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Oregon State vs USC Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 31 Dec 2023
Tip-off: 03:00
Final 86-70
39-30 47-40
Position#284
Record8-4
FormWWWWL
Points / game70.8
Allowed / game69.1
vs
Position#249
Record6-6
FormLLLWL
Points / game78.2
Allowed / game73.8
USANCAA
Other2023-24
Meetings · Oregon State v USC
30 Dec 2023
OREG86
USC70
11 Feb 2023
OREG61
USC58
24 Feb 2022
OREG91
USC94
19 Jan 2021
OREG58
USC56
25 Jan 2020
OREG55
USC75
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Oregon State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
USC winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Oregon StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Appalachian State
#14
W
81-71 OT
81
71
+10
H15/11
NCAA
Nebraska
#62
L
63-84
63
84
-21
H18/11
NCAA
Baylor
#58
L
72-88
72
88
-16
H23/11
NCAA
Pittsburgh
#69
L
51-76
51
76
-25
A24/11
NCAA
UC Davis
#133
W
71-59
71
59
+12
H01/12
NCAA
Cal Poly
#364
W
70-63 OT
70
63
+7
H05/12
NCAA
Utah Valley State
#207
W
74-71
74
71
+3
H09/12
NCAA
UTSA Roadrunners
#314
W
66-65
66
65
+1
H17/12
NCAA
Idaho State
#279
W
76-57
76
57
+19
H22/12
NCAA
UCLA
#219
L
62-69
62
69
-7
H29/12
NCAA
1H
2H
43-32
20-31
24-44
39-40
26-44
46-44
27-39
24-37
27-32
44-27
25-28
24-21
34-36
40-35
27-33
39-32
36-25
40-32
28-24
34-45
138.9Avg total
68.6Scored
70.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)70.869.1139.8+1.767%
Season at home (11)72.568.5141.0+4.173%
Season away (1)51.076.0127.0-25.00%
Last 10 (10)68.670.3138.9-1.760%
Last 5 (5)69.665.0134.6+4.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (24)60.970.6131.5-9.725%
vs Similar ◀ (2)70.068.0138.0+2.0100%
vs Weaker (4)72.255.8128.0+16.5100%
This opponent (USC) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
USCUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
UC Irvine
#37
L
60-70
60
70
-10
H15/11
NCAA
Brown
#276
W
81-70
81
70
+11
H20/11
NCAA
Seton Hall
#108
W
71-63
71
63
+8
H23/11
NCAA
Oklahoma
#104
L
70-72
70
72
-2
A24/11
NCAA
East. Washington
#81
W
106-78
106
78
+28
H30/11
NCAA
Gonzaga
#21
L
76-89
76
89
-13
A03/12
NCAA
Long Beach State
#140
L
79-84 OT
79
84
-5
H10/12
NCAA
Auburn
#22
L
75-91
75
91
-16
A17/12
NCAA
Alabama State
#281
W
79-59
79
59
+20
A20/12
NCAA
Oregon
#75
L
74-82
74
82
-8
A29/12
NCAA
1H
2H
26-29
34-41
35-32
46-38
32-22
39-41
39-36
31-36
52-33
54-45
37-44
39-45
45-30
29-44
35-49
40-42
39-18
40-41
25-42
49-40
152.9Avg total
77.1Scored
75.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)78.273.8152.0+4.350%
Season at home (6)80.370.7151.0+9.767%
Season away (6)76.077.0153.0-1.033%
Last 10 (10)77.175.8152.9+1.340%
Last 5 (5)76.681.0157.6-4.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)74.376.9151.2-2.622%
vs Similar ◀ (18)74.467.9142.4+6.572%
vs Weaker (3)78.365.0143.3+13.367%
This opponent (Oregon State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-5-2+0+2+51st half1st half: -4.0-4.01st half: +3.0+3.02nd half2nd half: +0.6+0.62nd half: -1.2-1.2
-5-2+0+2+51st half1st half: -4.0-4.01st half: +3.0+3.02nd half2nd half: +0.6+0.62nd half: -1.2-1.2
Oregon StateUSC
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Oregon StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Appalachian State
#14
W
43-32
43
32
+11
H15/11
NCAA
Nebraska
#62
L
24-44
24
44
-20
H18/11
NCAA
Baylor
#58
L
26-44
26
44
-18
H23/11
NCAA
Pittsburgh
#69
L
27-39
27
39
-12
A24/11
NCAA
UC Davis
#133
L
27-32
27
32
-5
H01/12
NCAA
Cal Poly
#364
L
25-28
25
28
-3
H05/12
NCAA
Utah Valley State
#207
L
34-36
34
36
-2
H09/12
NCAA
UTSA Roadrunners
#314
L
27-33
27
33
-6
H17/12
NCAA
Idaho State
#279
W
36-25
36
25
+11
H22/12
NCAA
UCLA
#219
W
28-24
28
24
+4
H29/12
NCAA
63.4Avg total
29.7Scored
33.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)28.233.261.5-5.027%-
Last 30 at home (20)29.433.062.5-3.630%-
Last 30 away (10)25.833.759.5-7.920%-
Last 10 (10)29.733.763.4-4.030%-
Last 5 (5)30.029.259.2+0.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (24)27.834.562.2-6.725%-
vs Similar ◀ (2)30.534.565.0-4.00%-
vs Weaker (4)29.825.255.0+4.550%-
This opponent (USC) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
USCLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
UC Irvine
#37
L
26-29
26
29
-3
H15/11
NCAA
Brown
#276
W
35-32
35
32
+3
H20/11
NCAA
Seton Hall
#108
W
32-22
32
22
+10
H23/11
NCAA
Oklahoma
#104
W
39-36
39
36
+3
A24/11
NCAA
East. Washington
#81
W
52-33
52
33
+19
H30/11
NCAA
Gonzaga
#21
L
37-44
37
44
-7
A03/12
NCAA
Long Beach State
#140
W
45-30
45
30
+15
H10/12
NCAA
Auburn
#22
L
35-49
35
49
-14
A17/12
NCAA
Alabama State
#281
W
39-18
39
18
+21
A20/12
NCAA
Oregon
#75
L
25-42
25
42
-17
A29/12
NCAA
70.0Avg total
36.5Scored
33.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)35.132.968.0+2.259%-
Last 30 at home (15)36.330.366.6+6.173%-
Last 30 away (14)33.835.869.6-2.043%-
Last 10 (10)36.533.570.0+3.060%-
Last 5 (5)36.236.672.8-0.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)33.039.672.6-6.622%-
vs Similar ◀ (17)36.030.566.5+5.576%-
vs Weaker (3)36.326.763.0+9.767%-
This opponent (Oregon State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Oregon State wins
5
USC wins
DateGameScore
11/02/23Oregon State v USC61-58
05/12/22USC v Oregon State63-62
25/02/22Oregon State v USC91-94 OT
14/01/22USC v Oregon State81-71
28/01/21USC v Oregon State75-62
20/01/21Oregon State v USC58-56
25/01/20Oregon State v USC55-75
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/12/23HUCLA62-69
22/12/23HIdaho State76-57
17/12/23HUTSA Roadrunners66-65
09/12/23HUtah Valley State74-71
05/12/23HCal Poly70-63 OT
01/12/23HUC Davis71-59
24/11/23APittsburgh51-76
23/11/23HBaylor72-88
18/11/23HNebraska63-84
15/11/23HAppalachian State81-71 OT
USClast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/12/23AOregon74-82
20/12/23AAlabama State79-59
17/12/23AAuburn75-91
10/12/23HLong Beach State79-84 OT
03/12/23AGonzaga76-89
30/11/23HEast. Washington106-78
24/11/23AOklahoma70-72
23/11/23HSeton Hall71-63
20/11/23HBrown81-70
15/11/23HUC Irvine60-70

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Oregon State
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL67%
HomeWWWWL73%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games12111
Win %67%73%0%
Points / game70.872.551.0
Allowed / game69.168.576.0
Point differential+1.7+4.1-25.0
Avg total139.8141.0127.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%36%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (3)100% (3)-
Overtime %25%27%0%
USC
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL50%
HomeLWWWL67%
AwayLLLWL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1266
Win %50%67%33%
Points / game78.280.376.0
Allowed / game73.870.777.0
Point differential+4.3+9.7-1.0
Avg total152.0151.0153.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+42%50%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %8%17%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

West Coast conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Washington State129375%75.863.9+11.8
2 San Francisco1511473%77.259.3+17.9
3 Gonzaga139469%83.568.4+15.2
4 Oregon State128467%70.869.1+1.7
5 San Diego Toreros149564%72.572.3+0.2
6 Seattle138562%75.865.8+10.0
7 St. Marys (CA)159660%70.358.5+11.8
8 Santa Clara159660%77.172.4+4.7
9 Loyola Marymount147750%74.669.6+5.1
10 Pepperdine157847%72.170.2+1.9
11 Portland156940%74.177.8-3.7
12 Pacific156940%64.973.8-8.9
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Big Ten conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Purdue1312192%86.868.1+18.7
2 Ohio State1311285%79.364.9+14.4
3 Nebraska1311285%77.665.5+12.2
4 Illinois1210283%82.965.5+17.4
5 Northwestern1210283%72.963.1+9.8
6 Minnesota1310377%80.566.3+14.2
7 Oregon1310377%78.170.2+7.8
8 Indiana1310377%76.373.4+2.9
9 Wisconsin129375%74.264.9+9.2
10 Maryland139469%73.263.4+9.8
11 Washington128467%81.874.3+7.5
12 Rutgers128467%67.561.4+6.1
13 Michigan State138562%77.264.5+12.7
14 Iowa138562%87.877.4+10.5
15 Penn State137654%77.570.3+7.2
16 USC126650%78.273.8+4.3
17 UCLA136746%67.262.2+5.0
18 Michigan136746%83.279.1+4.1
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Oregon State394786
USC304070
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