18144
Win %56%64%25%
Points / game72.874.467.0
Allowed / game67.363.580.8
Point differential+5.4+10.9-13.8
Avg total140.1137.9147.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%43%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (4)25% (4)-
Overtime %11%14%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Big Ten conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Nebraska18180100%81.465.3+16.1
2 Purdue1817194%85.168.1+17.0
3 Michigan1716194%93.168.8+24.2
4 Michigan State1816289%79.164.2+14.9
5 Illinois1815383%85.167.4+17.7
6 USC1814478%83.475.8+7.6
7 Iowa1813572%78.462.4+16.1
8 Wisconsin1813572%83.575.7+7.8
9 Ohio State1712571%83.372.1+11.2
10 Indiana1812667%81.669.1+12.6
11 UCLA1812667%78.269.5+8.7
12 Washington1810856%80.174.0+6.1
13 Minnesota1810856%72.867.3+5.4
14 Penn State189950%76.876.3+0.6
15 Rutgers189950%70.774.4-3.7
16 Northwestern1881044%77.371.9+5.4
17 Oregon1881044%75.274.6+0.6
18 Maryland1881044%74.577.8-3.3
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HOTFinal
Ohio State31361582
Minnesota2839774
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