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Alabama vs Kentucky Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 03 Jan 2026
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 89-74
50-34 39-40
Position#48
Record10-3
FormWLWWW
Points / game94.5
Allowed / game81.6
Alabama 🏆
USA
vs
Position#107
Record9-4
FormLWWWW
Points / game84.9
Allowed / game67.8
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Meetings · Alabama v Kentucky
03 Jan 2026
ALAB89
KENT74
14 Mar 2025
ALAB99
KENT70
22 Feb 2025
ALAB96
KENT83
07 Jan 2023
ALAB78
KENT52
05 Feb 2022
ALAB55
KENT66
26 Jan 2021
ALAB70
KENT59
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Alabama winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Kentucky winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

AlabamaUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Illinois
#35
W
90-86
90
86
+4
A20/11
NCAA
Gonzaga
#9
L
85-95
85
95
-10
H25/11
NCAA
UNLV
#192
W
115-76
115
76
+39
H26/11
NCAA
Maryland
#305
W
105-72
105
72
+33
H27/11
NCAA
Clemson
#56
W
90-84
90
84
+6
H04/12
NCAA
UTSA Roadrunners
#365
W
97-55
97
55
+42
H07/12
NCAA
Arizona
#7
L
75-96
75
96
-21
H14/12
NCAA
South Florida
#40
W
104-93
104
93
+11
H18/12
NCAA
Kennesaw State
#113
W
92-81
92
81
+11
H21/12
NCAA
Yale
#22
W
102-78
102
78
+24
H30/12
NCAA
1H
2H
41-42
49-44
42-45
43-50
51-36
64-40
49-29
56-43
45-30
45-54
56-17
41-38
41-39
34-57
46-39
58-54
54-28
38-53
55-31
47-47
177.1Avg total
95.5Scored
81.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)94.581.6176.2+12.977%
Season at home (11)94.279.9174.1+14.373%
Season away (2)96.591.0187.5+5.5100%
Last 10 (10)95.581.6177.1+13.980%
Last 5 (5)94.080.6174.6+13.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)83.693.8177.4-10.125%
vs Similar ◀ (15)94.483.0177.4+11.480%
vs Weaker (7)98.971.9170.7+27.0100%
This opponent (Kentucky) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
KentuckyUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Eastern Illinois
#285
W
99-53
99
53
+46
H15/11
NCAA
Michigan State
#29
L
66-83
66
83
-17
H18/11
NCAA
Loyola Maryland
#314
W
88-46
88
46
+42
H22/11
NCAA
Tennessee Tech
#270
W
104-54
104
54
+50
H27/11
NCAA
North Carolina
#45
L
64-67
64
67
-3
H03/12
NCAA
Gonzaga
#9
L
59-94
59
94
-35
H06/12
NCAA
N. Carolina Central
#258
W
103-67
103
67
+36
H10/12
NCAA
Indiana
#145
W
72-60
72
60
+12
H14/12
NCAA
St. John's (N.Y.)
#32
W
78-66
78
66
+12
H20/12
NCAA
Bellarmine
#279
W
99-85
99
85
+14
H23/12
NCAA
1H
2H
47-19
52-34
27-44
39-39
50-20
38-26
43-28
61-26
31-31
33-36
20-43
39-51
52-31
51-36
32-39
40-21
25-32
53-34
46-38
53-47
150.7Avg total
83.2Scored
67.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)84.967.8152.7+17.269%
Season at home (12)84.765.4150.1+19.275%
Season away (1)88.096.0184.0-8.00%
Last 10 (10)83.267.5150.7+15.770%
Last 5 (5)82.274.4156.6+7.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)72.891.8164.5-19.00%
vs Similar ◀ (17)78.177.3155.4+0.859%
vs Weaker (9)94.759.6154.2+35.1100%
This opponent (Alabama) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-18-9+0+9+181st half1st half: +14.4+14.41st half: +4.8+4.82nd half2nd half: -0.5-0.52nd half: +10.9+10.9
-18-9+0+9+181st half1st half: +14.4+14.41st half: +4.8+4.82nd half2nd half: -0.5-0.52nd half: +10.9+10.9
AlabamaKentucky
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
AlabamaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Illinois
#35
L
41-42
41
42
-1
A20/11
NCAA
Gonzaga
#9
L
42-45
42
45
-3
H25/11
NCAA
UNLV
#192
W
51-36
51
36
+15
H26/11
NCAA
Maryland
#305
W
49-29
49
29
+20
H27/11
NCAA
Clemson
#56
W
45-30
45
30
+15
H04/12
NCAA
UTSA Roadrunners
#365
W
56-17
56
17
+39
H07/12
NCAA
Arizona
#7
W
41-39
41
39
+2
H14/12
NCAA
South Florida
#40
W
46-39
46
39
+7
H18/12
NCAA
Kennesaw State
#113
W
54-28
54
28
+26
H21/12
NCAA
Yale
#22
W
55-31
55
31
+24
H30/12
NCAA
81.6Avg total
48.0Scored
33.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.337.182.4+8.373%-
Last 30 at home (20)45.934.580.4+11.480%-
Last 30 away (10)44.242.286.4+2.060%-
Last 10 (10)48.033.681.6+14.480%-
Last 5 (5)50.430.881.2+19.6100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)40.543.083.5-2.525%-
vs Similar ◀ (15)46.336.983.3+9.487%-
vs Weaker (7)48.730.679.3+18.1100%-
This opponent (Kentucky) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
KentuckyLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Eastern Illinois
#285
W
47-19
47
19
+28
H15/11
NCAA
Michigan State
#29
L
27-44
27
44
-17
H18/11
NCAA
Loyola Maryland
#314
W
50-20
50
20
+30
H22/11
NCAA
Tennessee Tech
#270
W
43-28
43
28
+15
H27/11
NCAA
North Carolina
#45
D
31-31
31
31
+0
H03/12
NCAA
Gonzaga
#9
L
20-43
20
43
-23
H06/12
NCAA
N. Carolina Central
#258
W
52-31
52
31
+21
H10/12
NCAA
Indiana
#145
L
32-39
32
39
-7
H14/12
NCAA
St. John's (N.Y.)
#32
L
25-32
25
32
-7
H20/12
NCAA
Bellarmine
#279
W
46-38
46
38
+8
H23/12
NCAA
69.8Avg total
37.3Scored
32.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.134.973.0+3.157%-
Last 30 at home (21)38.431.770.1+6.767%-
Last 30 away (9)37.242.479.7-5.233%-
Last 10 (10)37.332.569.8+4.850%-
Last 5 (5)35.036.671.6-1.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)31.847.279.0-15.50%-
vs Similar ◀ (17)35.837.673.4-1.947%-
vs Weaker (9)45.224.369.6+20.9100%-
This opponent (Alabama) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Alabama wins
4
Kentucky wins
DateGameScore
15/03/25Alabama v Kentucky99-70
22/02/25Alabama v Kentucky96-83
18/01/25Kentucky v Alabama97-102
24/02/24Kentucky v Alabama117-95
07/01/23Alabama v Kentucky78-52
19/02/22Kentucky v Alabama90-81
06/02/22Alabama v Kentucky55-66
27/01/21Alabama v Kentucky70-59
13/01/21Kentucky v Alabama65-85
11/01/20Kentucky v Alabama76-67
Alabamalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/12/25HYale102-78
21/12/25HKennesaw State92-81
18/12/25HSouth Florida104-93
14/12/25HArizona75-96
07/12/25HUTSA Roadrunners97-55
04/12/25HClemson90-84
27/11/25HMaryland105-72
26/11/25HUNLV115-76
25/11/25HGonzaga85-95
20/11/25AIllinois90-86
Kentuckylast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/12/25HBellarmine99-85
20/12/25HSt. John's (N.Y.)78-66
14/12/25HIndiana72-60
10/12/25HN. Carolina Central103-67
06/12/25HGonzaga59-94
03/12/25HNorth Carolina64-67
27/11/25HTennessee Tech104-54
22/11/25HLoyola Maryland88-46
18/11/25HMichigan State66-83
15/11/25HEastern Illinois99-53

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Alabama
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW77%
HomeWLWWW73%
AwayWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games13112
Win %77%73%100%
Points / game94.594.296.5
Allowed / game81.679.991.0
Point differential+12.9+14.3+5.5
Avg total176.2174.1187.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+54%64%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Kentucky
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW69%
HomeLWWWW75%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games13121
Win %69%75%0%
Points / game84.984.788.0
Allowed / game67.865.496.0
Point differential+17.2+19.2-8.0
Avg total152.7150.1184.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+69%75%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Southeastern conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Vanderbilt13130100%94.270.7+23.5
2 Georgia1312192%99.072.0+27.0
3 LSU1312192%89.071.0+18.0
4 Tennessee1310377%83.963.7+20.2
5 Texas A&M1310377%96.277.2+19.1
6 Arkansas1310377%90.574.8+15.7
7 Oklahoma1310377%87.472.4+15.0
8 Alabama1310377%94.581.6+12.9
9 Missouri1310377%83.871.5+12.3
10 Kentucky139469%84.967.8+17.2
11 Texas139469%87.971.3+16.6
12 Florida139469%85.170.4+14.7
13 South Carolina139469%81.068.2+12.8
14 Auburn139469%85.976.8+9.2
15 Mississippi St.139469%81.274.6+6.5
16 Ole Miss138562%74.666.5+8.2
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Alabama503989
Kentucky344074
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