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Mississippi St. vs Alabama Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 14 Jan 2026
Tip-off: 02:00
Final 82-97
34-36 48-61
Position#257
Record11-5
FormWWWWL
Points / game81.0
Allowed / game75.8
Mississippi St.
USA
vs
Alabama 🏆
USA
Position#48
Record11-5
FormWWWLL
Points / game93.5
Allowed / game82.7
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Meetings · Mississippi St. v Alabama
02 Jan 2027
MISS v ALAB
upcoming
13 Jan 2026
MISS82
ALAB97
29 Jan 2025
MISS84
ALAB88
13 Jan 2024
MISS74
ALAB82
28 Dec 2022
MISS67
ALAB78
15 Jan 2022
MISS78
ALAB76
27 Feb 2021
MISS59
ALAB64
25 Feb 2020
MISS80
ALAB73
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Mississippi St. winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Alabama winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Mississippi St.USALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
SMU Mustangs
#129
L
81-87 OT
81
87
-6
H29/11
NCAA
Georgia Tech
#309
W
85-73
85
73
+12
A04/12
NCAA
San Francisco
#191
L
62-65
62
65
-3
H07/12
NCAA
Utah Utes
#333
W
82-74
82
74
+8
A14/12
NCAA
LIU Sharks
#59
W
87-83
87
83
+4
H17/12
NCAA
Memphis
#277
W
71-66
71
66
+5
H20/12
NCAA
Alabama State
#330
W
94-56
94
56
+38
H30/12
NCAA
Texas
#135
W
101-98 OT
101
98
+3
A03/01
NCAA
Oklahoma
#154
W
72-53
72
53
+19
H08/01
NCAA
Kentucky
#107
L
68-92
68
92
-24
A11/01
NCAA
1H
2H
43-39
31-35
37-28
48-45
22-30
40-35
32-42
50-32
39-38
48-45
34-30
37-36
49-31
45-25
48-43
38-43
27-27
45-26
39-44
29-48
155.0Avg total
80.3Scored
74.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)81.075.8156.8+5.269%
Season at home (10)80.569.8150.3+10.780%
Season away (6)81.885.8167.7-4.050%
Last 10 (10)80.374.7155.0+5.670%
Last 5 (5)81.273.0154.2+8.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)77.283.9161.2-6.731%
vs Similar (14)80.475.8156.1+4.664%
vs Weaker (3)86.064.3150.3+21.7100%
This opponent (Alabama) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AlabamaUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Maryland
#305
W
105-72
105
72
+33
H27/11
NCAA
Clemson
#56
W
90-84
90
84
+6
H04/12
NCAA
UTSA Roadrunners
#365
W
97-55
97
55
+42
H07/12
NCAA
Arizona
#7
L
75-96
75
96
-21
H14/12
NCAA
South Florida
#40
W
104-93
104
93
+11
H18/12
NCAA
Kennesaw State
#113
W
92-81
92
81
+11
H21/12
NCAA
Yale
#22
W
102-78
102
78
+24
H30/12
NCAA
Kentucky
#107
W
89-74
89
74
+15
H03/01
NCAA
Vanderbilt
#37
L
90-96
90
96
-6
A08/01
NCAA
Texas
#135
L
88-92
88
92
-4
H11/01
NCAA
1H
2H
49-29
56-43
45-30
45-54
56-17
41-38
41-39
34-57
46-39
58-54
54-28
38-53
55-31
47-47
50-34
39-40
43-43
47-53
45-46
43-46
175.3Avg total
93.2Scored
82.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)93.582.7176.2+10.869%
Season at home (13)93.380.4173.7+12.969%
Season away (3)94.392.7187.0+1.767%
Last 10 (10)93.282.1175.3+11.170%
Last 5 (5)92.284.2176.4+8.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)83.693.8177.4-10.125%
vs Similar (17)93.784.6178.3+9.171%
vs Weaker ◀ (5)103.867.6171.4+36.2100%
This opponent (Mississippi St.) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-18-9+0+9+181st half1st half: +1.8+1.81st half: +14.8+14.82nd half2nd half: +4.1+4.12nd half: -3.7-3.7
-18-9+0+9+181st half1st half: +1.8+1.81st half: +14.8+14.82nd half2nd half: +4.1+4.12nd half: -3.7-3.7
Mississippi St.Alabama
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Mississippi St.Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
SMU Mustangs
#129
W
43-39
43
39
+4
H29/11
NCAA
Georgia Tech
#309
W
37-28
37
28
+9
A04/12
NCAA
San Francisco
#191
L
22-30
22
30
-8
H07/12
NCAA
Utah Utes
#333
L
32-42
32
42
-10
A14/12
NCAA
LIU Sharks
#59
W
39-38
39
38
+1
H17/12
NCAA
Memphis
#277
W
34-30
34
30
+4
H20/12
NCAA
Alabama State
#330
W
49-31
49
31
+18
H30/12
NCAA
Texas
#135
W
48-43
48
43
+5
A03/01
NCAA
Oklahoma
#154
D
27-27
27
27
+0
H08/01
NCAA
Kentucky
#107
L
39-44
39
44
-5
A11/01
NCAA
72.2Avg total
37.0Scored
35.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.836.773.5+0.147%-
Last 30 at home (18)36.134.770.8+1.450%-
Last 30 away (12)37.839.877.5-2.042%-
Last 10 (10)37.035.272.2+1.860%-
Last 5 (5)39.435.074.4+4.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)36.539.275.8-2.738%-
vs Similar (14)36.535.271.7+1.350%-
vs Weaker (3)39.032.771.7+6.367%-
This opponent (Alabama) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AlabamaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Maryland
#305
W
49-29
49
29
+20
H27/11
NCAA
Clemson
#56
W
45-30
45
30
+15
H04/12
NCAA
UTSA Roadrunners
#365
W
56-17
56
17
+39
H07/12
NCAA
Arizona
#7
W
41-39
41
39
+2
H14/12
NCAA
South Florida
#40
W
46-39
46
39
+7
H18/12
NCAA
Kennesaw State
#113
W
54-28
54
28
+26
H21/12
NCAA
Yale
#22
W
55-31
55
31
+24
H30/12
NCAA
Kentucky
#107
W
50-34
50
34
+16
H03/01
NCAA
Vanderbilt
#37
D
43-43
43
43
+0
A08/01
NCAA
Texas
#135
L
45-46
45
46
-1
H11/01
NCAA
82.0Avg total
48.4Scored
33.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.837.883.6+8.067%-
Last 30 at home (21)46.435.381.7+11.076%-
Last 30 away (9)44.643.688.1+1.044%-
Last 10 (10)48.433.682.0+14.880%-
Last 5 (5)49.436.485.8+13.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)40.543.083.5-2.525%-
vs Similar (17)46.738.284.9+8.576%-
vs Weaker ◀ (5)51.428.279.6+23.2100%-
This opponent (Mississippi St.) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Mississippi St. wins
9
Alabama wins
DateGameScore
26/02/25Alabama v Mississippi St.111-73
30/01/25Mississippi St. v Alabama84-88
04/02/24Alabama v Mississippi St.99-67
14/01/24Mississippi St. v Alabama74-82
10/03/23Alabama v Mississippi St.72-49
26/01/23Alabama v Mississippi St.66-63
29/12/22Mississippi St. v Alabama67-78
17/02/22Alabama v Mississippi St.80-75
15/01/22Mississippi St. v Alabama78-76
12/03/21Alabama v Mississippi St.85-48
Mississippi St.last 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/01/26AKentucky68-92
08/01/26HOklahoma72-53
03/01/26ATexas101-98 OT
30/12/25HAlabama State94-56
20/12/25HMemphis71-66
17/12/25HLIU Sharks87-83
14/12/25AUtah Utes82-74
07/12/25HSan Francisco62-65
04/12/25AGeorgia Tech85-73
29/11/25HSMU Mustangs81-87 OT
Alabamalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/01/26HTexas88-92
08/01/26AVanderbilt90-96
03/01/26HKentucky89-74
30/12/25HYale102-78
21/12/25HKennesaw State92-81
18/12/25HSouth Florida104-93
14/12/25HArizona75-96
07/12/25HUTSA Roadrunners97-55
04/12/25HClemson90-84
27/11/25HMaryland105-72

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Mississippi St.
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL69%
HomeLWWWW80%
AwayLWWWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games16106
Win %69%80%50%
Points / game81.080.581.8
Allowed / game75.869.885.8
Point differential+5.2+10.7-4.0
Avg total156.8150.3167.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+31%40%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (6)75% (4)50% (2)
Overtime %19%20%17%
Alabama
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLL69%
HomeWWWWL69%
AwayWWL67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games16133
Win %69%69%67%
Points / game93.593.394.3
Allowed / game82.780.492.7
Point differential+10.8+12.9+1.7
Avg total176.2173.7187.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%62%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)0% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Southeastern conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Vanderbilt16160100%93.072.1+20.9
2 Georgia1614288%96.474.9+21.6
3 Texas A&M1713476%93.078.0+15.0
4 LSU1612475%85.672.5+13.1
5 Arkansas1612475%89.476.9+12.5
6 Missouri1612475%81.771.7+10.0
7 Tennessee1712571%82.668.1+14.5
8 Florida1611569%85.270.9+14.2
9 Oklahoma1611569%84.472.9+11.6
10 Alabama1611569%93.582.7+10.8
11 Mississippi St.1611569%81.075.8+5.2
12 Kentucky1610662%83.669.4+14.2
13 Texas1610662%87.875.1+12.7
14 South Carolina1610662%79.569.6+9.9
15 Auburn1610662%87.579.1+8.4
16 Ole Miss169756%75.269.6+5.6
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Mississippi St.344882
Alabama366197
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