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Omega-Tauras vs Kretinga Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 31 Oct 2026
Tip-off: 15:00
Final 72-75
22-18 19-14 14-18 17-25
Position#8
Record6-3
FormWWLLW
Points / game88.7
Allowed / game83.2
Vs
77%
23%
■ OMEG 77%■ KRET 23%
Pythia win probability
Projected 91-82
Projected total 172.9
Position#15
Record1-8
FormLWLLL
Points / game80.2
Allowed / game89.9
LithuaniaNKLRound 10· Kauno r. Garliavos sporto centras
Other2026-27
Meetings · Omega-Tauras v Kretinga
31 Oct 2026
OMEG72
KRET75
04 Dec 2025
OMEG88
KRET90
07 Nov 2024
OMEG94
KRET88
Sections
Pythia's preview, written before tip-off
Omega-Tauras host Kretinga in the NKL. Pythia makes Omega-Tauras the favourite at 77% and projects 91-82, about 173 points in all (over 173.75: 48%). On the market's main spread (Omega-Tauras -7.5) Pythia gives Omega-Tauras 54% to cover. Overtime chance: 4%. Omega-Tauras are 6-3 this season (88.7 scored, 83.2 allowed a game), form WWLLW; Kretinga are 1-8 this season (80.2 scored, 89.9 allowed a game), form LWLLL.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Omega-Tauras winLost
77.5%fair 1.29
Best odds1.33
Implied70.0%
Edge+7.5pp
Kretinga winWon
22.5%fair 4.44
Best odds3.60
Implied30.0%
Edge-7.5pp
Pythia's frozen forecast of 31 Oct 09:03 UTC (Version 5). Implied = the consensus price with the bookmaker margin removed (Pinnacle first); edge = model probability minus implied.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Omega-TaurasLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormOmega-Tauras
Date
Competition
Plunges Olimpas
#14
L
89-98
89
98
-9
80avg 77
A14/03
NKL
Kedainiai BC
#13
W
127-89
127
89
+38
128avg 77
H30/09
NKL
Neptunas 2
#5
W
76-72
76
72
+4
70avg 77
A03/10
NKL
Rytas 2
#17
W
99-91
99
91
+8
95avg 77
A08/10
NKL
Plunges Olimpas
#9
L
82-93
82
93
-11
62avg 77
H10/10
NKL
Ukmerges Stekas
#14
W
87-73
87
73
+14
91avg 77
A15/10
NKL
Suduva-Mantinga
#6
W
87-82
87
82
+5
90avg 77
A17/10
NKL
Vilkaviskis
#12
L
73-82
73
82
-9
60avg 77
A22/10
NKL
Alytaus Patriotai
#10
L
74-85
74
85
-11
63avg 77
H24/10
NKL
Zalgiris Kaunas 2
#11
W
93-82
93
82
+11
93avg 77
A29/10
NKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-26
21-33
17-17
31-22
32-22
31-23
26-20
38-24
21-21
19-23
18-16
18-12
26-17
26-26
26-20
21-28
16-23
18-26
21-21
27-23
27-25
25-18
16-14
19-16
21-23
27-21
26-12
13-26
24-20
18-24
16-20
15-18
16-19
17-25
30-16
11-25
25-18
27-15
22-19
19-30
173.4Avg total
88.7Scored
84.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)88.783.2171.9+5.467%
Season at home (3)94.389.0183.3+5.333%
Season away (6)85.880.3166.2+5.583%
Last 10 (10)88.784.7173.4+4.060%
Last 5 (5)82.880.8163.6+2.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)78.787.4166.1-8.740%
vs Similar (12)82.087.9169.9-5.925%
vs Weaker ◀ (8)90.684.4175.0+6.262%
This opponent (Kretinga) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
KretingaLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKretinga
Date
Competition
Vytis VDU
#2
L
85-90
85
90
-5
67avg 76
A10/04
NKL
Neptunas 2
#5
L
76-91
76
91
-15
70avg 76
H01/10
NKL
Vilkaviskis
#12
L
65-84
65
84
-19
52avg 76
A03/10
NKL
Plunges Olimpas
#9
L
85-98
85
98
-13
72avg 76
A08/10
NKL
Ukmerges Stekas
#14
L
95-99
95
99
-4
89avg 76
H10/10
NKL
Suduva-Mantinga
#6
L
83-88
83
88
-5
80avg 76
H15/10
NKL
Kauno Atletas
#18
W
84-72
84
72
+12
82avg 76
A17/10
NKL
Alytaus Patriotai
#10
L
70-90
70
90
-20
56avg 76
A22/10
NKL
Zalgiris Kaunas 2
#11
L
85-101
85
101
-16
74avg 76
H24/10
NKL
Jurbarkas
#2
L
79-86
79
86
-7
71avg 76
H29/10
NKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-24
19-19
24-22
19-25
21-19
21-31
17-27
17-14
27-22
13-21
12-17
13-24
20-22
19-21
28-27
18-28
25-19
20-22
20-27
30-31
18-31
24-21
23-15
18-21
23-16
24-23
17-10
20-23
15-25
21-23
13-25
21-17
16-25
22-24
23-23
24-29
23-21
18-19
25-27
13-19
170.6Avg total
80.7Scored
89.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)80.289.9170.1-9.711%
Season at home (5)83.693.0176.6-9.40%
Season away (4)76.086.0162.0-10.025%
Last 10 (10)80.789.9170.6-9.210%
Last 5 (5)80.287.4167.6-7.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)79.391.4170.7-12.113%
vs Similar (12)82.580.3162.8+2.267%
vs Weaker (3)97.390.7188.0+6.7100%
This opponent (Omega-Tauras) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Over/Under 168.5Actual: Under 168.5
Over 168.5
59.8%
Under 168.5
40.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 173.75 · main lineActual: Under 173.75
Over 173.75
47.7%
@ 1.78-2.6pp
Under 173.75
52.3%
@ 1.80+2.6pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.78
Under
1xBet
1.80
Over/Under 178.5Actual: Under 178.5
Over 178.5
35.9%
Under 178.5
64.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

📊 3. Team Totals

Omega-Tauras total 86.5Actual: Omega-Tauras under 86.5
Over 86.5
66.2%
@ 1.37+2.0pp
Under 86.5
33.8%
@ 2.45-2.0pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.37
Under
1xBet
2.45
Omega-Tauras total 90.5 · main lineActual: Omega-Tauras under 90.5
Over 90.5
50.8%
@ 1.83+0.5pp
Under 90.5
49.2%
@ 1.80-0.5pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.83
1xBet
1.69
Under
Betano
1.80
1xBet
1.76
Omega-Tauras total 94.5Actual: Omega-Tauras under 94.5
Over 94.5
35.2%
@ 2.31-2.5pp
Under 94.5
64.8%
@ 1.40+2.5pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
2.31
Under
1xBet
1.40
Kretinga total 80.5Actual: Kretinga under 80.5
Over 80.5
55.7%
@ 1.51-1.6pp
Under 80.5
44.3%
@ 2.03+1.6pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.51
Under
1xBet
2.03
Kretinga total 84.5 · main lineActual: Kretinga under 84.5
Over 84.5
40.3%
@ 1.97-6.6pp
Under 84.5
59.7%
@ 1.82+6.6pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.97
Betano
1.82
Under
Betano
1.82
1xBet
1.54
Kretinga total 88.5Actual: Kretinga under 88.5
Over 88.5
26.5%
@ 2.81-4.9pp
Under 88.5
73.5%
@ 1.29+4.9pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
2.81
Under
1xBet
1.29

⚖️ 4. Spread

Spread Omega-Tauras -10.5Actual: Kretinga +10.5
OMEG -10.5
43.0%
@ 2.26+2.8pp
KRET +10.5
57.0%
@ 1.52-2.8pp
Best 5 market prices
OMEG
Pinnacle
2.26
1xBet
2.12
KRET
Pinnacle
1.52
1xBet
1.51
Spread Omega-Tauras -7.5 · main lineActual: Kretinga +7.5
OMEG -7.5
54.0%
@ 1.90+4.8pp
KRET +7.5
46.0%
@ 1.93-4.8pp
Best 5 market prices
OMEG
Pinnacle
1.90
BetVictor
1.88
Betano
1.85
SBO
1.73
1xBet
1.69
KRET
SBO
1.93
1xBet
1.85
Pinnacle
1.84
Betano
1.80
BetVictor
1.80
Spread Omega-Tauras -4.5Actual: Kretinga +4.5
OMEG -4.5
65.1%
@ 1.70+11.5pp
KRET +4.5
34.9%
@ 2.38-11.5pp
Best 5 market prices
OMEG
Pinnacle
1.70
1xBet
1.41
KRET
1xBet
2.38
Pinnacle
1.96

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +1.4+1.4Q1: -1.3-1.3Q2Q2: -0.5-0.5Q2: -2.3-2.3Q3Q3: +4.3+4.3Q3: -1.8-1.8Q4Q4: -1.2-1.2Q4: -3.8-3.8
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +1.4+1.4Q1: -1.3-1.3Q2Q2: -0.5-0.5Q2: -2.3-2.3Q3Q3: +4.3+4.3Q3: -1.8-1.8Q4Q4: -1.2-1.2Q4: -3.8-3.8
Omega-TaurasKretinga
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Omega-TaurasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Plunges Olimpas
#14
L
41-59
41
59
-18
A14/03
NKL
Kedainiai BC
#13
W
63-45
63
45
+18
H30/09
NKL
Neptunas 2
#5
L
40-44
40
44
-4
A03/10
NKL
Rytas 2
#17
W
52-43
52
43
+9
A08/10
NKL
Plunges Olimpas
#9
L
34-49
34
49
-15
H10/10
NKL
Ukmerges Stekas
#14
W
52-43
52
43
+9
A15/10
NKL
Suduva-Mantinga
#6
W
48-44
48
44
+4
A17/10
NKL
Vilkaviskis
#12
L
42-44
42
44
-2
A22/10
NKL
Alytaus Patriotai
#10
L
33-44
33
44
-11
H24/10
NKL
Zalgiris Kaunas 2
#11
W
52-33
52
33
+19
A29/10
NKL
90.5Avg total
45.7Scored
44.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver 87.5
Last 30 (30)42.843.986.8-1.150%37%
Last 30 at home (13)43.043.586.5-0.562%31%
Last 30 away (17)42.744.387.0-1.641%41%
Last 10 (10)45.744.890.5+0.950%50%
Last 5 (5)45.441.687.0+3.860%40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)40.444.885.2-4.440%40%
vs Similar (12)42.044.186.1-2.150%25%
vs Weaker ◀ (8)47.142.689.8+4.562%50%
This opponent (Kretinga) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
KretingaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Vytis VDU
#2
L
42-43
42
43
-1
A10/04
NKL
Neptunas 2
#5
L
42-50
42
50
-8
H01/10
NKL
Vilkaviskis
#12
L
40-43
40
43
-3
A03/10
NKL
Plunges Olimpas
#9
L
39-43
39
43
-4
A08/10
NKL
Ukmerges Stekas
#14
W
45-41
45
41
+4
H10/10
NKL
Suduva-Mantinga
#6
L
42-52
42
52
-10
H15/10
NKL
Kauno Atletas
#18
W
47-39
47
39
+8
A17/10
NKL
Alytaus Patriotai
#10
L
36-48
36
48
-12
A22/10
NKL
Zalgiris Kaunas 2
#11
L
38-49
38
49
-11
H24/10
NKL
Jurbarkas
#2
W
41-40
41
40
+1
H29/10
NKL
86.0Avg total
41.2Scored
44.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver 87.5
Last 30 (30)39.841.981.7-2.140%20%
Last 30 at home (15)41.241.682.8-0.460%27%
Last 30 away (15)38.542.280.7-3.720%13%
Last 10 (10)41.244.886.0-3.630%20%
Last 5 (5)40.845.686.4-4.840%20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)37.744.682.3-6.920%27%
vs Similar (12)39.838.478.2+1.350%8%
vs Weaker (3)50.742.393.0+8.3100%33%
This opponent (Omega-Tauras) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
1st half winnerActual: Omega-Tauras win
OMEG win
no forecast
@ 1.43
KRET win
no forecast
@ 2.65
1st half Spread Omega-Tauras -4.5 · main lineActual: Omega-Tauras -4.5
OMEG -4.5
no forecast
@ 1.88
KRET +4.5
no forecast
@ 1.83
1st half Over/Under 87.5 · main lineActual: Under 87.5
Over
no forecast
@ 1.86
Under
no forecast
@ 1.80
Omega-Tauras 1st half total 45.5 · main lineActual: Omega-Tauras under 45.5
Over
no forecast
@ 1.90
Under
no forecast
@ 1.78
Kretinga 1st half total 40.5 · main lineActual: Kretinga under 40.5
Over
no forecast
@ 1.78
Under
no forecast
@ 1.91
1st half Spread Omega-Tauras -3.5Actual: Omega-Tauras -3.5
OMEG -3.5
no forecast
@ 1.78
KRET +3.5
no forecast
@ 1.90
1st half Over/Under 85.5Actual: Under 85.5
Over
no forecast
@ 1.80
Under
no forecast
@ 1.87
1st half 3-way (draw possible)Actual: Kretinga (regulation)
OMEG
no forecast
@ 1.47
Draw
no forecast
@ 18.00
KRET
no forecast
@ 2.72

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

Markets that span the whole game: how the halves and quarters compare, overtime, the exact winning margin. Pythia's probability comes from 20,000 simulations of this game quarter by quarter; the price, edge and books are the same as everywhere on the page.
OMEG win + total 173.5
🔒 Pro
KRET win + total 173.5
🔒 Pro
Overtime
🔒 Pro
Half-time / full-time: OMEG leads at half
🔒 Pro
🔒 4 special markets for this game with Pythia's probabilities and edges: Upgrade to Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ranked by edge (click any column to re-sort). Use Min odds to match the prices you want; Edge = Yes shows only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them. The five price columns are the best market prices (highest first); edge is vs the consensus price.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Omega-Tauras -370.7%1.55
Pinnacle
1.55
----+12.1ppLost
Omega-Tauras -1.575.2%1.40
1xBet
1.40
----+11.8ppLost
Kretinga under 89.576.5%1.30
1xBet
1.30
----+8.6ppWon
Omega-Tauras (regulation)75.1%1.28
1xBet
1.28
----+7.5ppLost
Omega-Tauras win77.5%1.30
WilliamHill
1.33
Betfair
1.33
Pinnacle
1.32
Betano
1.32
BetVictor
1.32
+7.5ppLost
Kretinga under 88.573.5%1.29
1xBet
1.29
----+4.9ppWon
Kretinga under 87.570.3%1.34
1xBet
1.34
----+4.7ppWon
Overtime: no96.0%1.02
Betano
1.02
----+4.3pp-
Omega-Tauras under 96.571.8%1.30
1xBet
1.30
----+3.5ppWon
Omega-Tauras over 84.573.1%1.27
1xBet
1.27
----+3.2ppLost
Omega-Tauras -2.571.5%1.28
1xBet
1.28
----+2.0ppLost
Kretinga over 76.570.4%1.24
1xBet
1.24
-----0.2ppLost
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Omega-Taurastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Omega-Tauras: 87.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.4 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.3 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.9 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.2 points a game
54%
29%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.523.2
58.7%
54.5%46.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.49.1
37.3%
31.3%27.3
🏀 Free throws19.313.9
72.0%
67.1%13.9
They take 63.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Kretingatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Kretinga: 79.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.6 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.6 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.7 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.2 points a game
54%
29%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.720.8
55.2%
54.5%41.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.88.2
30.6%
31.3%24.6
🏀 Free throws22.013.7
62.3%
67.1%13.7
They take 64.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 31 Oct 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Omega-Tauras
WLLWWLWWWL
Kretinga
LLLWLLLLLL
#8
League position
#15
+5.8
Net rating
-10.7
100.1
Offensive rating
90.6
94.3
Defensive rating
101.3
57.7%
Effective FG%
51.3%
51.9%
Opp. effective FG%
54.5%
17.4%
Turnover %
14.8%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.34
37.3%
3-point %
30.6%
63.2%
Assist %
55.2%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
10%

Profile

Offence100.1 · 90.6Defence94.3 · 101.3Shooting57.7% · 51.3%3-point %37.3% · 30.6%Ball care17.4% · 14.8%Free throws0.30 · 0.34Form (last 10/10)60% · 10%
■ Omega-Tauras   ■ Kretinga
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Omega-Tauras wins
3
Kretinga wins
DateGameScore
22/02/26Kretinga v Omega-Tauras85-80
04/12/25Omega-Tauras v Kretinga88-90 OT
15/11/25Kretinga v Omega-Tauras96-81
30/11/24Kretinga v Omega-Tauras79-82
07/11/24Omega-Tauras v Kretinga94-88
Omega-Tauraslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/10/26AZalgiris Kaunas 293-82
24/10/26HAlytaus Patriotai74-85
22/10/26AVilkaviskis73-82
17/10/26ASuduva-Mantinga87-82
15/10/26AUkmerges Stekas87-73
10/10/26HPlunges Olimpas82-93
08/10/26ARytas 299-91
03/10/26ANeptunas 276-72
30/09/26HKedainiai BC127-89
14/03/26APlunges Olimpas89-98
Kretingalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/10/26HJurbarkas79-86
24/10/26HZalgiris Kaunas 285-101
22/10/26AAlytaus Patriotai70-90
17/10/26AKauno Atletas84-72
15/10/26HSuduva-Mantinga83-88
10/10/26HUkmerges Stekas95-99
08/10/26APlunges Olimpas85-98
03/10/26AVilkaviskis65-84
01/10/26HNeptunas 276-91
10/04/26AVytis VDU85-90

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Omega-Tauras
NKL 2026-27
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLW67%
HomeWLL33%
AwayWWWLW83%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games936
Win %67%33%83%
Points / game88.794.385.8
Allowed / game83.289.080.3
Point differential+5.4+5.3+5.5
Avg total171.9183.3166.2
Over 173.7544%67%33%
Win by 10+33%33%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)-100% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Kretinga
NKL 2026-27
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL11%
HomeLLLLL0%
AwayLLWL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games954
Win %11%0%25%
Points / game80.283.676.0
Allowed / game89.993.086.0
Point differential-9.7-9.4-10.0
Avg total170.1176.6162.0
Over 173.7533%40%25%
Win by 10+11%0%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (2)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Jurbarkas880100%90.173.5+16.6
2 Telsiai10100100%88.272.5+15.7
3 BC Olimpas Palanga108280%93.080.6+12.4
4 Suduva-Mantinga86275%94.078.4+15.6
5 Silute75271%84.078.1+5.9
6 Omega-Tauras96367%88.783.2+5.4
7 Neptunas 296367%77.074.2+2.8
8 Plunges Olimpas106460%81.478.1+3.3
9 Vytis VDU74357%94.092.6+1.4
10 Vilkaviskis94544%81.484.7-3.2
11 Alytaus Patriotai94544%84.487.9-3.4
12 Zalgiris Kaunas 2104640%95.797.1-1.4
13 Kedainiai BC104640%76.883.8-7.0
14 Ukmerges Stekas93633%81.990.8-8.9
15 Mazeikiai102820%76.586.5-10.0
16 Kretinga91811%80.289.9-9.7
17 Rytas 29090%73.385.8-12.4
18 Kauno Atletas9090%77.396.7-19.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Omega-Tauras2219141772
Kretinga1814182575
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