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Illinois vs Minnesota Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 17 Jan 2026
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 77-67
34-34 43-33
Position#35
Record14-3
FormWWWWW
Points / game85.6
Allowed / game67.5
Illinois 🏆
USA
vs
Minnesota
USA
Position#235
Record10-7
FormWWWLL
Points / game73.1
Allowed / game66.8
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Meetings · Illinois v Minnesota
17 Jan 2026
ILLI77
MINN67
28 Feb 2024
ILLI105
MINN97
20 Feb 2023
ILLI78
MINN69
15 Dec 2020
ILLI92
MINN65
30 Jan 2020
ILLI59
MINN51
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Illinois winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Minnesota winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

IllinoisUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Uconn
#11
L
61-74
61
74
-13
H28/11
NCAA
Tennessee
#67
W
75-62
75
62
+13
A07/12
NCAA
Ohio State
#104
W
88-80
88
80
+8
A10/12
NCAA
Nebraska
#21
L
80-83
80
83
-3
H13/12
NCAA
Missouri
#111
W
91-48
91
48
+43
H23/12
NCAA
Southern Univ.
#210
W
90-55
90
55
+35
H29/12
NCAA
Penn State
#298
W
73-65
73
65
+8
A04/01
NCAA
Rutgers
#267
W
81-55
81
55
+26
H09/01
NCAA
Iowa
#81
W
75-69
75
69
+6
A11/01
NCAA
Northwestern
#251
W
79-68
79
68
+11
A15/01
NCAA
1H
2H
32-43
29-31
32-34
43-28
48-42
40-38
37-37
43-46
41-25
50-23
46-25
44-30
40-26
33-39
43-16
38-39
35-24
40-45
38-33
41-35
145.2Avg total
79.3Scored
65.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)85.667.5153.1+18.182%
Season at home (12)88.866.9155.7+21.875%
Season away (5)78.068.8146.8+9.2100%
Last 10 (10)79.365.9145.2+13.480%
Last 5 (5)79.662.4142.0+17.2100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)66.099.0165.0-33.00%
vs Similar (9)78.379.9158.2-1.644%
vs Weaker ◀ (19)87.868.5156.3+19.489%
This opponent (Minnesota) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MinnesotaUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Santa Clara
#39
L
75-86
75
86
-11
H29/11
NCAA
Indiana
#145
W
73-64
73
64
+9
H04/12
NCAA
Purdue
#31
L
57-85
57
85
-28
A11/12
NCAA
Texas Southern
#281
W
89-53
89
53
+36
H14/12
NCAA
Campbell
#222
W
78-50
78
50
+28
H21/12
NCAA
Fairleigh Dickinson
#315
W
60-43
60
43
+17
H30/12
NCAA
Northwestern
#251
W
84-78
84
78
+6
A03/01
NCAA
Iowa
#81
W
70-67
70
67
+3
H07/01
NCAA
USC
#153
L
69-70 OT
69
70
-1
H10/01
NCAA
Wisconsin
#57
L
75-78
75
78
-3
H14/01
NCAA
1H
2H
27-51
48-35
33-33
40-31
32-35
25-50
45-25
44-28
41-22
37-28
32-29
28-14
34-34
50-44
31-24
39-43
30-35
33-28
35-28
40-50
140.4Avg total
73.0Scored
67.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)73.166.8139.9+6.459%
Season at home (14)74.463.5137.9+10.964%
Season away (3)67.082.0149.0-15.033%
Last 10 (10)73.067.4140.4+5.660%
Last 5 (5)71.667.2138.8+4.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)67.172.9140.0-5.940%
vs Similar (10)70.070.7140.7-0.740%
vs Weaker (5)79.452.0131.4+27.4100%
This opponent (Illinois) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-11-5+0+5+111st half1st half: +8.7+8.71st half: +2.4+2.42nd half2nd half: +4.7+4.72nd half: +3.3+3.3
-11-5+0+5+111st half1st half: +8.7+8.71st half: +2.4+2.42nd half2nd half: +4.7+4.72nd half: +3.3+3.3
IllinoisMinnesota
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
IllinoisLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Uconn
#11
L
32-43
32
43
-11
H28/11
NCAA
Tennessee
#67
L
32-34
32
34
-2
A07/12
NCAA
Ohio State
#104
W
48-42
48
42
+6
A10/12
NCAA
Nebraska
#21
D
37-37
37
37
+0
H13/12
NCAA
Missouri
#111
W
41-25
41
25
+16
H23/12
NCAA
Southern Univ.
#210
W
46-25
46
25
+21
H29/12
NCAA
Penn State
#298
W
40-26
40
26
+14
A04/01
NCAA
Rutgers
#267
W
43-16
43
16
+27
H09/01
NCAA
Iowa
#81
W
35-24
35
24
+11
A11/01
NCAA
Northwestern
#251
W
38-33
38
33
+5
A15/01
NCAA
69.7Avg total
39.2Scored
30.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.734.174.8+6.670%-
Last 30 at home (19)43.032.775.7+10.379%-
Last 30 away (11)36.636.573.2+0.155%-
Last 10 (10)39.230.569.7+8.770%-
Last 5 (5)40.424.865.2+15.6100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)34.055.589.5-21.50%-
vs Similar (9)36.137.073.1-0.944%-
vs Weaker ◀ (19)43.530.574.0+13.189%-
This opponent (Minnesota) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MinnesotaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Santa Clara
#39
L
27-51
27
51
-24
H29/11
NCAA
Indiana
#145
D
33-33
33
33
+0
H04/12
NCAA
Purdue
#31
L
32-35
32
35
-3
A11/12
NCAA
Texas Southern
#281
W
45-25
45
25
+20
H14/12
NCAA
Campbell
#222
W
41-22
41
22
+19
H21/12
NCAA
Fairleigh Dickinson
#315
W
32-29
32
29
+3
H30/12
NCAA
Northwestern
#251
D
34-34
34
34
+0
A03/01
NCAA
Iowa
#81
W
31-24
31
24
+7
H07/01
NCAA
USC
#153
L
30-35
30
35
-5
H10/01
NCAA
Wisconsin
#57
W
35-28
35
28
+7
H14/01
NCAA
65.6Avg total
34.0Scored
31.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)32.031.763.7+0.337%-
Last 30 at home (21)33.931.165.0+2.848%-
Last 30 away (9)27.733.160.8-5.411%-
Last 10 (10)34.031.665.6+2.450%-
Last 5 (5)32.430.062.4+2.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)29.733.763.3-4.027%-
vs Similar (10)30.733.163.8-2.420%-
vs Weaker (5)41.823.064.8+18.8100%-
This opponent (Illinois) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
8
Illinois wins
0
Minnesota wins
DateGameScore
08/02/25Minnesota v Illinois74-95
29/02/24Illinois v Minnesota105-97
21/02/23Illinois v Minnesota78-69
16/01/23Minnesota v Illinois60-78
05/01/22Minnesota v Illinois53-76
20/02/21Minnesota v Illinois63-94
16/12/20Illinois v Minnesota92-65
31/01/20Illinois v Minnesota59-51
Illinoislast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/01/26ANorthwestern79-68
11/01/26AIowa75-69
09/01/26HRutgers81-55
04/01/26APenn State73-65
29/12/25HSouthern Univ.90-55
23/12/25HMissouri91-48
13/12/25HNebraska80-83
10/12/25AOhio State88-80
07/12/25ATennessee75-62
28/11/25HUconn61-74
Minnesotalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/01/26HWisconsin75-78
10/01/26HUSC69-70 OT
07/01/26HIowa70-67
03/01/26ANorthwestern84-78
30/12/25HFairleigh Dickinson60-43
21/12/25HCampbell78-50
14/12/25HTexas Southern89-53
11/12/25APurdue57-85
04/12/25HIndiana73-64
29/11/25HSanta Clara75-86

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Illinois
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW82%
HomeLLWWW75%
AwayWWWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games17125
Win %82%75%100%
Points / game85.688.878.0
Allowed / game67.566.968.8
Point differential+18.1+21.8+9.2
Avg total153.1155.7146.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+59%67%40%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)33% (3)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Minnesota
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLL59%
HomeWWWLL64%
AwayLLW33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games17143
Win %59%64%33%
Points / game73.174.467.0
Allowed / game66.863.582.0
Point differential+6.4+10.9-15.0
Avg total139.9137.9149.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+35%43%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (4)25% (4)-
Overtime %12%14%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Big Ten conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Nebraska17170100%81.765.8+15.9
2 Purdue1716194%86.068.3+17.7
3 Michigan1615194%93.868.7+25.1
4 Michigan State1715288%79.064.2+14.8
5 Illinois1714382%85.667.5+18.1
6 USC1714382%84.576.2+8.4
7 Iowa1712571%78.762.7+16.0
8 Indiana1712571%83.168.8+14.3
9 UCLA1712571%78.468.5+9.9
10 Wisconsin1712571%82.875.0+7.8
11 Ohio State1611569%83.171.9+11.2
12 Washington1710759%81.173.6+7.5
13 Minnesota1710759%73.166.8+6.4
14 Penn State179853%77.175.1+1.9
15 Rutgers179853%69.873.2-3.4
16 Northwestern178947%78.571.6+6.8
17 Oregon178947%75.474.2+1.2
18 Maryland1771041%73.278.1-4.8
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Illinois344377
Minnesota343367
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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