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Olimpia Milano vs Casale Monferrato Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 26 Feb 2012
Tip-off: 17:15
Final 83-60
15-21 14-18 27-9 27-12
Position#3
Record12-8
FormWLWLW
Points / game76.0
Allowed / game72.9
vs
Position#18
Record5-15
FormLLWLL
Points / game72.2
Allowed / game75.0
ItalyLega ARound 22
Domestic2011-12
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Olimpia Milano winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Casale Monferrato winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Olimpia MilanoItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Varese
#8
L
64-74
64
74
-10
A22/01
Lega A
Fenerbahce
#16
L
63-65
63
65
-2
A25/01
Euroleague
Pesaro
#7
W
81-70
81
70
+11
H29/01
Lega A
Unics Kazan
#10
L
44-59
44
59
-15
A01/02
Euroleague
Virtus Bologna
#6
W
80-68
80
68
+12
A05/02
Lega A
Unics Kazan
#10
W
63-58
63
58
+5
H08/02
Euroleague
Sassari
#5
L
71-81
71
81
-10
H12/02
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#5
W
82-77
82
77
+5
A16/02
Italian Cup
Siena
#1
L
65-67
65
67
-2
A18/02
Italian Cup
Panathinaikos
#8
W
67-58
67
58
+9
A23/02
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-23
19-20
4-18
16-13
10-12
18-18
15-16
20-19
17-28
18-10
22-20
24-12
12-20
8-16
7-9
17-14
27-19
11-19
17-17
25-13
20-13
12-15
17-15
14-15
19-28
14-13
20-22
18-18
31-14
14-20
19-24
18-19
12-21
20-13
13-13
20-20
16-11
18-21
19-14
14-12
135.7Avg total
68.0Scored
67.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)76.072.9148.9+3.060%
Season at home (10)80.472.9153.3+7.580%
Season away (10)71.572.9144.4-1.440%
Last 10 (10)68.067.7135.7+0.350%
Last 5 (5)69.668.2137.8+1.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)63.466.2129.6-2.840%
vs Similar (9)65.370.0135.3-4.733%
vs Weaker ◀ (15)77.974.6152.5+3.360%
This opponent (Casale Monferrato) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Casale MonferratoItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Siena
#2
L
86-88 OT
86
88
-2
A27/12
Lega A
Biella
#12
W
77-70
77
70
+7
H30/12
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#6
L
62-70
62
70
-8
A03/01
Lega A
Virtus Roma
#13
L
92-93
92
93
-1
H08/01
Lega A
Teramo
#17
L
60-62
60
62
-2
H11/01
Lega A
Pesaro
#7
L
72-79
72
79
-7
A15/01
Lega A
Sassari
#5
L
75-78
75
78
-3
H22/01
Lega A
Cremona
#11
W
74-73 OT
74
73
+1
A29/01
Lega A
Varese
#8
L
58-64 OT
58
64
-6
H04/02
Lega A
Caserta
#15
L
76-77
76
77
-1
H12/02
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-16
22-27
20-17
16-16
23-15
17-20
17-17
20-18
9-12
19-18
24-14
10-26
27-23
17-19
17-26
31-25
10-17
17-11
16-18
17-16
12-19
15-21
17-22
28-17
16-22
23-19
13-16
23-21
15-23
13-14
16-13
16-10
19-15
17-13
5-9
12-16
20-21
15-17
22-19
19-20
148.6Avg total
73.2Scored
75.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)72.275.0147.2-2.825%
Season at home (11)72.973.1146.0-0.227%
Season away (9)71.477.3148.8-5.922%
Last 10 (10)73.275.4148.6-2.220%
Last 5 (5)71.074.2145.2-3.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)73.073.3146.3-0.333%
vs Similar (17)72.175.3147.4-3.224%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Olimpia Milano) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +0.0+0.0Q1: -1.4-1.4Q2Q2: -1.3-1.3Q2: -0.4-0.4Q3Q3: -1.5-1.5Q3: -0.4-0.4Q4Q4: +3.1+3.1Q4: +0.7+0.7
Olimpia MilanoCasale Monferrato
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Olimpia MilanoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Varese
#8
W
44-43
44
43
+1
A22/01
Lega A
Fenerbahce
#16
L
28-30
28
30
-2
A25/01
Euroleague
Pesaro
#7
L
35-38
35
38
-3
H29/01
Lega A
Unics Kazan
#10
L
20-36
20
36
-16
A01/02
Euroleague
Virtus Bologna
#6
D
38-38
38
38
+0
A05/02
Lega A
Unics Kazan
#10
W
32-28
32
28
+4
H08/02
Euroleague
Sassari
#5
L
33-41
33
41
-8
H12/02
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#5
W
45-34
45
34
+11
A16/02
Italian Cup
Siena
#1
L
32-34
32
34
-2
A18/02
Italian Cup
Panathinaikos
#8
W
34-32
34
32
+2
A23/02
Euroleague
69.5Avg total
34.1Scored
35.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.136.771.8-1.640%-
Last 30 at home (13)36.335.271.5+1.254%-
Last 30 away (17)34.237.872.0-3.629%-
Last 10 (10)34.135.469.5-1.340%-
Last 5 (5)35.233.869.0+1.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)29.834.664.4-4.840%-
vs Similar (9)29.835.965.7-6.122%-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)39.438.077.4+1.447%-
This opponent (Casale Monferrato) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Casale MonferratoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Siena
#2
L
40-43
40
43
-3
A27/12
Lega A
Biella
#12
W
40-35
40
35
+5
H30/12
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#6
L
28-30
28
30
-2
A03/01
Lega A
Virtus Roma
#13
W
44-42
44
42
+2
H08/01
Lega A
Teramo
#17
L
27-28
27
28
-1
H11/01
Lega A
Pesaro
#7
L
27-40
27
40
-13
A15/01
Lega A
Sassari
#5
L
39-41
39
41
-2
H22/01
Lega A
Cremona
#11
L
28-37
28
37
-9
A29/01
Lega A
Varese
#8
W
36-28
36
28
+8
H04/02
Lega A
Caserta
#15
L
35-38
35
38
-3
H12/02
Lega A
70.6Avg total
34.4Scored
36.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (20)34.836.571.3-1.835%-
Last 30 at home (11)37.235.873.0+1.455%-
Last 30 away (9)31.837.469.2-5.711%-
Last 10 (10)34.436.270.6-1.830%-
Last 5 (5)33.036.869.8-3.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)35.735.771.3+0.067%-
vs Similar (17)34.636.771.3-2.129%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Olimpia Milano) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Olimpia Milano wins
0
Casale Monferrato wins
DateGameScore
06/11/11Casale Monferrato v Olimpia Milano64-67
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/02/12APanathinaikos67-58
18/02/12ASiena65-67
16/02/12AVirtus Bologna82-77
12/02/12HSassari71-81
08/02/12HUnics Kazan63-58
05/02/12AVirtus Bologna80-68
01/02/12AUnics Kazan44-59
29/01/12HPesaro81-70
25/01/12AFenerbahce63-65
22/01/12AVarese64-74
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/02/12HCaserta76-77
04/02/12HVarese58-64 OT
29/01/12ACremona74-73 OT
22/01/12HSassari75-78
15/01/12APesaro72-79
11/01/12HTeramo60-62
08/01/12HVirtus Roma92-93
03/01/12AVirtus Bologna62-70
30/12/11HBiella77-70
27/12/11ASiena86-88 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Olimpia Milano
Lega A 2011-12
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWL60%
HomeWWLWL80%
AwayLLLLW40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games201010
Win %60%80%40%
Points / game76.080.471.5
Allowed / game72.972.972.9
Point differential+3.0+7.5-1.4
Avg total148.8153.3144.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+35%50%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)50% (2)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Casale Monferrato
Lega A 2011-12
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL25%
HomeLLLLL27%
AwayLLLLW22%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games20119
Win %25%27%22%
Points / game72.272.971.4
Allowed / game75.073.177.3
Point differential-2.8-0.2-5.9
Avg total147.2146.0148.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (12)22% (9)33% (3)
Overtime %20%9%33%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Siena2015575%79.871.0+8.8
2 Sassari2113862%78.577.5+1.0
3 Venezia1811761%76.574.9+1.6
4 Pesaro1811761%74.174.6-0.5
5 Olimpia Milano2012860%76.072.9+3.0
6 Virtus Bologna2012860%78.276.6+1.6
7 Cantu1911858%74.470.7+3.6
8 Avellino2011955%79.680.2-0.6
9 Varese20101050%75.675.3+0.3
10 Caserta1991047%77.377.7-0.4
11 Biella2091145%75.576.8-1.2
12 Virtus Roma2091145%78.780.4-1.7
13 Treviso1981142%74.876.3-1.4
14 Sutor Montegranaro1971237%75.677.7-2.2
15 Teramo1971237%71.875.1-3.3
16 Cremona2061430%72.178.3-6.2
17 Casale Monferrato2051525%72.275.0-2.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Olimpia Milano1514272783
Casale Monferrato211891260
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