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Oliveirense vs Esgueira Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 15 Nov 2025
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 100-77
31-24 26-22 18-15 25-16
Position#5
Record2-3
FormLWLWL
Points / game83.6
Allowed / game81.6
vs
Position#8
Record3-2
FormLWWLW
Points / game93.6
Allowed / game91.2
PortugalLPBRound 6· Pavilhão Dr. Salvador Machado
Other2025-26
Meetings · Oliveirense v Esgueira
24 Oct 2026
OLIV104
ESGU80
15 Nov 2025
OLIV100
ESGU77
16 Nov 2024
OLIV93
ESGU77
20 Jan 2024
OLIV91
ESGU73
01 Oct 2022
OLIV80
ESGU71
03 Jan 2021
OLIV86
ESGU81
01 Feb 2020
OLIV88
ESGU82
15 Dec 2018
OLIV106
ESGU83
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Oliveirense winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Esgueira winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

OliveirensePortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormOliveirense
Date
Competition
Ovarense
#3
W
77-66
77
66
+11
75avg 78
A03/05
Taca da Liga
FC Porto
#1
W
83-78
83
78
+5
81avg 78
H04/05
Taca da Liga
Ovarense
#5
W
87-74
87
74
+13
89avg 78
H10/05
LPB
Ovarense
#5
L
77-92
77
92
-15
60avg 78
A14/05
LPB
Ovarense
#5
L
82-83
82
83
-1
76avg 78
H17/05
LPB
Benfica
#1
L
76-89
76
89
-13
no box
A04/10
LPB
FC Porto
#2
W
104-93
104
93
+11
no box
H11/10
LPB
Ovarense
#4
L
82-87
82
87
-5
67avg 78
A18/10
LPB
Galitos Barreiro
#12
W
93-73
93
73
+20
90avg 78
H01/11
LPB
Braga
#7
L
63-66
63
66
-3
48avg 78
A09/11
LPB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-13
22-12
13-19
26-22
22-23
28-15
11-21
22-19
25-18
17-16
19-20
26-20
12-34
18-14
26-23
21-21
18-17
20-21
25-25
19-20
17-22
19-16
16-30
24-21
34-23
22-16
20-31
28-23
19-20
23-27
20-25
20-15
20-20
31-19
22-13
20-21
22-13
11-24
19-13
11-16
162.5Avg total
82.4Scored
80.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)83.681.6165.2+2.040%
Season at home (2)98.583.0181.5+15.5100%
Season away (3)73.780.7154.3-7.00%
Last 10 (10)82.480.1162.5+2.350%
Last 5 (5)83.681.6165.2+2.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)87.792.3180.0-4.733%
vs Similar (8)76.879.8156.5-3.038%
vs Weaker ◀ (18)82.474.0156.4+8.467%
This opponent (Esgueira) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
EsgueiraPortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormEsgueira
Date
Competition
FC Porto
#2
L
81-96
81
96
-15
68avg 70
H05/04
LPB
Galomar
#12
W
85-82
85
82
+3
54avg 70
H12/04
LPB
Galomar
#7
L
67-114
67
114
-47
36avg 70
H13/04
Taca da Liga
CA Queluz
#11
L
73-86
73
86
-13
51avg 70
A19/04
LPB
Ovarense
#5
L
84-85
84
85
-1
67avg 70
H26/04
LPB
Ovarense
#4
L
75-81
75
81
-6
56avg 70
A04/10
LPB
Galitos Barreiro
#12
W
102-92
102
92
+10
102avg 70
H11/10
LPB
Braga
#7
W
103-79
103
79
+24
99avg 70
A18/10
LPB
CA Queluz
#9
L
81-101
81
101
-20
70avg 70
H01/11
LPB
Vasco Da Gama
#11
W
107-103 OT
107
103
+4
99avg 70
H09/11
LPB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-21
22-18
11-31
21-26
23-26
22-10
21-29
19-17
12-28
24-31
19-26
12-29
17-28
26-15
10-21
20-22
18-27
26-26
20-19
20-13
19-21
20-24
25-18
11-18
27-25
26-22
17-24
32-21
19-24
23-20
35-19
26-16
18-26
25-27
18-21
20-27
19-27
20-23
30-22
24-21
177.7Avg total
85.8Scored
91.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)93.691.2184.8+2.460%
Season at home (3)96.798.7195.3-2.067%
Season away (2)89.080.0169.0+9.050%
Last 10 (10)85.891.9177.7-6.140%
Last 5 (5)93.691.2184.8+2.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)77.692.7170.4-15.19%
vs Similar (16)84.385.6169.9-1.250%
vs Weaker (2)104.597.5202.0+7.0100%
This opponent (Oliveirense) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +0.2+0.2Q1: -5.4-5.4Q2Q2: +3.1+3.1Q2: +1.8+1.8Q3Q3: -2.9-2.9Q3: -2.4-2.4Q4Q4: +1.9+1.9Q4: -0.5-0.5
-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +0.2+0.2Q1: -5.4-5.4Q2Q2: +3.1+3.1Q2: +1.8+1.8Q3Q3: -2.9-2.9Q3: -2.4-2.4Q4Q4: +1.9+1.9Q4: -0.5-0.5
OliveirenseEsgueira
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
OliveirenseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ovarense
#3
W
38-25
38
25
+13
A03/05
Taca da Liga
FC Porto
#1
W
50-38
50
38
+12
H04/05
Taca da Liga
Ovarense
#5
W
42-34
42
34
+8
H10/05
LPB
Ovarense
#5
L
30-48
30
48
-18
A14/05
LPB
Ovarense
#5
D
38-38
38
38
+0
H17/05
LPB
Benfica
#1
L
36-38
36
38
-2
A04/10
LPB
FC Porto
#2
W
56-39
56
39
+17
H11/10
LPB
Ovarense
#4
L
42-47
42
47
-5
A18/10
LPB
Galitos Barreiro
#12
W
51-39
51
39
+12
H01/11
LPB
Braga
#7
L
33-37
33
37
-4
A09/11
LPB
79.9Avg total
41.6Scored
38.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.838.878.6+1.053%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.539.181.7+3.467%-
Last 30 away (15)37.138.575.5-1.440%-
Last 10 (10)41.638.379.9+3.350%-
Last 5 (5)43.640.083.6+3.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)44.343.087.3+1.333%-
vs Similar (8)38.139.577.6-1.450%-
vs Weaker ◀ (18)39.438.177.4+1.356%-
This opponent (Esgueira) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
EsgueiraLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
FC Porto
#2
W
49-39
49
39
+10
H05/04
LPB
Galomar
#12
W
45-36
45
36
+9
H12/04
LPB
Galomar
#7
L
36-59
36
59
-23
H13/04
Taca da Liga
CA Queluz
#11
D
43-43
43
43
+0
A19/04
LPB
Ovarense
#5
L
44-53
44
53
-9
H26/04
LPB
Ovarense
#4
L
39-45
39
45
-6
A04/10
LPB
Galitos Barreiro
#12
W
53-47
53
47
+6
H11/10
LPB
Braga
#7
L
42-44
42
44
-2
A18/10
LPB
CA Queluz
#9
L
43-53
43
53
-10
H01/11
LPB
Vasco Da Gama
#11
L
39-50
39
50
-11
H09/11
LPB
90.2Avg total
43.3Scored
46.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.042.384.3-0.250%-
Last 30 at home (16)43.342.786.0+0.656%-
Last 30 away (14)40.641.882.4-1.243%-
Last 10 (10)43.346.990.2-3.630%-
Last 5 (5)43.247.891.0-4.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)41.042.083.0-1.045%-
vs Similar (16)42.640.983.6+1.756%-
vs Weaker (2)46.048.594.5-2.550%-
This opponent (Oliveirense) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Oliveirensetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Oliveirense: 70.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.6 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.9 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.7 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.8 points a game
49%
32%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers29.216.3
55.8%
52.7%32.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.47.3
34.1%
32.4%21.9
🏀 Free throws23.015.7
68.3%
70.4%15.7
They take 50.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Esgueiratheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Esgueira: 83.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.0 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.9 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.5 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.8 points a game
49%
32%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.420.0
50.8%
52.7%40.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.89.3
33.5%
32.4%27.9
🏀 Free throws21.915.5
70.8%
70.4%15.5
They take 67.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 15 Nov 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Oliveirense
LWLWLLLWWW
Esgueira
WLWWLLLLWL
#5
League position
#8
+5.4
Net rating
-7.7
111.8
Offensive rating
108.3
106.4
Defensive rating
115.9
53.9%
Effective FG%
50.5%
53.7%
Opp. effective FG%
54.6%
17.9%
Turnover %
13.0%
30.2%
Off. rebound %
24.5%
0.45
Free-throw rate
0.33
34.1%
3-point %
33.5%
59.3%
Assist %
60.4%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence111.8 · 108.3Defence106.4 · 115.9Shooting53.9% · 50.5%3-point %34.1% · 33.5%Ball care17.9% · 13.0%Off. rebounds30.2% · 24.5%Free throws0.45 · 0.33Form (last 10/10)50% · 40%
■ Oliveirense   ■ Esgueira
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
8
Oliveirense wins
2
Esgueira wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/11/25ABraga63-66
01/11/25HGalitos Barreiro93-73
18/10/25AOvarense82-87
11/10/25HFC Porto104-93
04/10/25ABenfica76-89
17/05/25HOvarense82-83
14/05/25AOvarense77-92
10/05/25HOvarense87-74
04/05/25HFC Porto83-78
03/05/25AOvarense77-66
Esgueiralast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/11/25HVasco Da Gama107-103 OT
01/11/25HCA Queluz81-101
18/10/25ABraga103-79
11/10/25HGalitos Barreiro102-92
04/10/25AOvarense75-81
26/04/25HOvarense84-85
19/04/25ACA Queluz73-86
13/04/25HGalomar67-114
12/04/25HGalomar85-82
05/04/25HFC Porto81-96

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Oliveirense
LPB 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWL40%
HomeWW100%
AwayLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games523
Win %40%100%0%
Points / game83.698.573.7
Allowed / game81.683.080.7
Point differential+2.0+15.5-7.0
Avg total165.2181.5154.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+40%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)-0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Esgueira
LPB 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLW60%
HomeWLW67%
AwayLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games532
Win %60%67%50%
Points / game93.696.789.0
Allowed / game91.298.780.0
Point differential+2.4-2.0+9.0
Avg total184.8195.3169.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+40%33%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %20%33%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Benfica660100%97.872.5+25.3
2 Sporting CP65183%89.778.5+11.2
3 Ovarense65183%80.276.3+3.8
4 Esgueira53260%93.691.2+2.4
5 CA Queluz53260%80.278.6+1.6
6 FC Porto63350%90.390.8-0.5
7 Braga63350%77.281.2-4.0
8 Oliveirense52340%83.681.6+2.0
9 Imortal62433%80.086.3-6.3
10 Vasco Da Gama51420%87.290.4-3.2
11 Galitos Barreiro61517%87.2105.0-17.8
12 Vitoria6060%76.590.5-14.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Oliveirense31261825100
Esgueira2422151677
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