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Penn State vs Ohio State Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 30 Jan 2025
Tip-off: 23:30
Final 64-83
33-43 31-40
Position#185
Record13-8
FormLLWLL
Points / game83.2
Allowed / game72.1
vs
Position#172
Record12-8
FormLLLWW
Points / game79.8
Allowed / game71.0
USANCAA
Other2024-25
Meetings · Penn State v Ohio State
04 Mar 2026
PENN62
OHIO94
30 Jan 2025
PENN64
OHIO83
09 Dec 2023
PENN83
OHIO80
05 Dec 2021
PENN64
OHIO76
18 Feb 2021
PENN82
OHIO92
18 Jan 2020
PENN90
OHIO76
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Penn State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Ohio State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Penn StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Drexel
#161
W
75-64
75
64
+11
A21/12
NCAA
Penn
#331
W
86-66
86
66
+20
H29/12
NCAA
Northwestern
#191
W
84-80
84
80
+4
H03/01
NCAA
Indiana
#132
L
71-77
71
77
-6
H05/01
NCAA
Illinois
#100
L
52-91
52
91
-39
A09/01
NCAA
Oregon
#52
L
81-82
81
82
-1
H12/01
NCAA
Michigan State
#17
L
85-90
85
90
-5
A16/01
NCAA
Rutgers
#224
W
80-72
80
72
+8
H20/01
NCAA
Iowa
#192
L
75-76
75
76
-1
A25/01
NCAA
Michigan
#44
L
72-76
72
76
-4
A27/01
NCAA
1H
2H
37-29
38-35
34-31
52-35
37-34
47-46
29-29
42-48
21-45
31-46
34-41
47-41
36-46
49-44
37-35
43-37
38-43
37-33
35-35
37-41
153.5Avg total
76.1Scored
77.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)83.272.1155.3+11.062%
Season at home (14)88.968.8157.7+20.186%
Season away (7)71.778.9150.6-7.114%
Last 10 (10)76.177.4153.5-1.340%
Last 5 (5)78.679.2157.8-0.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)72.680.4153.0-7.820%
vs Similar ◀ (14)76.576.7153.2-0.243%
vs Weaker (11)88.063.8151.8+24.291%
This opponent (Ohio State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Ohio StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Valparaiso
#248
W
95-73
95
73
+22
H18/12
NCAA
Kentucky
#71
W
85-65
85
65
+20
A21/12
NCAA
Indiana State
#254
W
103-83
103
83
+20
H29/12
NCAA
Michigan State
#17
L
62-69
62
69
-7
H04/01
NCAA
Minnesota
#226
W
89-88 OT
89
88
+1
A07/01
NCAA
Oregon
#52
L
71-73
71
73
-2
H09/01
NCAA
Wisconsin
#43
L
68-70
68
70
-2
A15/01
NCAA
Indiana
#132
L
76-77 OT
76
77
-1
H18/01
NCAA
Purdue
#72
W
73-70
73
70
+3
A22/01
NCAA
Iowa
#192
W
82-65
82
65
+17
H28/01
NCAA
1H
2H
41-30
54-43
39-30
46-35
52-47
51-36
29-37
33-32
27-28
37-36
32-27
39-46
20-37
48-33
35-29
36-42
28-41
45-29
30-26
52-39
153.7Avg total
80.4Scored
73.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)79.871.0150.8+8.860%
Season at home (14)82.869.0151.8+13.864%
Season away (6)73.075.7148.7-2.750%
Last 10 (10)80.473.3153.7+7.160%
Last 5 (5)74.071.0145.0+3.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)62.080.0142.0-18.00%
vs Similar ◀ (16)78.970.8149.7+8.162%
vs Weaker (9)87.066.7153.7+20.389%
This opponent (Penn State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-9-4+0+4+91st half1st half: -3.0-3.01st half: +0.1+0.12nd half2nd half: +1.7+1.72nd half: +7.0+7.0
-9-4+0+4+91st half1st half: -3.0-3.01st half: +0.1+0.12nd half2nd half: +1.7+1.72nd half: +7.0+7.0
Penn StateOhio State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Penn StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Drexel
#161
W
37-29
37
29
+8
A21/12
NCAA
Penn
#331
W
34-31
34
31
+3
H29/12
NCAA
Northwestern
#191
W
37-34
37
34
+3
H03/01
NCAA
Indiana
#132
D
29-29
29
29
+0
H05/01
NCAA
Illinois
#100
L
21-45
21
45
-24
A09/01
NCAA
Oregon
#52
L
34-41
34
41
-7
H12/01
NCAA
Michigan State
#17
L
36-46
36
46
-10
A16/01
NCAA
Rutgers
#224
W
37-35
37
35
+2
H20/01
NCAA
Iowa
#192
L
38-43
38
43
-5
A25/01
NCAA
Michigan
#44
D
35-35
35
35
+0
A27/01
NCAA
70.6Avg total
33.8Scored
36.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.034.871.8+2.253%-
Last 30 at home (19)39.232.771.9+6.474%-
Last 30 away (11)33.338.371.5-5.018%-
Last 10 (10)33.836.870.6-3.040%-
Last 5 (5)36.040.076.0-4.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)33.241.074.2-7.80%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)35.435.871.2-0.443%-
vs Weaker (11)40.730.671.4+10.191%-
This opponent (Ohio State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Ohio StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Valparaiso
#248
W
41-30
41
30
+11
H18/12
NCAA
Kentucky
#71
W
39-30
39
30
+9
A21/12
NCAA
Indiana State
#254
W
52-47
52
47
+5
H29/12
NCAA
Michigan State
#17
L
29-37
29
37
-8
H04/01
NCAA
Minnesota
#226
L
27-28
27
28
-1
A07/01
NCAA
Oregon
#52
W
32-27
32
27
+5
H09/01
NCAA
Wisconsin
#43
L
20-37
20
37
-17
A15/01
NCAA
Indiana
#132
W
35-29
35
29
+6
H18/01
NCAA
Purdue
#72
L
28-41
28
41
-13
A22/01
NCAA
Iowa
#192
W
30-26
30
26
+4
H28/01
NCAA
66.5Avg total
33.3Scored
33.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.133.167.2+1.063%-
Last 30 at home (19)37.431.869.3+5.684%-
Last 30 away (11)28.335.363.5-7.027%-
Last 10 (10)33.333.266.5+0.160%-
Last 5 (5)29.032.061.0-3.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)24.041.865.8-17.80%-
vs Similar ◀ (16)34.832.266.9+2.669%-
vs Weaker (9)36.230.366.6+5.978%-
This opponent (Penn State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Penn State wins
6
Ohio State wins
Penn Statelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/01/25AMichigan72-76
25/01/25AIowa75-76
20/01/25HRutgers80-72
16/01/25AMichigan State85-90
12/01/25HOregon81-82
09/01/25AIllinois52-91
05/01/25HIndiana71-77
03/01/25HNorthwestern84-80
29/12/24HPenn86-66
21/12/24ADrexel75-64
Ohio Statelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/01/25HIowa82-65
22/01/25APurdue73-70
18/01/25HIndiana76-77 OT
15/01/25AWisconsin68-70
09/01/25HOregon71-73
07/01/25AMinnesota89-88 OT
04/01/25HMichigan State62-69
29/12/24HIndiana State103-83
21/12/24AKentucky85-65
18/12/24HValparaiso95-73

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Penn State
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL62%
HomeWWLLW86%
AwayWLLLL14%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games21147
Win %62%86%14%
Points / game83.288.971.7
Allowed / game72.168.878.9
Point differential+11.0+20.1-7.1
Avg total155.3157.7150.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+52%71%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won17% (6)50% (2)0% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Ohio State
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWW60%
HomeWLLLW64%
AwayLWWLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games20146
Win %60%64%50%
Points / game79.882.873.0
Allowed / game71.069.075.7
Point differential+8.8+13.8-2.7
Avg total150.8151.8148.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+45%57%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (6)0% (3)67% (3)
Overtime %15%14%17%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Big Ten conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Michigan State2018290%81.267.2+14.1
2 Oregon2016480%77.970.3+7.6
3 Maryland2217577%83.065.5+17.5
4 Wisconsin2116576%81.870.6+11.2
5 Purdue2116576%77.567.5+10.0
6 Michigan2015575%83.270.7+12.5
7 UCLA2115671%75.965.0+10.9
8 Illinois2014670%85.869.5+16.3
9 Indiana2114767%77.173.1+4.0
10 Penn State2113862%83.272.1+11.0
11 Iowa2113862%85.778.5+7.2
12 Ohio State2012860%79.871.0+8.8
13 Nebraska2012860%75.371.0+4.3
14 USC2012860%77.072.8+4.2
15 Northwestern2112957%74.169.4+4.7
16 Rutgers21111052%76.675.0+1.5
17 Minnesota21111052%68.968.9-0.0
18 Washington1991047%71.472.3-0.9
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Penn State333164
Ohio State434083
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