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Penarol vs Gimnasia Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 22 Jan 2026
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 77-73
27-19 18-22 19-16 13-16
Position#11
Record10-8
FormWWLLW
Points / game81.4
Allowed / game82.2
vs
Position#1
Record11-8
FormWWLWW
Points / game79.2
Allowed / game73.9
ArgentinaLiga A· Polideportivo Islas Malvinas
Other2025-26
Meetings · Penarol v Gimnasia
30 Sep 2026
PENA62
GIMN57
21 Jan 2026
PENA77
GIMN73
12 Jan 2025
PENA100
GIMN86
16 Dec 2023
PENA87
GIMN85
04 Apr 2023
PENA76
GIMN91
22 Mar 2022
PENA72
GIMN65
24 Jan 2021
PENA59
GIMN64
17 Jan 2020
PENA109
GIMN83
10 Oct 2019
PENA76
GIMN69
21 Jan 2019
PENA75
GIMN68
04 Oct 2018
PENA73
GIMN70
17 Mar 2018
PENA69
GIMN80
07 Oct 2017
PENA88
GIMN99
20 Jan 2017
PENA73
GIMN69
23 Nov 2016
PENA75
GIMN70
28 Apr 2016
PENA100
GIMN89
04 Oct 2015
PENA66
GIMN80
11 Jun 2015
PENA63
GIMN74
09 Jun 2015
PENA86
GIMN89
27 Mar 2015
PENA81
GIMN61
31 Oct 2014
PENA68
GIMN74
14 Feb 2014
PENA107
GIMN95
03 Nov 2013
PENA62
GIMN63
10 Feb 2013
PENA72
GIMN58
09 Oct 2012
PENA76
GIMN65
18 Jan 2012
PENA89
GIMN80
11 Oct 2011
PENA103
GIMN74
21 Jan 2011
PENA94
GIMN82
24 Oct 2010
PENA78
GIMN62
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Penarol winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Gimnasia winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PenarolArgentinaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPenarol
Date
Competition
Platense
#16
W
89-88
89
88
+1
83avg 71
A18/11
Liga A
Union De Santa Fe
#15
W
82-63
82
63
+19
82avg 71
A20/11
Liga A
Obera TC
#5
L
71-87
71
87
-16
60avg 71
H23/11
Liga A
Gimnasia
#1
L
67-93
67
93
-26
48avg 71
A06/12
Liga A
Obras Sanitarias
#7
L
86-95
86
95
-9
69avg 71
A07/12
Liga A
Olimpico
#13
W
82-76
82
76
+6
70avg 71
H11/12
Liga A
Atenas
#18
W
87-67
87
67
+20
88avg 71
H13/12
Liga A
Independiente de Oliva
#8
L
76-87
76
87
-11
65avg 71
H21/12
Liga A
Argentino
#19
L
83-84
83
84
-1
72avg 71
A13/01
Liga A
Racing de Chivilcoy
#14
W
91-85 OT
91
85
+6
no box
A15/01
Liga A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-28
29-27
18-17
17-16
20-13
17-12
20-27
25-11
18-27
17-15
14-17
22-28
24-31
22-20
10-20
11-22
35-20
15-27
24-19
12-29
24-18
17-26
16-14
25-18
18-23
17-12
29-19
23-13
18-30
18-25
22-16
18-16
18-25
19-13
33-29
13-17
15-26
20-21
18-18
23-11
163.9Avg total
81.4Scored
82.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)81.482.2163.6-0.856%
Season at home (10)80.979.3160.2+1.670%
Season away (8)82.085.9167.9-3.938%
Last 10 (10)81.482.5163.9-1.150%
Last 5 (5)83.879.8163.6+4.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)72.786.3159.0-13.733%
vs Similar (20)82.081.5163.6+0.555%
vs Weaker (7)85.178.0163.1+7.143%
This opponent (Gimnasia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
GimnasiaArgentinaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormGimnasia
Date
Competition
Racing de Chivilcoy
#14
W
93-70
93
70
+23
105avg 73
A19/11
Liga A
Argentino
#19
W
79-64
79
64
+15
73avg 73
A21/11
Liga A
Ferro
#6
L
72-84
72
84
-12
no box
A22/11
Liga A
Penarol
#11
W
93-67
93
67
+26
94avg 73
H06/12
Liga A
Obera TC
#5
L
80-87
80
87
-7
74avg 73
H14/12
Liga A
Quimsa
#3
W
86-78
86
78
+8
80avg 73
H18/12
Liga A
Platense
#16
W
84-72
84
72
+12
84avg 73
A08/01
Liga A
Union De Santa Fe
#15
L
75-88
75
88
-13
62avg 73
A10/01
Liga A
Obras Sanitarias
#7
W
79-72
79
72
+7
64avg 73
A12/01
Liga A
Ferro
#6
W
88-75
88
75
+13
no box
H18/01
Liga A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-21
29-16
18-17
21-16
18-11
17-16
23-22
21-15
19-18
24-18
9-20
20-28
31-24
20-22
20-10
22-11
18-24
23-19
26-22
13-22
20-19
13-18
31-26
22-15
22-20
23-9
29-24
10-19
14-20
15-24
25-25
21-19
14-24
22-16
21-22
22-10
20-25
18-12
22-19
28-19
158.6Avg total
82.9Scored
75.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (19)79.273.9153.1+5.358%
Season at home (10)81.172.6153.7+8.560%
Season away (9)77.175.3152.4+1.856%
Last 10 (10)82.975.7158.6+7.270%
Last 5 (5)82.477.0159.4+5.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (13)80.478.5158.8+1.938%
vs Weaker ◀ (17)78.172.8150.9+5.359%
This opponent (Penarol) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -2.6-2.6Q1: -0.5-0.5Q2Q2: -0.7-0.7Q2: +3.4+3.4Q3Q3: +0.8+0.8Q3: +1.7+1.7Q4Q4: +0.8+0.8Q4: +2.6+2.6
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -2.6-2.6Q1: -0.5-0.5Q2Q2: -0.7-0.7Q2: +3.4+3.4Q3Q3: +0.8+0.8Q3: +1.7+1.7Q4Q4: +0.8+0.8Q4: +2.6+2.6
PenarolGimnasia
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PenarolLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Platense
#16
L
54-55
54
55
-1
A18/11
Liga A
Union De Santa Fe
#15
W
37-25
37
25
+12
A20/11
Liga A
Obera TC
#5
L
35-42
35
42
-7
H23/11
Liga A
Gimnasia
#1
L
46-51
46
51
-5
A06/12
Liga A
Obras Sanitarias
#7
W
50-47
50
47
+3
A07/12
Liga A
Olimpico
#13
L
41-44
41
44
-3
H11/12
Liga A
Atenas
#18
D
35-35
35
35
+0
H13/12
Liga A
Independiente de Oliva
#8
L
36-55
36
55
-19
H21/12
Liga A
Argentino
#19
L
37-38
37
38
-1
A13/01
Liga A
Racing de Chivilcoy
#14
L
35-47
35
47
-12
A15/01
Liga A
84.5Avg total
40.6Scored
43.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.840.882.6+1.040%-
Last 30 at home (17)42.539.982.4+2.547%-
Last 30 away (13)40.941.882.8-0.931%-
Last 10 (10)40.643.984.5-3.320%-
Last 5 (5)36.843.880.6-7.00%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)39.745.385.0-5.70%-
vs Similar (20)41.941.483.2+0.545%-
vs Weaker (7)42.637.079.6+5.643%-
This opponent (Gimnasia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
GimnasiaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Racing de Chivilcoy
#14
W
54-37
54
37
+17
A19/11
Liga A
Argentino
#19
W
35-27
35
27
+8
A21/11
Liga A
Ferro
#6
W
43-36
43
36
+7
A22/11
Liga A
Penarol
#11
W
51-46
51
46
+5
H06/12
Liga A
Obera TC
#5
L
41-43
41
43
-2
H14/12
Liga A
Quimsa
#3
L
33-37
33
37
-4
H18/12
Liga A
Platense
#16
W
45-29
45
29
+16
A08/01
Liga A
Union De Santa Fe
#15
L
29-44
29
44
-15
A10/01
Liga A
Obras Sanitarias
#7
L
36-40
36
40
-4
A12/01
Liga A
Ferro
#6
W
38-37
38
37
+1
H18/01
Liga A
78.1Avg total
40.5Scored
37.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.838.579.3+2.353%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.638.780.3+2.953%-
Last 30 away (15)39.938.378.3+1.653%-
Last 10 (10)40.537.678.1+2.960%-
Last 5 (5)36.237.473.6-1.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (13)41.239.881.0+1.546%-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)40.437.577.9+2.959%-
This opponent (Penarol) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Penaroltheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Penarol: 83.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀60%
🏀🏀🏀25%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers50.0 pts a game · 60% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.0 pts a game · 25% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.0 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.3 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.025.0
61.0%
53.7%50.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.07.0
26.9%
32.9%21.0
🏀 Free throws15.012.0
80.0%
71.5%12.0
They take 67.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Gimnasiatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Gimnasia: 79.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.0 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.0 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.3 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.3 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.721.0
58.9%
53.7%42.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.38.3
29.4%
32.9%25.0
🏀 Free throws18.712.3
66.1%
71.5%12.3
They take 64.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 1/3 games with a box score before 22 Jan 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Penarol
WLLWWLLLWW
Gimnasia
WWLWWLWLWW
#11
League position
#1
-1.4
Net rating
+2.9
114.7
Offensive rating
113.1
116.1
Defensive rating
110.3
53.0%
Effective FG%
52.3%
58.2%
Opp. effective FG%
51.4%
0.0%
Turnover %
0.0%
0.22
Free-throw rate
0.29
26.9%
3-point %
29.4%
31.2%
Assist %
52.3%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence114.7 · 113.1Defence116.1 · 110.3Shooting53.0% · 52.3%3-point %26.9% · 29.4%Ball care0.0% · 0.0%Free throws0.22 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)50% · 70%
■ Penarol   ■ Gimnasia
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Penarol wins
4
Gimnasia wins
DateGameScore
06/12/25Gimnasia v Penarol93-67
02/04/25Gimnasia v Penarol88-86
12/01/25Penarol v Gimnasia100-86
27/04/24Gimnasia v Penarol79-86
17/12/23Penarol v Gimnasia87-85
15/04/23Gimnasia v Penarol96-90
05/04/23Penarol v Gimnasia76-91
23/03/22Penarol v Gimnasia72-65
16/01/22Gimnasia v Penarol87-100
12/10/21Gimnasia v Penarol83-89
Penarollast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/01/26ARacing de Chivilcoy91-85 OT
13/01/26AArgentino83-84
21/12/25HIndependiente de Oliva76-87
13/12/25HAtenas87-67
11/12/25HOlimpico82-76
07/12/25AObras Sanitarias86-95
06/12/25AGimnasia67-93
23/11/25HObera TC71-87
20/11/25AUnion De Santa Fe82-63
18/11/25APlatense89-88
Gimnasialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/01/26HFerro88-75
12/01/26AObras Sanitarias79-72
10/01/26AUnion De Santa Fe75-88
08/01/26APlatense84-72
18/12/25HQuimsa86-78
14/12/25HObera TC80-87
06/12/25HPenarol93-67
22/11/25AFerro72-84
21/11/25AArgentino79-64
19/11/25ARacing de Chivilcoy93-70

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Penarol
Liga A 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLW56%
HomeWLWWL70%
AwayWLLLW38%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games18108
Win %56%70%38%
Points / game81.480.982.0
Allowed / game82.279.385.9
Point differential-0.8+1.6-3.9
Avg total163.6160.2167.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%20%12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won71% (7)80% (5)50% (2)
Overtime %6%0%12%
Gimnasia
Liga A 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW58%
HomeWWLWW60%
AwayWLWLW56%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games19109
Win %58%60%56%
Points / game79.281.177.1
Allowed / game73.972.675.3
Point differential+5.3+8.5+1.8
Avg total153.1153.7152.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+42%50%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)0% (1)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Ferro1712571%85.681.9+3.8
2 La Union2014670%82.276.8+5.3
3 Independiente de Oliva1913668%85.479.5+5.9
4 Obera TC1912763%79.573.4+6.1
5 Regatas1912763%77.873.9+3.8
6 Obras Sanitarias1811761%80.177.1+3.0
7 Gimnasia1911858%79.273.9+5.3
8 Boca Juniors1810856%82.979.9+3.1
9 Penarol1810856%81.482.2-0.8
10 Instituto de Cordoba22121055%75.076.6-1.6
11 Union De Santa Fe1910953%82.282.5-0.3
12 Quimsa20101050%79.575.5+4.0
13 San Martin1991047%74.272.3+1.8
14 Olimpico2191243%78.778.3+0.4
15 Platense1971237%80.385.0-4.7
16 Atenas2171433%74.279.9-5.7
17 San Lorenzo1961332%78.584.4-5.8
18 Racing de Chivilcoy2161529%77.982.0-4.0
19 Argentino2031715%72.890.1-17.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Penarol2718191377
Gimnasia1922161673
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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