Oklahoma hosts North Alabama on 9 November 2026 in the NCAA, with the Pythia model designating Oklahoma as the clear favourite at 97% versus 3% for North Alabama, a reflection of Oklahoma's 1-1 record, 74.0 points per game and 62.5 allowed, and North Alabama's undefeated 2-0 record, 77.5 points per game and 70.5 allowed. Oklahoma's home slate shows a 1-1 record with 74.0 points per game and 62.5 allowed, and their last five games include three wins and two losses, highlighted by a 84-57 victory over Miss. Valley St. at home on 6 November 2026 and a 64-68 loss to East Texas A&M on 2 November 2026. North Alabama's road performance is 1-0, 79.0 points per game and 75.0 allowed, and their last five games also feature three wins and two losses, with a 79-75 win over UC Davis away on 2 November 2026 and a 76-66 win over Union Bulldogs at home on 5 November 2026. The teams have not met before, so no head-to-head history is available. Pythia projects a score of 88-65, a total of 153.4 points, and a 64% chance of the over on the 147.5 line, with a 1% probability of overtime. The game ends with Oklahoma's 88-65 projected win.
Written by Pythia from this game's frozen forecast, the market's main lines and both teams' results.
🎯 1. Model Analysis
Oklahoma winWon
97.5%fair 1.03
Best odds1.01
Implied94.5%
Edge+2.9pp
North Alabama winLost
2.5%fair 39.22
Best odds50.00
Implied5.5%
Edge-2.9pp
Pythia's frozen forecast of 08 Nov 07:04 UTC (Version 5). Implied = the consensus price with the bookmaker margin removed (Pinnacle first); edge = model probability minus implied.
This opponent (Oklahoma) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Over/Under 141Actual: Over 141
Over 141
78.5%
@ 1.41+12.8pp
Under 141
21.5%
@ 2.70-12.8pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.41
Under
Bet365
2.70
Over/Under 146 · main lineActual: Over 146
Over 146
68.1%
@ 1.92+18.4pp
Under 146
31.9%
@ 1.95-18.4pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.92
Marathon Be
1.85
Bet365
1.80
Under
Bet365
1.95
Pinnacle
1.90
Marathon Be
1.86
Over/Under 151Actual: Over 151
Over 151
56.1%
@ 2.50+18.6pp
Under 151
43.9%
@ 1.50-18.6pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
2.50
Under
Bet365
1.50
📊 3. Team Totals
Oklahoma total 84Actual: Oklahoma under 84
Over 84
67.9%
Under 84
32.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Oklahoma total 88 · main lineActual: Oklahoma under 88
Over 88
51.8%
@ 1.86+1.9pp
Under 88
48.2%
@ 1.85-1.9pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathon Be
1.86
BetVictor
1.85
Under
BetVictor
1.85
Marathon Be
1.84
Oklahoma total 92Actual: Oklahoma under 92
Over 92
35.3%
Under 92
64.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
North Alabama total 56Actual: North Alabama over 56
Over 56
82.5%
Under 56
17.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
North Alabama total 60 · main lineActual: North Alabama over 60
Over 60
69.8%
@ 1.86+19.9pp
Under 60
30.2%
@ 1.85-19.9pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathon Be
1.86
BetVictor
1.85
Under
BetVictor
1.85
Marathon Be
1.84
North Alabama total 64Actual: North Alabama over 64
Over 64
54.0%
Under 64
46.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⚖️ 4. Spread
Spread Oklahoma -30.5Actual: North Alabama +30.5
OKLA -30.5
no forecast
@ 2.15
NORT +30.5
no forecast
@ 1.62
Best 5 market prices
OKLA
Bet365
2.15
Betano
2.12
NORT
Betano
1.62
Bet365
1.62
Spread Oklahoma -27.5 · main lineActual: North Alabama +27.5
OKLA -27.5
no forecast
@ 1.88
NORT +27.5
no forecast
@ 2.00
Best 5 market prices
OKLA
Pinnacle
1.88
Marathon Be
1.87
Betano
1.85
Bet365
1.80
BetVictor
1.78
NORT
1xBet
2.00
Pinnacle
1.95
Betano
1.93
Bet365
1.93
Marathon Be
1.87
Spread Oklahoma -24.5Actual: North Alabama +24.5
OKLA -24.5
46.1%
@ 1.66-11.4pp
NORT +24.5
53.9%
@ 2.35+11.4pp
Best 5 market prices
OKLA
Pinnacle
1.66
1xBet
1.57
Bet365
1.54
Betano
1.53
NORT
Bet365
2.35
Betano
2.30
Pinnacle
2.24
1xBet
2.07
⏱️ 5. Halves
Half by half
OklahomaNorth Alabama
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Markets that span the whole game: how the halves and quarters compare, overtime, the exact winning margin. Pythia's probability comes from 20,000 simulations of this game quarter by quarter; the price, edge and books are the same as everywhere on the page.
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ranked by edge (click any column to re-sort). Use Min odds to match the prices you want; Edge = Yes shows only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them. The five price columns are the best market prices (highest first); edge is vs the consensus price.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
North Alabama over 59.5
70.9%
1.87
Pinnacle
2.00
Betano
1.87
Bet365
1.86
WilliamHill
1.85
BetVictor
1.85
+23.6pp
Won
North Alabama over 58.5
74.2%
1.77
Pinnacle
1.85
Betano
1.70
-
-
-
+23.3pp
Won
North Alabama over 59
73.3%
1.83
Marathon Bet
1.83
-
-
-
-
+22.8pp
Won
North Alabama over 56.5
80.3%
1.48
1xBet
1.53
Betano
1.47
Bet365
1.43
-
-
+18.7pp
Won
Over 145
70.4%
1.76
Pinnacle
1.81
Marathon Bet
1.75
Bet365
1.71
-
-
+17.9pp
Won
North Alabama over 55.5
82.9%
1.38
1xBet
1.44
Betano
1.39
Bet365
1.30
-
-
+17.8pp
Won
Over 144
72.5%
1.67
Pinnacle
1.73
Marathon Bet
1.66
Bet365
1.62
-
-
+17.6pp
Won
Over 144.5
71.0%
1.68
Pinnacle
1.77
Marathon Bet
1.70
Bet365
1.66
Betano
1.60
-
+17.3pp
Won
North Alabama over 57.5
77.4%
1.52
Betano
1.57
Bet365
1.47
-
-
-
+16.7pp
Won
North Alabama over 54.5
85.3%
1.31
Betano
1.32
Bet365
1.31
-
-
-
+15.5pp
Won
Over 143
74.6%
1.55
Bet365
1.55
-
-
-
-
+14.9pp
Won
Over 142
76.6%
1.50
Bet365
1.50
-
-
-
-
+14.1pp
Won
Over 143.5
73.1%
1.56
Bet365
1.58
Betano
1.53
-
-
-
+13.9pp
Won
North Alabama over 52.5
89.5%
1.23
1xBet
1.25
Bet365
1.20
-
-
-
+13.7pp
Won
Over 142.5
75.1%
1.50
Bet365
1.52
Betano
1.47
-
-
-
+13.3pp
Won
North Alabama over 53.5
87.5%
1.25
1xBet
1.29
Bet365
1.20
-
-
-
+12.8pp
Won
Over 141
78.5%
1.41
Bet365
1.41
-
-
-
-
+12.8pp
Won
Over 140
80.3%
1.37
Bet365
1.37
-
-
-
-
+12.8pp
Won
Over 141.5
77.1%
1.44
Bet365
1.45
Betano
1.42
-
-
-
+12.5pp
Won
Over 140.5
78.9%
1.38
Bet365
1.38
Betano
1.37
-
-
-
+11.8pp
Won
Over 139
82.0%
1.32
Bet365
1.32
-
-
-
-
+11.6pp
Won
Over 139.5
80.7%
1.34
Bet365
1.34
-
-
-
-
+11.2pp
Won
Over 138.5
82.3%
1.29
Bet365
1.29
-
-
-
-
+10.4pp
Won
Over 136.5
85.4%
1.22
Bet365
1.22
-
-
-
-
+9.2pp
Won
Over 137.5
83.9%
1.22
Bet365
1.22
-
-
-
-
+7.7pp
Won
North Alabama over 51.5
91.2%
1.11
Bet365
1.11
-
-
-
-
+7.3pp
Won
Oklahoma (regulation)
97.0%
1.01
Betano
1.01
-
-
-
-
+5.9pp
Won
Over 131.5
91.4%
1.10
Bet365
1.10
-
-
-
-
+5.9pp
Won
Oklahoma over 72.5
94.6%
1.04
Bet365
1.04
-
-
-
-
+5.2pp
Won
Over 126.5
95.3%
1.03
Bet365
1.03
-
-
-
-
+5.1pp
Won
Over 127.5
94.7%
1.04
Bet365
1.04
-
-
-
-
+5.0pp
Won
Over 132.5
90.4%
1.10
Bet365
1.10
-
-
-
-
+4.8pp
Won
Oklahoma over 76.5
88.6%
1.11
Bet365
1.11
-
-
-
-
+4.8pp
Won
Oklahoma over 81.5
75.9%
1.30
Betano
1.32
1xBet
1.30
Bet365
1.27
-
-
+4.7pp
Lost
Oklahoma over 82.5
72.6%
1.33
Bet365
1.36
Betano
1.34
1xBet
1.30
-
-
+4.5pp
Lost
Oklahoma over 74.5
92.0%
1.07
Bet365
1.07
-
-
-
-
+4.5pp
Won
Oklahoma over 77.5
86.6%
1.13
Bet365
1.13
-
-
-
-
+4.3pp
Won
Oklahoma over 80.5
78.9%
1.25
Bet365
1.25
-
-
-
-
+4.2pp
Won
Oklahoma over 78.5
84.3%
1.16
Bet365
1.18
1xBet
1.14
-
-
-
+4.1pp
Won
Oklahoma over 73.5
93.4%
1.04
Bet365
1.04
-
-
-
-
+4.0pp
Won
Oklahoma over 75.5
90.4%
1.07
Bet365
1.07
-
-
-
-
+3.3pp
Won
Oklahoma win
97.5%
1.01
Betano
1.01
-
-
-
-
+2.9pp
Won
Oklahoma over 79.5
81.7%
1.17
Bet365
1.18
1xBet
1.17
-
-
-
+2.6pp
Won
Oklahoma under 102.5
92.2%
1.04
Bet365
1.04
-
-
-
-
+2.6pp
Won
Oklahoma under 101.5
90.6%
1.06
Bet365
1.06
-
-
-
-
+2.3pp
Won
Oklahoma under 100.5
88.9%
1.07
Bet365
1.07
-
-
-
-
+1.3pp
Won
Oklahoma under 99.5
86.8%
1.10
Bet365
1.10
-
-
-
-
+1.3pp
Won
Oklahoma under 97.5
82.1%
1.15
1xBet
1.17
Bet365
1.13
-
-
-
+1.3pp
Won
Oklahoma under 95.5
76.3%
1.23
Bet365
1.23
-
-
-
-
+1.0pp
Won
Oklahoma under 98.5
84.6%
1.11
Bet365
1.11
-
-
-
-
+0.2pp
Won
Oklahoma under 94.5
73.1%
1.27
1xBet
1.29
Bet365
1.25
-
-
-
-0.1pp
Won
Oklahoma under 96.5
79.3%
1.17
1xBet
1.17
Bet365
1.16
-
-
-
-0.1pp
Won
Oklahoma -7.5
91.6%
1.01
Bet365
1.01
-
-
-
-
-1.2pp
Won
Oklahoma -8.5
90.2%
1.01
Bet365
1.01
-
-
-
-
-2.6pp
Won
Under 172.5
88.2%
1.01
Bet365
1.01
-
-
-
-
-5.5pp
Won
Under 171.5
87.0%
1.01
Bet365
1.01
-
-
-
-
-5.8pp
Won
Oklahoma -12.5
83.1%
1.05
Bet365
1.05
-
-
-
-
-5.9pp
Lost
North Alabama under 75.5
85.4%
1.01
Bet365
1.01
-
-
-
-
-6.8pp
Won
Oklahoma -13.5
80.8%
1.05
Bet365
1.05
-
-
-
-
-8.2pp
Lost
North Alabama under 74.5
83.0%
1.02
Bet365
1.02
-
-
-
-
-8.5pp
Won
Under 167.5
81.0%
1.03
Bet365
1.03
-
-
-
-
-9.2pp
Won
North Alabama under 73.5
80.4%
1.03
Bet365
1.03
-
-
-
-
-10.0pp
Won
Under 166.5
79.2%
1.04
Bet365
1.04
-
-
-
-
-10.4pp
Won
North Alabama under 72.5
77.6%
1.03
Bet365
1.03
-
-
-
-
-12.7pp
Won
North Alabama under 71.5
74.5%
1.06
Bet365
1.06
-
-
-
-
-13.8pp
Lost
Under 162.5
71.5%
1.10
Bet365
1.10
-
-
-
-
-14.1pp
Won
North Alabama under 70.5
71.2%
1.07
Bet365
1.07
-
-
-
-
-16.4pp
Lost
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Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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