Omega-Tauras will host Vytis VDU in the NKL on 14 November 2026, a contest that feels almost evenly matched as the model gives each side a 50% chance of victory. Omega-Tauras has gone 7-6 in all 13 games this season, averaging 90.5 points and conceding 86.2, while Vytis VDU is 8-3 in 11 games, scoring 97.4 and allowing 90.4, a better offensive output that has carried them to fifth place. On the road, Vytis VDU has won 3 of 5, whereas Omega-Tauras has struggled at home, winning only 1 of 5. In their last five outings, Omega-Tauras won two and lost three, including a 96-75 win over Kauno Atletas away and a narrow 124-125 loss to BC Olimpas Palanga away, while Vytis VDU has won four of five, with recent home victories over Kretinga and Kedainiai BC and an away win against Mazeikiai. Their head-to-head record stands at 2-3 in favour of Vytis VDU, with the most recent meeting ending 104-81 for Omega-Tauras in January 2026. The model projects a 92-92 tie, with a 37% chance of the home team covering the -4.0 spread and a 57% chance of the over on the 180.5 total, and a 5% likelihood of overtime. The game will hinge on whether Omega-Tauras can convert their home struggles into a decisive win.
| Split | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season (13) | 90.5 | 86.2 | 176.7 | +4.2 | 54% |
| Season at home (5) | 88.2 | 87.8 | 176.0 | +0.4 | 20% |
| Season away (8) | 91.9 | 85.2 | 177.1 | +6.6 | 75% |
| Last 10 (10) | 87.4 | 86.9 | 174.3 | +0.5 | 40% |
| Last 5 (5) | 94.2 | 90.8 | 185.0 | +3.4 | 40% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | |||||
| vs Stronger (11) | 84.2 | 90.7 | 174.9 | -6.5 | 36% |
| vs Similar ◀ (9) | 81.6 | 85.6 | 167.1 | -4.0 | 33% |
| vs Weaker (10) | 89.3 | 82.5 | 171.8 | +6.8 | 60% |
| Split | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season (11) | 97.4 | 90.4 | 187.7 | +7.0 | 73% |
| Season at home (6) | 97.0 | 90.0 | 187.0 | +7.0 | 83% |
| Season away (5) | 97.8 | 90.8 | 188.6 | +7.0 | 60% |
| Last 10 (10) | 98.1 | 90.5 | 188.6 | +7.6 | 70% |
| Last 5 (5) | 100.2 | 87.4 | 187.6 | +12.8 | 80% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | |||||
| vs Stronger (2) | 89.5 | 94.5 | 184.0 | -5.0 | 0% |
| vs Similar ◀ (13) | 87.7 | 86.9 | 174.6 | +0.8 | 62% |
| vs Weaker (15) | 97.3 | 89.7 | 187.0 | +7.5 | 73% |
| 1st half | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Won the half | Over 90.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 30 (30) | 42.9 | 43.6 | 86.6 | -0.7 | 53% | 37% |
| Last 30 at home (14) | 41.8 | 43.1 | 84.9 | -1.3 | 57% | 29% |
| Last 30 away (16) | 43.9 | 44.1 | 88.1 | -0.2 | 50% | 44% |
| Last 10 (10) | 43.7 | 44.2 | 87.9 | -0.5 | 50% | 50% |
| Last 5 (5) | 45.6 | 43.6 | 89.2 | +2.0 | 60% | 60% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | ||||||
| vs Stronger (11) | 40.9 | 45.9 | 86.8 | -5.0 | 36% | 36% |
| vs Similar ◀ (9) | 40.8 | 43.2 | 84.0 | -2.4 | 56% | 22% |
| vs Weaker (10) | 47.1 | 41.5 | 88.6 | +5.6 | 70% | 50% |
| 1st half | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Won the half | Over 90.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 30 (30) | 45.7 | 43.8 | 89.5 | +1.8 | 53% | 47% |
| Last 30 at home (17) | 47.2 | 43.5 | 90.7 | +3.6 | 59% | 47% |
| Last 30 away (13) | 43.7 | 44.2 | 87.9 | -0.5 | 46% | 46% |
| Last 10 (10) | 48.5 | 43.8 | 92.3 | +4.7 | 70% | 60% |
| Last 5 (5) | 46.8 | 43.2 | 90.0 | +3.6 | 80% | 40% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | ||||||
| vs Stronger (2) | 38.5 | 48.5 | 87.0 | -10.0 | 0% | 50% |
| vs Similar ◀ (13) | 44.7 | 44.8 | 89.5 | -0.1 | 46% | 38% |
| vs Weaker (15) | 47.5 | 42.4 | 89.9 | +5.1 | 67% | 53% |
| Pick | Probability | Avg odds | Best 1 | Best 2 | Best 3 | Best 4 | Best 5 | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vytis VDU +6.5 | 70.7% | 1.56 | 1.60 | 1.51 | - | - | - | +12.7pp | Won |
| Vytis VDU +7.5 | 73.8% | 1.42 | 1.42 | - | - | - | - | +11.6pp | Won |
| Vytis VDU +8.5 | 76.7% | 1.35 | 1.35 | - | - | - | - | +10.9pp | Won |
| Vytis VDU +9.5 | 79.3% | 1.29 | 1.29 | - | - | - | - | +10.3pp | Won |
| Vytis VDU over 84.5 | 75.7% | 1.32 | 1.32 | - | - | - | - | +8.9pp | Lost |
| Vytis VDU over 83.5 | 78.6% | 1.27 | 1.27 | - | - | - | - | +8.7pp | Lost |
| Vytis VDU over 85.5 | 72.6% | 1.37 | 1.37 | - | - | - | - | +8.7pp | Lost |
| Omega-Tauras under 97.5 | 70.8% | 1.40 | 1.40 | - | - | - | - | +8.4pp | Won |
| Omega-Tauras under 98.5 | 74.0% | 1.34 | 1.34 | - | - | - | - | +8.4pp | Won |
| Omega-Tauras under 99.5 | 77.0% | 1.29 | 1.29 | - | - | - | - | +8.3pp | Won |
| Overtime: no | 94.5% | 1.02 | 1.02 | - | - | - | - | +3.0pp | Won |
Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.
| Shot type | Attempts per game | Made per game | Accuracy (made ÷ attempts) | League accuracy | Points per game |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏀🏀 2-pointers | 40.8 | 23.0 | 54.5% | 46.0 | |
| 🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers | 22.4 | 8.5 | 31.3% | 25.5 | |
| 🏀 Free throws | 19.9 | 14.4 | 67.1% | 14.4 |
| Shot type | Attempts per game | Made per game | Accuracy (made ÷ attempts) | League accuracy | Points per game |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏀🏀 2-pointers | 42.4 | 26.0 | 54.5% | 52.0 | |
| 🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers | 30.3 | 10.3 | 31.3% | 30.9 | |
| 🏀 Free throws | 16.8 | 10.5 | 67.1% | 10.5 |
| Date | Game | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 10/01/26 | Omega-Tauras v Vytis VDU | 104-81 |
| 25/10/25 | Vytis VDU v Omega-Tauras | 94-82 |
| 22/02/25 | Omega-Tauras v Vytis VDU | 83-90 |
| 23/01/25 | Omega-Tauras v Vytis VDU | 97-103 |
| 09/11/24 | Vytis VDU v Omega-Tauras | 77-81 |
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12/11/26 | A | Kauno Atletas | 96-75 |
| 07/11/26 | A | BC Olimpas Palanga | 124-125 OT |
| 05/11/26 | H | Jurbarkas | 86-97 |
| 31/10/26 | H | Kretinga | 72-75 |
| 29/10/26 | A | Zalgiris Kaunas 2 | 93-82 |
| 24/10/26 | H | Alytaus Patriotai | 74-85 |
| 22/10/26 | A | Vilkaviskis | 73-82 |
| 17/10/26 | A | Suduva-Mantinga | 87-82 |
| 15/10/26 | A | Ukmerges Stekas | 87-73 |
| 10/10/26 | H | Plunges Olimpas | 82-93 |
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12/11/26 | H | Kretinga | 107-98 |
| 07/11/26 | H | Kedainiai BC | 98-90 |
| 05/11/26 | A | Mazeikiai | 101-77 |
| 03/11/26 | A | Vilkaviskis | 107-81 |
| 31/10/26 | H | Telsiai | 88-91 |
| 29/10/26 | A | Silute | 86-97 |
| 22/10/26 | H | Kauno Atletas | 97-85 |
| 17/10/26 | H | Zalgiris Kaunas 2 | 104-92 |
| 15/10/26 | A | Alytaus Patriotai | 105-110 OT |
| 06/10/26 | H | Neptunas 2 | 88-84 |
| Form | Last 5 | Win % |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | WLLLW | 54% |
| Home | WLLLL | 20% |
| Away | WLWLW | 75% |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Games | 13 | 5 | 8 |
| Win % | 54% | 20% | 75% |
| Points / game | 90.5 | 88.2 | 91.9 |
| Allowed / game | 86.2 | 87.8 | 85.2 |
| Point differential | +4.2 | +0.4 | +6.6 |
| Avg total | 176.7 | 176.0 | 177.1 |
| Over 179.25 | 31% | 40% | 25% |
| Win by 10+ | 31% | 20% | 38% |
| Close games (≤5 pts) won | 50% (4) | 0% (1) | 67% (3) |
| Overtime % | 8% | 0% | 12% |
| Form | Last 5 | Win % |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | LWWWW | 73% |
| Home | WWLWW | 83% |
| Away | WLLWW | 60% |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Games | 11 | 6 | 5 |
| Win % | 73% | 83% | 60% |
| Points / game | 97.4 | 97.0 | 97.8 |
| Allowed / game | 90.4 | 90.0 | 90.8 |
| Point differential | +7.0 | +7.0 | +7.0 |
| Avg total | 187.7 | 187.0 | 188.6 |
| Over 179.25 | 64% | 67% | 60% |
| Win by 10+ | 36% | 33% | 40% |
| Close games (≤5 pts) won | 50% (4) | 50% (2) | 50% (2) |
| Overtime % | 18% | 0% | 40% |
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Win % | PF/g | PA/g | Diff |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 13 | 12 | 1 | 92% | 90.5 | 73.6 | +16.9 | |
| 2 | Jurbarkas | 13 | 11 | 2 | 85% | 88.6 | 78.3 | +10.3 |
| 3 | 14 | 11 | 3 | 79% | 96.3 | 84.6 | +11.6 | |
| 4 | 13 | 10 | 3 | 77% | 91.5 | 77.8 | +13.8 | |
| 5 | 11 | 8 | 3 | 73% | 97.4 | 90.4 | +7.0 | |
| 6 | 14 | 10 | 4 | 71% | 78.4 | 74.1 | +4.2 | |
| 7 | 12 | 8 | 4 | 67% | 84.3 | 82.2 | +2.2 | |
| 8 | Alytaus Patriotai | 14 | 8 | 6 | 57% | 83.8 | 84.9 | -1.1 |
| 9 | Omega-Tauras | 13 | 7 | 6 | 54% | 90.5 | 86.2 | +4.2 |
| 10 | Plunges Olimpas | 14 | 7 | 7 | 50% | 83.1 | 81.1 | +2.1 |
| 11 | 14 | 6 | 8 | 43% | 83.1 | 86.1 | -3.0 | |
| 12 | 12 | 5 | 7 | 42% | 94.2 | 96.8 | -2.7 | |
| 13 | Ukmerges Stekas | 14 | 5 | 9 | 36% | 78.9 | 88.1 | -9.2 |
| 14 | Kedainiai BC | 14 | 4 | 10 | 29% | 76.8 | 85.0 | -8.2 |
| 15 | 14 | 3 | 11 | 21% | 78.9 | 88.9 | -10.0 | |
| 16 | Kretinga | 13 | 2 | 11 | 15% | 81.5 | 90.7 | -9.2 |
| 17 | 14 | 2 | 12 | 14% | 79.1 | 94.4 | -15.3 | |
| 18 | 14 | 1 | 13 | 7% | 77.1 | 86.9 | -9.7 |
| Team | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Omega-Tauras | 22 | 19 | 15 | 19 | 75 |
| 23 | 17 | 22 | 20 | 82 |
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