Oklahoma State faces the Queens Royals on 6 November 2026 in the NCAA, with the model rating Oklahoma State the clear favourite because they are undefeated 1-0, average 91.0 points per game and allow only 60.0, while Queens are 2-0, average 99.5 and allow 96.5. Oklahoma State's single game shows a 91-60 win at home, and their last five games include three wins and two losses, with a recent 91-60 victory over Incarnate Word at home. Queens have won both games, 96-95 over Loyola Marymount away and 103-98 over Winthrop at home, and their last five games include four wins and one loss. The teams have not met before, so no head-to-head history is available. Pythia gives Oklahoma State a 91% chance to win and Queens a 9% chance, projecting a 92-76 score for a total of 168.1 points. The home line is -18.5 with a 39% probability of covering, and the over/under is 173.5 with a 37% chance of the over. The game has a 2% chance of overtime, and Oklahoma State's dominant season numbers suggest they will control the contest.
Written by Pythia from this game's frozen forecast, the market's main lines and both teams' results.
🎯 1. Model Analysis
Oklahoma State winWon
90.8%fair 1.10
Best odds1.05
Implied91.2%
Edge-0.4pp
Queens Royals winLost
9.2%fair 10.87
Best odds16.00
Implied8.8%
Edge+0.4pp
Pythia's frozen forecast of 06 Nov 07:38 UTC (Version 5). Implied = the consensus price with the bookmaker margin removed (Pinnacle first); edge = model probability minus implied.
This opponent (Oklahoma State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Over/Under 168.5Actual: Over 168.5
Over 168.5
48.5%
@ 1.40-21.6pp
Under 168.5
51.5%
@ 3.65+21.6pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.40
Bet365
1.25
Under
Bet365
3.65
Betano
2.70
Over/Under 173.5 · main lineActual: Over 173.5
Over 173.5
36.5%
@ 1.83-17.2pp
Under 173.5
63.5%
@ 2.50+17.2pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.83
WilliamHill
1.73
Betano
1.72
Marathon Be
1.68
Bet365
1.50
Under
Bet365
2.50
Betano
2.00
WilliamHill
2.00
Marathon Be
1.96
1xBet
1.83
Over/Under 178.5Actual: Over 178.5
Over 178.5
25.8%
@ 1.90-24.2pp
Under 178.5
74.2%
@ 1.90+24.2pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.90
Betano
1.90
Bet365
1.90
Marathon Be
1.87
1xBet
1.87
Under
Pinnacle
1.90
Bet365
1.90
Betano
1.88
Marathon Be
1.87
1xBet
1.87
📊 3. Team Totals
Oklahoma State total 93Actual: Oklahoma State over 93
Over 93
44.5%
Under 93
55.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Oklahoma State total 97 · main lineActual: Oklahoma State over 97
Over 97
28.8%
@ 1.85-21.3pp
Under 97
71.2%
@ 1.86+21.3pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
BetVictor
1.85
Marathon Be
1.84
Under
Marathon Be
1.86
BetVictor
1.85
Oklahoma State total 101Actual: Oklahoma State over 101
Over 101
16.5%
Under 101
83.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Queens Royals total 74Actual: Queens Royals under 74
Over 74
59.1%
Under 74
40.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Queens Royals total 78 · main lineActual: Queens Royals under 78
Over 78
no forecast
@ 1.85
Under 78
no forecast
@ 1.87
Best 5 market prices
Over
BetVictor
1.85
Marathon Be
1.83
Under
Marathon Be
1.87
BetVictor
1.85
Queens Royals total 81.5Actual: Queens Royals under 81.5
Over 81.5
no forecast
@ 2.50
Under 81.5
no forecast
@ 1.76
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
2.50
Pinnacle
2.03
Under
Pinnacle
1.76
Betano
1.42
⚖️ 4. Spread
Spread Oklahoma State -20.5Actual: Oklahoma State -20.5
OKLA -20.5
32.0%
@ 2.15-12.9pp
QUEE +20.5
68.0%
@ 1.78+12.9pp
Best 5 market prices
OKLA
Bet365
2.15
Betano
2.02
QUEE
Betano
1.78
Marathon Be
1.65
Bet365
1.62
Spread Oklahoma State -17.5 · main lineActual: Oklahoma State -17.5
OKLA -17.5
42.0%
@ 1.90-8.6pp
QUEE +17.5
58.0%
@ 2.12+8.6pp
Best 5 market prices
OKLA
Pinnacle
1.90
Marathon Be
1.85
1xBet
1.85
BetVictor
1.80
Bet365
1.74
QUEE
Betano
2.12
Pinnacle
1.95
Bet365
1.95
BetVictor
1.91
Marathon Be
1.88
Spread Oklahoma State -14.5Actual: Oklahoma State -14.5
OKLA -14.5
52.7%
@ 1.50-11.3pp
QUEE +14.5
47.3%
@ 2.67+11.3pp
Best 5 market prices
OKLA
Bet365
1.50
Betano
1.40
QUEE
Betano
2.67
Bet365
2.50
⏱️ 5. Halves
Half by half
Oklahoma StateQueens Royals
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
This opponent (Queens Royals) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Queens RoyalsLast 10 – 2nd half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
North Alabama
#341
W
57-45
57
45
+12
A19/02
NCAA
West Georgia
#243
W
49-45
49
45
+4
H21/02
NCAA
Eastern Kentucky
#313
W
51-29
51
29
+22
A26/02
NCAA
Central Arkansas
#83
W
55-53
55
53
+2
A28/02
NCAA
West Georgia
#243
D
38-38
38
38
+0
H07/03
NCAA
Austin Peay
#49
D
43-43
43
43
+0
A08/03
NCAA
Central Arkansas
#83
W
52-48
52
48
+4
A08/03
NCAA
Purdue
#31
L
38-59
38
59
-21
A20/03
NCAA
Winthrop
#296
L
48-60
48
60
-12
H02/11
NCAA
Loyola Marymount
#166
W
46-42
46
42
+4
A05/11
NCAA
93.9Avg total
47.7Scored
46.2Allowed
2nd half
Scored
Allowed
Total
Margin
Won the half
Over 93.5
Last 30 (30)
44.7
44.0
88.6
+0.7
50%
33%
Last 30 at home (13)
45.2
42.9
88.1
+2.2
54%
38%
Last 30 away (17)
44.3
44.8
89.1
-0.5
47%
29%
Last 10 (10)
47.7
46.2
93.9
+1.5
60%
60%
Last 5 (5)
45.4
50.4
95.8
-5.0
40%
60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)
44.8
50.4
95.2
-5.6
30%
50%
vs Similar (13)
42.2
41.2
83.4
+0.9
46%
15%
vs Weaker (7)
49.1
39.9
89.0
+9.3
86%
43%
This opponent (Oklahoma State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
2nd half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
2nd half winnerActual: Oklahoma State win
OKLA win
no forecast
@ 1.21
QUEE win
no forecast
@ 4.50
2nd half Spread Oklahoma State -7.5 · main lineActual: Oklahoma State -7.5
OKLA -7.5
no forecast
@ 1.82
QUEE +7.5
no forecast
@ 1.93
2nd half Over/Under 93.5 · main lineActual: Over 93.5
Over
no forecast
@ 1.90
Under
no forecast
@ 1.85
Oklahoma State 2nd half total 50.5 · main lineActual: Oklahoma State over 50.5
Over
no forecast
@ 1.83
Under
no forecast
@ 1.87
Queens Royals 2nd half total 42.5 · main lineActual: Queens Royals under 42.5
Over
no forecast
@ 1.80
Under
no forecast
@ 1.90
2nd half Spread Oklahoma State -8.5Actual: Oklahoma State -8.5
OKLA -8.5
no forecast
@ 1.95
QUEE +8.5
no forecast
@ 1.80
2nd half Over/Under 91.5Actual: Over 91.5
Over
no forecast
@ 1.82
Under
no forecast
@ 1.91
2nd half 3-way (draw possible)Actual: Oklahoma State (regulation)
OKLA
no forecast
@ 1.23
Draw
no forecast
@ 22.00
QUEE
no forecast
@ 4.45
⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro
Markets that span the whole game: how the halves and quarters compare, overtime, the exact winning margin. Pythia's probability comes from 20,000 simulations of this game quarter by quarter; the price, edge and books are the same as everywhere on the page.
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ranked by edge (click any column to re-sort). Use Min odds to match the prices you want; Edge = Yes shows only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them. The five price columns are the best market prices (highest first); edge is vs the consensus price.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Oklahoma State under 98
74.6%
1.86
Marathon Bet
1.86
1xBet
1.86
BetVictor
1.85
-
-
+24.9pp
Lost
Under 178
73.7%
1.92
Bet365
1.95
Pinnacle
1.94
Marathon Bet
1.89
1xBet
1.89
-
+24.8pp
Lost
Oklahoma State under 99.5
78.5%
1.66
Pinnacle
1.75
Betano
1.57
-
-
-
+24.7pp
Lost
Oklahoma State under 98.5
75.5%
1.84
Pinnacle
1.86
WilliamHill
1.85
BetVictor
1.85
Marathon Bet
1.84
1xBet
1.84
+24.6pp
Lost
Under 179
75.7%
1.82
Pinnacle
1.85
Marathon Bet
1.82
1xBet
1.82
Bet365
1.80
-
+24.2pp
Lost
Under 178.5
74.2%
1.87
Pinnacle
1.90
Bet365
1.90
Betano
1.88
Marathon Bet
1.87
1xBet
1.87
+24.2pp
Lost
Oklahoma State under 97.5
72.2%
1.87
Pinnacle
1.96
WilliamHill
1.91
Marathon Bet
1.87
BetVictor
1.85
Betano
1.82
+24.2pp
Lost
Under 177
71.6%
2.00
Bet365
2.05
Pinnacle
2.00
Marathon Bet
1.94
-
-
+24.1pp
Lost
Under 180
77.6%
1.74
Pinnacle
1.77
Marathon Bet
1.73
Bet365
1.71
-
-
+23.9pp
Lost
Under 176.5
70.1%
1.93
Bet365
2.10
Pinnacle
2.05
WilliamHill
2.00
Marathon Bet
1.98
1xBet
1.83
+23.8pp
Lost
Under 179.5
76.2%
1.72
Pinnacle
1.81
Marathon Bet
1.77
1xBet
1.77
Bet365
1.74
WilliamHill
1.73
+23.7pp
Lost
Under 177.5
72.2%
1.92
Bet365
2.00
Pinnacle
1.95
Marathon Bet
1.91
Betano
1.91
WilliamHill
1.91
+23.4pp
Lost
Under 181
79.4%
1.65
Marathon Bet
1.65
Bet365
1.64
-
-
-
+23.0pp
Lost
Oklahoma State under 97
71.2%
1.85
Marathon Bet
1.86
BetVictor
1.85
-
-
-
+21.3pp
Lost
Oklahoma State under 100.5
81.4%
1.50
Bet365
1.54
Betano
1.47
-
-
-
+20.4pp
Lost
Oklahoma State under 101.5
83.9%
1.45
1xBet
1.50
Betano
1.40
-
-
-
+20.3pp
Lost
Oklahoma State under 102.5
86.3%
1.36
Bet365
1.40
Betano
1.33
-
-
-
+19.2pp
Lost
Under 180.5
78.0%
1.61
Marathon Bet
1.69
Bet365
1.68
Betano
1.47
-
-
+18.9pp
Lost
Queens Royals +22.5
74.0%
1.51
Betano
1.55
Bet365
1.47
-
-
-
+12.5pp
Lost
Queens Royals +21.5
71.1%
1.58
Betano
1.62
Bet365
1.54
-
-
-
+12.5pp
Lost
Queens Royals +23.5
76.7%
1.44
Betano
1.47
Bet365
1.40
-
-
-
+12.2pp
Lost
Queens Royals +24.5
79.3%
1.36
Betano
1.40
Bet365
1.33
-
-
-
+11.5pp
Lost
Queens Royals +21
70.1%
1.57
Bet365
1.57
-
-
-
-
+11.2pp
Lost
Queens Royals +22
73.2%
1.50
Bet365
1.50
-
-
-
-
+10.7pp
Lost
Queens Royals +23
76.1%
1.41
Bet365
1.41
-
-
-
-
+10.4pp
Lost
Queens Royals +24
78.7%
1.35
Bet365
1.35
-
-
-
-
+9.7pp
Lost
Queens Royals +25
81.2%
1.29
Bet365
1.29
-
-
-
-
+9.3pp
Lost
Oklahoma State (regulation)
89.5%
1.06
Marathon Bet
1.06
1xBet
1.06
Betano
1.05
-
-
+3.7pp
Won
Queens Royals over 60.5
94.2%
1.01
Bet365
1.01
-
-
-
-
+0.5pp
Won
Queens Royals over 62.5
91.5%
1.02
Bet365
1.02
-
-
-
-
-0.0pp
Won
Oklahoma State over 76.5
93.6%
1.01
Bet365
1.01
-
-
-
-
-0.1pp
Won
Oklahoma State win
90.8%
1.04
Marathon Bet
1.05
1xBet
1.05
Betano
1.04
WilliamHill
1.02
Bet365
1.02
-0.4pp
Won
Oklahoma State +2.5
93.1%
1.01
Bet365
1.01
-
-
-
-
-0.6pp
Won
Queens Royals over 61.5
92.9%
1.01
Bet365
1.01
-
-
-
-
-0.8pp
Won
Oklahoma State over 77.5
92.3%
1.01
Bet365
1.01
-
-
-
-
-1.4pp
Won
Oklahoma State over 78.5
90.8%
1.01
Bet365
1.01
-
-
-
-
-1.5pp
Won
Queens Royals over 63.5
89.8%
1.02
Bet365
1.02
-
-
-
-
-1.7pp
Won
Oklahoma State +1.5
91.8%
1.01
Bet365
1.01
-
-
-
-
-1.9pp
Won
Queens Royals over 64.5
88.0%
1.03
Bet365
1.03
-
-
-
-
-2.3pp
Won
Oklahoma State over 79.5
89.0%
1.02
Bet365
1.02
-
-
-
-
-2.5pp
Won
Oklahoma State -2.5
87.5%
1.03
Bet365
1.03
-
-
-
-
-2.7pp
Won
Oklahoma State -3.5
85.8%
1.04
Bet365
1.04
-
-
-
-
-3.6pp
Won
Oklahoma State over 80.5
87.0%
1.02
Bet365
1.02
-
-
-
-
-3.7pp
Won
Queens Royals over 65.5
85.8%
1.04
Bet365
1.04
-
-
-
-
-3.8pp
Won
Over 149.5
87.3%
1.02
Bet365
1.02
-
-
-
-
-4.2pp
Won
Queens Royals over 66.5
83.5%
1.06
Bet365
1.06
-
-
-
-
-4.8pp
Won
Oklahoma State -7.5
75.8%
1.14
Bet365
1.14
-
-
-
-
-5.6pp
Won
Oklahoma State over 81.5
84.8%
1.03
Bet365
1.03
-
-
-
-
-5.7pp
Won
Oklahoma State -4.5
83.6%
1.04
Bet365
1.04
-
-
-
-
-6.1pp
Won
Oklahoma State over 82.5
82.3%
1.05
Bet365
1.05
-
-
-
-
-6.7pp
Won
Queens Royals over 68.5
78.0%
1.10
Bet365
1.10
-
-
-
-
-7.0pp
Lost
Queens Royals over 67.5
80.9%
1.06
Bet365
1.06
-
-
-
-
-7.1pp
Won
Oklahoma State -8.5
72.9%
1.15
Bet365
1.15
-
-
-
-
-7.7pp
Won
Over 154.5
79.7%
1.05
Bet365
1.05
-
-
-
-
-9.0pp
Won
Oklahoma State over 83.5
79.6%
1.05
Bet365
1.05
-
-
-
-
-9.1pp
Won
Queens Royals over 70.5
71.7%
1.14
Bet365
1.16
1xBet
1.12
-
-
-
-9.6pp
Lost
Queens Royals over 69.5
75.0%
1.10
Bet365
1.10
-
-
-
-
-10.1pp
Lost
Over 153.5
81.4%
1.02
Bet365
1.02
-
-
-
-
-10.1pp
Won
Oklahoma State over 84.5
76.6%
1.07
Bet365
1.07
-
-
-
-
-10.5pp
Won
Oklahoma State over 86.5
70.0%
1.12
Bet365
1.12
-
-
-
-
-13.1pp
Won
Oklahoma State over 85.5
73.4%
1.08
Bet365
1.08
-
-
-
-
-13.2pp
Won
Over 158.5
72.0%
1.05
Bet365
1.05
-
-
-
-
-16.8pp
Won
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Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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