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Ole Miss vs Vanderbilt Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 04 Mar 2026
Tip-off: 02:00
Final 86-89 (OT)
0-0 37-33 0-0 39-43 10-13
Position#259
Record12-17
FormLLLLW
Points / game75.4
Allowed / game75.9
Ole Miss
USA
vs
Vanderbilt 🏆
USA
Position#37
Record22-7
FormWLLWL
Points / game86.9
Allowed / game74.5
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Meetings · Ole Miss v Vanderbilt
27 Jan 2027
OLE v VAND
upcoming
03 Mar 2026
OLE 86
VAND89
13 Jan 2024
OLE 69
VAND56
05 Mar 2022
OLE 61
VAND63
06 Mar 2021
OLE 56
VAND46
29 Feb 2020
OLE 86
VAND60
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Ole Miss winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Vanderbilt winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Ole MissUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kentucky
#107
L
63-72
63
72
-9
A24/01
NCAA
Vanderbilt
#37
L
68-71
68
71
-3
A31/01
NCAA
Tennessee
#67
L
66-84
66
84
-18
A04/02
NCAA
Texas
#135
L
68-79
68
79
-11
A07/02
NCAA
Alabama
#48
L
74-93
74
93
-19
H12/02
NCAA
Mississippi St.
#257
L
78-90
78
90
-12
H14/02
NCAA
Texas A&M
#82
L
77-80
77
80
-3
A19/02
NCAA
Florida
#28
L
75-94
75
94
-19
H21/02
NCAA
LSU
#230
L
99-106 OT
99
106
-7
H26/02
NCAA
Auburn
#188
W
85-79
85
79
+6
A01/03
NCAA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
0-0
23-29
0-0
40-43
0-0
23-31
0-0
45-40
0-0
25-26
0-0
41-58
0-0
25-37
0-0
43-42
0-0
30-32
0-0
44-61
0-0
28-47
0-0
50-43
0-0
38-33
0-0
39-47
0-0
32-43
0-0
43-51
0-0
42-41
0-0
40-41
0-0
38-37
0-0
47-42
160.1Avg total
75.3Scored
84.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (29)75.475.9151.3-0.541%
Season at home (17)78.675.0153.6+3.653%
Season away (12)70.977.2148.1-6.225%
Last 10 (10)75.384.8160.1-9.510%
Last 5 (5)82.889.8172.6-7.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)71.479.6151.0-8.212%
vs Similar (9)78.477.7156.1+0.867%
vs Weaker (5)81.860.2142.0+21.680%
This opponent (Vanderbilt) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VanderbiltUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Mississippi St.
#257
W
88-56
88
56
+32
A24/01
NCAA
Kentucky
#107
W
80-55
80
55
+25
H28/01
NCAA
Ole Miss
#259
W
71-68
71
68
+3
H31/01
NCAA
Oklahoma
#154
L
91-92
91
92
-1
H07/02
NCAA
Auburn
#188
W
84-76
84
76
+8
A11/02
NCAA
Texas A&M
#82
W
82-69
82
69
+13
H14/02
NCAA
Missouri
#111
L
80-81
80
81
-1
A19/02
NCAA
Tennessee
#67
L
65-69
65
69
-4
H21/02
NCAA
Georgia
#68
W
88-80
88
80
+8
H26/02
NCAA
Kentucky
#107
L
77-91
77
91
-14
A28/02
NCAA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
0-0
51-30
0-0
37-26
0-0
43-23
0-0
37-32
0-0
31-23
0-0
40-45
0-0
34-48
0-0
57-44
0-0
42-31
0-0
42-45
0-0
36-32
0-0
46-37
0-0
30-36
0-0
50-45
0-0
35-31
0-0
30-38
0-0
42-35
0-0
46-45
0-0
31-46
0-0
46-45
154.3Avg total
80.6Scored
73.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (29)86.974.5161.4+12.476%
Season at home (17)89.672.4162.1+17.282%
Season away (12)83.077.5160.5+5.567%
Last 10 (10)80.673.7154.3+6.960%
Last 5 (5)78.478.0156.4+0.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)75.078.5153.5-3.50%
vs Similar (7)83.478.0161.4+5.471%
vs Weaker ◀ (21)87.772.2160.0+15.581%
This opponent (Ole Miss) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.0+0.0Q1: +0.0+0.0Q2Q2: -5.2-5.2Q2: +4.0+4.0Q3Q3: +0.0+0.0Q3: +0.0+0.0Q4Q4: -3.6-3.6Q4: +2.9+2.9
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.0+0.0Q1: +0.0+0.0Q2Q2: -5.2-5.2Q2: +4.0+4.0Q3Q3: +0.0+0.0Q3: +0.0+0.0Q4Q4: -3.6-3.6Q4: +2.9+2.9
Ole MissVanderbilt
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Ole MissLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kentucky
#107
L
23-29
23
29
-6
A24/01
NCAA
Vanderbilt
#37
L
23-31
23
31
-8
A31/01
NCAA
Tennessee
#67
L
25-26
25
26
-1
A04/02
NCAA
Texas
#135
L
25-37
25
37
-12
A07/02
NCAA
Alabama
#48
L
30-32
30
32
-2
H12/02
NCAA
Mississippi St.
#257
L
28-47
28
47
-19
H14/02
NCAA
Texas A&M
#82
W
38-33
38
33
+5
A19/02
NCAA
Florida
#28
L
32-43
32
43
-11
H21/02
NCAA
LSU
#230
W
42-41
42
41
+1
H26/02
NCAA
Auburn
#188
W
38-37
38
37
+1
A01/03
NCAA
66.0Avg total
30.4Scored
35.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.134.167.2-1.043%-
Last 30 at home (17)35.533.969.4+1.559%-
Last 30 away (13)30.034.364.3-4.323%-
Last 10 (10)30.435.666.0-5.230%-
Last 5 (5)35.640.275.8-4.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)29.835.164.8-5.319%-
vs Similar (9)35.134.469.6+0.767%-
vs Weaker (5)40.230.470.6+9.880%-
This opponent (Vanderbilt) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VanderbiltLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Mississippi St.
#257
W
51-30
51
30
+21
A24/01
NCAA
Kentucky
#107
W
43-23
43
23
+20
H28/01
NCAA
Ole Miss
#259
W
31-23
31
23
+8
H31/01
NCAA
Oklahoma
#154
L
34-48
34
48
-14
H07/02
NCAA
Auburn
#188
W
42-31
42
31
+11
A11/02
NCAA
Texas A&M
#82
W
36-32
36
32
+4
H14/02
NCAA
Missouri
#111
L
30-36
30
36
-6
A19/02
NCAA
Tennessee
#67
W
35-31
35
31
+4
H21/02
NCAA
Georgia
#68
W
42-35
42
35
+7
H26/02
NCAA
Kentucky
#107
L
31-46
31
46
-15
A28/02
NCAA
71.0Avg total
37.5Scored
33.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.434.176.5+8.380%-
Last 30 at home (17)44.633.277.8+11.488%-
Last 30 away (13)39.535.274.8+4.369%-
Last 10 (10)37.533.571.0+4.070%-
Last 5 (5)34.836.070.8-1.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)37.033.070.0+4.0100%-
vs Similar (7)40.737.478.1+3.371%-
vs Weaker ◀ (21)43.533.076.5+10.481%-
This opponent (Ole Miss) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Ole Miss wins
5
Vanderbilt wins
DateGameScore
31/01/26Vanderbilt v Ole Miss71-68
22/02/25Vanderbilt v Ole Miss77-72
13/01/24Ole Miss v Vanderbilt69-56
04/02/23Vanderbilt v Ole Miss74-71
05/03/22Ole Miss v Vanderbilt61-63
07/03/21Ole Miss v Vanderbilt56-46
27/02/21Vanderbilt v Ole Miss75-70
29/02/20Ole Miss v Vanderbilt86-60
Ole Misslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/03/26AAuburn85-79
26/02/26HLSU99-106 OT
21/02/26HFlorida75-94
19/02/26ATexas A&M77-80
14/02/26HMississippi St.78-90
12/02/26HAlabama74-93
07/02/26ATexas68-79
04/02/26ATennessee66-84
31/01/26AVanderbilt68-71
24/01/26AKentucky63-72
Vanderbiltlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/02/26AKentucky77-91
26/02/26HGeorgia88-80
21/02/26HTennessee65-69
19/02/26AMissouri80-81
14/02/26HTexas A&M82-69
11/02/26AAuburn84-76
07/02/26HOklahoma91-92
31/01/26HOle Miss71-68
28/01/26HKentucky80-55
24/01/26AMississippi St.88-56

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Ole Miss
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW41%
HomeLLLLL53%
AwayLLLLW25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games291712
Win %41%53%25%
Points / game75.478.670.9
Allowed / game75.975.077.2
Point differential-0.5+3.6-6.2
Avg total151.3153.6148.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%29%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won38% (8)50% (2)33% (6)
Overtime %7%6%8%
Vanderbilt
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWL76%
HomeWLWLW82%
AwayLWWLL67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games291712
Win %76%82%67%
Points / game86.989.683.0
Allowed / game74.572.477.5
Point differential+12.4+17.2+5.5
Avg total161.4162.1160.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+55%65%42%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (6)25% (4)50% (2)
Overtime %3%0%8%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Southeastern conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Florida3024680%87.871.5+16.3
2 Vanderbilt2922776%86.974.5+12.4
3 Alabama3022873%92.083.6+8.4
4 Arkansas2921872%89.879.7+10.1
5 Georgia3021970%90.078.7+11.3
6 Tennessee3021970%80.068.9+11.1
7 Texas A&M30201067%88.379.1+9.3
8 Missouri30201067%79.874.8+4.9
9 Kentucky30191163%81.473.4+8.0
10 Texas29181162%84.375.5+8.8
11 Oklahoma30161453%82.677.2+5.3
12 LSU29151452%81.377.3+4.0
13 Auburn29151452%83.379.9+3.4
14 Mississippi St.30141647%78.180.7-2.6
15 Ole Miss29121741%75.475.9-0.5
16 South Carolina30121840%75.376.7-1.3
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4OTFinal
Ole Miss0370391086
Vanderbilt0330431389
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