Oregon vs USC Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 29 Dec 2023

Tip-off: 02:00

Final 82-74

42-25 40-49

Position#75

Record8-3

FormWWWLW

Points / game79.0

Allowed / game70.9

Oregon 🏆

USC

Position#249

Record6-5

FormWLLLW

Points / game78.5

Allowed / game73.1

NCAA

Other2023-24

Meetings · Oregon v USC

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Oregon winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

USC winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Oregon

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Montana

#65

75-61

+14

H11/11

NCAA

Tennessee State

#176

92-67

+25

H18/11

NCAA

Florida A&M

#357

67-54

+13

A21/11

NCAA

Santa Clara

#125

82-88

-6

A25/11

NCAA

Alabama

#67

91-99

-8

H25/11

NCAA

Michigan

#347

86-83 OT

H02/12

NCAA

UTEP

#185

71-49

+22

H10/12

NCAA

California Baptist

#217

76-55

+21

H13/12

NCAA

Syracuse

#110

63-83

-20

A17/12

NCAA

Kent State

#199

84-70

+14

H22/12

NCAA

37-37

38-24

48-40

44-27

28-27

39-27

34-39

48-49

39-47

52-52

38-35

35-38

28-25

43-24

36-31

40-24

25-33

38-50

45-29

39-41

149.6Avg total

78.7Scored

70.9Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (11)	79.0	70.9	149.9	+8.1	73%
Season at home (8)	82.1	69.4	151.5	+12.8	88%
Season away (3)	70.7	75.0	145.7	-4.3	33%
Last 10 (10)	78.7	70.9	149.6	+7.8	70%
Last 5 (5)	76.0	68.0	144.0	+8.0	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	74.6	80.6	155.2	-6.0	20%
vs Similar ◀ (16)	74.9	67.2	142.1	+7.6	75%
vs Weaker (8)	73.8	62.5	136.2	+11.2	75%

This opponent (USC) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

USC

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

CSU Bakersfield

#280

85-59

+26

H10/11

NCAA

UC Irvine

#37

60-70

-10

H15/11

NCAA

Brown

#276

81-70

+11

H20/11

NCAA

Seton Hall

#108

71-63

H23/11

NCAA

Oklahoma

#104

70-72

-2

A24/11

NCAA

East. Washington

#81

106-78

106

+28

H30/11

NCAA

Gonzaga

#21

76-89

-13

A03/12

NCAA

Long Beach State

#140

79-84 OT

-5

H10/12

NCAA

Auburn

#22

75-91

-16

A17/12

NCAA

Alabama State

#281

79-59

+20

A20/12

NCAA

47-23

38-36

26-29

34-41

35-32

46-38

32-22

39-41

39-36

31-36

52-33

54-45

37-44

39-45

45-30

29-44

35-49

40-42

39-18

40-41

151.7Avg total

78.2Scored

73.5Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (11)	78.5	73.1	151.6	+5.5	55%
Season at home (6)	80.3	70.7	151.0	+9.7	67%
Season away (5)	76.4	76.0	152.4	+0.4	40%
Last 10 (10)	78.2	73.5	151.7	+4.7	50%
Last 5 (5)	83.0	80.2	163.2	+2.8	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	74.3	76.9	151.2	-2.6	22%
vs Similar ◀ (18)	74.3	67.9	142.2	+6.4	72%
vs Weaker (3)	78.3	65.0	143.3	+13.3	67%

This opponent (Oregon) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

OregonUSC

Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by half · pick a half

OregonLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Montana

#65

37-37

H11/11

NCAA

Tennessee State

#176

48-40

H18/11

NCAA

Florida A&M

#357

28-27

A21/11

NCAA

Santa Clara

#125

34-39

-5

A25/11

NCAA

Alabama

#67

39-47

-8

H25/11

NCAA

Michigan

#347

38-35

H02/12

NCAA

UTEP

#185

28-25

H10/12

NCAA

California Baptist

#217

36-31

H13/12

NCAA

Syracuse

#110

25-33

-8

A17/12

NCAA

Kent State

#199

45-29

+16

H22/12

NCAA

70.1Avg total

35.8Scored

34.3Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	35.1	30.8	65.9	+4.4	69%	-
Last 30 at home (19)	37.4	30.6	68.0	+6.7	84%	-
Last 30 away (10)	30.9	31.0	61.9	-0.1	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	35.8	34.3	70.1	+1.5	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	34.4	30.6	65.0	+3.8	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	36.2	36.5	72.8	-0.2	50%	-
vs Similar ◀ (16)	35.9	31.6	67.4	+4.3	69%	-
vs Weaker (8)	33.1	27.4	60.5	+5.8	75%	-

This opponent (USC) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

USCLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

CSU Bakersfield

#280

47-23

+24

H10/11

NCAA

UC Irvine

#37

26-29

-3

H15/11

NCAA

Brown

#276

35-32

H20/11

NCAA

Seton Hall

#108

32-22

+10

H23/11

NCAA

Oklahoma

#104

39-36

A24/11

NCAA

East. Washington

#81

52-33

+19

H30/11

NCAA

Gonzaga

#21

37-44

-7

A03/12

NCAA

Long Beach State

#140

45-30

+15

H10/12

NCAA

Auburn

#22

35-49

-14

A17/12

NCAA

Alabama State

#281

39-18

+21

A20/12

NCAA

70.3Avg total

38.7Scored

31.6Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	35.3	32.9	68.2	+2.4	59%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	36.3	30.3	66.6	+6.1	73%	-
Last 30 away (14)	34.1	35.7	69.9	-1.6	43%	-
Last 10 (10)	38.7	31.6	70.3	+7.1	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	41.6	34.8	76.4	+6.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	33.0	39.6	72.6	-6.6	22%	-
vs Similar ◀ (17)	36.3	30.5	66.8	+5.8	76%	-
vs Weaker (3)	36.3	26.7	63.0	+9.7	67%	-

This opponent (Oregon) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	39.0	35.7	74.7	+3.2	52%	-
Last 30 at home (19)	39.3	34.1	73.4	+5.2	58%	-
Last 30 away (10)	38.3	38.8	77.1	-0.5	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	41.6	35.6	77.2	+6.0	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	39.0	35.4	74.4	+3.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	38.0	41.5	79.5	-3.5	25%	-
vs Similar ◀ (16)	39.0	35.7	74.7	+3.3	50%	-
vs Weaker (8)	38.1	32.9	71.0	+5.2	62%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	39.1	37.1	76.1	+2.0	52%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	42.1	38.6	80.7	+3.5	60%	-
Last 30 away (14)	35.9	35.4	71.3	+0.4	43%	-
Last 10 (10)	39.0	40.9	79.9	-1.9	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	40.4	43.4	83.8	-3.0	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	41.3	37.3	78.7	+4.0	44%	-
vs Similar ◀ (17)	37.4	36.7	74.1	+0.6	53%	-
vs Weaker (3)	42.0	38.3	80.3	+3.7	67%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Oregon wins

USC wins

Date	Game	Score
10/02/23	Oregon v USC	78-60
27/02/22	Oregon v USC	69-70
16/01/22	USC v Oregon	69-79
29/03/21	USC v Oregon	82-68
23/02/21	USC v Oregon	72-58
24/01/20	Oregon v USC	79-70 OT

Oregonlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
22/12/23	H	Kent State	84-70
17/12/23	A	Syracuse	63-83
13/12/23	H	California Baptist	76-55
10/12/23	H	UTEP	71-49
02/12/23	H	Michigan	86-83 OT
25/11/23	H	Alabama	91-99
25/11/23	A	Santa Clara	82-88
21/11/23	A	Florida A&M	67-54
18/11/23	H	Tennessee State	92-67
11/11/23	H	Montana	75-61

USClast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
20/12/23	A	Alabama State	79-59
17/12/23	A	Auburn	75-91
10/12/23	H	Long Beach State	79-84 OT
03/12/23	A	Gonzaga	76-89
30/11/23	H	East. Washington	106-78
24/11/23	A	Oklahoma	70-72
23/11/23	H	Seton Hall	71-63
20/11/23	H	Brown	81-70
15/11/23	H	UC Irvine	60-70
10/11/23	H	CSU Bakersfield	85-59

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Oregon

NCAA 2023-24

Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWWLW	73%
Home	LWWWW	88%
Away	WLL	33%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	11	8	3
Win %	73%	88%	33%
Points / game	79.0	82.1	70.7
Allowed / game	70.9	69.4	75.0
Point differential	+8.1	+12.8	-4.3
Avg total	149.9	151.5	145.7
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	64%	75%	33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	100% (1)	100% (1)	-
Overtime %	9%	12%	0%

USC

NCAA 2023-24

Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLLLW	55%
Home	LWWWL	67%
Away	WLLLW	40%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	11	6	5
Win %	55%	67%	40%
Points / game	78.5	80.3	76.4
Allowed / game	73.1	70.7	76.0
Point differential	+5.5	+9.7	+0.4
Avg total	151.6	151.0	152.4
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	45%	50%	40%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	0% (2)	0% (1)	0% (1)
Overtime %	9%	17%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Big Ten conference

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Purdue	12	11	1	92%	87.3	69.3	+18.0
2	Ohio State	12	10	2	83%	79.4	64.1	+15.3
3	Nebraska	12	10	2	83%	76.5	65.8	+10.8
4	Illinois	11	9	2	82%	81.0	65.0	+16.0
5	Northwestern	11	9	2	82%	72.8	63.1	+9.7
6	Minnesota	12	9	3	75%	80.5	66.7	+13.8
7	Wisconsin	12	9	3	75%	74.2	64.9	+9.2
8	Indiana	12	9	3	75%	74.3	72.2	+2.1
9	Washington	11	8	3	73%	83.0	74.5	+8.5
10	Oregon	11	8	3	73%	79.0	70.9	+8.1
11	Maryland	13	9	4	69%	73.2	63.4	+9.8
12	Rutgers	11	7	4	64%	68.3	61.7	+6.5
13	Michigan State	12	7	5	58%	76.4	63.7	+12.8
14	Iowa	12	7	5	58%	86.6	77.7	+8.9
15	USC	11	6	5	55%	78.5	73.1	+5.5
16	Penn State	12	6	6	50%	76.4	70.9	+5.5
17	Michigan	12	6	6	50%	83.8	78.4	+5.3
18	UCLA	11	5	6	45%	67.7	62.0	+5.7

Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	1H	2H	Final
Oregon	42	40	82
USC	25	49	74

← all games of the day

Oregon vs USC Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

Get it on Telegram

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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