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Benfica vs Oliveirense Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 04 Oct 2025
Tip-off: 14:00
Final 89-76
22-17 16-19 30-16 21-24
Position#1
Record-
FormWWWLW
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
Benfica 🏆
Portugal
vs
Oliveirense
Portugal
Position#5
Record-
FormWWWLL
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
PortugalLPBRound 1· Pavilhão Fidelidade
Other2025-26
Meetings · Benfica v Oliveirense
17 Oct 2026
BEN92
OLIV67
23 May 2026
BEN86
OLIV61
21 May 2026
BEN98
OLIV76
04 Oct 2025
BEN89
OLIV76
30 Nov 2024
BEN93
OLIV75
24 May 2024
BEN91
OLIV69
22 May 2024
BEN100
OLIV55
08 Dec 2023
BEN71
OLIV47
13 Oct 2023
BEN71
OLIV78
11 Oct 2023
BEN73
OLIV74
15 Apr 2023
BEN98
OLIV81
28 Jan 2023
BEN83
OLIV71
23 May 2022
BEN93
OLIV80
21 May 2022
BEN89
OLIV72
13 Apr 2022
BEN76
OLIV75
22 Jan 2022
BEN97
OLIV91
16 Oct 2021
BEN97
OLIV70
24 Apr 2021
BEN88
OLIV89
22 Apr 2021
BEN95
OLIV89
18 Dec 2020
BEN90
OLIV74
19 Oct 2019
BEN77
OLIV67
28 Mar 2019
BEN71
OLIV78
17 Nov 2018
BEN83
OLIV75
04 Apr 2018
BEN89
OLIV88
29 Dec 2017
BEN81
OLIV66
21 May 2017
BEN90
OLIV81
20 May 2017
BEN97
OLIV91
18 Mar 2017
BEN72
OLIV67
11 Feb 2017
BEN74
OLIV81
18 May 2016
BEN86
OLIV82
08 May 2016
BEN69
OLIV71
07 May 2016
BEN97
OLIV62
25 Mar 2016
BEN95
OLIV70
24 Oct 2015
BEN64
OLIV58
26 Apr 2015
BEN98
OLIV86
25 Apr 2015
BEN120
OLIV76
10 Jan 2015
BEN95
OLIV51
30 Nov 2013
BEN112
OLIV75
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Benfica winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Oliveirense winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BenficaPortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBenfica
Date
Competition
FC Porto
#1
L
95-104 OT
95
104
-9
85avg 84
H03/05
Taca da Liga
Vitoria
#9
W
99-87
99
87
+12
100avg 84
H09/05
LPB
Vitoria
#9
W
88-68
88
68
+20
82avg 84
A14/05
LPB
Ovarense
#5
W
85-66
85
66
+19
79avg 84
H22/05
LPB
Ovarense
#5
W
103-71
103
71
+32
104avg 84
H24/05
LPB
Ovarense
#5
W
89-80
89
80
+9
85avg 84
A29/05
LPB
FC Porto
#2
W
95-94
95
94
+1
87avg 84
H08/06
LPB
FC Porto
#2
W
89-81
89
81
+8
82avg 84
H10/06
LPB
FC Porto
#2
L
75-82
75
82
-7
62avg 84
A13/06
LPB
FC Porto
#2
W
93-71
93
71
+22
92avg 84
A15/06
LPB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-24
19-27
21-23
23-10
25-20
31-25
20-25
23-17
19-22
12-10
33-19
24-17
15-25
20-10
24-9
26-22
28-21
25-17
35-21
15-12
22-8
25-20
14-35
28-17
26-27
23-21
25-18
21-28
24-17
23-20
26-19
16-25
6-21
19-19
22-23
28-19
21-19
28-9
20-23
24-20
171.5Avg total
91.1Scored
80.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)91.180.4171.5+10.780%
Last 5 (5)88.281.6169.8+6.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (3)91.396.0187.3-4.733%
vs Weaker ◀ (26)90.777.8168.4+12.992%
This opponent (Oliveirense) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
OliveirensePortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormOliveirense
Date
Competition
Ovarense
#3
L
71-82
71
82
-11
no box
H08/04
Taca da Liga
Galitos Barreiro
#6
W
92-80
92
80
+12
95avg 80
H13/04
LPB
CD Povoa
#10
W
68-61
68
61
+7
70avg 80
A19/04
LPB
Sporting CP
#3
L
75-86
75
86
-11
64avg 80
H26/04
LPB
Sporting CP
#5
W
92-64
92
64
+28
92avg 80
H01/05
Taca da Liga
Ovarense
#3
W
77-66
77
66
+11
75avg 80
A03/05
Taca da Liga
FC Porto
#1
W
83-78
83
78
+5
81avg 80
H04/05
Taca da Liga
Ovarense
#5
W
87-74
87
74
+13
89avg 80
H10/05
LPB
Ovarense
#5
L
77-92
77
92
-15
60avg 80
A14/05
LPB
Ovarense
#5
L
82-83
82
83
-1
76avg 80
H17/05
LPB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-21
14-21
12-9
31-31
26-24
22-17
18-24
26-15
20-15
19-15
11-17
18-14
19-30
19-25
21-16
16-15
26-17
15-11
29-17
22-19
16-13
22-12
13-19
26-22
22-23
28-15
11-21
22-19
25-18
17-16
19-20
26-20
12-34
18-14
26-23
21-21
18-17
20-21
25-25
19-20
157.0Avg total
80.4Scored
76.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)80.476.6157.0+3.860%
Last 5 (5)81.278.6159.8+2.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (2)79.094.0173.0-15.00%
vs Similar (7)76.078.7154.7-2.743%
vs Weaker (20)84.877.3162.1+7.570%
This opponent (Benfica) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.3+0.3Q1: -1.4-1.4Q2Q2: +4.7+4.7Q2: +2.7+2.7Q3Q3: +2.5+2.5Q3: -0.6-0.6Q4Q4: +4.1+4.1Q4: +3.1+3.1
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.3+0.3Q1: -1.4-1.4Q2Q2: +4.7+4.7Q2: +2.7+2.7Q3Q3: +2.5+2.5Q3: -0.6-0.6Q4Q4: +4.1+4.1Q4: +3.1+3.1
BenficaOliveirense
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BenficaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
FC Porto
#1
L
40-51
40
51
-11
H03/05
Taca da Liga
Vitoria
#9
W
56-45
56
45
+11
H09/05
LPB
Vitoria
#9
L
31-32
31
32
-1
A14/05
LPB
Ovarense
#5
D
35-35
35
35
+0
H22/05
LPB
Ovarense
#5
W
53-38
53
38
+15
H24/05
LPB
Ovarense
#5
W
47-28
47
28
+19
A29/05
LPB
FC Porto
#2
W
49-48
49
48
+1
H08/06
LPB
FC Porto
#2
W
47-37
47
37
+10
H10/06
LPB
FC Porto
#2
L
25-40
25
40
-15
A13/06
LPB
FC Porto
#2
W
49-28
49
28
+21
A15/06
LPB
81.4Avg total
43.2Scored
38.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.438.282.6+6.370%-
Last 30 at home (15)46.138.084.1+8.180%-
Last 30 away (15)42.838.381.1+4.560%-
Last 10 (10)43.238.281.4+5.060%-
Last 5 (5)43.436.279.6+7.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (3)42.751.093.7-8.30%-
vs Weaker ◀ (26)44.537.081.5+7.577%-
This opponent (Oliveirense) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
OliveirenseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ovarense
#3
L
28-42
28
42
-14
H08/04
Taca da Liga
Galitos Barreiro
#6
W
48-41
48
41
+7
H13/04
LPB
CD Povoa
#10
W
39-30
39
30
+9
A19/04
LPB
Sporting CP
#3
L
38-55
38
55
-17
H26/04
LPB
Sporting CP
#5
W
41-28
41
28
+13
H01/05
Taca da Liga
Ovarense
#3
W
38-25
38
25
+13
A03/05
Taca da Liga
FC Porto
#1
W
50-38
50
38
+12
H04/05
Taca da Liga
Ovarense
#5
W
42-34
42
34
+8
H10/05
LPB
Ovarense
#5
L
30-48
30
48
-18
A14/05
LPB
Ovarense
#5
D
38-38
38
38
+0
H17/05
LPB
77.1Avg total
39.2Scored
37.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.239.778.9-0.450%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.139.580.5+1.660%-
Last 30 away (15)37.439.977.3-2.540%-
Last 10 (10)39.237.977.1+1.360%-
Last 5 (5)39.636.676.2+3.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (2)36.047.583.5-11.50%-
vs Similar (7)37.638.476.0-0.957%-
vs Weaker (20)39.839.679.3+0.150%-
This opponent (Benfica) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Benficatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Benfica: 90.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.8 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.2 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.3 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.8 points a game
49%
32%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.521.9
52.8%
52.7%43.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.110.4
34.6%
32.4%31.2
🏀 Free throws23.515.3
65.1%
70.4%15.3
They take 71.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Oliveirensetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Oliveirense: 74.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.4 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.1 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.7 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.8 points a game
49%
32%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers28.816.2
56.2%
52.7%32.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.38.7
37.3%
32.4%26.1
🏀 Free throws21.615.7
72.7%
70.4%15.7
They take 52.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 04 Oct 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Benfica
WLWWWWWWWL
Oliveirense
LLWWWWLWWL
#1
League position
#5
+14.4
Net rating
+5.9
116.8
Offensive rating
110.0
102.4
Defensive rating
104.1
52.4%
Effective FG%
56.1%
49.4%
Opp. effective FG%
52.5%
18.0%
Turnover %
22.8%
43.8%
Off. rebound %
33.6%
0.33
Free-throw rate
0.41
34.6%
3-point %
37.3%
66.9%
Assist %
69.1%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence116.8 · 110.0Defence102.4 · 104.1Shooting52.4% · 56.1%3-point %34.6% · 37.3%Ball care18.0% · 22.8%Off. rebounds43.8% · 33.6%Free throws0.33 · 0.41Form (last 10/10)80% · 60%
■ Benfica   ■ Oliveirense
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
8
Benfica wins
2
Oliveirense wins
DateGameScore
25/01/25Oliveirense v Benfica83-95
30/11/24Benfica v Oliveirense93-75
27/05/24Oliveirense v Benfica64-77
24/05/24Benfica v Oliveirense91-69
22/05/24Benfica v Oliveirense100-55
07/01/24Oliveirense v Benfica55-77
08/12/23Benfica v Oliveirense71-47
13/10/23Benfica v Oliveirense71-78
11/10/23Benfica v Oliveirense73-74
15/04/23Benfica v Oliveirense98-81
Benficalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/06/25AFC Porto93-71
13/06/25AFC Porto75-82
10/06/25HFC Porto89-81
08/06/25HFC Porto95-94
29/05/25AOvarense89-80
24/05/25HOvarense103-71
22/05/25HOvarense85-66
14/05/25AVitoria88-68
09/05/25HVitoria99-87
03/05/25HFC Porto95-104 OT
Oliveirenselast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/05/25HOvarense82-83
14/05/25AOvarense77-92
10/05/25HOvarense87-74
04/05/25HFC Porto83-78
03/05/25AOvarense77-66
01/05/25HSporting CP92-64
26/04/25HSporting CP75-86
19/04/25ACD Povoa68-61
13/04/25HGalitos Barreiro92-80
08/04/25HOvarense71-82

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Benfica
LPB 2025-26
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
Oliveirense
LPB 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

No league table for this competition yet.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Benfica2216302189
Oliveirense1719162476
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