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Ole Miss vs Alabama Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 12 Feb 2026
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 74-93
30-32 44-61
Position#259
Record11-12
FormLLLLL
Points / game73.9
Allowed / game72.1
vs
Alabama 🏆
USA
Position#48
Record16-7
FormLWLWW
Points / game91.8
Allowed / game83.4
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Meetings · Ole Miss v Alabama
11 Feb 2026
OLE 74
ALAB93
28 Feb 2024
OLE 88
ALAB103
09 Feb 2022
OLE 83
ALAB97
22 Feb 2020
OLE 78
ALAB103
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Ole Miss winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Alabama winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Ole MissUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Oklahoma
#154
L
70-86
70
86
-16
A03/01
NCAA
Arkansas
#36
L
87-94
87
94
-7
H08/01
NCAA
Missouri
#111
W
76-69
76
69
+7
H10/01
NCAA
Georgia
#68
W
97-95 OT
97
95
+2
A15/01
NCAA
Mississippi St.
#257
W
68-67
68
67
+1
A18/01
NCAA
Auburn
#188
L
66-78
66
78
-12
H21/01
NCAA
Kentucky
#107
L
63-72
63
72
-9
A24/01
NCAA
Vanderbilt
#37
L
68-71
68
71
-3
A31/01
NCAA
Tennessee
#67
L
66-84
66
84
-18
A04/02
NCAA
Texas
#135
L
68-79
68
79
-11
A07/02
NCAA
1H
2H
41-43
29-43
32-42
55-52
37-36
39-33
35-40
52-47
27-30
41-37
27-28
39-50
23-29
40-43
23-31
45-40
25-26
41-58
25-37
43-42
152.4Avg total
72.9Scored
79.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (23)73.972.1146.0+1.748%
Season at home (13)77.768.6146.3+9.169%
Season away (10)68.976.7145.6-7.820%
Last 10 (10)72.979.5152.4-6.630%
Last 5 (5)66.276.8143.0-10.60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)71.477.2148.6-5.924%
vs Similar (8)74.871.0145.8+3.888%
vs Weaker (5)81.860.2142.0+21.680%
This opponent (Alabama) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AlabamaUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kentucky
#107
W
89-74
89
74
+15
H03/01
NCAA
Vanderbilt
#37
L
90-96
90
96
-6
A08/01
NCAA
Texas
#135
L
88-92
88
92
-4
H11/01
NCAA
Mississippi St.
#257
W
97-82
97
82
+15
A14/01
NCAA
Oklahoma
#154
W
83-81
83
81
+2
A17/01
NCAA
Tennessee
#67
L
73-79
73
79
-6
H25/01
NCAA
Missouri
#111
W
90-64
90
64
+26
H28/01
NCAA
Florida
#28
L
77-100
77
100
-23
A01/02
NCAA
Texas A&M
#82
W
100-97
100
97
+3
H05/02
NCAA
Auburn
#188
W
96-92
96
92
+4
A07/02
NCAA
1H
2H
50-34
39-40
43-43
47-53
45-46
43-46
36-34
61-48
33-44
50-37
39-36
34-43
42-29
48-35
36-46
41-54
46-46
54-51
37-41
59-51
174.0Avg total
88.3Scored
85.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (23)91.883.4175.2+8.470%
Season at home (16)92.280.3172.6+11.969%
Season away (7)90.990.4181.3+0.471%
Last 10 (10)88.385.7174.0+2.660%
Last 5 (5)87.286.4173.6+0.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)81.093.9174.9-12.929%
vs Similar (16)92.283.9176.2+8.375%
vs Weaker ◀ (7)98.771.9170.6+26.9100%
This opponent (Ole Miss) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: -4.7-4.71st half: +0.8+0.82nd half2nd half: -2.1-2.12nd half: +1.8+1.8
-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: -4.7-4.71st half: +0.8+0.82nd half2nd half: -2.1-2.12nd half: +1.8+1.8
Ole MissAlabama
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Ole MissLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Oklahoma
#154
L
41-43
41
43
-2
A03/01
NCAA
Arkansas
#36
L
32-42
32
42
-10
H08/01
NCAA
Missouri
#111
W
37-36
37
36
+1
H10/01
NCAA
Georgia
#68
L
35-40
35
40
-5
A15/01
NCAA
Mississippi St.
#257
L
27-30
27
30
-3
A18/01
NCAA
Auburn
#188
L
27-28
27
28
-1
H21/01
NCAA
Kentucky
#107
L
23-29
23
29
-6
A24/01
NCAA
Vanderbilt
#37
L
23-31
23
31
-8
A31/01
NCAA
Tennessee
#67
L
25-26
25
26
-1
A04/02
NCAA
Texas
#135
L
25-37
25
37
-12
A07/02
NCAA
63.7Avg total
29.5Scored
34.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.332.966.2+0.443%-
Last 30 at home (16)37.132.269.2+4.969%-
Last 30 away (14)29.133.762.8-4.614%-
Last 10 (10)29.534.263.7-4.710%-
Last 5 (5)24.630.254.8-5.60%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)29.734.764.4-5.018%-
vs Similar (8)36.830.667.4+6.175%-
vs Weaker (5)40.230.470.6+9.880%-
This opponent (Alabama) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AlabamaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kentucky
#107
W
50-34
50
34
+16
H03/01
NCAA
Vanderbilt
#37
D
43-43
43
43
+0
A08/01
NCAA
Texas
#135
L
45-46
45
46
-1
H11/01
NCAA
Mississippi St.
#257
W
36-34
36
34
+2
A14/01
NCAA
Oklahoma
#154
L
33-44
33
44
-11
A17/01
NCAA
Tennessee
#67
W
39-36
39
36
+3
H25/01
NCAA
Missouri
#111
W
42-29
42
29
+13
H28/01
NCAA
Florida
#28
L
36-46
36
46
-10
A01/02
NCAA
Texas A&M
#82
D
46-46
46
46
+0
H05/02
NCAA
Auburn
#188
L
37-41
37
41
-4
A07/02
NCAA
80.6Avg total
40.7Scored
39.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.537.782.2+6.763%-
Last 30 at home (20)46.435.181.5+11.280%-
Last 30 away (10)40.642.983.5-2.330%-
Last 10 (10)40.739.980.6+0.840%-
Last 5 (5)40.039.679.6+0.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)41.043.984.9-2.929%-
vs Similar (16)45.537.983.4+7.669%-
vs Weaker ◀ (7)45.631.176.7+14.486%-
This opponent (Ole Miss) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Ole Miss wins
5
Alabama wins
DateGameScore
15/01/25Alabama v Ole Miss64-74
29/02/24Ole Miss v Alabama88-103
04/01/23Alabama v Ole Miss84-62
10/02/22Ole Miss v Alabama83-97
30/12/20Alabama v Ole Miss82-64
23/02/20Ole Miss v Alabama78-103
Ole Misslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/02/26ATexas68-79
04/02/26ATennessee66-84
31/01/26AVanderbilt68-71
24/01/26AKentucky63-72
21/01/26HAuburn66-78
18/01/26AMississippi St.68-67
15/01/26AGeorgia97-95 OT
10/01/26HMissouri76-69
08/01/26HArkansas87-94
03/01/26AOklahoma70-86
Alabamalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/02/26AAuburn96-92
05/02/26HTexas A&M100-97
01/02/26AFlorida77-100
28/01/26HMissouri90-64
25/01/26HTennessee73-79
17/01/26AOklahoma83-81
14/01/26AMississippi St.97-82
11/01/26HTexas88-92
08/01/26AVanderbilt90-96
03/01/26HKentucky89-74

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Ole Miss
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL48%
HomeWWLWL69%
AwayWLLLL20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games231310
Win %48%69%20%
Points / game73.977.768.9
Allowed / game72.168.676.7
Point differential+1.7+9.1-7.8
Avg total146.0146.3145.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+22%38%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won43% (7)50% (2)40% (5)
Overtime %4%0%10%
Alabama
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWW70%
HomeWLLWW69%
AwayLWWLW71%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games23167
Win %70%69%71%
Points / game91.892.290.9
Allowed / game83.480.390.4
Point differential+8.4+11.9+0.4
Avg total175.2172.6181.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+43%56%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won80% (5)50% (2)100% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Southeastern conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Vanderbilt2420483%88.773.8+14.9
2 Arkansas2418675%88.876.5+12.2
3 Florida2317674%86.371.2+15.1
4 Georgia2317674%91.977.3+14.6
5 Texas A&M2317674%90.978.1+12.8
6 Kentucky2417771%81.671.3+10.2
7 Tennessee2316770%81.769.8+12.0
8 Alabama2316770%91.883.4+8.4
9 Missouri2316770%80.373.4+6.9
10 Texas2415962%85.274.6+10.6
11 LSU24141058%81.575.4+6.0
12 Auburn24141058%84.378.7+5.7
13 Mississippi St.23121152%78.177.9+0.2
14 Oklahoma24121250%83.077.7+5.3
15 Ole Miss23111248%73.972.1+1.7
16 South Carolina24111346%76.575.4+1.1
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Ole Miss304474
Alabama326193
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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