Olimpico vs Libertad Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 16 Feb 2013

Tip-off: 01:00

Final 74-67

23-20 16-22 12-11 23-14

Position#5

Record20-16

FormLWWLL

Points / game75.6

Allowed / game76.2

Olimpico 🏆

Libertad

Position#8

Record20-16

FormLLWWL

Points / game78.6

Allowed / game77.6

Liga ARound 39

Other2012-13

Meetings · Olimpico v Libertad

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Olimpico winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Libertad winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Olimpico

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Gimnasia

#10

85-95

-10

A20/12

Liga A

Lanus

75-77

-2

A22/12

Liga A

La Union

#15

95-81

+14

A17/01

Liga A

Progresista

#16

68-78

-10

A19/01

Liga A

Sionista

84-92

-8

A26/01

Liga A

Regatas

60-84

-24

A28/01

Liga A

de Julio de Morteros

#14

76-63

+13

H02/02

Liga A

Argentino

84-80 OT

H04/02

Liga A

Boca Juniors

55-92

-37

A07/02

Liga A

Obras Sanitarias

#13

71-84

-13

A09/02

Liga A

13-26

23-22

25-16

24-31

20-20

20-18

20-29

15-10

11-22

31-19

25-20

28-20

14-10

11-24

15-13

28-31

20-17

15-26

17-21

32-28

20-16

15-16

12-28

13-24

16-13

12-16

25-16

23-18

20-17

18-14

19-27

17-16

19-28

9-13

5-28

22-23

19-21

15-18

30-21

7-24

157.9Avg total

75.3Scored

82.6Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (36)	75.6	76.2	151.8	-0.6	56%
Season at home (16)	77.6	71.4	149.0	+6.2	88%
Season away (20)	74.0	80.1	154.1	-6.1	30%
Last 10 (10)	75.3	82.6	157.9	-7.3	30%
Last 5 (5)	69.2	80.6	149.8	-11.4	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	69.8	82.2	152.0	-12.4	40%
vs Similar ◀ (17)	78.2	76.9	155.1	+1.4	53%
vs Weaker (7)	76.1	75.6	151.7	+0.6	43%

This opponent (Libertad) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Libertad

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Sionista

91-68

+23

H17/01

Liga A

Regatas

95-83

+12

H19/01

Liga A

Weber Bahia

#12

87-83

H26/01

Liga A

Penarol

65-76

-11

H28/01

Liga A

Weber Bahia

#12

84-86

-2

A31/01

Liga A

Gimnasia

#10

79-99

-20

A02/02

Liga A

Penarol

71-87

-16

A06/02

Liga A

La Union

#15

91-69

+22

H09/02

Liga A

Progresista

#16

81-69

+12

H11/02

Liga A

Atenas

#11

63-66

-3

A14/02

Liga A

20-13

26-18

25-27

20-10

29-15

22-22

19-33

25-13

19-19

17-22

26-15

25-27

19-21

9-14

20-19

17-22

32-27

20-24

12-12

20-23

20-24

18-14

23-28

18-33

14-29

7-22

26-11

24-25

20-17

27-13

14-21

30-18

24-14

15-23

23-20

19-12

13-19

17-18

16-20

17-9

159.3Avg total

80.7Scored

78.6Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (36)	78.6	77.6	156.2	+0.9	56%
Season at home (20)	81.2	73.0	154.2	+8.2	80%
Season away (16)	75.2	83.4	158.7	-8.2	25%
Last 10 (10)	80.7	78.6	159.3	+2.1	50%
Last 5 (5)	77.0	78.0	155.0	-1.0	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	81.0	83.2	164.2	-2.2	25%
vs Similar ◀ (18)	77.3	78.6	155.9	-1.3	50%
vs Weaker (7)	90.0	82.1	172.1	+7.9	57%

This opponent (Olimpico) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

OlimpicoLibertad

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.0	19.2	38.2	-0.2	47%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	20.9	18.7	39.6	+2.1	64%	-
Last 30 away (16)	17.3	19.6	36.9	-2.3	31%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.2	19.0	36.2	-1.8	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.8	19.0	37.8	-0.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	19.0	21.2	40.2	-2.2	40%	-
vs Similar ◀ (17)	20.2	19.4	39.6	+0.8	47%	-
vs Weaker (7)	15.4	17.7	33.1	-2.3	43%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.4	20.4	39.8	-1.0	37%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	19.8	18.3	38.1	+1.5	47%	-
Last 30 away (13)	18.8	23.1	41.9	-4.2	23%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.0	19.8	40.8	+1.2	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.2	20.6	38.8	-2.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	20.8	19.0	39.8	+1.8	25%	-
vs Similar ◀ (18)	18.5	21.1	39.6	-2.6	33%	-
vs Weaker (7)	21.3	19.3	40.6	+2.0	57%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.5	18.5	37.0	-0.1	47%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	17.3	17.6	34.9	-0.3	50%	-
Last 30 away (16)	19.5	19.4	38.9	+0.1	44%	-
Last 10 (10)	16.9	18.6	35.5	-1.7	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	13.8	15.4	29.2	-1.6	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	16.6	19.2	35.8	-2.6	20%	-
vs Similar ◀ (17)	19.3	17.8	37.1	+1.5	59%	-
vs Weaker (7)	18.1	19.6	37.7	-1.4	43%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.5	18.6	37.1	-0.1	43%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	18.8	17.5	36.4	+1.3	47%	-
Last 30 away (13)	18.1	20.0	38.1	-1.9	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.8	19.0	36.8	-1.2	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.8	18.0	34.8	-1.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	17.8	20.0	37.8	-2.2	50%	-
vs Similar ◀ (18)	17.3	17.7	35.0	-0.3	39%	-
vs Weaker (7)	22.7	19.7	42.4	+3.0	57%	-

OlimpicoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Gimnasia

#10

36-48

-12

A20/12

Liga A

Lanus

40-38

A22/12

Liga A

La Union

#15

42-41

A17/01

Liga A

Progresista

#16

25-34

-9

A19/01

Liga A

Sionista

35-43

-8

A26/01

Liga A

Regatas

35-32

A28/01

Liga A

de Julio de Morteros

#14

28-29

-1

H02/02

Liga A

Argentino

38-31

H04/02

Liga A

Boca Juniors

28-41

-13

A07/02

Liga A

Obras Sanitarias

#13

34-39

-5

A09/02

Liga A

71.7Avg total

34.1Scored

37.6Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	37.4	37.7	75.2	-0.3	47%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	38.1	36.3	74.4	+1.9	50%	-
Last 30 away (16)	36.8	39.0	75.8	-2.2	44%	-
Last 10 (10)	34.1	37.6	71.7	-3.5	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	32.6	34.4	67.0	-1.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	35.6	40.4	76.0	-4.8	20%	-
vs Similar ◀ (17)	39.5	37.2	76.7	+2.4	59%	-
vs Weaker (7)	33.6	37.3	70.9	-3.7	29%	-

This opponent (Libertad) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

LibertadLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Sionista

46-31

+15

H17/01

Liga A

Regatas

51-37

+14

H19/01

Liga A

Weber Bahia

#12

36-41

-5

H26/01

Liga A

Penarol

28-35

-7

H28/01

Liga A

Weber Bahia

#12

52-51

A31/01

Liga A

Gimnasia

#10

38-38

A02/02

Liga A

Penarol

21-51

-30

A06/02

Liga A

La Union

#15

47-30

+17

H09/02

Liga A

Progresista

#16

39-37

H11/02

Liga A

Atenas

#11

30-37

-7

A14/02

Liga A

77.6Avg total

38.8Scored

38.8Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	37.9	39.0	76.9	-1.1	43%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	38.6	35.8	74.5	+2.8	53%	-
Last 30 away (13)	36.9	43.1	80.0	-6.2	31%	-
Last 10 (10)	38.8	38.8	77.6	+0.0	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	35.0	38.6	73.6	-3.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	38.5	39.0	77.5	-0.5	25%	-
vs Similar ◀ (18)	35.8	38.8	74.6	-2.9	39%	-
vs Weaker (7)	44.0	39.0	83.0	+5.0	71%	-

This opponent (Olimpico) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.7	20.6	39.4	-1.9	47%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	20.1	19.6	39.6	+0.5	64%	-
Last 30 away (16)	17.6	21.6	39.1	-4.0	31%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.3	21.9	41.2	-2.6	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.2	24.0	42.2	-5.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	16.8	22.0	38.8	-5.2	60%	-
vs Similar ◀ (17)	18.9	20.4	39.4	-1.5	47%	-
vs Weaker (7)	19.6	20.0	39.6	-0.4	43%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.0	20.3	40.3	-0.3	33%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	20.0	19.9	39.9	+0.1	41%	-
Last 30 away (13)	20.0	20.8	40.8	-0.8	23%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.4	20.6	41.0	-0.2	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.4	20.0	40.4	+0.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	19.2	24.5	43.8	-5.2	25%	-
vs Similar ◀ (18)	20.3	19.4	39.7	+0.9	33%	-
vs Weaker (7)	19.7	20.0	39.7	-0.3	43%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.9	18.7	38.7	+1.2	60%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	20.2	17.1	37.4	+3.1	71%	-
Last 30 away (16)	19.7	20.1	39.8	-0.4	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.9	22.5	43.4	-1.6	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.4	21.0	37.4	-4.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	17.4	19.8	37.2	-2.4	40%	-
vs Similar ◀ (17)	19.2	18.9	38.1	+0.2	53%	-
vs Weaker (7)	23.0	18.3	41.3	+4.7	86%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.4	20.3	42.7	+2.1	57%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	21.7	18.1	39.8	+3.6	65%	-
Last 30 away (13)	23.3	23.3	46.6	+0.0	46%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.5	19.2	40.7	+2.3	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.6	19.4	41.0	+2.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	20.8	15.8	36.5	+5.0	100%	-
vs Similar ◀ (18)	21.1	20.4	41.6	+0.7	44%	-
vs Weaker (7)	26.3	23.1	49.4	+3.1	57%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	38.7	39.4	78.0	-0.7	50%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	40.3	36.7	77.0	+3.6	64%	-
Last 30 away (16)	37.2	41.7	78.9	-4.4	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	40.2	44.4	84.6	-4.2	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	34.6	45.0	79.6	-10.4	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	34.2	41.8	76.0	-7.6	40%	-
vs Similar ◀ (17)	38.1	39.4	77.5	-1.2	41%	-
vs Weaker (7)	42.6	38.3	80.9	+4.3	71%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	42.4	40.6	83.0	+1.8	53%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	41.7	38.0	79.7	+3.7	65%	-
Last 30 away (13)	43.3	44.1	87.4	-0.8	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	41.9	39.8	81.7	+2.1	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	42.0	39.4	81.4	+2.6	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	40.0	40.2	80.2	-0.2	50%	-
vs Similar ◀ (18)	41.4	39.8	81.3	+1.6	44%	-
vs Weaker (7)	46.0	43.1	89.1	+2.9	71%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Olimpico wins

Libertad wins

Date	Game	Score
01/12/12	Libertad v Olimpico	79-74
20/10/12	Olimpico v Libertad	75-69
15/09/12	Libertad v Olimpico	86-64
12/03/12	Olimpico v Libertad	67-69
14/01/12	Libertad v Olimpico	85-75
08/11/11	Olimpico v Libertad	60-90
24/09/11	Libertad v Olimpico	84-83
19/03/11	Olimpico v Libertad	80-76
22/01/11	Libertad v Olimpico	91-74
02/12/10	Olimpico v Libertad	76-60

Olimpicolast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
09/02/13	A	Obras Sanitarias	71-84
07/02/13	A	Boca Juniors	55-92
04/02/13	H	Argentino	84-80 OT
02/02/13	H	de Julio de Morteros	76-63
28/01/13	A	Regatas	60-84
26/01/13	A	Sionista	84-92
19/01/13	A	Progresista	68-78
17/01/13	A	La Union	95-81
22/12/12	A	Lanus	75-77
20/12/12	A	Gimnasia	85-95

Libertadlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
14/02/13	A	Atenas	63-66
11/02/13	H	Progresista	81-69
09/02/13	H	La Union	91-69
06/02/13	A	Penarol	71-87
02/02/13	A	Gimnasia	79-99
31/01/13	A	Weber Bahia	84-86
28/01/13	H	Penarol	65-76
26/01/13	H	Weber Bahia	87-83
19/01/13	H	Regatas	95-83
17/01/13	H	Sionista	91-68

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Olimpico

Liga A 2012-13

Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWWLL	56%
Home	WWWWW	88%
Away	LLLLL	30%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	36	16	20
Win %	56%	88%	30%
Points / game	75.6	77.6	74.0
Allowed / game	76.2	71.4	80.1
Point differential	-0.6	+6.2	-6.1
Avg total	151.8	149.0	154.1
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	25%	31%	20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	60% (10)	83% (6)	25% (4)
Overtime %	3%	6%	0%

Libertad

Liga A 2012-13

Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLWWL	56%
Home	WWLWW	80%
Away	LLLLL	25%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	36	20	16
Win %	56%	80%	25%
Points / game	78.6	81.2	75.2
Allowed / game	77.6	73.0	83.4
Point differential	+0.9	+8.2	-8.2
Avg total	156.2	154.2	158.7
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	25%	45%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	64% (11)	100% (3)	50% (8)
Overtime %	6%	5%	6%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Regatas	37	26	11	70%	78.5	72.9	+5.7
2	Penarol	36	25	11	69%	81.2	76.1	+5.1
3	Lanus	35	23	12	66%	76.6	73.8	+2.8
4	Boca Juniors	37	23	14	62%	80.7	74.6	+6.1
5	Libertad	36	20	16	56%	78.6	77.6	+0.9
6	Olimpico	36	20	16	56%	75.6	76.2	-0.6
7	Quimsa	36	19	17	53%	79.4	77.2	+2.2
8	Argentino	36	19	17	53%	78.7	78.4	+0.3
9	Atenas	38	19	19	50%	77.0	79.6	-2.6
10	Gimnasia	37	18	19	49%	80.5	80.6	-0.1
11	Sionista	37	18	19	49%	79.5	80.5	-1.0
12	Weber Bahia	36	16	20	44%	81.1	81.2	-0.1
13	Obras Sanitarias	36	14	22	39%	79.9	80.6	-0.7
14	de Julio de Morteros	37	12	25	32%	79.7	85.2	-5.6
15	Progresista	36	10	26	28%	73.5	80.2	-6.7
16	La Union	36	9	27	25%	72.9	78.5	-5.6

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Olimpico	23	16	12	23	74
Libertad	20	22	11	14	67

← all games of the day

Olimpico vs Libertad Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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