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Northwestern vs Minnesota Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 03 Jan 2026
Tip-off: 22:00
Final 78-84
34-34 44-50
Position#251
Record8-5
FormLWWLW
Points / game80.5
Allowed / game69.4
vs
Position#235
Record8-5
FormWLWWW
Points / game72.7
Allowed / game64.8
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Meetings · Northwestern v Minnesota
03 Jan 2027
NORT v MINN
upcoming
03 Jan 2026
NORT78
MINN84
09 Mar 2024
NORT90
MINN66
28 Jan 2023
NORT81
MINN61
06 Mar 2022
NORT75
MINN62
10 Mar 2021
NORT46
MINN51
23 Feb 2020
NORT57
MINN83
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Northwestern winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Minnesota winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

NorthwesternUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
DePaul
#213
W
81-79
81
79
+2
A15/11
NCAA
Virginia
#19
L
78-83
78
83
-5
A21/11
NCAA
South Carolina
#278
W
79-77
79
77
+2
H23/11
NCAA
Oklahoma State
#140
L
81-86
81
86
-5
H28/11
NCAA
Wisconsin
#57
L
73-85
73
85
-12
A04/12
NCAA
Ohio State
#104
L
82-86
82
86
-4
H06/12
NCAA
Jackson State
#306
W
93-53
93
53
+40
H13/12
NCAA
Valparaiso
#170
W
86-70
86
70
+16
H17/12
NCAA
Butler
#208
L
58-61
58
61
-3
A20/12
NCAA
Howard
#55
W
80-60
80
60
+20
H30/12
NCAA
1H
2H
42-44
39-35
36-40
42-43
36-34
43-43
40-39
41-47
32-55
41-30
44-40
38-46
41-24
52-29
39-30
47-40
23-29
35-32
31-28
49-32
153.1Avg total
79.1Scored
74.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)80.569.4149.9+11.262%
Season at home (9)84.166.0150.1+18.178%
Season away (4)72.577.0149.5-4.525%
Last 10 (10)79.174.0153.1+5.150%
Last 5 (5)79.866.0145.8+13.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)72.576.3148.8-3.820%
vs Similar ◀ (15)74.168.7142.9+5.460%
vs Weaker (5)84.263.8148.0+20.480%
This opponent (Minnesota) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MinnesotaUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Wisc. Green Bay
#171
W
72-65 OT
72
65
+7
H16/11
NCAA
Chicago State
#363
W
66-54
66
54
+12
H19/11
NCAA
San Francisco
#191
L
65-77
65
77
-12
H22/11
NCAA
Stanford
#103
L
68-72
68
72
-4
H28/11
NCAA
Santa Clara
#39
L
75-86
75
86
-11
H29/11
NCAA
Indiana
#145
W
73-64
73
64
+9
H04/12
NCAA
Purdue
#31
L
57-85
57
85
-28
A11/12
NCAA
Texas Southern
#281
W
89-53
89
53
+36
H14/12
NCAA
Campbell
#222
W
78-50
78
50
+28
H21/12
NCAA
Fairleigh Dickinson
#315
W
60-43
60
43
+17
H30/12
NCAA
1H
2H
23-27
38-34
31-24
35-30
27-34
38-43
34-31
34-41
27-51
48-35
33-33
40-31
32-35
25-50
45-25
44-28
41-22
37-28
32-29
28-14
135.2Avg total
70.3Scored
64.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)72.764.8137.5+7.962%
Season at home (11)75.361.3136.5+14.073%
Season away (2)58.584.0142.5-25.50%
Last 10 (10)70.364.9135.2+5.460%
Last 5 (5)71.459.0130.4+12.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)67.573.8141.2-6.341%
vs Similar ◀ (8)68.469.9138.2-1.538%
vs Weaker (5)79.452.0131.4+27.4100%
This opponent (Northwestern) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: +0.1+0.11st half: +1.4+1.42nd half2nd half: +5.0+5.02nd half: +3.3+3.3
-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: +0.1+0.11st half: +1.4+1.42nd half2nd half: +5.0+5.02nd half: +3.3+3.3
NorthwesternMinnesota
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
NorthwesternLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
DePaul
#213
L
42-44
42
44
-2
A15/11
NCAA
Virginia
#19
L
36-40
36
40
-4
A21/11
NCAA
South Carolina
#278
W
36-34
36
34
+2
H23/11
NCAA
Oklahoma State
#140
W
40-39
40
39
+1
H28/11
NCAA
Wisconsin
#57
L
32-55
32
55
-23
A04/12
NCAA
Ohio State
#104
W
44-40
44
40
+4
H06/12
NCAA
Jackson State
#306
W
41-24
41
24
+17
H13/12
NCAA
Valparaiso
#170
W
39-30
39
30
+9
H17/12
NCAA
Butler
#208
L
23-29
23
29
-6
A20/12
NCAA
Howard
#55
W
31-28
31
28
+3
H30/12
NCAA
72.7Avg total
36.4Scored
36.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.333.167.5+1.263%-
Last 30 at home (17)36.930.767.6+6.288%-
Last 30 away (13)30.936.367.2-5.431%-
Last 10 (10)36.436.372.7+0.160%-
Last 5 (5)35.630.265.8+5.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)32.737.169.8-4.450%-
vs Similar ◀ (15)34.131.565.5+2.667%-
vs Weaker (5)38.430.268.6+8.280%-
This opponent (Minnesota) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MinnesotaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Wisc. Green Bay
#171
L
23-27
23
27
-4
H16/11
NCAA
Chicago State
#363
W
31-24
31
24
+7
H19/11
NCAA
San Francisco
#191
L
27-34
27
34
-7
H22/11
NCAA
Stanford
#103
W
34-31
34
31
+3
H28/11
NCAA
Santa Clara
#39
L
27-51
27
51
-24
H29/11
NCAA
Indiana
#145
D
33-33
33
33
+0
H04/12
NCAA
Purdue
#31
L
32-35
32
35
-3
A11/12
NCAA
Texas Southern
#281
W
45-25
45
25
+20
H14/12
NCAA
Campbell
#222
W
41-22
41
22
+19
H21/12
NCAA
Fairleigh Dickinson
#315
W
32-29
32
29
+3
H30/12
NCAA
63.6Avg total
32.5Scored
31.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)31.932.063.9-0.137%-
Last 30 at home (19)34.131.965.9+2.242%-
Last 30 away (11)28.332.260.5-3.927%-
Last 10 (10)32.531.163.6+1.450%-
Last 5 (5)36.628.865.4+7.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)29.834.364.1-4.524%-
vs Similar ◀ (8)30.432.863.1-2.425%-
vs Weaker (5)41.823.064.8+18.8100%-
This opponent (Northwestern) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Northwestern wins
4
Minnesota wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/12/25HHoward80-60
20/12/25AButler58-61
17/12/25HValparaiso86-70
13/12/25HJackson State93-53
06/12/25HOhio State82-86
04/12/25AWisconsin73-85
28/11/25HOklahoma State81-86
23/11/25HSouth Carolina79-77
21/11/25AVirginia78-83
15/11/25ADePaul81-79
Minnesotalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/12/25HFairleigh Dickinson60-43
21/12/25HCampbell78-50
14/12/25HTexas Southern89-53
11/12/25APurdue57-85
04/12/25HIndiana73-64
29/11/25HSanta Clara75-86
28/11/25HStanford68-72
22/11/25HSan Francisco65-77
19/11/25HChicago State66-54
16/11/25HWisc. Green Bay72-65 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Northwestern
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLW62%
HomeLLWWW78%
AwayWLLL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1394
Win %62%78%25%
Points / game80.584.172.5
Allowed / game69.466.077.0
Point differential+11.2+18.1-4.5
Avg total149.9150.1149.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+46%67%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (6)33% (3)33% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Minnesota
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW62%
HomeLWWWW73%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games13112
Win %62%73%0%
Points / game72.775.358.5
Allowed / game64.861.384.0
Point differential+7.9+14.0-25.5
Avg total137.5136.5142.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+46%55%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %8%9%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Big Ten conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Michigan13130100%96.766.5+30.2
2 Nebraska14140100%81.765.5+16.2
3 Purdue1312192%86.266.0+20.2
4 Michigan State1412286%79.065.4+13.6
5 USC1412286%87.776.8+10.9
6 Iowa1311285%81.260.1+21.2
7 Illinois1310377%88.268.5+19.8
8 Indiana1310377%84.766.1+18.6
9 Ohio State1310377%85.872.0+13.8
10 UCLA1310377%81.768.9+12.8
11 Washington139469%82.571.2+11.4
12 Wisconsin139469%83.573.2+10.3
13 Penn State139469%79.174.3+4.8
14 Northwestern138562%80.569.4+11.2
15 Minnesota138562%72.764.8+7.9
16 Oregon148657%77.172.3+4.9
17 Maryland147750%75.277.7-2.5
18 Rutgers147750%69.071.6-2.6
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Northwestern344478
Minnesota345084
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