PythiaBasketballBETA
NCAA
Ohio State faces Prairie View A&M on 16 November 2026 in the NCAA, with the model designating Ohio State as the clear favourite because of its 98% win probability and a projected score of 93-67; the team's season record of 2-1, 85.3 points per game and 77.7 allowed per game, and a 2-0 home record with 86.5 points per game and 69.5 allowed per game, all point to a dominant performance. Prairie View A&M, meanwhile, sits at 2-2 for the season, averaging 78.8 points and conceding 80.2, and has struggled on the road with a 0-2 record, 63.0 points per game and 83.0 allowed per game, while their last five games show two wins and three losses. Ohio State's recent home victories over Marshall 84-74 and Youngstown State 89-65 contrast with a loss to Brigham Young 83-94 away, whereas Prairie View A&M's recent results include a home win over CBS Ambassadors 103-90 but defeats to SMU Mustangs 63-98 and UTRGV 63-68.
| Split | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season (3) | 85.3 | 77.7 | 163.0 | +7.7 | 67% |
| Season at home (2) | 86.5 | 69.5 | 156.0 | +17.0 | 100% |
| Season away (1) | 83.0 | 94.0 | 177.0 | -11.0 | 0% |
| Last 10 (10) | 78.3 | 72.7 | 151.0 | +5.6 | 60% |
| Last 5 (5) | 77.4 | 74.0 | 151.4 | +3.4 | 40% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | |||||
| vs Stronger (7) | 72.0 | 79.3 | 151.3 | -7.3 | 14% |
| vs Similar (13) | 75.5 | 74.8 | 150.2 | +0.7 | 46% |
| vs Weaker ◀ (10) | 84.7 | 70.3 | 155.0 | +14.4 | 100% |
| Split | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season (4) | 78.8 | 80.2 | 159.0 | -1.5 | 50% |
| Season at home (2) | 94.5 | 77.5 | 172.0 | +17.0 | 100% |
| Season away (2) | 63.0 | 83.0 | 146.0 | -20.0 | 0% |
| Last 10 (10) | 71.9 | 73.4 | 145.3 | -1.5 | 70% |
| Last 5 (5) | 74.0 | 87.0 | 161.0 | -13.0 | 40% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | |||||
| vs Stronger ◀ (4) | 65.8 | 97.8 | 163.5 | -32.0 | 0% |
| vs Similar (11) | 74.6 | 74.5 | 149.2 | +0.1 | 55% |
| vs Weaker (14) | 79.0 | 74.2 | 153.2 | +4.8 | 64% |
| 1st half | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Won the half | Over main line |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 30 (30) | 36.6 | 34.5 | 71.2 | +2.1 | 53% | - |
| Last 30 at home (18) | 37.2 | 34.4 | 71.6 | +2.7 | 56% | - |
| Last 30 away (12) | 35.8 | 34.7 | 70.5 | +1.2 | 50% | - |
| Last 10 (10) | 36.7 | 32.4 | 69.1 | +4.3 | 70% | - |
| Last 5 (5) | 35.8 | 34.4 | 70.2 | +1.4 | 60% | - |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | ||||||
| vs Stronger (7) | 35.0 | 38.1 | 73.1 | -3.1 | 29% | - |
| vs Similar (13) | 35.2 | 34.2 | 69.4 | +1.1 | 54% | - |
| vs Weaker ◀ (10) | 39.6 | 32.5 | 72.1 | +7.1 | 70% | - |
| 1st half | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Won the half | Over main line |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 30 (30) | 36.8 | 38.1 | 74.9 | -1.3 | 40% | - |
| Last 30 at home (12) | 37.4 | 35.3 | 72.8 | +2.1 | 50% | - |
| Last 30 away (18) | 36.4 | 40.0 | 76.4 | -3.6 | 33% | - |
| Last 10 (10) | 34.4 | 34.4 | 68.8 | +0.0 | 40% | - |
| Last 5 (5) | 37.2 | 41.6 | 78.8 | -4.4 | 40% | - |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | ||||||
| vs Stronger ◀ (4) | 31.2 | 50.5 | 81.8 | -19.2 | 0% | - |
| vs Similar (11) | 37.6 | 35.4 | 73.0 | +2.3 | 55% | - |
| vs Weaker (14) | 37.3 | 37.1 | 74.4 | +0.1 | 36% | - |
Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 09/11/26 | H | Marshall | 84-74 |
| 06/11/26 | H | Youngstown State | 89-65 |
| 03/11/26 | A | Brigham Young | 83-94 |
| 19/03/26 | H | TCU | 64-66 |
| 13/03/26 | A | Michigan | 67-71 |
| 12/03/26 | H | Iowa | 72-69 |
| 07/03/26 | H | Indiana | 91-78 |
| 05/03/26 | A | Penn State | 94-62 |
| 01/03/26 | H | Purdue | 82-74 |
| 26/02/26 | A | Iowa | 57-74 |
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11/11/26 | A | SMU Mustangs | 63-98 |
| 07/11/26 | A | UTRGV | 63-68 |
| 06/11/26 | H | CBS Ambassadors | 103-90 |
| 03/11/26 | H | Paul Quinn | 86-65 |
| 21/03/26 | A | Florida | 55-114 |
| 18/03/26 | A | Lehigh | 67-55 |
| 14/03/26 | A | Southern Univ. | 72-66 |
| 13/03/26 | A | Alabama A&M Bulldogs | 74-55 |
| 11/03/26 | A | Bethune-Cookman | 71-67 |
| 10/03/26 | H | Alcorn State | 65-56 |
| Form | Last 5 | Win % |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | LWW | 67% |
| Home | WW | 100% |
| Away | L | 0% |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Games | 3 | 2 | 1 |
| Win % | 67% | 100% | 0% |
| Points / game | 85.3 | 86.5 | 83.0 |
| Allowed / game | 77.7 | 69.5 | 94.0 |
| Point differential | +7.7 | +17.0 | -11.0 |
| Avg total | 163.0 | 156.0 | 177.0 |
| Over main line | - | - | - |
| Win by 10+ | 67% | 100% | 0% |
| Close games (≤5 pts) won | - | - | - |
| Overtime % | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Form | Last 5 | Win % |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | WWLL | 50% |
| Home | WW | 100% |
| Away | LL | 0% |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Games | 4 | 2 | 2 |
| Win % | 50% | 100% | 0% |
| Points / game | 78.8 | 94.5 | 63.0 |
| Allowed / game | 80.2 | 77.5 | 83.0 |
| Point differential | -1.5 | +17.0 | -20.0 |
| Avg total | 159.0 | 172.0 | 146.0 |
| Over main line | - | - | - |
| Win by 10+ | 50% | 100% | 0% |
| Close games (≤5 pts) won | 0% (1) | - | 0% (1) |
| Overtime % | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Win % | PF/g | PA/g | Diff |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  UCLA | 3 | 3 | 0 | 100% | 101.3 | 58.3 | +43.0 |
| 2 |  Rutgers | 2 | 2 | 0 | 100% | 91.0 | 59.0 | +32.0 |
| 3 |  Nebraska | 3 | 3 | 0 | 100% | 89.0 | 60.7 | +28.3 |
| 4 |  Oregon | 3 | 3 | 0 | 100% | 95.0 | 68.7 | +26.3 |
| 5 |  Michigan State | 3 | 3 | 0 | 100% | 88.7 | 64.3 | +24.3 |
| 6 |  Wisconsin | 3 | 3 | 0 | 100% | 79.0 | 58.0 | +21.0 |
| 7 |  Indiana | 3 | 3 | 0 | 100% | 88.7 | 68.7 | +20.0 |
| 8 |  Northwestern | 3 | 3 | 0 | 100% | 78.7 | 60.0 | +18.7 |
| 9 |  Minnesota | 3 | 3 | 0 | 100% | 74.7 | 57.7 | +17.0 |
| 10 |  USC | 3 | 3 | 0 | 100% | 88.3 | 71.3 | +17.0 |
| 11 |  Washington | 2 | 2 | 0 | 100% | 83.5 | 70.0 | +13.5 |
| 12 |  Illinois | 3 | 2 | 1 | 67% | 103.3 | 66.3 | +37.0 |
| 13 |  Iowa | 3 | 2 | 1 | 67% | 85.0 | 64.7 | +20.3 |
| 14 | Ohio State | 3 | 2 | 1 | 67% | 85.3 | 77.7 | +7.7 |
| 15 |  Michigan | 3 | 2 | 1 | 67% | 81.7 | 74.3 | +7.3 |
| 16 |  Purdue | 3 | 2 | 1 | 67% | 78.0 | 71.3 | +6.7 |
| 17 |  Maryland | 2 | 1 | 1 | 50% | 85.0 | 76.5 | +8.5 |
| 18 |  Penn State | 4 | 2 | 2 | 50% | 79.0 | 80.2 | -1.2 |
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Win % | PF/g | PA/g | Diff |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Alabama A&M Bulldogs | 3 | 2 | 1 | 67% | 80.0 | 62.7 | +17.3 |
| 2 | Prairie View A&M | 4 | 2 | 2 | 50% | 78.8 | 80.2 | -1.5 |
| 3 |  Grambling St. | 2 | 1 | 1 | 50% | 75.5 | 90.0 | -14.5 |
| 4 |  Alabama State | 3 | 1 | 2 | 33% | 69.7 | 78.7 | -9.0 |
| 5 |  Texas Southern | 3 | 1 | 2 | 33% | 76.0 | 91.0 | -15.0 |
| 6 |  Florida A&M | 4 | 1 | 3 | 25% | 77.8 | 80.8 | -3.0 |
| 7 |  Jackson State | 4 | 1 | 3 | 25% | 66.5 | 85.8 | -19.2 |
| 8 |  Bethune-Cookman | 4 | 0 | 4 | 0% | 71.0 | 85.5 | -14.5 |
| 9 |  Miss. Valley St. | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0% | 62.3 | 87.0 | -24.7 |
| 10 |  Southern Univ. | 4 | 0 | 4 | 0% | 60.2 | 87.5 | -27.2 |
| 11 |  Alcorn State | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0% | 66.0 | 95.7 | -29.7 |
| 12 |  Arkansas-Pine Bluff | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0% | 50.3 | 107.0 | -56.7 |
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