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Oklahoma vs Fairleigh Dickinson Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 14 Nov 2026
Tip-off: 01:00
Projected 87-62
Projected total 149.3
Final 74-58
40-28 34-30
Position#118
Record2-1
FormWLLWW
Points / game76.3
Allowed / game65.7
Oklahoma 🏆
USA
Vs
98%
■ OKLA 98%■ FAIR 2%
Pythia win probability
Fairleigh Dickinson
USA
Position#269
Record2-2
FormLLLWW
Points / game70.8
Allowed / game87.8
USANCAA
Other2026-27
Sections
Pythia's preview, written before tip-off

Oklahoma hosts Fairleigh Dickinson in an NCAA matchup on 13 November 2026, with the model favouring Oklahoma at 98% to win, a reflection of Oklahoma's 2-1 record, 76.3 points per game and 65.7 allowed per game, compared to Fairleigh Dickinson's 2-2 record, 70.8 points per game and 87.8 allowed per game; Oklahoma's recent home results include a 81-72 win over North Alabama, a 84-57 win over Miss. Valley St., and a 64-68 loss to East Texas A&M, while Fairleigh Dickinson's road record is 1-2 with a 63.3 points per game and 98.3 allowed per game, and its recent road and home results include a 80-76 win over East Texas A&M, a 93-56 home win over CCNY, and a 65-99 loss to Butler; the projected score is 87-62 with a projected total of 149.3, the main total line is 147.5 with a 54% chance of the over, and the overtime probability is 1%.

Written by Pythia from this game's frozen forecast, the market's main lines and both teams' results.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Oklahoma winWon
97.9%fair 1.02
Best odds1.01
Implied94.5%
Edge+3.4pp
Fairleigh Dickinson winLost
2.1%fair 48.16
Best odds51.00
Implied5.5%
Edge-3.4pp
Pythia's frozen forecast of 12 Nov 19:44 UTC (Version 5). Implied = the consensus price with the bookmaker margin removed (Pinnacle first); edge = model probability minus implied.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

OklahomaUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Auburn
#188
W
91-79
91
79
+12
H25/02
NCAA
LSU
#230
W
83-67
83
67
+16
A28/02
NCAA
Missouri
#111
W
80-64
80
64
+16
H04/03
NCAA
Texas
#135
W
88-85 OT
88
85
+3
A08/03
NCAA
South Carolina
#278
W
86-74
86
74
+12
H12/03
NCAA
Texas A&M
#82
W
83-63
83
63
+20
A13/03
NCAA
Arkansas
#36
L
79-82
79
82
-3
A14/03
NCAA
East Texas A&M
#142
L
64-68
64
68
-4
H03/11
NCAA
Miss. Valley St.
#387
W
84-57
84
57
+27
H07/11
NCAA
North Alabama
#244
W
81-72
81
72
+9
H10/11
NCAA
1H
2H
51-42
40-37
41-33
42-34
35-26
45-38
36-40
41-37
42-42
44-32
49-27
34-36
39-37
40-45
25-34
39-34
38-22
46-35
37-36
44-36
153.0Avg total
81.9Scored
71.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)76.365.7142.0+10.767%
Season at home (3)76.365.7142.0+10.767%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)81.971.1153.0+10.880%
Last 5 (5)78.268.4146.6+9.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)85.593.5179.0-8.050%
vs Similar (16)80.778.8159.4+1.944%
vs Weaker ◀ (12)81.270.8152.0+10.367%
This opponent (Fairleigh Dickinson) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Fairleigh DickinsonUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Central Connecticut State
#114
L
57-63
57
63
-6
H14/02
NCAA
Chicago State
#363
W
60-59
60
59
+1
A20/02
NCAA
New Haven Chargers
#250
L
77-84
77
84
-7
H22/02
NCAA
Le Moyne
#240
L
59-76
59
76
-17
A27/02
NCAA
LIU Sharks
#59
L
60-74
60
74
-14
A28/02
NCAA
Mercyhurst Lakers
#206
L
61-70
61
70
-9
A05/03
NCAA
Illinois
#86
L
45-120
45
120
-75
A03/11
NCAA
Butler
#200
L
65-99
65
99
-34
A05/11
NCAA
CCNY
#438
W
93-56
93
56
+37
H07/11
NCAA
East Texas A&M
#142
W
80-76 OT
80
76
+4
A11/11
NCAA
1H
2H
25-30
32-33
28-26
32-33
39-55
38-29
33-36
26-40
30-31
30-43
28-35
33-35
20-67
25-53
29-52
36-47
44-38
49-18
31-37
39-33
143.4Avg total
65.7Scored
77.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)70.887.8158.5-17.050%
Season at home (1)93.056.0149.0+37.0100%
Season away (3)63.398.3161.7-35.033%
Last 10 (10)65.777.7143.4-12.030%
Last 5 (5)68.884.2153.0-15.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)61.075.5136.5-14.531%
vs Similar (10)67.071.7138.7-4.720%
vs Weaker (5)72.860.8133.6+12.080%
This opponent (Oklahoma) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Over/Under 142.5Actual: Under 142.5
Over 142.5
66.3%
@ 1.44+2.4pp
Under 142.5
33.7%
@ 2.55-2.4pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.44
Under
Betano
2.55
Over/Under 147.5 · main lineActual: Under 147.5
Over 147.5
54.4%
@ 1.91+3.8pp
Under 147.5
45.6%
@ 1.95-3.8pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.91
Bet365
1.86
WilliamHill
1.85
Marathon Be
1.82
1xBet
1.82
Under
Bet365
1.95
Marathon Be
1.91
1xBet
1.91
Betano
1.85
WilliamHill
1.85
Over/Under 152.5Actual: Under 152.5
Over 152.5
42.0%
@ 2.37+3.2pp
Under 152.5
58.0%
@ 1.50-3.2pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
2.37
Under
Betano
1.50

📊 3. Team Totals

Oklahoma total 85.5Actual: Oklahoma under 85.5
Over 85.5
55.9%
@ 1.40-8.7pp
Under 85.5
44.1%
@ 2.55+8.7pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.40
Under
Betano
2.55
Oklahoma total 89.5 · main lineActual: Oklahoma under 89.5
Over 89.5
39.8%
@ 1.85-10.4pp
Under 89.5
60.2%
@ 1.91+10.4pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.85
BetVictor
1.85
WilliamHill
1.80
Under
WilliamHill
1.91
Betano
1.87
BetVictor
1.85
Oklahoma total 93.5Actual: Oklahoma under 93.5
Over 93.5
25.4%
@ 2.35-13.1pp
Under 93.5
74.6%
@ 1.47+13.1pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
2.35
Under
Betano
1.47
Fairleigh Dickinson total 52.5Actual: Fairleigh Dickinson over 52.5
Over 52.5
83.8%
@ 1.32+12.9pp
Under 52.5
16.2%
@ 3.45-12.9pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.32
Bet365
1.27
Under
Bet365
3.45
Betano
2.90
Fairleigh Dickinson total 56.5 · main lineActual: Fairleigh Dickinson over 56.5
Over 56.5
72.0%
@ 1.85+22.0pp
Under 56.5
28.0%
@ 2.07-22.0pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathon Be
1.85
1xBet
1.85
Betano
1.67
Under
Betano
2.07
Marathon Be
1.85
1xBet
1.85
Fairleigh Dickinson total 60.5Actual: Fairleigh Dickinson under 60.5
Over 60.5
57.1%
@ 2.22+16.3pp
Under 60.5
42.9%
@ 1.53-16.3pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
2.22
Under
Betano
1.53

⚖️ 4. Spread

Spread Oklahoma -35.5Actual: Fairleigh Dickinson +35.5
OKLA -35.5
no forecast
@ 2.22
FAIR +35.5
no forecast
@ 1.57
Best 5 market prices
OKLA
Betano
2.22
FAIR
Betano
1.57
Spread Oklahoma -32.5 · main lineActual: Fairleigh Dickinson +32.5
OKLA -32.5
no forecast
@ 1.93
FAIR +32.5
no forecast
@ 1.90
Best 5 market prices
OKLA
Betano
1.93
Bet365
1.90
Marathon Be
1.90
1xBet
1.90
BetVictor
1.85
FAIR
Bet365
1.90
Betano
1.85
Marathon Be
1.83
1xBet
1.83
BetVictor
1.78
Spread Oklahoma -29.5Actual: Fairleigh Dickinson +29.5
OKLA -29.5
no forecast
@ 1.87
FAIR +29.5
no forecast
@ 2.10
Best 5 market prices
OKLA
Marathon Be
1.87
Betano
1.65
FAIR
Betano
2.10
Marathon Be
1.87

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-12-6+0+6+121st half1st half: +5.4+5.41st half: -10.0-10.02nd half2nd half: +5.1+5.12nd half: -2.4-2.4
-12-6+0+6+121st half1st half: +5.4+5.41st half: -10.0-10.02nd half2nd half: +5.1+5.12nd half: -2.4-2.4
OklahomaFairleigh Dickinson
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
OklahomaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Auburn
#188
W
51-42
51
42
+9
H25/02
NCAA
LSU
#230
W
41-33
41
33
+8
A28/02
NCAA
Missouri
#111
W
35-26
35
26
+9
H04/03
NCAA
Texas
#135
L
36-40
36
40
-4
A08/03
NCAA
South Carolina
#278
D
42-42
42
42
+0
H12/03
NCAA
Texas A&M
#82
W
49-27
49
27
+22
A13/03
NCAA
Arkansas
#36
W
39-37
39
37
+2
A14/03
NCAA
East Texas A&M
#142
L
25-34
25
34
-9
H03/11
NCAA
Miss. Valley St.
#387
W
38-22
38
22
+16
H07/11
NCAA
North Alabama
#244
W
37-36
37
36
+1
H10/11
NCAA
73.2Avg total
39.3Scored
33.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver 71
Last 30 (30)39.436.676.0+2.860%80%
Last 30 at home (16)40.635.876.4+4.869%69%
Last 30 away (14)38.037.675.6+0.450%93%
Last 10 (10)39.333.973.2+5.470%70%
Last 5 (5)37.631.268.8+6.480%60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)36.040.076.0-4.050%50%
vs Similar (16)40.337.878.1+2.562%88%
vs Weaker ◀ (12)38.834.573.2+4.258%75%
This opponent (Fairleigh Dickinson) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Fairleigh DickinsonLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Central Connecticut State
#114
L
25-30
25
30
-5
H14/02
NCAA
Chicago State
#363
W
28-26
28
26
+2
A20/02
NCAA
New Haven Chargers
#250
L
39-55
39
55
-16
H22/02
NCAA
Le Moyne
#240
L
33-36
33
36
-3
A27/02
NCAA
LIU Sharks
#59
L
30-31
30
31
-1
A28/02
NCAA
Mercyhurst Lakers
#206
L
28-35
28
35
-7
A05/03
NCAA
Illinois
#86
L
20-67
20
67
-47
A03/11
NCAA
Butler
#200
L
29-52
29
52
-23
A05/11
NCAA
CCNY
#438
W
44-38
44
38
+6
H07/11
NCAA
East Texas A&M
#142
L
31-37
31
37
-6
A11/11
NCAA
71.4Avg total
30.7Scored
40.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver 71
Last 30 (30)29.834.063.8-4.237%20%
Last 30 at home (13)32.230.262.4+1.954%15%
Last 30 away (17)28.036.864.8-8.824%24%
Last 10 (10)30.740.771.4-10.020%40%
Last 5 (5)30.445.876.2-15.420%60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)26.838.164.8-11.38%23%
vs Similar (10)28.433.261.6-4.830%10%
vs Weaker (5)35.627.463.0+8.2100%20%
This opponent (Oklahoma) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
1st half winnerActual: Oklahoma win
OKLA win
no forecast
@ 1.02
FAIR win
no forecast
@ 14.50
1st half Spread Oklahoma -18.5 · main lineActual: Fairleigh Dickinson +18.5
OKLA -18.5
no forecast
@ 2.27
FAIR +18.5
no forecast
@ 1.85
1st half Over/Under 71 · main lineActual: Under 71
Over
no forecast
@ 1.85
Under
no forecast
@ 1.85
Oklahoma 1st half total 43.5 · main lineActual: Oklahoma under 43.5
Over
no forecast
@ 1.85
Under
no forecast
@ 1.91
Fairleigh Dickinson 1st half total 27.5 · main lineActual: Fairleigh Dickinson over 27.5
Over
no forecast
@ 1.87
Under
no forecast
@ 1.85
1st half Over/Under 69.5Actual: Under 69.5
Over
no forecast
@ 1.83
Under
no forecast
@ 2.10
1st half Over/Under 72.5Actual: Under 72.5
Over
no forecast
@ 2.12
Under
no forecast
@ 1.70
1st half Spread Oklahoma -19.5Actual: Fairleigh Dickinson +19.5
OKLA -19.5
no forecast
@ 2.50
FAIR +19.5
no forecast
@ 1.47
1st half Spread Oklahoma -17.5Actual: Fairleigh Dickinson +17.5
OKLA -17.5
no forecast
@ 1.91
FAIR +17.5
no forecast
@ 1.78
1st half Spread Oklahoma -20.5Actual: Fairleigh Dickinson +20.5
OKLA -20.5
no forecast
@ 2.67
FAIR +20.5
no forecast
@ 1.40
1st half Spread Oklahoma -16.5Actual: Fairleigh Dickinson +16.5
OKLA -16.5
no forecast
@ 2.00
FAIR +16.5
no forecast
@ 1.87
1st half Over/Under 67.5Actual: Over 67.5
Over
no forecast
@ 1.47
Under
no forecast
@ 2.47
1st half Over/Under 74.5Actual: Under 74.5
Over
no forecast
@ 2.45
Under
no forecast
@ 1.47
1st half Spread Oklahoma -15.5Actual: Fairleigh Dickinson +15.5
OKLA -15.5
no forecast
@ 1.85
FAIR +15.5
no forecast
@ 1.91
1st half Spread Oklahoma -14.5Actual: Fairleigh Dickinson +14.5
OKLA -14.5
no forecast
@ 1.82
FAIR +14.5
no forecast
@ 2.07
1st half 3-way (draw possible)Actual: Oklahoma (regulation)
OKLA
no forecast
@ 1.03
Draw
no forecast
@ 51.00
FAIR
no forecast
@ 13.50

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

Markets that span the whole game: how the halves and quarters compare, overtime, the exact winning margin. Pythia's probability comes from 20,000 simulations of this game quarter by quarter; the price, edge and books are the same as everywhere on the page.
OKLA win + total 147.5
🔒 Pro
FAIR win + total 147.5
🔒 Pro
Half-time / full-time: OKLA leads at half
🔒 Pro
Half-time / full-time: level at half
🔒 Pro
🔒 4 special markets for this game with Pythia's probabilities and edges: Upgrade to Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ranked by edge (click any column to re-sort). Use Min odds to match the prices you want; Edge = Yes shows only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them. The five price columns are the best market prices (highest first); edge is vs the consensus price.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Fairleigh Dickinson over 56.572.0%1.79
Marathon Bet
1.85
1xBet
1.85
Betano
1.67		--+22.0ppWon
Fairleigh Dickinson over 5771.0%1.83
Marathon Bet
1.83
1xBet
1.83		---+20.4ppWon
Fairleigh Dickinson over 55.575.3%1.55
Betano
1.55		----+16.8ppWon
Fairleigh Dickinson over 54.578.3%1.45
Betano
1.45		----+16.0ppWon
Fairleigh Dickinson over 53.581.2%1.38
Betano
1.38		----+15.7ppWon
Oklahoma under 95.580.6%1.35
Betano
1.35		----+13.5ppWon
Oklahoma under 94.577.7%1.40
Betano
1.40		----+13.2ppWon
Oklahoma under 93.574.6%1.47
Betano
1.47		----+13.1ppWon
Fairleigh Dickinson over 52.583.8%1.29
Betano
1.32
Bet365
1.27		---+12.9ppWon
Oklahoma under 92.571.3%1.55
Betano
1.55		----+12.8ppWon
Oklahoma (regulation)97.5%1.01
Betano
1.01		----+6.5ppWon
Oklahoma win97.9%1.01
Betano
1.01		----+3.4ppWon
Oklahoma over 71.594.1%1.01
Bet365
1.01		----+1.8ppWon
Oklahoma over 73.591.3%1.02
Bet365
1.02		----+0.2ppWon
Oklahoma over 75.587.7%1.04
Bet365
1.04		-----1.7ppLost
Oklahoma over 77.583.1%1.07
Bet365
1.07		-----4.0ppLost
Oklahoma over 79.577.5%1.11
Bet365
1.11		-----6.3ppLost
Oklahoma over 81.571.0%1.18
Bet365
1.18		-----7.8ppLost
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Oklahoma wins
0
Fairleigh Dickinson wins
No previous meetings.
Oklahomalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/11/26HNorth Alabama81-72
07/11/26HMiss. Valley St.84-57
03/11/26HEast Texas A&M64-68
14/03/26AArkansas79-82
13/03/26ATexas A&M83-63
12/03/26HSouth Carolina86-74
08/03/26ATexas88-85 OT
04/03/26HMissouri80-64
28/02/26ALSU83-67
25/02/26HAuburn91-79
Fairleigh Dickinsonlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/11/26AEast Texas A&M80-76 OT
07/11/26HCCNY93-56
05/11/26AButler65-99
03/11/26AIllinois45-120
05/03/26AMercyhurst Lakers61-70
28/02/26ALIU Sharks60-74
27/02/26ALe Moyne59-76
22/02/26HNew Haven Chargers77-84
20/02/26AChicago State60-59
14/02/26HCentral Connecticut State57-63

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Oklahoma
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWW67%
HomeLWW67%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games33-
Win %67%67%-
Points / game76.376.3-
Allowed / game65.765.7-
Point differential+10.7+10.7-
Avg total142.0142.0-
Over 147.533%33%-
Win by 10+33%33%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%-
Fairleigh Dickinson
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWW50%
HomeW100%
AwayLLW33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games413
Win %50%100%33%
Points / game70.893.063.3
Allowed / game87.856.098.3
Point differential-17.0+37.0-35.0
Avg total158.5149.0161.7
Over 147.5100%100%100%
Win by 10+25%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %25%0%33%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Southeastern conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Texas330100%100.057.0+43.0
2 LSU330100%94.052.7+41.3
3 Ole Miss330100%94.056.3+37.7
4 Mississippi St.330100%95.363.0+32.3
5 Texas A&M440100%99.267.2+32.0
6 Vanderbilt440100%90.260.2+30.0
7 Auburn220100%83.556.0+27.5
8 Alabama330100%102.076.0+26.0
9 South Carolina330100%78.754.7+24.0
10 Florida440100%82.262.5+19.8
11 Tennessee330100%81.061.3+19.7
12 Georgia440100%81.870.2+11.5
13 Kentucky43175%80.275.8+4.5
14 Missouri32167%97.066.0+31.0
15 Arkansas32167%84.768.3+16.3
16 Oklahoma32167%76.365.7+10.7
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Northeast conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Chicago State42250%68.276.8-8.5
2 Central Connecticut State42250%65.579.0-13.5
3 Fairleigh Dickinson42250%70.887.8-17.0
4 Le Moyne31233%76.076.0+0.0
5 Stonehill31233%67.371.3-4.0
6 New Haven Chargers31233%58.370.0-11.7
7 Wagner41325%66.273.2-7.0
8 Mercyhurst Lakers41325%61.270.8-9.5
9 LIU Sharks5050%60.875.0-14.2
10 St. Francis (ILL)1010%47.096.0-49.0
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Oklahoma403474
Fairleigh Dickinson283058
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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