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Oregon vs Montana State Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 16 Nov 2022
Tip-off: 02:00
Final 81-51
34-22 47-29
Position#140
Record1-1
FormLWLWL
Points / game68.0
Allowed / game57.0
Oregon 🏆
USA
vs
Montana State
USA
Position#54
Record1-1
FormWWLLW
Points / game62.0
Allowed / game58.5
USANCAA
Other2022-23
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Oregon winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Montana State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

OregonUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
UCLA
#28
W
68-63
68
63
+5
H25/02
NCAA
USC
#36
L
69-70
69
70
-1
H27/02
NCAA
Washington
#183
L
67-78
67
78
-11
A04/03
NCAA
Washington State
#144
L
74-94
74
94
-20
A05/03
NCAA
Oregon State
#361
W
86-72
86
72
+14
H09/03
NCAA
Colorado
#89
L
69-80
69
80
-11
A10/03
NCAA
Utah State
#26
W
83-72
83
72
+11
A16/03
NIT
Texas A&M
#2
L
60-75
60
75
-15
A19/03
NIT
Florida A&M
#352
W
80-45
80
45
+35
H08/11
NCAA
UC Irvine
#65
L
56-69
56
69
-13
H12/11
NCAA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
0-0
35-30
0-0
33-33
0-0
32-31
0-0
37-39
0-0
23-33
0-0
44-45
0-0
32-46
0-0
42-48
0-0
43-36
0-0
43-36
0-0
30-36
0-0
39-44
0-0
33-37
0-0
50-35
0-0
28-37
0-0
32-38
0-0
36-25
0-0
44-20
0-0
22-35
0-0
34-34
143.0Avg total
71.2Scored
71.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)68.057.0125.0+11.050%
Season at home (2)68.057.0125.0+11.050%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)71.271.8143.0-0.640%
Last 5 (5)69.668.2137.8+1.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)69.875.0144.8-5.233%
vs Similar ◀ (9)73.871.2145.0+2.656%
vs Weaker (14)73.267.5140.7+5.764%
This opponent (Montana State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Montana StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Montana
#153
L
74-80
74
80
-6
A27/02
NCAA
Southern Utah
#97
W
69-53
69
53
+16
H02/03
NCAA
Sacramento State
#274
W
75-69
75
69
+6
H04/03
NCAA
Northern Colorado
#152
W
87-85
87
85
+2
H05/03
NCAA
Sacramento State
#274
W
83-61
83
61
+22
H10/03
NCAA
Weber State
#106
W
69-66
69
66
+3
H12/03
NCAA
Northern Colorado
#152
W
87-66
87
66
+21
H13/03
NCAA
Texas Tech
#46
L
62-97
62
97
-35
A18/03
NCAA
Grand Canyon
#77
L
54-60
54
60
-6
A08/11
NCAA
Long Beach State
#197
W
70-57
70
57
+13
A14/11
NCAA
1H
2H
33-44
41-36
31-20
38-33
32-38
43-31
38-39
49-46
39-28
44-33
31-37
38-29
40-28
47-38
25-52
37-45
36-19
18-41
32-24
38-33
142.4Avg total
73.0Scored
69.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)62.058.5120.5+3.550%
Season at homeno games
Season away (2)62.058.5120.5+3.550%
Last 10 (10)73.069.4142.4+3.670%
Last 5 (5)68.469.2137.6-0.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)62.097.0159.0-35.00%
vs Similar ◀ (9)69.964.4134.3+5.467%
vs Weaker (20)78.167.5145.6+10.690%
This opponent (Oregon) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-4-2+0+2+41st half1st half: -3.2-3.21st half: +0.8+0.82nd half2nd half: +2.6+2.62nd half: +2.8+2.8
-4-2+0+2+41st half1st half: -3.2-3.21st half: +0.8+0.82nd half2nd half: +2.6+2.62nd half: +2.8+2.8
OregonMontana State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
OregonLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
UCLA
#28
W
35-30
35
30
+5
H25/02
NCAA
USC
#36
W
32-31
32
31
+1
H27/02
NCAA
Washington
#183
L
23-33
23
33
-10
A04/03
NCAA
Washington State
#144
L
32-46
32
46
-14
A05/03
NCAA
Oregon State
#361
W
43-36
43
36
+7
H09/03
NCAA
Colorado
#89
L
30-36
30
36
-6
A10/03
NCAA
Utah State
#26
L
33-37
33
37
-4
A16/03
NIT
Texas A&M
#2
L
28-37
28
37
-9
A19/03
NIT
Florida A&M
#352
W
36-25
36
25
+11
H08/11
NCAA
UC Irvine
#65
L
22-35
22
35
-13
H12/11
NCAA
66.0Avg total
31.4Scored
34.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.433.368.7+2.163%-
Last 30 at home (17)36.230.967.1+5.382%-
Last 30 away (13)34.436.470.8-2.038%-
Last 10 (10)31.434.666.0-3.240%-
Last 5 (5)29.834.063.8-4.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)33.536.269.7-2.750%-
vs Similar ◀ (9)37.834.772.4+3.178%-
vs Weaker (14)34.930.965.7+4.064%-
This opponent (Montana State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Montana StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Montana
#153
L
33-44
33
44
-11
A27/02
NCAA
Southern Utah
#97
W
31-20
31
20
+11
H02/03
NCAA
Sacramento State
#274
L
32-38
32
38
-6
H04/03
NCAA
Northern Colorado
#152
L
38-39
38
39
-1
H05/03
NCAA
Sacramento State
#274
W
39-28
39
28
+11
H10/03
NCAA
Weber State
#106
L
31-37
31
37
-6
H12/03
NCAA
Northern Colorado
#152
W
40-28
40
28
+12
H13/03
NCAA
Texas Tech
#46
L
25-52
25
52
-27
A18/03
NCAA
Grand Canyon
#77
W
36-19
36
19
+17
A08/11
NCAA
Long Beach State
#197
W
32-24
32
24
+8
A14/11
NCAA
66.6Avg total
33.7Scored
32.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.331.266.5+4.170%-
Last 30 at home (16)34.629.864.3+4.869%-
Last 30 away (14)36.232.969.1+3.471%-
Last 10 (10)33.732.966.6+0.850%-
Last 5 (5)32.832.064.8+0.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)25.052.077.0-27.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (9)34.831.266.0+3.667%-
vs Weaker (20)36.130.166.2+6.075%-
This opponent (Oregon) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Oregon wins
0
Montana State wins
No previous meetings.
Oregonlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/11/22HUC Irvine56-69
08/11/22HFlorida A&M80-45
19/03/22ATexas A&M60-75
16/03/22AUtah State83-72
10/03/22AColorado69-80
09/03/22HOregon State86-72
05/03/22AWashington State74-94
04/03/22AWashington67-78
27/02/22HUSC69-70
25/02/22HUCLA68-63
Montana Statelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/22ALong Beach State70-57
08/11/22AGrand Canyon54-60
18/03/22ATexas Tech62-97
13/03/22HNorthern Colorado87-66
12/03/22HWeber State69-66
10/03/22HSacramento State83-61
05/03/22HNorthern Colorado87-85
04/03/22HSacramento State75-69
02/03/22HSouthern Utah69-53
27/02/22AMontana74-80

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Oregon
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWL50%
HomeWL50%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games22-
Win %50%50%-
Points / game68.068.0-
Allowed / game57.057.0-
Point differential+11.0+11.0-
Avg total125.0125.0-
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%50%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%-
Montana State
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLW50%
Home--
AwayLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games2-2
Win %50%-50%
Points / game62.0-62.0
Allowed / game58.5-58.5
Point differential+3.5-+3.5
Avg total120.5-120.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%-50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%-0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Big Ten conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Indiana220100%94.551.0+43.5
2 Iowa220100%100.564.5+36.0
3 Illinois330100%92.056.7+35.3
4 Ohio State220100%86.554.5+32.0
5 Rutgers330100%78.750.0+28.7
6 UCLA330100%85.058.3+26.7
7 Maryland330100%72.750.7+22.0
8 Northwestern330100%74.354.3+20.0
9 Penn State330100%83.765.0+18.7
10 Purdue330100%74.055.7+18.3
11 Wisconsin220100%72.554.5+18.0
12 Nebraska220100%77.063.5+13.5
13 Michigan220100%81.569.5+12.0
14 Washington330100%74.062.0+12.0
15 Michigan State32167%74.065.3+8.7
16 Minnesota32167%62.061.0+1.0
17 USC21150%78.566.0+12.5
18 Oregon21150%68.057.0+11.0
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Big Sky conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Sacramento State32167%62.766.7-4.0
2 Montana State21150%62.058.5+3.5
3 Idaho31233%85.765.0+20.7
4 Idaho State31233%70.362.0+8.3
5 Weber State31233%62.371.0-8.7
6 Northern Colorado31233%59.385.0-25.7
7 East. Washington41325%60.870.2-9.5
8 Portland State2020%81.090.5-9.5
9 Northern Arizona3030%64.076.7-12.7
10 Montana2020%63.588.5-25.0
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Oregon344781
Montana State222951
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