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Nevada vs San Francisco Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 28 Nov 2025
Tip-off: 19:00
Final 81-65
38-37 43-28
Position#86
Record4-3
FormWLLWL
Points / game76.9
Allowed / game75.4
Nevada 🏆
USA
vs
Position#191
Record5-2
FormWWWWL
Points / game79.0
Allowed / game67.3
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Meetings · Nevada v San Francisco
28 Nov 2025
NEVA81
SAN 65
02 Dec 2020
NEVA60
SAN 85
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Nevada winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
San Francisco winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

NevadaUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
San Diego State
#65
L
61-80
61
80
-19
A09/03
NCAA
Fresno State
#358
W
86-71
86
71
+15
H12/03
NCAA
Colorado State
#49
L
59-67
59
67
-8
A14/03
NCAA
Louisiana Tech
#131
W
77-50
77
50
+27
H05/11
NCAA
Pacific
#165
W
78-77
78
77
+1
H09/11
NCAA
Southern Illinois
#203
W
86-81 OT
86
81
+5
H13/11
NCAA
Santa Clara
#39
L
83-98
83
98
-15
A16/11
NCAA
UC Davis
#139
L
71-75
71
75
-4
H19/11
NCAA
UC Santa Barbara
#146
W
77-64
77
64
+13
H22/11
NCAA
Washington
#218
L
66-83
66
83
-17
H27/11
NCAA
1H
2H
21-43
40-37
44-32
42-39
28-29
31-38
34-18
43-32
40-40
38-37
32-34
40-38
34-48
49-50
33-33
38-42
32-28
45-36
28-34
38-49
149.0Avg total
74.4Scored
74.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)76.975.4152.3+1.457%
Season at home (6)75.871.7147.5+4.267%
Season away (1)83.098.0181.0-15.00%
Last 10 (10)74.474.6149.0-0.250%
Last 5 (5)76.680.2156.8-3.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)69.978.0147.9-8.10%
vs Similar ◀ (14)70.871.2142.0-0.443%
vs Weaker (9)77.164.1141.2+13.089%
This opponent (San Francisco) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
San FranciscoUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Gonzaga
#37
L
76-85
76
85
-9
A11/03
NCAA
Utah Valley State
#22
W
79-70
79
70
+9
H20/03
NIT
Loyola Chicago
#4
L
76-77
76
77
-1
H23/03
NIT
UC Santa Cruz
#566
W
98-53
98
53
+45
H04/11
NCAA
Memphis
#277
L
70-76
70
76
-6
A08/11
NCAA
Portland State
#87
W
80-70
80
70
+10
H13/11
NCAA
Bradley
#91
W
75-64
75
64
+11
H16/11
NCAA
Northwestern St.
#331
W
84-64
84
64
+20
H19/11
NCAA
Minnesota
#235
W
77-65
77
65
+12
A22/11
NCAA
Colorado
#183
L
69-79
69
79
-10
A27/11
NCAA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
0-0
37-35
0-0
39-50
0-0
37-32
0-0
42-38
0-0
32-36
0-0
44-41
0-0
51-15
0-0
47-38
0-0
22-36
0-0
48-40
0-0
36-20
0-0
44-50
0-0
36-37
0-0
39-27
0-0
50-31
0-0
34-33
0-0
34-27
0-0
43-38
0-0
37-35
0-0
32-44
148.7Avg total
78.4Scored
70.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)79.067.3146.3+11.771%
Season at home (4)84.262.8147.0+21.5100%
Season away (3)72.073.3145.3-1.333%
Last 10 (10)78.470.3148.7+8.160%
Last 5 (5)77.068.4145.4+8.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)70.778.8149.5-8.233%
vs Similar ◀ (10)74.474.1148.5+0.360%
vs Weaker (13)81.066.1147.1+14.992%
This opponent (Nevada) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: -1.3-1.31st half: +6.8+6.82nd half2nd half: +0.6+0.62nd half: +1.3+1.3
-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: -1.3-1.31st half: +6.8+6.82nd half2nd half: +0.6+0.62nd half: +1.3+1.3
NevadaSan Francisco
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
NevadaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
San Diego State
#65
L
21-43
21
43
-22
A09/03
NCAA
Fresno State
#358
W
44-32
44
32
+12
H12/03
NCAA
Colorado State
#49
L
28-29
28
29
-1
A14/03
NCAA
Louisiana Tech
#131
W
34-18
34
18
+16
H05/11
NCAA
Pacific
#165
D
40-40
40
40
+0
H09/11
NCAA
Southern Illinois
#203
L
32-34
32
34
-2
H13/11
NCAA
Santa Clara
#39
L
34-48
34
48
-14
A16/11
NCAA
UC Davis
#139
D
33-33
33
33
+0
H19/11
NCAA
UC Santa Barbara
#146
W
32-28
32
28
+4
H22/11
NCAA
Washington
#218
L
28-34
28
34
-6
H27/11
NCAA
66.5Avg total
32.6Scored
33.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)32.932.665.5+0.340%-
Last 30 at home (18)35.231.766.9+3.650%-
Last 30 away (12)29.534.063.5-4.525%-
Last 10 (10)32.633.966.5-1.330%-
Last 5 (5)31.835.467.2-3.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)33.737.170.9-3.429%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)32.132.064.1+0.136%-
vs Weaker (9)33.730.063.7+3.756%-
This opponent (San Francisco) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
San FranciscoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Gonzaga
#37
W
37-35
37
35
+2
A11/03
NCAA
Utah Valley State
#22
W
37-32
37
32
+5
H20/03
NIT
Loyola Chicago
#4
L
32-36
32
36
-4
H23/03
NIT
UC Santa Cruz
#566
W
51-15
51
15
+36
H04/11
NCAA
Memphis
#277
L
22-36
22
36
-14
A08/11
NCAA
Portland State
#87
W
36-20
36
20
+16
H13/11
NCAA
Bradley
#91
L
36-37
36
37
-1
H16/11
NCAA
Northwestern St.
#331
W
50-31
50
31
+19
H19/11
NCAA
Minnesota
#235
W
34-27
34
27
+7
A22/11
NCAA
Colorado
#183
W
37-35
37
35
+2
A27/11
NCAA
67.6Avg total
37.2Scored
30.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.432.268.6+4.267%-
Last 30 at home (17)36.831.167.9+5.765%-
Last 30 away (13)35.833.669.5+2.269%-
Last 10 (10)37.230.467.6+6.870%-
Last 5 (5)38.630.068.6+8.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)33.234.868.0-1.733%-
vs Similar ◀ (10)34.633.067.6+1.660%-
vs Weaker (13)39.230.469.6+8.885%-
This opponent (Nevada) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Nevada wins
2
San Francisco wins
DateGameScore
19/11/21San Francisco v Nevada73-70
03/12/20Nevada v San Francisco60-85
Nevadalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/11/25HWashington66-83
22/11/25HUC Santa Barbara77-64
19/11/25HUC Davis71-75
16/11/25ASanta Clara83-98
13/11/25HSouthern Illinois86-81 OT
09/11/25HPacific78-77
05/11/25HLouisiana Tech77-50
14/03/25AColorado State59-67
12/03/25HFresno State86-71
09/03/25ASan Diego State61-80
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/11/25AColorado69-79
22/11/25AMinnesota77-65
19/11/25HNorthwestern St.84-64
16/11/25HBradley75-64
13/11/25HPortland State80-70
08/11/25AMemphis70-76
04/11/25HUC Santa Cruz98-53
23/03/25HLoyola Chicago76-77
20/03/25HUtah Valley State79-70
11/03/25AGonzaga76-85

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Nevada
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWL57%
HomeWWLWL67%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games761
Win %57%67%0%
Points / game76.975.883.0
Allowed / game75.471.798.0
Point differential+1.4+4.2-15.0
Avg total152.3147.5181.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%33%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)67% (3)-
Overtime %14%17%0%
San Francisco
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL71%
HomeWWWW100%
AwayLWL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games743
Win %71%100%33%
Points / game79.084.272.0
Allowed / game67.362.873.3
Point differential+11.7+21.5-1.3
Avg total146.3147.0145.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+71%100%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Mountain West conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Utah State660100%89.765.0+24.7
2 Wyoming76186%87.068.9+18.1
3 Fresno State86275%78.167.4+10.8
4 Colorado State75271%84.171.9+12.3
5 New Mexico75271%77.971.9+6.0
6 Boise State85362%78.470.6+7.8
7 Grand Canyon74357%74.669.6+5.0
8 Nevada74357%76.975.4+1.4
9 San Diego State63350%81.579.2+2.3
10 San Jose State73443%73.371.7+1.6
11 UNLV83538%84.286.1-1.9
12 Air Force83538%68.073.5-5.5
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
West Coast conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 St. Marys (CA)98189%82.263.8+18.4
2 Gonzaga87188%90.867.0+23.8
3 Loyola Marymount87188%82.464.6+17.8
4 Santa Clara76186%80.162.9+17.3
5 Seattle54180%81.871.2+10.6
6 San Francisco75271%79.067.3+11.7
7 Pacific75271%75.366.6+8.7
8 Portland85362%83.579.1+4.4
9 San Diego Toreros63350%74.072.2+1.8
10 Pepperdine73443%78.376.6+1.7
11 Oregon State73443%71.775.1-3.4
12 Washington State83538%80.481.8-1.4
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Nevada384381
San Francisco372865
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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