PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Olimpico vs Penarol Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 05 Feb 2026
Tip-off: 01:00
Final 74-87
13-20 24-25 19-24 18-18
Position#13
Record10-13
FormWWWLW
Points / game78.7
Allowed / game78.3
vs
Penarol 🏆
Argentina
Position#11
Record11-10
FormLWWLL
Points / game80.0
Allowed / game82.0
ArgentinaLiga A· Estadio Vicente Rosales
Other2025-26
Meetings · Olimpico v Penarol
02 Nov 2026
OLIM74
PENA87
04 Feb 2026
OLIM74
PENA87
23 Jan 2025
OLIM78
PENA72
29 Nov 2023
OLIM89
PENA66
02 Feb 2023
OLIM79
PENA80
18 Mar 2022
OLIM89
PENA92
18 Mar 2021
OLIM80
PENA72
29 Jan 2020
OLIM83
PENA79
07 Jan 2019
OLIM92
PENA73
17 Jan 2018
OLIM72
PENA68
28 Mar 2017
OLIM86
PENA72
15 Apr 2016
OLIM73
PENA61
20 Apr 2015
OLIM80
PENA97
08 Jan 2014
OLIM100
PENA93
09 Dec 2012
OLIM78
PENA74
18 Nov 2011
OLIM83
PENA52
11 Feb 2011
OLIM77
PENA72
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Olimpico winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Penarol winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

OlimpicoArgentinaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormOlimpico
Date
Competition
Platense
#16
W
94-88
94
88
+6
87avg 71
H20/12
Liga A
Quimsa
#3
L
64-81
64
81
-17
52avg 71
A27/12
Liga A
San Lorenzo
#17
W
84-74
84
74
+10
74avg 71
H07/01
Liga A
Independiente de Oliva
#8
L
75-83
75
83
-8
58avg 71
A09/01
Liga A
Atenas
#18
L
75-89
75
89
-14
63avg 71
A10/01
Liga A
Instituto de Cordoba
#9
W
93-69
93
69
+24
91avg 71
A13/01
Liga A
Regatas
#4
W
72-65 OT
72
65
+7
no box
H16/01
Liga A
San Martin
#12
W
77-64
77
64
+13
no box
H19/01
Liga A
Racing de Chivilcoy
#14
L
73-82
73
82
-9
65avg 71
A30/01
Liga A
Argentino
#19
W
84-75
84
75
+9
77avg 71
A01/02
Liga A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-24
22-18
19-19
33-27
16-23
15-23
18-20
15-15
24-22
21-20
20-12
19-20
25-25
13-23
17-16
20-19
16-25
22-17
17-24
20-23
16-18
41-12
20-20
16-19
17-23
19-15
12-12
15-13
28-16
10-16
17-14
22-18
21-17
25-18
10-26
17-21
22-30
25-16
21-14
16-15
156.1Avg total
79.1Scored
77.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (23)78.778.3157.0+0.343%
Season at home (11)82.975.7158.6+7.264%
Season away (12)74.880.8155.6-5.925%
Last 10 (10)79.177.0156.1+2.160%
Last 5 (5)79.871.0150.8+8.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)76.274.7150.8+1.567%
vs Similar ◀ (22)78.882.5161.3-3.727%
vs Weaker (2)90.075.5165.5+14.5100%
This opponent (Penarol) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PenarolArgentinaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPenarol
Date
Competition
Gimnasia
#1
L
67-93
67
93
-26
48avg 72
A06/12
Liga A
Obras Sanitarias
#7
L
86-95
86
95
-9
69avg 72
A07/12
Liga A
Olimpico
#13
W
82-76
82
76
+6
70avg 72
H11/12
Liga A
Atenas
#18
W
87-67
87
67
+20
88avg 72
H13/12
Liga A
Independiente de Oliva
#8
L
76-87
76
87
-11
65avg 72
H21/12
Liga A
Argentino
#19
L
83-84
83
84
-1
72avg 72
A13/01
Liga A
Racing de Chivilcoy
#14
W
91-85 OT
91
85
+6
no box
A15/01
Liga A
Gimnasia
#1
W
77-73
77
73
+4
74avg 72
H22/01
Liga A
Obras Sanitarias
#7
L
73-81
73
81
-8
66avg 72
H24/01
Liga A
Quimsa
#3
L
66-89
66
89
-23
56avg 72
A03/02
Liga A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-31
22-20
10-20
11-22
35-20
15-27
24-19
12-29
24-18
17-26
16-14
25-18
18-23
17-12
29-19
23-13
18-30
18-25
22-16
18-16
18-25
19-13
33-29
13-17
15-26
20-21
18-18
23-11
27-19
18-22
19-16
13-16
20-25
11-16
14-18
28-22
16-20
25-25
13-19
12-25
161.8Avg total
78.8Scored
83.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)80.082.0162.1-2.052%
Season at home (12)79.978.9158.8+1.067%
Season away (9)80.286.2166.4-6.033%
Last 10 (10)78.883.0161.8-4.240%
Last 5 (5)78.082.4160.4-4.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)74.585.0159.5-10.550%
vs Similar ◀ (19)80.881.0161.8-0.253%
vs Weaker (7)85.178.0163.1+7.143%
This opponent (Olimpico) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -1.8-1.8Q1: -2.2-2.2Q2Q2: +3.5+3.5Q2: -2.5-2.5Q3Q3: -0.6-0.6Q3: +1.0+1.0Q4Q4: +0.3+0.3Q4: -1.1-1.1
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -1.8-1.8Q1: -2.2-2.2Q2Q2: +3.5+3.5Q2: -2.5-2.5Q3Q3: -0.6-0.6Q3: +1.0+1.0Q4Q4: +0.3+0.3Q4: -1.1-1.1
OlimpicoPenarol
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
OlimpicoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Platense
#16
D
42-42
42
42
+0
H20/12
Liga A
Quimsa
#3
L
31-46
31
46
-15
A27/12
Liga A
San Lorenzo
#17
W
45-42
45
42
+3
H07/01
Liga A
Independiente de Oliva
#8
L
38-48
38
48
-10
A09/01
Liga A
Atenas
#18
L
38-42
38
42
-4
A10/01
Liga A
Instituto de Cordoba
#9
W
57-30
57
30
+27
A13/01
Liga A
Regatas
#4
L
36-38
36
38
-2
H16/01
Liga A
San Martin
#12
W
38-32
38
32
+6
H19/01
Liga A
Racing de Chivilcoy
#14
W
46-35
46
35
+11
A30/01
Liga A
Argentino
#19
W
47-46
47
46
+1
A01/02
Liga A
81.9Avg total
41.8Scored
40.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.541.181.6-0.647%-
Last 30 at home (13)41.338.980.2+2.454%-
Last 30 away (17)39.942.882.7-2.841%-
Last 10 (10)41.840.181.9+1.750%-
Last 5 (5)44.836.281.0+8.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)39.838.278.0+1.750%-
vs Similar ◀ (22)40.242.382.5-2.041%-
vs Weaker (2)46.037.083.0+9.0100%-
This opponent (Penarol) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PenarolLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Gimnasia
#1
L
46-51
46
51
-5
A06/12
Liga A
Obras Sanitarias
#7
W
50-47
50
47
+3
A07/12
Liga A
Olimpico
#13
L
41-44
41
44
-3
H11/12
Liga A
Atenas
#18
D
35-35
35
35
+0
H13/12
Liga A
Independiente de Oliva
#8
L
36-55
36
55
-19
H21/12
Liga A
Argentino
#19
L
37-38
37
38
-1
A13/01
Liga A
Racing de Chivilcoy
#14
L
35-47
35
47
-12
A15/01
Liga A
Gimnasia
#1
W
45-41
45
41
+4
H22/01
Liga A
Obras Sanitarias
#7
L
31-41
31
41
-10
H24/01
Liga A
Quimsa
#3
L
41-45
41
45
-4
A03/02
Liga A
84.1Avg total
39.7Scored
44.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.041.183.1+0.940%-
Last 30 at home (18)42.640.382.8+2.350%-
Last 30 away (12)41.242.383.6-1.125%-
Last 10 (10)39.744.484.1-4.720%-
Last 5 (5)37.842.480.2-4.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)43.246.589.8-3.225%-
vs Similar ◀ (19)41.641.583.1+0.142%-
vs Weaker (7)42.637.079.6+5.643%-
This opponent (Olimpico) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Olimpicotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Olimpico: 80.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.7 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.5 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.5 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.3 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.519.8
61.0%
53.7%39.7
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.29.5
30.5%
32.9%28.5
🏀 Free throws18.512.5
67.6%
71.5%12.5
They take 63.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 49% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Penaroltheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Penarol: 77.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.7 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.0 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.0 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.3 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.320.3
56.0%
53.7%40.7
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.07.3
31.9%
32.9%22.0
🏀 Free throws20.015.0
75.0%
71.5%15.0
They take 59.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 6/3 games with a box score before 05 Feb 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Olimpico
WLWWWLLWLW
Penarol
LLWWLLWWLL
#13
League position
#11
+2.8
Net rating
-2.3
113.0
Offensive rating
108.8
110.2
Defensive rating
111.1
53.5%
Effective FG%
52.8%
52.2%
Opp. effective FG%
51.3%
0.0%
Turnover %
0.0%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.34
30.5%
3-point %
31.9%
48.9%
Assist %
45.8%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence113.0 · 108.8Defence110.2 · 111.1Shooting53.5% · 52.8%3-point %30.5% · 31.9%Ball care0.0% · 0.0%Free throws0.29 · 0.34Form (last 10/10)60% · 40%
■ Olimpico   ■ Penarol
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Olimpico wins
5
Penarol wins
DateGameScore
11/12/25Penarol v Olimpico82-76
13/03/25Penarol v Olimpico90-58
24/01/25Olimpico v Penarol78-72
05/03/24Penarol v Olimpico73-82
30/11/23Olimpico v Penarol89-66
03/02/23Olimpico v Penarol79-80
08/10/22Penarol v Olimpico78-93
19/03/22Olimpico v Penarol89-92
10/01/22Penarol v Olimpico84-65
18/03/21Olimpico v Penarol80-72
Olimpicolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/02/26AArgentino84-75
30/01/26ARacing de Chivilcoy73-82
19/01/26HSan Martin77-64
16/01/26HRegatas72-65 OT
13/01/26AInstituto de Cordoba93-69
10/01/26AAtenas75-89
09/01/26AIndependiente de Oliva75-83
07/01/26HSan Lorenzo84-74
27/12/25AQuimsa64-81
20/12/25HPlatense94-88
Penarollast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/02/26AQuimsa66-89
24/01/26HObras Sanitarias73-81
22/01/26HGimnasia77-73
15/01/26ARacing de Chivilcoy91-85 OT
13/01/26AArgentino83-84
21/12/25HIndependiente de Oliva76-87
13/12/25HAtenas87-67
11/12/25HOlimpico82-76
07/12/25AObras Sanitarias86-95
06/12/25AGimnasia67-93

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Olimpico
Liga A 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW43%
HomeWWWWW64%
AwayLLWLW25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games231112
Win %43%64%25%
Points / game78.782.974.8
Allowed / game78.375.780.8
Point differential+0.3+7.2-5.9
Avg total157.0158.6155.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+26%45%8%
Close games (≤5 pts) won20% (5)0% (3)50% (2)
Overtime %9%18%0%
Penarol
Liga A 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLL52%
HomeWWLWL67%
AwayLLLWL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games21129
Win %52%67%33%
Points / game80.079.980.2
Allowed / game82.078.986.2
Point differential-2.0+1.0-6.0
Avg total162.1158.8166.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%17%11%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (8)83% (6)50% (2)
Overtime %5%0%11%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Independiente de Oliva2215768%85.279.6+5.6
2 Obera TC2114767%81.074.3+6.7
3 Obras Sanitarias2315865%81.277.9+3.3
4 Regatas2013765%76.873.0+3.8
5 Ferro2013765%86.482.8+3.5
6 Gimnasia2213959%79.274.3+5.0
7 La Union24141058%80.978.8+2.1
8 Instituto de Cordoba24141058%75.975.7+0.2
9 Quimsa23131057%80.075.1+4.9
10 Penarol21111052%80.082.0-2.0
11 Union De Santa Fe20101050%82.282.9-0.7
12 Boca Juniors22101245%80.278.6+1.5
13 San Martin23101343%75.074.5+0.5
14 Olimpico23101343%78.778.3+0.3
15 Platense2291341%81.184.5-3.5
16 Atenas2281436%75.079.7-4.8
17 San Lorenzo2171433%78.383.5-5.1
18 Racing de Chivilcoy2371630%77.581.3-3.7
19 Argentino2231914%72.289.9-17.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Olimpico1324191874
Penarol2025241887
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.