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Oregon State vs San Francisco Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 31 Dec 2025
Tip-off: 03:00
Final 70-62
25-30 45-32
Position#195
Record7-7
FormWWLWL
Points / game72.6
Allowed / game74.9
vs
Position#191
Record9-5
FormWLWWW
Points / game76.2
Allowed / game68.4
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Meetings · Oregon State v San Francisco
08 Mar 2026
OREG78
SAN 77
30 Dec 2025
OREG70
SAN 62
26 Feb 2025
OREG72
SAN 74
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Oregon State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
San Francisco winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Oregon StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Evansville
#362
L
69-73
69
73
-4
H22/11
NCAA
Iona
#152
L
84-91 OT
84
91
-7
H22/11
NCAA
UMass
#189
L
65-73
65
73
-8
H24/11
NCAA
California Baptist
#41
L
69-75
69
75
-6
H30/11
NCAA
Vermont
#85
W
80-58
80
58
+22
H04/12
NCAA
Southern Utah
#329
W
81-70
81
70
+11
H06/12
NCAA
Montana State
#144
W
67-57
67
57
+10
H13/12
NCAA
Sam Houston St.
#69
L
75-85
75
85
-10
H18/12
NCAA
Arizona State
#194
W
78-75
78
75
+3
A21/12
NCAA
Santa Clara
#39
L
64-102
64
102
-38
H28/12
NCAA
1H
2H
28-30
41-43
34-30
36-40
31-34
34-39
30-30
39-45
42-24
38-34
45-30
36-40
29-27
38-30
37-46
38-39
38-40
40-35
20-53
44-49
149.1Avg total
73.2Scored
75.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)72.674.9147.4-2.350%
Season at home (12)71.973.8145.8-1.950%
Season away (2)76.581.0157.5-4.550%
Last 10 (10)73.275.9149.1-2.740%
Last 5 (5)73.077.8150.8-4.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)69.275.1144.2-5.946%
vs Similar (8)78.078.6156.6-0.638%
vs Weaker (9)79.671.3150.9+8.267%
This opponent (San Francisco) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
San FranciscoUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Northwestern St.
#331
W
84-64
84
64
+20
H19/11
NCAA
Minnesota
#235
W
77-65
77
65
+12
A22/11
NCAA
Colorado
#183
L
69-79
69
79
-10
A27/11
NCAA
Nevada
#86
L
65-81
65
81
-16
A28/11
NCAA
North Alabama
#341
L
63-65
63
65
-2
H04/12
NCAA
Mississippi St.
#257
W
65-62
65
62
+3
A07/12
NCAA
St. Louis Billikens
#13
L
75-85
75
85
-10
A14/12
NCAA
Loyola Chicago
#350
W
85-71
85
71
+14
H18/12
NCAA
Morgan State
#244
W
94-64
94
64
+30
H21/12
NCAA
Seattle
#108
W
67-59
67
59
+8
A29/12
NCAA
1H
2H
50-31
34-33
34-27
43-38
37-35
32-44
37-38
28-43
26-24
37-41
30-22
35-40
30-31
45-54
50-36
35-35
42-28
52-36
32-30
35-29
143.9Avg total
74.4Scored
69.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)76.268.4144.6+7.864%
Season at home (7)82.764.4147.1+18.386%
Season away (7)69.772.4142.1-2.743%
Last 10 (10)74.469.5143.9+4.960%
Last 5 (5)77.268.2145.4+9.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)71.379.7151.0-8.429%
vs Similar (9)72.771.4144.1+1.256%
vs Weaker ◀ (13)79.863.2143.1+16.692%
This opponent (Oregon State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: -1.0-1.01st half: +6.6+6.62nd half2nd half: -1.0-1.02nd half: -1.7-1.7
-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: -1.0-1.01st half: +6.6+6.62nd half2nd half: -1.0-1.02nd half: -1.7-1.7
Oregon StateSan Francisco
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Oregon StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Evansville
#362
L
28-30
28
30
-2
H22/11
NCAA
Iona
#152
W
34-30
34
30
+4
H22/11
NCAA
UMass
#189
L
31-34
31
34
-3
H24/11
NCAA
California Baptist
#41
D
30-30
30
30
+0
H30/11
NCAA
Vermont
#85
W
42-24
42
24
+18
H04/12
NCAA
Southern Utah
#329
W
45-30
45
30
+15
H06/12
NCAA
Montana State
#144
W
29-27
29
27
+2
H13/12
NCAA
Sam Houston St.
#69
L
37-46
37
46
-9
H18/12
NCAA
Arizona State
#194
L
38-40
38
40
-2
A21/12
NCAA
Santa Clara
#39
L
20-53
20
53
-33
H28/12
NCAA
67.8Avg total
33.4Scored
34.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.235.870.0-1.637%-
Last 30 at home (20)33.434.267.6-0.945%-
Last 30 away (10)35.938.974.8-3.020%-
Last 10 (10)33.434.467.8-1.040%-
Last 5 (5)33.839.273.0-5.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)31.536.267.8-4.731%-
vs Similar (8)35.034.969.9+0.138%-
vs Weaker (9)37.335.973.2+1.444%-
This opponent (San Francisco) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
San FranciscoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Northwestern St.
#331
W
50-31
50
31
+19
H19/11
NCAA
Minnesota
#235
W
34-27
34
27
+7
A22/11
NCAA
Colorado
#183
W
37-35
37
35
+2
A27/11
NCAA
Nevada
#86
L
37-38
37
38
-1
A28/11
NCAA
North Alabama
#341
W
26-24
26
24
+2
H04/12
NCAA
Mississippi St.
#257
W
30-22
30
22
+8
A07/12
NCAA
St. Louis Billikens
#13
L
30-31
30
31
-1
A14/12
NCAA
Loyola Chicago
#350
W
50-36
50
36
+14
H18/12
NCAA
Morgan State
#244
W
42-28
42
28
+14
H21/12
NCAA
Seattle
#108
W
32-30
32
30
+2
A29/12
NCAA
67.0Avg total
36.8Scored
30.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.031.467.4+4.667%-
Last 30 at home (16)37.230.567.7+6.769%-
Last 30 away (14)34.632.467.0+2.164%-
Last 10 (10)36.830.267.0+6.680%-
Last 5 (5)36.829.466.2+7.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)32.734.367.0-1.629%-
vs Similar (9)34.033.867.8+0.256%-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)39.028.267.2+10.892%-
This opponent (Oregon State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Oregon State wins
2
San Francisco wins
DateGameScore
27/02/25Oregon State v San Francisco72-74
19/01/25San Francisco v Oregon State81-70
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/12/25HSanta Clara64-102
21/12/25AArizona State78-75
18/12/25HSam Houston St.75-85
13/12/25HMontana State67-57
06/12/25HSouthern Utah81-70
04/12/25HVermont80-58
30/11/25HCalifornia Baptist69-75
24/11/25HUMass65-73
22/11/25HIona84-91 OT
22/11/25HEvansville69-73
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/12/25ASeattle67-59
21/12/25HMorgan State94-64
18/12/25HLoyola Chicago85-71
14/12/25ASt. Louis Billikens75-85
07/12/25AMississippi St.65-62
04/12/25HNorth Alabama63-65
28/11/25ANevada65-81
27/11/25AColorado69-79
22/11/25AMinnesota77-65
19/11/25HNorthwestern St.84-64

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Oregon State
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWL50%
HomeWWWLL50%
AwayLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games14122
Win %50%50%50%
Points / game72.671.976.5
Allowed / game74.973.881.0
Point differential-2.3-1.9-4.5
Avg total147.4145.8157.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+21%25%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won80% (5)75% (4)100% (1)
Overtime %7%8%0%
San Francisco
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW64%
HomeWWLWW86%
AwayLLWLW43%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1477
Win %64%86%43%
Points / game76.282.769.7
Allowed / game68.464.472.4
Point differential+7.8+18.3-2.7
Avg total144.6147.1142.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%86%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)0% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

West Coast conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Gonzaga1514193%93.068.4+24.6
2 St. Marys (CA)1513287%78.563.6+14.9
3 Seattle1411379%79.466.6+12.9
4 Santa Clara1410471%80.769.9+10.8
5 Loyola Marymount149564%78.666.9+11.7
6 San Francisco149564%76.268.4+7.8
7 Pacific149564%74.767.4+7.4
8 Portland147750%80.380.9-0.6
9 Oregon State147750%72.674.9-2.3
10 Washington State146843%75.576.2-0.7
11 San Diego Toreros146843%74.476.9-2.6
12 Pepperdine1551033%71.375.2-3.9
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Oregon State254570
San Francisco303262
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