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Oliveirense vs Sporting CP Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 28 Dec 2025
Tip-off: 15:00
Final 76-86
25-27 16-17 17-18 18-24
Position#5
Record5-3
FormWLWWW
Points / game86.6
Allowed / game80.1
Oliveirense
Portugal
vs
Sporting CP 🏆
Portugal
Position#3
Record6-2
FormWLLLW
Points / game89.2
Allowed / game79.1
PortugalLPBRound 9· Pavilhão Dr. Salvador Machado
Other2025-26
Meetings · Oliveirense v Sporting CP
12 Dec 2026
OLIV v SCP
upcoming
28 Dec 2025
OLIV76
SCP86
01 May 2025
OLIV92
SCP64
26 Apr 2025
OLIV75
SCP86
18 Nov 2023
OLIV90
SCP85
22 Apr 2023
OLIV79
SCP87
22 Dec 2022
OLIV79
SCP86
09 Apr 2022
OLIV69
SCP66
05 Dec 2021
OLIV67
SCP78
17 Apr 2021
OLIV87
SCP76
15 Mar 2020
OLIV v SCP
upcoming
04 Mar 2020
OLIV71
SCP72
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Oliveirense winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Sporting CP winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

OliveirensePortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormOliveirense
Date
Competition
Ovarense
#5
L
77-92
77
92
-15
60avg 78
A14/05
LPB
Ovarense
#5
L
82-83
82
83
-1
76avg 78
H17/05
LPB
Benfica
#1
L
76-89
76
89
-13
no box
A04/10
LPB
FC Porto
#2
W
104-93
104
93
+11
no box
H11/10
LPB
Ovarense
#4
L
82-87
82
87
-5
67avg 78
A18/10
LPB
Galitos Barreiro
#12
W
93-73
93
73
+20
90avg 78
H01/11
LPB
Braga
#7
L
63-66
63
66
-3
48avg 78
A09/11
LPB
Esgueira
#8
W
100-77
100
77
+23
96avg 78
H15/11
LPB
Vasco Da Gama
#11
W
87-80
87
80
+7
77avg 78
A06/12
LPB
CA Queluz
#9
W
88-76
88
76
+12
84avg 78
H20/12
LPB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
12-34
18-14
26-23
21-21
18-17
20-21
25-25
19-20
17-22
19-16
16-30
24-21
34-23
22-16
20-31
28-23
19-20
23-27
20-25
20-15
20-20
31-19
22-13
20-21
22-13
11-24
19-13
11-16
31-24
26-22
18-15
25-16
25-11
20-23
18-22
24-24
25-19
24-17
16-19
23-21
166.8Avg total
85.2Scored
81.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)86.680.1166.8+6.562%
Season at home (4)96.279.8176.0+16.5100%
Season away (4)77.080.5157.5-3.525%
Last 10 (10)85.281.6166.8+3.650%
Last 5 (5)86.274.4160.6+11.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)87.792.3180.0-4.733%
vs Similar (8)79.179.0158.1+0.150%
vs Weaker (18)83.275.7158.9+7.667%
This opponent (Sporting CP) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Sporting CPPortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCP
Date
Competition
Ovarense
#4
W
78-64
78
64
+14
73avg 78
H01/11
LPB
Sassari
#23
L
72-89
72
89
-17
61avg 78
A04/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Galitos Barreiro
#12
W
127-86
127
86
+41
134avg 78
A09/11
LPB
Vechta
#8
W
78-75
78
75
+3
71avg 78
H12/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Braga
#7
W
88-74
88
74
+14
81avg 78
H15/11
LPB
Valcea
#38
W
121-67
121
67
+54
130avg 78
H19/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Esgueira
#8
L
87-95
87
95
-8
82avg 78
A06/12
LPB
Bilbao
#1
L
79-94
79
94
-15
68avg 78
A10/12
FIBA Europe Cup
PAOK
#5
L
62-70
62
70
-8
56avg 78
H17/12
FIBA Europe Cup
Vasco Da Gama
#11
W
89-67
89
67
+22
85avg 78
H20/12
LPB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-13
15-21
18-14
17-16
20-24
21-31
21-17
10-17
42-21
25-19
21-20
39-26
20-24
14-23
17-18
27-10
27-18
18-24
24-16
19-16
37-20
31-21
24-17
29-9
25-22
25-23
17-27
20-23
23-26
15-23
25-25
16-20
21-15
15-20
13-23
13-12
26-16
24-17
21-19
18-15
166.2Avg total
88.1Scored
78.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)89.279.1168.4+10.175%
Season at home (4)80.277.0157.2+3.275%
Season away (4)98.281.2179.5+17.075%
Last 10 (10)88.178.1166.2+10.060%
Last 5 (5)87.678.6166.2+9.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)74.186.5160.6-12.420%
vs Similar (7)77.081.3158.3-4.343%
vs Weaker ◀ (13)95.574.8170.3+20.892%
This opponent (Oliveirense) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: +2.0+2.0Q1: +7.0+7.0Q2Q2: +1.5+1.5Q2: -1.9-1.9Q3Q3: -1.6-1.6Q3: +0.5+0.5Q4Q4: +1.7+1.7Q4: +4.4+4.4
-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: +2.0+2.0Q1: +7.0+7.0Q2Q2: +1.5+1.5Q2: -1.9-1.9Q3Q3: -1.6-1.6Q3: +0.5+0.5Q4Q4: +1.7+1.7Q4: +4.4+4.4
OliveirenseSporting CP
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
OliveirenseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ovarense
#5
L
30-48
30
48
-18
A14/05
LPB
Ovarense
#5
D
38-38
38
38
+0
H17/05
LPB
Benfica
#1
L
36-38
36
38
-2
A04/10
LPB
FC Porto
#2
W
56-39
56
39
+17
H11/10
LPB
Ovarense
#4
L
42-47
42
47
-5
A18/10
LPB
Galitos Barreiro
#12
W
51-39
51
39
+12
H01/11
LPB
Braga
#7
L
33-37
33
37
-4
A09/11
LPB
Esgueira
#8
W
57-46
57
46
+11
H15/11
LPB
Vasco Da Gama
#11
W
45-34
45
34
+11
A06/12
LPB
CA Queluz
#9
W
49-36
49
36
+13
H20/12
LPB
83.9Avg total
43.7Scored
40.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.039.080.0+2.057%-
Last 30 at home (16)43.939.883.7+4.269%-
Last 30 away (14)37.738.175.9-0.443%-
Last 10 (10)43.740.283.9+3.550%-
Last 5 (5)47.038.485.4+8.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)44.343.087.3+1.333%-
vs Similar (8)39.139.278.4-0.150%-
vs Weaker (18)41.038.579.5+2.561%-
This opponent (Sporting CP) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Sporting CPLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ovarense
#4
W
43-34
43
34
+9
H01/11
LPB
Sassari
#23
L
41-55
41
55
-14
A04/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Galitos Barreiro
#12
W
67-40
67
40
+27
A09/11
LPB
Vechta
#8
L
34-47
34
47
-13
H12/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Braga
#7
W
45-42
45
42
+3
H15/11
LPB
Valcea
#38
W
68-41
68
41
+27
H19/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Esgueira
#8
W
50-45
50
45
+5
A06/12
LPB
Bilbao
#1
L
38-49
38
49
-11
A10/12
FIBA Europe Cup
PAOK
#5
W
36-35
36
35
+1
H17/12
FIBA Europe Cup
Vasco Da Gama
#11
W
50-33
50
33
+17
H20/12
LPB
89.3Avg total
47.2Scored
42.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.839.783.5+4.067%-
Last 30 at home (13)43.538.882.4+4.769%-
Last 30 away (17)43.940.484.4+3.565%-
Last 10 (10)47.242.189.3+5.170%-
Last 5 (5)48.440.689.0+7.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)36.842.679.4-5.830%-
vs Similar (7)42.039.481.4+2.657%-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)50.137.787.8+12.4100%-
This opponent (Oliveirense) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Oliveirensetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Oliveirense: 73.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.8 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.1 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.1 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.8 points a game
49%
32%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.918.9
59.2%
52.7%37.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.26.7
30.2%
32.4%20.1
🏀 Free throws22.115.1
68.3%
70.4%15.1
They take 54.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Sporting CPtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Sporting CP: 87.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.2 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.6 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.5 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.8 points a game
49%
32%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.520.1
55.1%
52.7%40.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.110.2
31.8%
32.4%30.6
🏀 Free throws21.916.5
75.3%
70.4%16.5
They take 68.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 32.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 28 Dec 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Oliveirense
WWWLWLWLLL
Sporting CP
WLLLWWWWLW
#5
League position
#3
+7.3
Net rating
+13.8
113.4
Offensive rating
115.6
106.1
Defensive rating
101.8
53.5%
Effective FG%
51.6%
54.7%
Opp. effective FG%
49.3%
14.7%
Turnover %
14.6%
27.8%
Off. rebound %
35.8%
0.41
Free-throw rate
0.32
30.2%
3-point %
31.8%
52.3%
Assist %
65.7%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence113.4 · 115.6Defence106.1 · 101.8Shooting53.5% · 51.6%3-point %30.2% · 31.8%Ball care14.7% · 14.6%Off. rebounds27.8% · 35.8%Free throws0.41 · 0.32Form (last 10/10)50% · 60%
■ Oliveirense   ■ Sporting CP
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Oliveirense wins
7
Sporting CP wins
DateGameScore
01/05/25Oliveirense v Sporting CP92-64
26/04/25Oliveirense v Sporting CP75-86
22/03/25Sporting CP v Oliveirense80-70
04/01/25Sporting CP v Oliveirense82-69
22/03/24Sporting CP v Oliveirense73-85
18/11/23Oliveirense v Sporting CP90-85
22/04/23Oliveirense v Sporting CP79-87
22/03/23Sporting CP v Oliveirense94-70
22/12/22Oliveirense v Sporting CP79-86
05/10/22Sporting CP v Oliveirense99-74
Oliveirenselast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/12/25HCA Queluz88-76
06/12/25AVasco Da Gama87-80
15/11/25HEsgueira100-77
09/11/25ABraga63-66
01/11/25HGalitos Barreiro93-73
18/10/25AOvarense82-87
11/10/25HFC Porto104-93
04/10/25ABenfica76-89
17/05/25HOvarense82-83
14/05/25AOvarense77-92
Sporting CPlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/12/25HVasco Da Gama89-67
17/12/25HPAOK62-70
10/12/25ABilbao79-94
06/12/25AEsgueira87-95
19/11/25HValcea121-67
15/11/25HBraga88-74
12/11/25HVechta78-75
09/11/25AGalitos Barreiro127-86
04/11/25ASassari72-89
01/11/25HOvarense78-64

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Oliveirense
LPB 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW62%
HomeWWWW100%
AwayLLLW25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games844
Win %62%100%25%
Points / game86.696.277.0
Allowed / game80.179.880.5
Point differential+6.5+16.5-3.5
Avg total166.8176.0157.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)-0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Sporting CP
LPB 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW75%
HomeLWWW75%
AwayWWWL75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games844
Win %75%75%75%
Points / game89.280.298.2
Allowed / game79.177.081.2
Point differential+10.1+3.2+17.0
Avg total168.4157.2179.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+62%75%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Benfica880100%96.271.0+25.2
2 Sporting CP86275%89.279.1+10.1
3 Ovarense86275%79.479.5-0.1
4 Oliveirense85362%86.680.1+6.5
5 FC Porto85362%93.590.0+3.5
6 Esgueira84450%90.593.1-2.6
7 CA Queluz94544%83.483.1+0.3
8 Braga94544%75.781.8-6.1
9 Imortal83538%82.885.6-2.9
10 Vitoria82625%79.888.1-8.4
11 Vasco Da Gama81712%82.990.4-7.5
12 Galitos Barreiro81712%86.4103.8-17.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Oliveirense2516171876
Sporting CP2717182486
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